Good question. I'd say their odds would have to be at least 1 in 20. There are about 11 such teams depending on where you look. Currently the Texans are listed about 1 in 40.Everyone keeps using this term "contender", but what does it really mean? The Texans have a very good chance of making playoffs yet again. Shouldn't that make them a contender? Or is it something more? Is it some high expectation that only 4 teams in the league would qualify as a "contender"?