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2023 TEXANS DRAFT DISCUSSION

I just think Stroud is the 2nd best QB in this draft. And he could prove me wrong and be the best. I don't think Stroud has the tools Trevor Lawrence had coming out. But he played as well as Lawrence did in college. For me, this pick is a no brainer. And if ownership can't get past the agent thing, they should have traded for the 1st pick when they had the chance.

Funny you say that.
 
What are the odds that he would say anything else besides that?
Why acknowledge anything? Nick is usually slippery as an eel on any tricky question. It goes to his reputation as a deal maker. That's for the Texans and wherever he might go in the future.

Still, he can deny the agent has an influence all he wants. If they pass on a vastly superior QB for a project, the agent thing is what everyone will think was the factor.
 
because a high score doesn't mean you will be a great QB but a low score assures you won't have a great qb at all

I would love to get a list of all the "LOW SCORE" boys.

Hendon Hooker with the 46 is pretty terrible as well and everyone is ok with that pick.

Makes no sense. Last few days have been fun to speculate.
 
Wilson passed the Texans physical. But Wilson did not pass every team's physical.

Nothing surprising there. Sounds like 1.2 to me.
Passing NFL physicals after injury means very little. Every franchise sets its own standards for players who pass or fail. Quite telling is the fact that as thorough as the Combine physicals are, and as many college players have come off of injuries, virtually no one fails it. If players can still breathe, walk, run, distinguish 1 vs 2 fingers when held up, and count to 2 backwards, they will be likely be deemed fit to take the field. Historically, passing a football physical (especially following significant injuries) has often made little sense medically to non team doctors.
 
It's the only sliver of hope I have amongst the avalanche of bad rumors.

Sounds like it's a QB based on that. Whatever they do we'll all live with. In 21 drafts the Texans haven't called me for advice even once so I'm not worried about it. Some players are going to be picked. I hope they end up being good ones.
 
Because generally, having such a low test score doesn’t equate to NFL success at the position. There might be teams who use this against him, so he potentially just cost himself money.
If some teams use the test against Stroud, they could be costing themselves a franchise QB.

My understanding is that the NFL began incorporating the S2 tests in 2016. Since then, there has been around 25 QBs considered top prospects entering their respective drafts. 25. That's the definition of a small sample size.
I get the company that created the test are pushing their product. But any scientific method would only consider a much larger pool of samples to come to a definitive conclusion. And the fact that a high score does not verify a QB to become elite seems like a red flag. "But Mahomes scored high!" "Burrow scored high!" A few QBs out of a small pool? That's cherry picking.
 
That man said “If I’m not one of the smartest QBs in this draft, then I’m one of the smartest QBs in the NFL”.

Yeah let’s not sugarcoat this. He sounds like a DUMMY.
 
Said it last night, but my tinfoil hat theory is that Stroud was Nick/DeMeco's guy until about two weeks ago, when the McNairs decided to cancel the whole thing due to the agent.

If they weren't going QB at 2, then doing nothing to fix the QB situation pre draft is beyond stupid.
ok but why would McNairs cancel Stroud two weeks ago? Nothing has changed as I know it.
 
It’s not 18. That’s terribly low. Not just below average.

Yeah, that's There must be some mistake low. Like Hey, did they not give you a password to login to the computer? low or You get 10 points for logging in and providing answers to all of the questions low. Probably more like "Doesn't take tests well and so didn't try all that hard and was surprised to learn that the poor performance not only leaked but apparently mattered to people.
 
Yeah, that's There must be some mistake low. Like Hey, did they not give you a password to login to the computer? low or You get 10 points for logging in and providing answers to all of the questions low. Probably more like "Doesn't take tests well and so didn't try all that hard and was surprised to learn that the poor performance not only leaked but apparently mattered to people.
Yep Or just clicked through all the questions lol
 
Take with a grain of salt as I heard this somewhere...but sorry cannot confirm or even remember where. So, as I said, this isn't gospel.

But I heard that CJ took the test at 11 PM at night after a long day, and really didn't take it too seriously. Just sort of breezed through it without really trying.

Now...is that a character flaw in itself? I don't know. But the bottom line is he thinks his film is what teams should be going off of and found the test to be silly and worthless.

I can't say I disagree with the guy. You don't need a test to tell you the guy can cover every blade of grass on the field with high accuracy. I'm thinking the Texans will pass on him, and it will end up being a huge mistake. CJ is going to be a good QB in the NFL and would seem to fit a general WCO quite well. Great? I don't know that, but even "good" is way, way better than the **** sandwich we've endured for far too long. Don't take out your driver to make a freaking 3-foot putt. Knock it in with your putter and call it a day. Stroud SHOULD be the pick at 1.2. In other words, don't bring out the smartest guy in the room act...and I have no doubt Nick will do just that to prove how much smarter he is then all the other GM's.

:strangle:
 
If some teams use the test against Stroud, they could be costing themselves a franchise QB.

My understanding is that the NFL began incorporating the S2 tests in 2016. Since then, there has been around 25 QBs considered top prospects entering their respective drafts. 25. That's the definition of a small sample size.
I get the company that created the test are pushing their product. But any scientific method would only consider a much larger pool of samples to come to a definitive conclusion. And the fact that a high score does not verify a QB to become elite seems like a red flag. "But Mahomes scored high!" "Burrow scored high!" A few QBs out of a small pool? That's cherry picking.

I've learned a bit on the S2 outcomes recently. They don't say that everyone who scores high is a great QB. They say that every great QB scored high. But they also say that no QB with a low score was considered great, or even good.

In the end, this test appears to do a decent job of identifying who WON'T be good, not who WILL be good.

And yes, there is at some point going to be the first guy that becomes the exception, but not sure I want that risk-reward pick at 1:2.
 
PFT
Bryce Young: I focus on what I can control, I can’t grow any taller
Posted by Michael David Smith on April 26, 2023, 12:26 PM EDT

Bryce Young is expected to be the first player drafted tomorrow night, but as a 5-foot-10 quarterback, he still faces questions about his height.

One of those questions came when talking to reporters today, and Young said he’s focusing only on what he can control, which doesn’t include his height.

“I’m confident in my abilities,” Young said. “I don’t know how to play the game another way. I’ve been this size relative to the people around me my entire life. I focus on what I control, and I can’t grow. That doesn’t fall into that category, I can’t get any taller. I focus on myself. I’m confident in myself with what I’ve been able to do and I’m excited for the work it’s going to take.”

Young had a great college career at Alabama despite his diminutive stature, and the Panthers seem confident that Young can keep playing at a high level in the NFL.
 
How does it "assure" Stroud will not be a great QB?
Brees is a good example. He got a 28 on the Wonderlic, which is very good, but not superior. His S2 score, meanwhile, was exceptional. Ally said the cognition test not only can forecast whether a quarterback will be successful in the NFL, it comes close to predicting the quarterback’s career passer rating.

The company recently looked at 27 starting quarterbacks. (Some of the older veterans like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers had entered the league before S2 began testing in 2015 and there are no scores for them; Brees took the test while already playing in the NFL.) Of that group, 13 had a career passer rating above 90. The average S2 score of those players was the 91st percentile. Those with passer ratings below 90 had much lower test results.

“Those 14 guys, the average score was in the low 60s,” Ally said.

 
So if Wilson is not passing some teams physicals, that would seem to be a real red flag.
I can never predict when a player physical will be passed by a team, but I would have to be quite guarded if a considered elite player like Wilson was not universally passed..............and that thought is independent of what I believe how Wilson's injury will affect his future on the field.
 
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In the end, this test appears to do a decent job of identifying who WON'T be good, not who WILL be good.

And yes, there is at some point going to be the first guy that becomes the exception, but not sure I want that risk-reward pick at 1:2.
Let's try a possible real world example. Say a school has tested 25 kids in the past. It's some type of video game. And the analysis of these tests indicate that the kids that did poorly in testing did not do well in college. Some of the kids that did do well in the testing had very good grades in college. Some of the kids that tested well did poorly in college.

The school tests your son. He does poorly. Tell me honestly, are you going to take this seriously? "Get a job kid, not wasting tuition on you."
 
Let's try a possible real world example. Say a school has tested 25 kids in the past. It's some type of video game. And the analysis of these tests indicate that the kids that did poorly in testing did not do well in college. Some of the kids that did do well in the testing had very good grades in college. Some of the kids that tested well did poorly in college.

The school tests your son. He does poorly. Tell me honestly, are you going to take this seriously? "Get a job kid, not wasting tuition on you."
Quite a bit different than having 2-4 seconds to process where you want to throw the ball and accurately read coverages.
 
Quite a bit different than having 2-4 seconds to process where you want to throw the ball and accurately read coverages.

Yeah, and it seems like people are just ignoring CJ's tape which shows he excels at that.

Will Levis aka Mr. Late. scored a 93, and has yet to anticipate a throw.

Oh but he scored well on the computer test. He is going to be a great player.

Thankfully, the Texans had the guys come in and were able to go through their own methods.
 
Again, that's a very small sample size. And even if averaged, it doesn't indicate if there are outliers. What if the backups had been tested? Would that dilute the result? I find the study interesting. I do not see it as absolutely determinative or scientifically valid.
 
If the Texans pass on Stroud, there will be seismograph readings in Indy from Ballard and Steichen jumping up and down. If they pass on him as well, then I might start buying into the S2 crap. Right now, I think it's all smoke. It's lion season.

I'm going to work on my final mock later. At the moment, I've got Wilson at 1.2. I'll put some more thought into it, but if I'm the GM I'd take Stroud based on publicly known facts and demonstrated ability. Like Herv, they've yet to call me. Those bastards!
 
If the Texans pass on Stroud, there will be seismograph readings in Indy from Ballard and Steichen jumping up and down. If they pass on him as well, then I might start buying into the S2 crap. Right now, I think it's all smoke. It's lion season.

I'm going to work on my final mock later. At the moment, I've got Wilson at 1.2. I'll put some more thought into it, but if I'm the GM I'd take Stroud based on publicly known facts and demonstrated ability. Like Herv, they've yet to call me. Those bastards!
A lot of that “ability” had to do with one reads in college.
 
It’s not 18. That’s terribly low. Not just below average.

I think 18 is an indicator that

A) He didn't understand how to take the test
or
B) He didn't care to take the test, and rushed through it

What does that mean for his future as an NFL QB? The fact that he owned up to the test score and said "I'm not a test taker, I'm a football player" means to me that football is his focus, and he couldn't care less what people think about him.
 
Take with a grain of salt as I heard this somewhere...but sorry cannot confirm or even remember where. So, as I said, this isn't gospel.

But I heard that CJ took the test at 11 PM at night after a long day, and really didn't take it too seriously. Just sort of breezed through it without really trying.

Now...is that a character flaw in itself? I don't know. But the bottom line is he thinks his film is what teams should be going off of and found the test to be silly and worthless.

I can't say I disagree with the guy. You don't need a test to tell you the guy can cover every blade of grass on the field with high accuracy. I'm thinking the Texans will pass on him, and it will end up being a huge mistake. CJ is going to be a good QB in the NFL and would seem to fit a general WCO quite well. Great? I don't know that, but even "good" is way, way better than the **** sandwich we've endured for far too long. Don't take out your driver to make a freaking 3-foot putt. Knock it in with your putter and call it a day. Stroud SHOULD be the pick at 1.2. In other words, don't bring out the smartest guy in the room act...and I have no doubt Nick will do just that to prove how much smarter he is then all the other GM's.

:strangle:
I don't care how accurate someone is with a clean pocket. I want them to be able to process under pressure. The singular time Stroud has done this was when he had over a month to prepare for a game. When he is pressured he is bad. The S2 reflects this. It is not an IQ test like the Wonderlic. I have aced the Wonderlic. I would bomb the S2. I do not want a "Good" QB at 1.2. So you'd rather have a dirt sandwich than a **** sandwich. I say both of those suck.
 
I just like that so many believe in the S2 test, when they have no idea of what it is. Just another example of a phenomena that has plenty of data points. Groupthink.
 
Yeah, and it seems like people are just ignoring CJ's tape which shows he excels at that.

Will Levis aka Mr. Late. scored a 93, and has yet to anticipate a throw.

Oh but he scored well on the computer test. He is going to be a great player.

Thankfully, the Texans had the guys come in and were able to go through their own methods.
Read his scouting report and you’ll see he’s not great at throwing from a crowded pocket or processing his reads after the snap.
 
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