Well I'm not sure of my trades either but I think that they are a possibility. Perhaps you could come out with some reasons why each is not a possibility?
I am not sure how many mock drafts you review but most folks that mock consistently offer many scenarios.
Mine are to encourage thinking and offering some info that some may not have.
Lets look at this “trade scenario” from the perspective of an NFL owner or GM.
What is the most important position in the NFL?
Obviously the QB. By far. No other position is even close.
Hell, it’s the most important position in all of sports, period.
So, if your Caserio and you already have a franchise QB and you’ve made the decision, for whatever reason, of trading him, what do you need to do to offset your loss of a franchise QB? You must replenish that position. Period. Everything else is just window dressing. And it ultimately doesn’t matter. Picks, players, money, etc, etc. it’s in the end totally secondary to getting another franchise QB. That is priority #1 and it’s really the only priority in the grand scheme of this trade.
So, how can Caserio get another franchise QB?
It’s looking like it will be really hard to get an Aaron Rogers or a Russell Wilson. For whatever reason, I think you’d agree there. Probably not happening, but who knows.
The only other option is to aquire what you believe is a sure fire franchise QB in the very next draft. Not next year, cause who knows what can happen between now and then.
No, the priority is to get one ASAP. Never wait cause more than likely you’ll regret it. It also shows the fan base there’s a plan going forward and it shows the players currently on the team there’s a plan as well. Continuity. Plus, you won’t win without one. LoL.
This is the only priority. Everything else is secondary. If your going to trade a franchise QB, you better have a plan, using that franchise QB to get another one. The other players or picks that accompany the franchise QB are gravy but who cares. Howard, Darnold, Tua, Williams, whatever. They represent money and value and that’s great but a franchise QB represents waaaaay more.
And you know this. That’s why your own hypotheticals have Watson being so valuable. He’s a sure fire, proven franchise QB.
All that matters is getting that #2 pick. That’s the floor.
Everything else is nice but it’s ultimately inconsequential and will not have a true bearing on the outcome of the franchise.
And with all of that, we don’t even know if the QB taken at #2 will pan out. But that’s the best possible course of action with the best odds and successful outcome of this situation. HOU must put themselves in a situation where they can pivot from Watson to another franchise QB and only by aquiring the #2 pick can they make that happen.
It’s imperative that any and all trade scenarios net them that #2 pick. Everything else, including a trade with MIA for #3 doesn’t get them to their floor.
Now, I expect NC already is well ahead of us in understanding this. And I expect if and when he does finally take trade options he will consult NYJ before agreeing to any trade unless it gets him that #2 pick.
For example, if MIA wanted Watson, whatever they are offering in some capacity would then go into another trade with NYJ for #2. a sort of 3 way deal with everyone getting what they wanted and most importantly, HOU getting #2.
Along with some gravy of course.