If OB decided to send Watson to Miami for the #4 pick, that means he could essentially be trading Watson for QB, Justin Herbert of Oregon. OB would never make that move unless he thinks Big Ben 2.0 is there for the taking, which would only happen with Miami on the clock.
If OB decided to roll with McCarron as QB1 for 2020, then his focus could shift to DT, Derrick Brown of Auburn. Many consider Brown the most freakishly talented DT to come along in a long time. This decision could give OB the luxury of negotiating -now- for Miami's #4 pick and.....good lord, I can't believe I'm about to type this out......be a better position to receive a healthy return for Watson's services.
Herbert or Brown at #4 would be a solid return depending on the additional picks to go along with the move.
To clarify 1.4 belongs to NYG and Miami's 1.5 1.18 (Bears) 1.26 (Texans)but I get your point. #6 taking Herbert off the board in a trade up ahead of 1.5 and in doing so possibly beating out a Dolphins trade up.
If O'Brien wishes to move Watson he should be hoping the big three--well 2 1/2 (Herbert) need to go before Miami can pick. I believe that Dashaun is greater now and at least two seasons than Tu'a Tag & makes Watson's value higher. Now does Miami thinks so? If going for NYG 1.4 I have to get 2.36 also
at minimum. I am not looking to get a QB by trading Dashaun. If Wash takes Tu'a Tag I am on phone asking about Haskins. For my scenario it would help if Derrick Carr remains in Las Vegas or quickly goes to another team.
Yes, if we did trade to NYG 1.4 becomes an immediate trade bait. The other problem in getting 1.4 it allows Miami to pursue Detroit's 1.3 as Lions could get CB Okudah and possibly Chase Young at 5 or 6.
I always consider what we give up to get when evaluating a player. I don't think IDL is right now need for us as we are set with what we have. Discussing Derrick Brown:better than Kinslaw but you can get him much later than DB if that position is your plan; again for me it is not. OTH if you want a bull crushing, pass rusher from everywhere (think JJ Watt) I'd go with AJ Epenesa who is mocked first round but from 18sh to end of round. I saw one recent mock with him around #36 IIRC. I want another Watt over D Brown on this roster.
My priorities would be:
I.Washington for 1.2 + Haskins + TWilliams + 3.66 & 3.99(comp). Much of that as can.
II. Miami for 1.5 + 1.19 + 1.26 as this team in high pressure for a QB.
III. Raiders for 1.12 + 1.18 + OLB Maxx Crosby. I still want RB Josh Jacob but OLB better.
I can roll this season with McCarron.