Trading down in that situation is great, if you already have a QB on the roster. See the Rams with Sam Bradford trading out with Washington for RG3. If you have an empty void like the Texans, you take the QB.
You can go into 2023 trying to tank all you want. If the Titans lose Henry to injury and the Colts still suck behind center, then you can bumble to 4 wins. Say goodbye to your No. 1 pick and your future QB.
You wont need the #1 pick in 2024. You probably will only need a top 3 pick. Which as last yr proved that's what 4 wins will get you.