Think about this, the first time that two rookie QBs met in the playoffs was Texans-Bengals, Yates vs. Dalton.
Now, granted, Yates didn't lead us to the playoffs but Dalton, a dropback passer, led the Bengals there.
I don't disagree that college football is moving away from prepping QBs for the NFL by using offenses distinctly different than what most NFL teams play, I just find it very curious that in this age where QBs are not prepped, we find rookie QBs performing much, much better as rookies than in years before 2000.
This is just my personal opinion, but I think there are two factors that combine to cause this. It's probably going to turn into a very long read as well, so my apologies.
1) The demand for QBs is higher than it has ever been. But the pool of qualified prospects is getting smaller due to the style of college offenses.
College coaches for the most part have figured out that it is much more efficient to take as many decisions as you can away from your 18-22 year old players. Not only are the coaches calling in the plays but they have also created a check system in which any checks or audibles come from the sideline instead of the field. This is better for the team because a coach with decades of experience is more likely to make the correct check than a 20 year old QB. But this is worse for the player in the long run because it stunts their growth in the mental part of the game. Because they are not forced to make these calls, they do not have to understand where or why the changes are being made.
2) Because NFL teams are being forced to take these QBs, they are having to simplify their own systems so they can get these guys on the field.
In today's NFL, a coaching staff gets
maybe three years to build a team before you get the axe. So if the front office drafts a QB you need to get that guy on the field as soon as possible. You don't have time to let him sit and learn. The majority of them can not learn and play in a NFL offense right away. So you have to dumb it down for them so that they have a chance. Maybe even take some things from their college offense so that they can have some sort of familiarity.
The problem with this is that NFL defensive coaches are not morons. They are the best in the world at what they do. This young QB may very well have some early success in this simplified offense, because it makes his job very easy. But once defensive coaches get some film on them and learn the tendencies of the offense they are able to adjust. This is the cycle of football. Now the offense needs to adjust to break tendency, but they can't because they are babysitting their QB and he is not growing mentally.
That is why I think a lot of these guys are coming in and having instant success but they aren't able to sustain it. To continue to grow, the player needs to take some of the responsibility in their own development. And they can't do that if the coaching staff is constantly protecting them.