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Texans random thought of the day

For me...I can't get past the pay wall, and I'm not going to give anything to that rag.
Yep and I'd really like to support the home-town paper but it's such a disappointing publication, so inadequate.
If I can't get at it at all I go to local TV websites for Houston area news.
 
Can’t open it up
Just place "https://www.houstonchronicle.com" on the exempt list in your cookies setting.

But if you can't:

Texans and free agency: position-by-position analysis
Brooks Kubena, Staff writer
March 12, 2022


Texans general manager Nick Caserio said at the NFL combine that it was hard to believe it’s been a year since he’s been on the job. The initial roster overhaul, which Caserio has described as a “massive undertaking” of a rebuild, fielded a team filled mostly with rookies and veterans playing on one-year deals last season. The strategy wrought a 4-13 record, but it also helped improve a cap space situation that was so alarming cap that Caserio once joked it ranked 40th out of 32 teams.

The Texans now have moderate flexibility with $15.52 million in cap space, which ranks 17th according to Over The Cap, although the franchise ranks fourth with $35.57 million in budget-inhibiting dead money. While Caserio can spend more liberally than he could a year ago, it isn’t likely he can make too many splash signings with big-time free agents.

That could change if Deshaun Watson, whom a grand jury chose Friday not to indict with criminal charges, is traded soon to another team. Any trade would clear about $24 million in cap space associated with Watson’s contract, and Texans coach Lovie Smith said last week the franchise “would like a prompt resolution” to the situation.

There’s no other indication the Texans are in a hurry to offload Watson’s contract in time to hunt premier free agents once the league’s tampering rules are temporarily lifted Monday and teams can start signing players Wednesday. For now, here’s a full breakdown of the Texans roster, an analysis of their positional needs and the potential free agents the rebuilding franchise could pursue.

TEXANS CAP SPACE: $15.52 million.

Note: Texans players’ 2022 cap hit is in parentheses. Free agents’ last team and 2021 average annual salary is in parentheses. All numbers are per Over The Cap.


QUARTERBACK
Players under contract (3): Deshaun Watson ($40.4 million), Davis Mills ($1.87 million), Jeff Driskel ($1 million)

Notable free agents: Teddy Bridgewater (Broncos, $11.5 million), Andy Dalton (Bears, $10 million), Jameis Winston (Saints, $5.5 million), Marcus Mariota (Raiders, $3.5 million), Mitchell Trubisky (Bills, $2.5 million)

Analysis: Smith has said that Davis Mills is essentially “their guy” in 2022, although he walked back a little at the NFL combine by saying “we don’t give starting positions out this time of the year.” We’ll go ahead and give it out. Smith called it “a must” to retain Pep Hamilton and elevate him to offensive coordinator in order to continue Mills’ development. With other draft needs and moderate money to spend in free agency, it would make sense for the Texans to pursue an affordable veteran to back up and push Mills in training camp. Tyrod Taylor made $5.5 million on his one-year deal last season, and, if questions about his injury proneness weren’t confirmed in 2021, he’d be a logical player to re-sign. Mitchell Trubisky made $2.5 million as Josh Allen’s backup in Buffalo last season, but it’s likely the 2017 No. 2 overall pick will leverage the bullish quarterback market to land with a team as a potential starter. Think more culture/system fits like Jacoby Brissett, whom Caserio helped draft in New England, or Marcus Mariota, who’s familiar with Hamilton’s West Coast playbook and worked with new Texans tight ends coach Tim Berbenich, Hamilton’s longtime colleague, for two seasons with the Raiders.
RUNNING BACK
Players under contract (3): Rex Burkhead ($2.47 million), Scottie Phillips ($895K), Darius Anderson ($705K)

Notable free agents: Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers, $3.25 million), Rashaad Penny (Seahawks, $2.69 million), Sony Michel (Rams, $2.4 million), James Conner (Cardinals, $1.75 million), Devonta Freeman (Ravens, $1.07 million)

Analysis: The Texans don’t have the kind of “home-run hitter” running backs coach Danny Barrett says the franchise wants, and that can actually be a pretty appealing pitch to free agent running backs looking for a place where they can be the leading rusher. If the Texans make any splash signing, it seems they’d be most able to splurge at this position. The NFL set its 2022 non-exclusive franchise tag numbers this week, which averages the league’s top five cap hits at that position, and running back was the second-lowest ($9.57 million) ahead of only kickers/punters ($5.22 million). Translation: Running backs are affordable. Darrel Williams, who totaled 1,010 scrimmage yards with the Chiefs last season (558 rushing, 452 receiving), fits the all-around mold Caserio likes. So does Leonard Fournette, 2017’s No. 4 overall pick, who may be out of Houston’s league. It appears Fournette is poised to enter free agency after two years with the Buccaneers. But would “Playoff Lenny” want to join a rebuilding franchise? That’s really the paradox the Texans are facing in their pitch with any free agent: Yes, you can get plenty carries. But you also have to play behind one of the league’s most inefficient offensive lines. Which free agent will sign up for that? Is there enough assurance Houston will shore up their line in the draft and free agency? With so many questions, the Texans may find their best option at running back in the draft.
TIGHT END
Players under contract (2): Brevin Jordan ($913K), Paul Quessenberry ($705K)

Notable free agents: Zach Ertz (Cardinals, $8.5 million), C.J. Uzomah (Bengals, $6.1 million), Mo Alie-Cox (Colts, $3.38 million), Will Dissly (Seahawks, $777K), Tyler Conklin (Vikings, $628K)

Analysis: Imagine the bargain the Texans have if they trust Brevin Jordan enough to be their top tight end in 2022? The 2021 fifth-round pick’s four-year, $3.83 million contract doesn’t expire until after the 2024 season, and, even then, the cap hit will only be about $1.14 million. Jordan became an ample receiving threat late into his rookie season and even was targeted in key one-on-ones on third downs. He’ll need to develop more, but Smith complimented Jordan for being “pretty flexible” in what will again be a tight-end friendly offense. Smith did say Jordan’s not an “ideal” option at the in-line Y position — the tight end who lines up next to the offensive tackle (Jordan is best at splitting out as a receiver) — so it’s likely the Texans pursue a complimentary player who more fits that mold. It’s unlikely Houston re-signs Pharaoh Brown, who along with injury issues, was the team’s most penalized player. The Patriots valued the position highly while Caserio was in their front office, but the Texans don’t really have the budget to make a big splash signing here. Think more of an acquisition like Will Dissly. The 6-4, 265-pound tight end was a moderate pass-catcher (900 yards receiving, 9 touchdowns in four seasons) who was best used in the run game with the Seahawks. Seattle also just acquired tight end Noah Fant as part of their blockbuster Russell Wilson trade with Denver. They may not have the need or desire to re-sign Dissly.


WIDE RECEIVER
Players under contract (6): Brandin Cooks ($16.2 million), Phillip Dorsett ($1.18 million), Nico Collins ($1.1 million), Davion Davis ($895K), Jalen Camp ($825K), Damon Hazelton ($705K)

Notable free agents: Juju Smith-Schuster (Steelers, $8 million), Sammy Watkins (Ravens, $5 million), Christian Kirk (Cardinals, $1.47 million), Braxton Berrios (Jets, $644K), Jakobi Meyers (Patriots, $588K)

Analysis: The Texans were often too reliant last season on Brandin Cooks, and they’ll likely want to shop for wide receivers who can give Mills more downfield passing threats. Nico Collins could emerge as a formidable No. 2 receiver after a promising rookie season. The Texans have agreed to bring Chris Conley back a one-year deal, but there are also a few veteran options available in the free agent market the Texans could pursue to fill one of their more modest needs on the roster, particularly at slot receiver. Caserio seems to have confidence in former Patriots receiver Phillip Dorsett, who re-signed on a one-year deal, and former FCS All-American Davion Davis, who broke his leg after one catch last year, will also be back as a potential slot receiver. But maybe the Texans put themselves in play to sign an established No. 2 with a player like JuJu Smith-Schuster, who’s a risk but expected to be a bargain signing after undergoing season-ending shoulder surgery in 2021. Maybe Caserio could sneak the burgeoning Jakobi Meyers, a restricted free agent with the Patriots, away from his former franchise. The Texans won’t likely be able to afford a big name at slot receiver like Christian Kirk, and they may be more in line for someone like Zach Pascal, who, in the last three seasons with the Colts, totaled 123 catches, 1,620 yards and 13 touchdowns. Braxton Berrios, a pending Jets free agent, is someone to watch as a former Patriots Caserio helped draft. But Berrios, an all-pro kick returner last season, could crowd special teams responsibilities already held by cornerback Tremon Smith.
Players under contract (11): OT Laremy Tunsil ($26.1 million), OT Marcus Cannon ($5.2 million), OL Tytus Howard ($3.89 million), G Max Scharping ($2.9 million), G Justin McCray ($2.59 million), C Jimmy Moreland ($2.54 million), OT Charlie Heck ($1.07 million), OG Jake Eldrenkamp ($895K), OG Jordan Steckler ($835K), G Sam Cooper ($705K), OT Carson Green ($705K)
Notable free agents: OT Cedric Ogbuehi (Signing, formerly Bengals), C Ryan Jensen (Buccaneers, $10.5 million), C Ben Jones (Titans, $6.75 million), G Brandon Scherff (Commanders, $18 million), G Laken Tomlinson (49ers, $5.5 million), G James Daniels (Bears, $1.73 million), G Connor Williams ($1.37 million)

Analysis: The Texans have already taken action to bolster one of the weaker offensive line units in the NFL last year by agreeing to terms with veteran tackle Cedric Ogbuehi on a one-year deal. Ogbuehi, 29, is a former first-round pick who only played in three games with the Seahawks and Ravens last year while dealing with a bicep injury. Since the Texas A&M product has primarily played right tackle in his career, Ogbuehi’s signing signals the Texans may be poised to move on from the oft-injured Marcus Cannon, 33, whose release would save the franchise $5.2 million in cap space. Either way, Houston’s roster is top-heavy with tackles. Laremy Tunsil remains under contract. The Texans desperately need improvement along the interior. While the franchise could potentially address the need with the No. 3 overall pick with Evan Neal or Ikem Ekwonu, since both tackles also play guard, the Texans ought to add key guard free agents and could use a veteran center to compliment Jimmy Moreland in his second year. Again, what can the Texans afford? Probably not Ryan Jensen, 30, a center who’s coming off his first Pro Bowl season with the Buccaneers. Think more Ben Jones, 33, who might consider returning to Houston at a bargain after six seasons with the Titans. At guard, James Daniels, 24, could be seeking too lucrative a deal after an impressive season with the Bears. Connor Williams, 24, may be a more affordable option with potential upside. But the former second-round pick out of Texas was the NFL’s most penalized lineman last year with the Cowboys.

TO BE CONTINUED IN ANOTHER POST
 
CONTINUED:


DEFENSIVE LINE

Players under contract (3): DE Jordan Jenkins ($3.3 million), DT Kingsley Keke ($2.54 million), DT Ross Blacklock ($2.16 million) DE Jon Greenard ($1.23 million), DE Derek Rivers ($1.09 million), DE Demone Harris ($895K), DT Roy Lopez ($870K), DE Ron’Dell Carter ($840K), DT Michael Dwumfour ($825K)


Notable free agents: DE Chandler Jones (Cardinals, $16.5 million), DE Jadeveon Clowney (Browns, $8 million), DE Melvin Ingram (Chiefs, $4 million), DE Justin Houston (Ravens, $2 million), DT Maliek Collins (Texans, $5 million), DT Akiem Hicks (Bears, $12 million), DT Linval Joseph (Chargers, $8.5 million), DT Folorunso Fatukasi (Jets, $658K), DT Tim Settle (Commanders, $682K)


Analysis: Consider the defensive line the most important unit in Lovie Smith’s defense. All things are easier in the system when the Texans can create pressure with just four linemen. Houston pressured opposing quarterbacks at the fourth-lowest rate in the NFL last year, so they’ll need to improve, particularly along the edge. The Texans could spend their No. 3 pick on a premier pass rusher like Oregon’s Kayvon Thibodeaux, but given their needs on the offensive line, they could go in a different direction. Smith highly values the 3-tech defensive tackle, which absorbs a lot of double teams and also holds pass rush responsibilities. If the Texans re-sign Maliek Collins, who thrived in that spot last year, a longer-term contract with the 26-year-old could absorb much of Houston’s free agency budget on the defensive line. In what’s normally an eight-man rotation, the Texans could use another big-body nose tackle to support former fifth-round pick Roy Lopez in his second year. There are options in the upcoming draft; but the Texans could possibly make an affordable run at Folorunso Fatukasi, a 6-4, 318-pounder who may be flying under the radar after playing next to Quinnen Williams with the Jets in a similar scheme. The Texans may not have much remaining in the budget to make a big splash signing with an additional edge rusher. Jon Greenard was promising in his first year in the four-man front scheme, and the Texans could add more moderate pieces in free agency and the draft to play opposite him.


LINEBACKER


Players under contract (5): Kevin Pierre-Louis ($3.6 million), Tae Davis ($965K), Garret Wallow ($899K), Josh Watson ($895K), Connor Strachan ($825K).


Notable free agents: Christian Kirksey (Re-signed, $3 million in 2021), Kamu Grugier Hill (Texans, $2.5 million), Bobby Wagner (Seahawks, $18 million), Dont’a Hightower (Patriots, $8.87 million), Alexander Johnson (Broncos, $3.38 million), De’Vondre Campbell (Packers, $2 million), Foyesade Oluokun (Falcons, $651K)


Analysis: There’s a reasonable scenario in which Texans simply re-sign both of their starting linebackers from the 2021 season. They’ve already agreed to terms on a two-year extension with Christian Kirksey, a longer deal that rewards the veteran although he missed four games while dealing with a fractured thumb last season. Will the franchise offer a similar deal to Kamu Grugier-Hill? Though he may be undersized for what Smith profiles the position, the 27-year-old had an impressive sixth NFL season with 108 tackles, 13 tackles for loss, three sacks and two forced fumbles — the sort of disruptive play the Texans value. Grugier-Hill’s health will be a factor, although he returned for the final two games of the 2021 season after missing two with a knee injury. The Texans may not have the budget to pursue an established All-Pro like Bobby Wagner, who was recently released by the Seahawks. They could pursue another young, rangy linebacker like Foyesade Oluokun, whose his 6-2, 215-pound frame is smaller than Grugier-Hill’s, but Oluokun led the NFL with 192 total tackles with the Falcons last year. That kind of statistic might drive a higher bargain, too. The Texans may also lean into former fifth-round pick Garret Wallow, who started two games toward the end of his rookie season, or bolster the position in the draft.


SAFETY


Players under contract (3): Eric Murray ($5 million), Jonathan Owens ($895K), Grayland Arnold ($895K)


Notable free agents: Justin Reid (Texans, $1 million), Tyrann Mathieu (Chiefs, $14 million), Devin McCourty (Patriots, $11.5 million), Marcus Williams (Saints, $10.6 million), Quandre Diggs (Seahawks, $6.2 million), Anthony Harris (Eagles, $4 million)


Analysis: Considering the apparent high price of safeties in the upcoming free agency market, it may make the most sense for the Texans to re-sign Justin Reid if they’re willing to spend the money to sign a defensive back. Caserio has said he’s “certainly open” to bringing back Reid, who also voiced mutual interest in playing for Smith again. But can they agree on a contract? Reid, 25, will want a more lucrative, long-term deal. Caserio may have still have reservations about Reid, who dealt with minor injuries last year, and would probably attempt to sign Reid at a reasonable bargain. An educated guess suggests Caserio has been exploring if he’ll have comparable options in free agency if Reid’s asking price is too high. Could Caserio risk having a core player with potential upside walk? Does he intend to keep Eric Murray or offload the veteran’s contract for $5.48 million in cap savings? At that point, he’d be searching for a new tandem in Smith’s frequent two-high safety schemes. Perhaps the Texans would then spend their No. 3 overall pick on elite Notre Dame prospect Kyle Hamilton and pair him Jonathan Owens, who could continue to progress until his $895,000 salary expires after the upcoming season. No Texans safety is under contract beyond 2022. They franchise will need to address depth soon enough.


CORNERBACK


Players under contract (6): Jimmy Moreland ($2.54 million), Tavierre Thomas ($2.25 million), Lonnie Johnson ($1.66 million), Tremon Smith ($1.32 million), T.J. Green ($895K)


Notable free agents: Desmond King (Texans, $3 million), Stephon Gilmore (Panthers, $13 million), Patrick Peterson ($8 million), Ahkello Witherspoon (Steelers, $4 million), Malcolm Butler (Cardinals, $3.25 million), Casey Hayward Jr. (Raiders, $2.5 million), Donte Jackson ($1.2 million), Rasul Douglas (Packers, $990K)


Analysis: The running theme here is not to expect major splash signings. Houston afforded itself about $3.1 million more in cap flexibility by releasing veteran Terrance Mitchell, but it could be that the Texans re-sign Desmond King to play cornerback opposite a developing Lonnie Johnson while also addressing the position in the draft. But the position became a glaring need upon Mitchell’s release. There isn’t a defensive back currently under contract who has ever been a full-time cornerback for an entire NFL season. Tavierre Thomas, who thrived at slot corner last year, is the only player the franchise can have any historical security in. There are additions the Texans could seek in the draft, but they ought to make up for the lack of experience. Perhaps an aging star like Patrick Peterson, 31, who spent last season with the Vikings, would be worth signing. It isn’t likely the three-time All-Pro, eight-time Pro Bowler will drive as high a bargain as the $8 million he made on his last one-year contract, and the Texans, which value culture fits within their program, may value Peterson as a holistic addition.


SPECIAL TEAMS


Players under contract (3): K Ka’imi Fairbairn ($3.55 million), P Cameron Johnston ($2.3 million), LS Jon Weeks ($1.12 million)


Notable free agents: K Greg Zuerlein (Cowboys, $2.5 million), Nick Folk (Patriots, $1.5 million), Dustin Hopkins (Chargers, $1.07 million), Youghoe Koo (Falcons, $920K), Joey Slye (Commanders, $850K)


Analysis: The only potential change on special teams that seems remotely reasonable for the Texans would be releasing Ka’imi Fairbairn. The five-year veteran signed a four-year, $17.65 million contract extension under former head coach and general manager Bill O’Brien, which doesn’t appear to align with a shaky 2021 season in which Fairbairn was 15 of 19 on field goals and missed three extra-point attempts. By releasing Fairbairn, the Texans could save about $2.8 million in cap space. Few available free agents are any less inconsistent, but the rebuilding Texans could probably sign a kicker at a bargain while they address other needs. Younghoe Koo made 27 of 29 field goals with the Falcons last year and made all 30 of his extra-point attempts.
 
If the Texans wind up with Carolina's 1st round pick (#6 overall) and Reid's asking price is too steep, the Texans can afford to take Kyle Hamilton, which may be an upgrade over Reid anyway, and grab some o-line help at #6, perhaps Charles Cross. Charles Cross at right tackle and Tunsil at left has the potential of being one heck of a duo.
 
If the Texans wind up with Carolina's 1st round pick (#6 overall) and Reid's asking price is too steep, the Texans can afford to take Kyle Hamilton, which may be an upgrade over Reid anyway, and grab some o-line help at #6, perhaps Charles Cross. Charles Cross at right tackle and Tunsil at left has the potential of being one heck of a duo.
And how much would this improve our inside running game?
 
If the Texans wind up with Carolina's 1st round pick (#6 overall) and Reid's asking price is too steep, the Texans can afford to take Kyle Hamilton, which may be an upgrade over Reid anyway, and grab some o-line help at #6, perhaps Charles Cross. Charles Cross at right tackle and Tunsil at left has the potential of being one heck of a duo.

Grab Sauce at #3
Cross at #6
Pitre at # 80

Great draft.
 
You don’t like Cross or you have another player in mind? I’m not sold on Cross, just read that he has a mean streak in him and those are the types of players I would like on the line. I also liked what I read from LZ on him and I trust Lance knows what he’s talking about.
It's not a question of liking, or not liking, Cross. It's a question of what is best for the Texans. I choose to believe the coaching staff when they tell us they want to improve the rushing offense, they want an improved inside rushing attack and the interior offensive line is a priority.

I favor trading the #3 back to 10 - 15 area and taking OG Kenyon Green.

If we trade Watson to Carolina, I think I'd give serious consideration to Aidan Hutchinson at #6, although I have a problem with his short arms/length.
 
Now, this signing I don't like. I'd like the Texans to draft one of the better prospects, possibly Arizonia's Dohnovan West. We already resigned Morrisey.
Apparently, the Texans had no pure centers on the active roster. Doubt neither guy really stops them from drafting a center at some point in the draft, if that's what they want to do.
 
Apparently, the Texans had no pure centers on the active roster. Doubt neither guy really stops them from drafting a center at some point in the draft, if that's what they want to do.
I agree, but they won't carry 3 centers. I just googled and Morrissey's salary is $825,000 with nothing guaranteed and no cap hit. They could release him, if it came to that, and if he cleared waivers, be resigned to the PS.
 
I agree, but they won't carry 3 centers. I just googled and Morrissey's salary is $825,000 with nothing guaranteed and no cap hit. They could release him, if it came to that, and if he cleared waivers, be resigned to the PS.
Honestly, if all things were equal, I would cut Britt. I think Morrissey is only a little behind Britt, if at all, going into his sophomore year, and has the potential to be much better.
 
Honestly, if all things were equal, I would cut Britt. I think Morrissey is only a little behind Britt, if at all, going into his sophomore year, and has the potential to be much better.
Which is why I don't like the signing. But, he's been signed to a 2 year deal worth at least $9M. I haven't found details, but I'm assuming that there'll be a cap hit if released.
 
Which is why I don't like the signing. But, he's been signed to a 2 year deal worth at least $9M. I haven't found details, but I'm assuming that there'll be a cap hit if released.
After thinking about this a little, keeping Britt as a veteran back-up isn't too bad of an option. It gives the Texans the option to focus on other positions in this draft. They could still take a Center if the perfect guy is there at the right spot, but it is less of a necessity with the re-signing of Britt.
 
I think we’re seeing what the Texans believe about the OL.

They think more of guys like Britt & Morrisey than we do.

We have a new Guard, AJ Can. & a new OL coach.

I don’t know how I would feel if we go into the season with no further changes. But it’s totally possible
 
I think we’re seeing what the Texans believe about the OL.

They think more of guys like Britt & Morrisey than we do.

We have a new Guard, AJ Can. & a new OL coach.

I don’t know how I would feel if we go into the season with no further changes. But it’s totally possible
I haven't heard much about this Cann dude - is he any good?
I doubt Texans go more than two picks before we see an OL selected.
 
I think we’re seeing what the Texans believe about the OL.

They think more of guys like Britt & Morrisey than we do.

We have a new Guard, AJ Can. & a new OL coach.

I don’t know how I would feel if we go into the season with no further changes. But it’s totally possible

Caserio needs to draft a guy like Salyer or Strange if not both to fortify the ol and hope one of Howard/Heck work out at LT.
 
I'm OK with keeping Tunsil. If he wants to be here, then great. I don't like pushing $$$ forward for JAG signings, though. Better use this money on guys with a future. Maybe young, high caliber vets obtained in a trade.
 
I'm OK with keeping Tunsil. If he wants to be here, then great. I don't like pushing $$$ forward for JAG signings, though. Better use this money on guys with a future. Maybe young, high caliber vets obtained in a trade.
May have tried to trade him but had no respectable offers? I thought it a bit early and premature for a restructure, should've waited until after the DW4 trade was done at the earliest. Tunsil is gone after 2023. Would rather have drafted Evan Neal with a 5-year contract. Long term planning.
 
There is a draft between now and the start of the season. I find it highly unlikely the Texans pass on OL that can compete for the starting lineup.

i was thinking the Texans were high on Howard. Now I have to assume that’s not the case.

I doubt they look to replace Britt/Morrisey, I doubt they look to replace Tunsil.

They just signed Can & I bet he starts at RG.

So maybe they draft someone to start at RT and/or LG.
 
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