Deep Dive: A Closer Look at the 2018 Houston Texans Red Zone Woes
Tuesday, October 9, 2018
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The lack of production that the Houston Texans offense has put together this season has the team 31st in the NFL at 36.4% in red zone percentage and tied for 28th in-goal to go percentage at 50%. Despite those poor stats, the team is somehow ranked tied for 18th in the NFL with 23.0 point per game.
There have been plenty of issues with the Houston Texans red zone work and, after reading a tweet from NFL Network’s Lance Zierlein on the work the offense did last season with Deshaun Watson in the red zone, there seem to be more questions than answers.
Just found this crazy stat. Last year, Deshaun Watson was 10 of 12 inside the 10-yard line with 10 TDs and comp % of 83.3%
This year, headed into this game (and it didn’t get better), he is 6 of 15 for 5 TDs and a comp % of 37.5%
— Lance Zierlein (@LanceZierlein)
October 8, 2018
During his Monday press conference, Texans head coach Bill O’Brien discussed the issues with the red zone for the offense.
“I think it’s a combination of a lot of things. It’s not a time for us to sit here and list all the things. I think it starts with me. I’ve got to do a better job of teaching it, designing it, and then there are some things that we have to do a better job of executing. There’s no doubt about it. We had more penalties down there again. We had plays that were there that maybe the play wasn’t made and then there were other plays that we have to design better.”
With that, we looked at all of the red zone touchdowns of the Texans with Watson as the quarterback in 2017 and tried to see if there were any difference or similarities between the two seasons in terms of play calls, designs, formations and overall success. We only looked at the touchdowns that were produced and, even on missed opportunities, the reasons why were clear.
2017 Red Zone Touchdowns with Watson
Team Yardline Result Play Notes
NE 12 TD Back Shoulder to Ryan Griffin Gun, two man side, one on one matchup with TE
TEN 2 TD Speed Option Under Center, Pitch to Lamar Miller
TEN 8 TD Slant to DeAndre Hopkins Gun, Play Action to Hopkins
TEN 16 TD Deep Cross to Will Fuller Under Center, Play Action, 2-man route, Max Protect
TEN 1 TD Tecmo Bowl Run Gun, Deshaun Watson designed run, cut back
TEN 10 TD Corner Route to Will Fuller Gun, Trips Left, Smash Concept w/ #1 and #2. Fuller was #2
TEN 8 TD Check down to Lamar Miller Gun, Trips, Miller slips out after no pressure for check down
KC 6 TD Fade to DeAndre Hopkins Gun, 9 route to Hopkins
KC 6 TD Slant to DeAndre Hopkins Under Center, Play Action slant to Hopkins
CLV 1 TD Jet Sweep to Braxton Miller Gun, Jet Sweep left to Miller
CLV 3 TD Slant to Hopkins Gun, Play Action to Hopkins
SEA 3 TD ISO Lead with Lamar Miller Under Center, Lead with Fullback
SEA 20 TD Deep Cross to Will Fuller Pistol, Play Action, Max Protect, 2-Man Route
SEA 2 TD Broken Play to Lamar Miller Pistol, Play Action, Orbit Motion, Watson finds Miller
2018 Red Zone Touchdowns with Watson
Team Yardline Result Play Notes
NE 1 TD Alfred Blue Run Under Center, Two TE Wing, Bounced Run
NE 5 TD Quick Slant to Bruce Ellington Gun, 3-Man Side, Back and TE run to the flat, Ellington runs the slant
NYG 4 TD Check Down to Lamar Miller Gun, Broken Play, Miller finds room after being the check down
IND 3 TD Drag to Will Fuller Gun, Motion Back to Trips, Fuller drag across the front line of EZ
IND 5 TD Fade to Hopkins Gun, Fade to Hopkins, one-on-one
IND 5 TD Tecmo Bowl Run Gun, Designed run for Watson
DAL 1 TD Jet Sweep to Coutee Gun, 2 x 2, Jet Motion pass to Coutee
Reasons for the 2017 Success and 2018 Non-Success
There is a reality to what is exactly going wrong for the Texans in the red zone and for once, O’Brien is actually letting the world know what is going on. Compared to 2017, the Texans are making way more mistakes in the red zone. When O’Brien says play calling, play design, penalties, quicker windows, accuracy needed from the quarterback, and fewer penalties, all of those issues are accurate. That is how bad the entire group has been inside the red zone. It is just not one thing that is dooming them.
What did we see from the 2017 version of the Watson led offense? We saw a group that was much more disciplined in terms of few negative plays, either from plays or penalties. At the time, they have veterans Duane Brown, Breno Giacomini, and Chris Clark at the offensive tackle spots and even though the trio was up and down, the one thing they did not do much of is having pre-snap penalties. Watson was also much more patient in the pocket, letting plays develop.
Just this season alone in the red zone, there has been a fumble, false starts, holding calls, and a block in the back on a broken play which shouldn’t have been extended. Against the New York Giants, the Texans couldn’t score vs 10 men due to a poor angle by the Lamar Miller run, allowing a defender track him down from behind. In what should have been a walk-in touchdown in that scenario, a missed block by Jordan Thomas stopped Miller for a loss. In another instance, a Watson pass to Will Fuller would have been complete but Fuller couldn’t get his second foot in bounds in the back corner of the end zone. In one other occurrence, Watson was sacked and on the next play, there was a penalty that put the team at the NYG 25 after starting the play at the NYG 8. Yet another circumstance found Keke Coutee running outside of a Hopkins block instead of inside to get the ball to a spot on the field that would at least allow a chance to score. Finally, on one final occasion, a quarterback draw for Watson was closed in on a hurry. We can add to this pile of mistakes some inaccurate passes from Watson, a fade thrown short to Hopkins, and general impatience in the passing game, not allowing plays develop.
Play Design/Formations
There is not much that is different in terms of formations from 2017 vs. 2018. The Texans have been under center and gun both seasons. There has been no real pistol looks for the Texans with an H-Back and running back to the right or left of Watson. Play action fakes are still used but, with no fullback in 2018, that is literally the only real difference in formations.
The Texans are still doing similar concepts to last season but there are some differences in how Watson is reading the field. Either by habit or design, Watson naturally looks left and defenses seem to know this. Initial routes are being shut off by defenders and he is bailing on pass plays too soon because of it.
The Texans could design better plays at times but in the same sense, it is hard to tell what plays actually work due to the poor execution by players up front to give the play a chance. Like the chicken or the egg argument, the Texans lack of execution throws off rhythm, which has also has been a big issue for them.
What We Have Learned
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