Simplified possible Mario outcomes next season:
1. Plays good when healthy but has some type of nagging injury as last two years
2. Does not adapt to 3-4.
3. Plays great in his contract year
In 1 we get probably nothing or do we get compensation because we do not sign as we did with Dunta. Last pick in draft. LOL
In 2 same as 1
In 3, do you want to give Mario say 20+ million for the next 5 years based on his last year of performance. Say the cap is 120 million. If you divide in half, half for offense and half for defense, do you really want to give Mario 33% of all money for defense? I sure don't. DO YOU?
In reality probably no player is worth that large of % of cap. Maybe Peyton or Brady etc QBs of that caliber may be the only position that warrants that and even then it is a crap shoot because of injury.
The above is why I think IF you can get a good deal in a trade this year you do it.
It is very likely that other teams view Mario in the same way and will give nothing for him this year. I don't know. But if there are teams out that that covet him I think it should seriously be considered by the Texans.
I don't think Aso is a good deal based on reasoning above.
Just my opinion.
This was posted back in April 2011 earlier in this thread.
Knowing what we know about the cap hell the Texans were in just makes the above issue about not trading Mario last year an even bigger mistake.
The FO put the future of the Texans at risk just to keep Mario for ONE year.
Teams like New England are too smart to let this happen.
If you thought about it and we knew the numbers like the Texans' FO knew trading Mario last year was a no brainer. Again just my opinion.