EllisUnit
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Why does everybody assume AJ is underpaid rather than other guys being overpaid?
yep, i know many professions that should be paid more than these guys.
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Why does everybody assume AJ is underpaid rather than other guys being overpaid?
True, but he is currently being overpaid. He is delusional if he believes any team in the NFL would willingly pay him more than he is scheduled to make under the current contract.
The Bottomline: At this stage in his career, AJ doesn't want to go back to square 1 and start catching passes from Fitz.
Unfortunately I'm not sure the current Texans brain trust sees it this way. Their point of view is more likely in the line of thinking that AJ is the bank. Should the need arise and it usually does, if the Texans need to borrow money from 2015 and 2016 to fully pay for the 2014 53 man roster, as has been the practice the last 3 years, they've always been able to restructure AJ's contract in order to make it happen. He's good for a $5-$8 million restructure. Trading AJ takes away that security blanket. IMHO a security blanket that needs to be taken away as it is the direct result of the Texans salary cap hell.
AJ has benefited from those restructurings too. It's not as if he was giving them something that hurt him. They simply exchanged non guaranteed money for guaranteed money and both benefited.
If he wants more money, then let him "retire". If he's just tired, then be magnanimous.
Not really. For example if the Texans wanted AJ to restructure again this year, like they have the last 3 years, they could write AJ a check today for $7 million. The Texans benefit because they get $7 million in cap relief this year, AJ still gets the same $10 million salary in 2014 that he always would. So there is no real benefit to AJ.
Seems the $7M check in this scenario is a benefit to AJ.
Why? He's still getting paid the exact same salary over the coarse of the season. At the end of week 17 AJ will have been paid the same with or without restructuring his contract.
Would you rather have $7MM today (guaranteed) or maybe (not guaranteed) over the next 3 years?
imagine dre's stats if he played with at least one franchise qb.
smdh.
he's got amazing numbers for a guy who has never played with a franchise qb.
He's played with several franchise QBs![]()
I seriously doubt he wants "more money" if anything he wants more guaranteed money as in there ain't none left in his current deal.
imagine dre's stats if he played with at least one franchise qb.
smdh.
he's got amazing numbers for a guy who has never played with a franchise qb.
Couple that fact with the fact that he's never really had a legitimate #2 wide receiver to take pressure off of him and it's his numbers are downright astonishing.
Converting 10M of non guaranteed money for 2014 base salary to even 7M of guaranteed money is beneficial to AJ. Presupposing he would earn non guaranteed money is presumptuous.Not really. For example if the Texans wanted AJ to restructure again this year, like they have the last 3 years, they could write AJ a check today for $7 million. The Texans benefit because they get $7 million in cap relief this year, AJ still gets the same $10 million salary in 2014 that he always would. The remaining $3 million would be paid over the 17 week season (the cap savings). So there is no real benefit to AJ. Texans would not restructure AJs contract if he wasn't going to be Texan, so the GTD vs NON GTD is not an issue. The $7 million in salary cap relief the Texans get in 2014 is spread over the remaining two years of AJ's contract, $3.5 mil in 2015 and $3.5 in 2016. The benefit to the Texans is they now have enough salary cap room to fully compensate a 53 man roster in 2014. The disadvantage to the Texans is once again the Texans have compromised and depleted the full value and amount of future years salary caps. This is the same pattern of behavior of the last 3 years.
I understand that many fans are emotionally attached to AJ and why they want AJ to remain a Texan, regardless. However, strictly from a business point of view, it's time for AJ to go and would be the smart thing to do. A page out of Bill Belichick's playbook. AJ is at an age when all the great WRs skills begin to decline. Going forward AJ is only going to be less effective. So even if the Texans only get a 3rd draft pick for AJ that's fine. The big gain from AJ leaving in 2014 is the $16 million salary cap space gained in 2015 nd the $14 million gained in 2016. That alone will make the Texans an enormously better football team.
Keeping AJ is Coach Think. Trading AJ is GM Think.
Unfortunately I'm not sure the current Texans brain trust sees it this way. Their point of view is more likely in the line of thinking that AJ is the bank. Should the need arise and it usually does, if the Texans need to borrow money from 2015 and 2016 to fully pay for the 2014 53 man roster, as has been the practice the last 3 years, they've always been able to restructure AJ's contract in order to make it happen. He's good for a $5-$8 million restructure. Trading AJ takes away that security blanket. IMHO a security blanket that needs to be taken away as it is the direct result of the Texans salary cap hell.
I've moved on mentally from Dre. I'm not expecting him to play for us anymore.
If he does I'll just be pleasantly surprised.
And this is why the Texans are the Texans. That and they don't have a clue how to hire a competent medical staff. Until these 2 things happen the Texans will always be a bridesmaid but never a bride.
Hopefully this will be a new Texans era. Ive got my doubts though, because Smith and the same medical staff from 2002 are still employed by the McNair's.
Someone identify a replacement in 2015 draft. I don't see many but will focus on Jaelen Strong Arizona State and Austen Hill Arizona IF he is 100% after injury. 2012 was great but '13 not so hot post ACL.
Converting 10M of non guaranteed money for 2014 base salary to even 7M of guaranteed money is beneficial to AJ. Presupposing he would earn non guaranteed money is presumptuous.
AJ will play for the Texans this year. You have dc_txtech's guarantee.
Same old schtick.
Predict failure
Anything less than SB champs is failure
97% chance of being correct
Tell everybody how right you were
Except this time instead of blaming the head coach you have a built in excuse of blaming everyone around him.
You don't "replace" Andre Johnson just like you don't replace Megatron or Adrian Peterson, you hope to do the best in their absence. Maybe 2 Hopkins, a receiving TE, and a pass catching RB make up for what you lose. But it's going to be difficult to "replace" AJ.
Agree about AJ and you don't replace AJ. But the Texans have survived without AJ in the past and I'm sure they could do so again.
Until the Texans medical team changes the Texans org will always be behind the 8 ball. Clowney is another example of the Texans medical team screwing up regardless of how Clowney plays. I can say with 97% certainty that unless Clowney has those bone spurs removed that he will never be the player he could be.
Same old schtik? I don't think the Texans will be winning the SB next yr. If the defense improves a lot and they find the QB of the future I would consider that to be a great yr. But I know that it's much easier to just throw some crap against the wall and see if it sticks than to actually look at the underlying problems of the Texans org in the past and see what changes they have made to correct these issues. I understand you don't get my thought processes and am kinda glad that you don't get me.
PS, do you think that I really wanted to be right? That's crazy talk.
Someone identify a replacement in 2015 draft. I don't see many but will focus on Jaelen Strong Arizona State and Austen Hill Arizona IF he is 100% after injury. 2012 was great but '13 not so hot post ACL.
I have been saying since 2011 that the Texans would be in a decline and would continue a downward spiral as long as they continued to live in salary cap hell. The two years that the Texan did have moderate success Matt Schaub was a Top 15 QB. Compounding the salary cap problem is the Texans have taken several steps backwards from that moderate level of QB success. Some folks understand this, some don't.
The constant restructuring of Johnsons contract make his deal hard to fathom as a good one (he has a $15.6 million cap hit in 2014), but there is no reason to move him from this spot this year. Ive written about Johnson extensively on the site and its one of the most team friendly series of contracts for a superstar player in the history of the NFL.
This all started in 2007 when the Texans convinced Johnson to sign a 6 year extension for pennies on the dollar that would keep him in Houston until 2014. By 2010 Johnson realized how bad a contract this was as his salary was being jumped by far less talented players and tried to hold out, which resulted in a small raise and bigger incentives in exchange for two more contract years that would essentially block him from ever becoming an unrestricted free agent as he made the turn deeper into his 30′s as long as he remained a very productive player.
Since that initial contract Johnson has been named to five Pro Bowls, two All Pro teams and produced at least 1,400 yards in four of the last six seasons, many of which were spent catching passes from quarterbacks who were not exactly top of the NFL caliber players. Hes done all of this while playing somewhere in the ballpark of $6 million less a season than Larry Fitzgerald of the Arizona Cardinals, who has never approached the top end statistical seasons that Johnson has.
Not surprisingly, Johnson is threatening a hold out this year as he is locked into a bad deal that may see him get stuck on a bad team in 2014. Unfortunately for Johnson the holdout will cost him at least $1 million as the Texans wisely put safeguards in the contract in 2010 to strip him of a big roster bonus if he tried to hold out again and missed team activities. That was yet another concession Johnson made for that 2010 raise and it clearly looks to have been a big one.
While the Texans were never able to capitalize on Johnsons contract to shuffle enough resources elsewhere to get to a Super Bowl, they did get themselves an absolute steal at one of the highest paid positions in the NFL.
I don't think you understand how it works, AJ gets $10 mil in 2014 regardless of whether he restructures or not.
I have been saying since 2011 that the Texans would be in a decline and would continue a downward spiral as long as they continued to live in salary cap hell. The two years that the Texan did have moderate success Matt Schaub was a Top 15 QB. Compounding the salary cap problem is the Texans have taken several steps backwards from that moderate level of QB success. Some folks understand this, some don't.
From what I have read dead money amount drops significantly if he retires. Due to playing back millions from up front money.
Dre has almost no leverage here. he used the "my team is terrible, pity me" routine and has the media eating out of his hands. IMO, it has backfired with the fans who went from sympathetic to "meh.just retire then"
It's clear as mud reading section 1.11 and 1.12 here:
http://www.askthecommish.com/SalaryCap/faq.aspx
Texian is right to an extent. Cant live in salary cap hell. But after this season with a few cuts ( Myers, Joseph, Foster?, ) Texans will be around 40 million under the cap. Add another 10 million if Dre is released.
Sammie Coates, DeVante Parker, Ty Montgomery. - Unfortunately, knowing this needed to be addressed, the Texans passed on Donte Moncrief in the 3rd of this years draft. Ideally Moncrief would've been about as good a replacement you could've found for AJ.
I don't agree with this.
Nobody can ever predict the rash of injuries.
One thing you can predict is there will be injuries, every year. Why teams allocate and reserve approx $5 mil of the salary cap every year to replace players put on IR. Saying the Texans would have been a playoff team if Cushing and Foster had not gotten hurt is supposition, hypothetical, excuses. wishing and hoping.
Dre if traded reduces Texans salary cap number by $16 million in 2015 and $14 million in 2016. In addition they get $2 millionrelief in 2014 and a possible Top 100 draft pick. Sounds like a prudent business decision to me.
To me, Jordan Matthews probably comes a little closer to a potential AJ, even though Moncrief has a lot of potential as well.
Matthews shows sign of being physical, has deceptive speed and quickness (as shown at the combine.)
And he's also the type of guys that is no-nonsense.
He simply works hard and never worries about personal accolades.
(I guess being a cousin of Jerry Rice helps him in that regard. )
I would have been fine if the Texans had traded out of the first pick to get him and a future first rounder.
You can always cut him next year (assuming for a moment that this saga never happened.)
I like Matthews equally as well, the difference is I liked Moncrief's value in RD 3 #65. Matthews was long at #42.
Here is why I compared Donte Moncrief to Andre Johnson:
Johnson 6'2", 230 4.40 39 vert 11' BJ
Moncrief 6'2" 221, 4.34 39.5 vert, 11 BJ
Matthews 6'3" 212, 4.44 35.5 vert, 10 BJ
If you cut him next yr you won't get the $16 mil in cap relief in 2015. 2014 is the year to clean house in order to get better in 2015 and >.
Sammie Coates, DeVante Parker, Ty Montgomery. - Unfortunately, knowing this needed to be addressed, the Texans passed on Donte Moncrief in the 3rd of this years draft. Ideally Moncrief would've been about as good a replacement you could've found for AJ.
Of course you replace AJ or any player when they leave. The quality of said replacement may not be equal or it could become better. I am not getting caught up in this argument that we had here 1-2 years ago. Everyone knows Johnson's history and stats but one day he will be replaced.AJ will play for the Texans this year. You have dc_txtech's guarantee.
Same old schtick.
Predict failure
Anything less than SB champs is failure
97% chance of being correct
Tell everybody how right you were
Except this time instead of blaming the head coach you have a built in excuse of blaming everyone around him.
You don't "replace" Andre Johnson just like you don't replace Megatron or Adrian Peterson, you hope to do the best in their absence. Maybe 2 Hopkins, a receiving TE, and a pass catching RB make up for what you lose. But it's going to be difficult to "replace" AJ.
True, but the difference in cash available is plenty enough to go after a deep free agent class.
Now if the Texans decide to "somewhat give up" on this season, it's another story.
I get that AJ is getting long in the tooth, but seriously? You would have spent a 3rd rounder in this draft, with all of these obvious needs, on a WR to eventually replace the guy who is still putting up Top 5 numbers?
That's like complaining about a door ding when your bumper is being held on by duct tape and bale wire.
Ive been through the same situation Andres in, Driver said. You feel like you want more. Normally, the organization knows what they want and the player knows what they want. Sometimes you have to meet in the middle. I think sooner or later theyre going to meet in the middle and Andre is going to be back at camp.
...
As long as hes here for training camp, I guess thats the biggest thing, Driver said. You know these minicamps and OTAs, do they really matter at the end of the day? No. As long as hes here for training camp when the season is starting and is getting ready to kick off. Andre will be back. Its just one of those things; its a business decision that we all have to deal with. Its unfortunate.
...
Andre is here, Driver said. He isnt going anywhere...
You may not be aware that AJ is now at the same age as Randy Moss, Ocho Cinco and Terrell Owens when their skills began a NOTICEABLE decline. You may also not be aware that I think planning for 2016 and 2017 is just as important as planning for 2014. And you may also not be aware that it usually takes WR a year or two to reach their full potential in the NFL.
And if you car has dings and a bumper falling off, it's time to get a new car.