I do not see how people pick apart the top three and then look at McCarron and think he is even viable as more than a backup if they are applying the same level of scrutiny.
To be fair, there's only one of us.
McCarron's fairly accurate, makes good decisions, takes care of the football, has a fairly strong arm, athletic... not Michael Vick, but not Drew Bledsoe, He's got good size (a little thin for his height), he's played in a major conference, for a major program, produced, & lived up to expectations.
I mentioned in another thread that his numbers were similar to Bridgewater's & another poster straight up laughed at me. He didn't see a similarity between 3900 yards & 3000 yards.... even though I didn't say his passing yards were similar. Completion percentage, YPA, rating, QBR.... all similar, even though McCarron played in a tougher conference.
It's arguable that McCarron had better talent around him, considering Bridgewater had some pretty good WRs, TE, RB, & the #1 defense in Div I football, & he was playing against weaker defenses.
McCarron probably didn't have the control of the offense that we hear Bridgewater had, but I really don't know. He had enough. He made his checks at the line, didn't look to the sideline. He called his audibles... maybe he only had three plays.
The jump from NCAA to NFL is huge & McCarron will struggle like all rookies do. But his jump is not as large as the one Bridgewater will have to make. He was the QB for the #1 team in the BCS for the last three years & he met those expectations. Yes, his team is talented & a lot of the success he received was because of that, but he was a bigger part of that success than he's getting credit for. He's thrown for more yards, more TDs, & less INTs than Greg McElroy or JPW
had to. The most recent Alabama team is not as talented as the Alabama teams of yore... still talented, still very talented, I'm not denying that.
If you put Aj McCarron behind an offensive line that out talents most DLs it will face, McCarron
will survey the field & make good decisions with the football. If you put talented receivers out in the pattern for him, he will find them & get them the ball. If you put a RB with plus talent in the same backfield with McCarron, an OL with plus talent, better than good receiving options.... McCarron will do his part towards helping that team win a championship. If there was a sure thing in this draft, it would be Aj McCarron, because we've seen him do it.
So what can we do to build a winning team? How 'bout we get Greg Robinson & have the two best tackles in the NFL? With Brooks & Myers who can hold their own, then you've got Quessenberry that everybody loves... that sounds like a pretty good OL to me.
McCarron won't do crap for us if our defense returns to the "normal" 30th rank defense. I don't think Bridgewater will either. Manziel.... too early to tell. I'm willing to see how that works out, so if you'd rather we take Manziel in the first, I could live with it.
Still. I get what you're saying. I must be missing something. The professional scouts had Bridgewater going #1 overall when they thought he was 6'3" 196 lbs. They don't see the hitch in his throwing motion. They like his footwork (If you were honest about it, you know his drop back steps are in no way sync'd to his reads, so there's still a lot of work to do on his footwork at the next level). They believe he's shown the confidence of a guy who should be taken #1 overall. Manziel might seem cocky, McCarron might come across as whiney, but to me, they believe what they say when they say they're the best. I don't get that from Bridgewater. It's totally subjective, I know. If you feel like he has the confidence to lead an NFL franchise... that's fine, but I get the feeling that he really wants to say, "Well, if that's what you want."
& to be really honest, when I watch Bridgewater's games, I like his receivers a lot more than I like McCarron's receivers. Then with McCarron, I see more slants, gos, posts, & 9s... same with Murray, same with Mettenberger. Bridgewater it's mostly curls & crossing routes. Not all, but mostly. I don't think he's going through his reads. I think he's doing more like Schaub, he reads the defense & he has a good idea who's going to be open, he knows where he's going to throw the ball before the snap. Then if that option didn't unfold the way he expected, he moves well enough in the pocket to keep the play alive & find an open receiver. "Technically" the same thing, but functionally different. Not that it's wrong, but it doesn't grade the same as going through a progression.
This is not to say that I don't like Bridgewater, I do. Just not as much as I like McCarron. McCarron fits what has traditionally been referred to as a sure thing & Bridgewater doesn't. Unfortunately for him... hopefully fortunately for us, most people can't look past Alabama's success.
I like Mettenberger, his team is pretty talented too, but somehow he grades better than McCarron when two of his receivers will most likely be in the first 50 players selected.
There's definitely something out there that I'm not seeing. I freely admit that.