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NFL Random Thought of the Day

Lucky said:
Here's the key part of the article.




After paying Jones the earned incentives, the Chiefs have just over $15 million in cap space.
So as of now, the Chiefs couldn't tag Jones if they wanted to. Sure, the Chiefs could turn Mahomes $35 milion roster bonus into a signing bonus. That will create an additional $28 million of cap space. Except the Chiefs have 5 other defensive starters that are free agents, plus the starting LT, Also, key starters MLB Nick Bolton and O-linemen Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith are on the last year of their rookie contracts. And the kicker is that Mahomes is due for another $32 million roster bonus in 2025.

Jones isn't going to give the Chiefs a Mahomes deal. This is his chance to be paid and he will want to beat Aaron Donald's $31 million AAV and Quinnen Williams $66 million in guaranteed salaries and bonuses. It makes zero sense for the Chiefs to bring back Jones considering all of the other players that have to be paid.
Click to expand...
Exactly. Tags not announced until Feb 21st IIRC and if I were Chris Jones agent, I might threaten to sign it immediately which would lock it in to the cap hopefully forcing a trade quickly. They have until July 15 to rescind an unsigned tag.
 
Lucky said:
Here's the key part of the article.




After paying Jones the earned incentives, the Chiefs have just over $15 million in cap space.
So as of now, the Chiefs couldn't tag Jones if they wanted to. Sure, the Chiefs could turn Mahomes $35 milion roster bonus into a signing bonus. That will create an additional $28 million of cap space. Except the Chiefs have 5 other defensive starters that are free agents, plus the starting LT, Also, key starters MLB Nick Bolton and O-linemen Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith are on the last year of their rookie contracts. And the kicker is that Mahomes is due for another $32 million roster bonus in 2025.

Jones isn't going to give the Chiefs a Mahomes deal. This is his chance to be paid and he will want to beat Aaron Donald's $31 million AAV and Quinnen Williams $66 million in guaranteed salaries and bonuses. It makes zero sense for the Chiefs to bring back Jones considering all of the other players that have to be paid.
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Should be very interesting.

If the Chiefs re- sign Jones and let go of Sneed, Willie Gay, Caserio should be all over this
 
Texansphan said:
I don't want Jones at his price.
The bulk of his stats come in the 4th quarter of games iow, his first three quarters are downright sub par. Sure he shows up big when it counts, but those stats definitely raise my eyebrows.
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Perhaps but 14 sacks and an 84 PFF is pretty good regardless of when he got the sacks.
 
Texansphan said:
I'm leaning towards the 2 for 1 idea, that way you have some depth if someone goes out for extended lengths of time, not to mention a decent replacement when he needs a break.
We have all seen what DR and co can do with ordinary dudes - turns them into scrappers from scraps.
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Yep give me two nags rather than a thoroughbred any day of the week...
 
OptimisticTexan said:
I’m going to follow the Bears in the upcoming draft b/c their situation will be very interesting. Fields, to date has been slightly below average to average and this was mostly due to him having a decent tail-end this past season.

Will the Bears pass on a QB and get Fields another weapon in WR- Marvin Harrison Jr (Ohio St) or do the Bears try to move on from RD1 pick Fields and draft QB- Caleb Williams (USC)?

I don't think there's any chance the Bears even sniff an equal return on investment for Fields via the trade market....at this time. If I'm the Bears, maybe I hold onto Fields and draft Williams or QB- Jayden Daniels (LSU) in RD1-001. I get the feeling the Bears could improve their return on trading Fields before the deadline or if a QB needy team knocks on the door before the deadline. Fields would still be playing on the final year of his rookie contract with a 5th year option.

Personally, I think the Bears would nail RD1 by selecting LSU duo, QB- Jayeden Daniels at 1 and WR- Brian Thomas Jr at 9.
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I have been advocating Bears trading down to 1.2 picking up other pics and then selecting Daniel's and Thomas.
 
www.si.com

Jets Void Contracts Of 4 Starters

Free Agency may be a month away but the New York Jets are already letting some of their older veterans get a head start in the process.
www.si.com www.si.com

New York voided the contracts of tackle Duane Brown, pass rusher Carl Lawson, defensive tackle Quinton Jefferson, and safety Jordan Whitehead. All four starters can test free agency immediately while incurring a dead cap hit of $15.8 million.

While they won't be able to hit free agency immediately, once the period opens up in under a month, the four players will have the chance to sign elsewhere this spring.
 
JB said:
www.si.com

Jets Void Contracts Of 4 Starters

Free Agency may be a month away but the New York Jets are already letting some of their older veterans get a head start in the process.
www.si.com www.si.com

New York voided the contracts of tackle Duane Brown, pass rusher Carl Lawson, defensive tackle Quinton Jefferson, and safety Jordan Whitehead. All four starters can test free agency immediately while incurring a dead cap hit of $15.8 million.

While they won't be able to hit free agency immediately, once the period opens up in under a month, the four players will have the chance to sign elsewhere this spring.
Click to expand...
Sign me up for Whitehead for around 4 mil per yr.
 
Lucky said:
Here's the key part of the article.




After paying Jones the earned incentives, the Chiefs have just over $15 million in cap space.
So as of now, the Chiefs couldn't tag Jones if they wanted to. Sure, the Chiefs could turn Mahomes $35 milion roster bonus into a signing bonus. That will create an additional $28 million of cap space. Except the Chiefs have 5 other defensive starters that are free agents, plus the starting LT, Also, key starters MLB Nick Bolton and O-linemen Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith are on the last year of their rookie contracts. And the kicker is that Mahomes is due for another $32 million roster bonus in 2025.

Jones isn't going to give the Chiefs a Mahomes deal. This is his chance to be paid and he will want to beat Aaron Donald's $31 million AAV and Quinnen Williams $66 million in guaranteed salaries and bonuses. It makes zero sense for the Chiefs to bring back Jones considering all of the other players that have to be paid.
Click to expand...
Either way, that organization has done a commendable job keeping that Super Bowl window open three years past Mahomes rookie contract.
 
JB said:
While they won't be able to hit free agency immediately, once the period opens up in under a month, the four players will have the chance to sign elsewhere this spring.
Click to expand...
I don't think that is correct. These guys have become street free agents. They should be able to sign now. Similar to when the Colts cut Peyton Manning prior to the beginning of the league year. Manning was able to sign with the Broncos prior to the start of free agency. One advantage to signing these guys is that they will not count to towards the free agency comp formula.
 
Lucky said:
I don't think that is correct. These guys have become street free agents. They should be able to sign now. Similar to when the Colts cut Peyton Manning prior to the beginning of the league year. Manning was able to sign with the Broncos prior to the start of free agency. One advantage to signing these guys is that they will not count to towards the free agency comp formula.
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Thanks for posting as this is my opinion also. They would be just like any other player cut.
 
A terrible disease. 20% of people with ALS live five years, 10% survive 10 years and 5% live 20 years or longer. Having begun having urinary tract infections already signifies urinary spastic dysfunction. Specifically having MRSA (extremely resistant staph species) is not a good sign for future longevity. Prayers are needed for this brave HOFer.

*****************************************************

Steve McMichael improving, family hopes he can go home Tuesday
By Josh Alper

Published February 18, 2024 03:50 PM

Pro Football Hall of Famer Steve McMichael’s condition has improved enough that his family is hopeful that he’ll be able to leave a Chicago-area hospital early this week.

McMichael, who was diagnosed with ALS three years ago, was in the hospital for a urinary tract infection and then developed MRSA, an antibiotic-resistant staph infection. McMichael required a blood transfusion to treat the infection and his wife said Sunday, via the Associated Press, that her husband’s condition has gotten better over the last couple of days.

“He’s one tough guy,” Misty McMichael said. “He’s Mongo and his DNA is different! Keep those prayers coming! Thank you!”

The hope is for McMichael to go home on Tuesday.

McMichael was elected to the Hall of Fame this year. He spent 13 years as a defensive tackle for the Bears and was a key part of their Super Bowl XX championship team.
 
thunderkyss said:
Either way, that organization has done a commendable job keeping that Super Bowl window open three years past Mahomes rookie contract.
Click to expand...
Yep, and they had to give up Hill to keep the window open and do a great job of drafting finding guys like Pacheco/Sneed/Gay/Bolton/Karliftis/Hmphrey/Nandi etc... outside the first rd.
 
Texansphan said:
Any takers?
Click to expand...
No. In 2022, he had a season-ending internal oblique muscle injury. His 2023 season was worse than his 2022 season. He had residual effects of the injury. Sports activities that involve planting the feet and twisting with maximum effort is the mechanism that often results in injury to the oblique muscle. A small slot receiver like Renfrow will commonly be caught up in this maneuver. It can be a long recovery and 20% of players suffering this injury will tend to deal with recurrence.......not uncommonly repeated recurrences over a career.
 
Heyward had a "sports hernia" repaired by Dr. Meyers after the 1st week of last season. He returned to practice in Oct. He is now recovering from another surgery which he declines to identify. Most likely, he has undergone a recurrence surgery or a sports hernia on the other side or a surgical repair of an inguinal hernia (not uncommonly subsequently associated with a sports hernia).

**********************************************
Cameron Heyward is recovering from surgery
By Josh Alper
Published February 20, 2024 09:17 AM
 
With all the billions being involved, it's just a matter of time that NFL games will mysteriously go the way of the WWE........even more than they have been.

**********************************************************

2023 sports betting handle spikes to nearly $120 billion
By Mike Florio
Published February 21, 2024 07:00 PM

Sports betting is big business.

It always has been, even if most of it happened illegally. Now that it’s legal in 38 states and the District of Columbia, the money keeps going up and up.
Via Doug Greenberg of ESPN.com, the nationwide handle (per the American Gaming Association) hit $119.84 billion. That was a 27.8-percent increase over the 2022 numbers.

And, in further proof that the house always wins, revenue increased by 44.5 percent, to a record $10.92 billion.

Next year could set new records, especially with more than $23 billion in betting projected for Super Bowl LVIII.

It’s unclear where the ceiling will be. But there are still 12 more states to go, including California and Texas. If/when those states get in the game, the numbers will go even higher.

And the house will keep on winning.
 
CloakNNNdagger said:
One holding penalty in 3 SB appearances for the Chiefs! Of course, that's just chance.........
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Raiders have possible answer?
www.espn.com

Pierce: Raiders have 'Mahomes rules' for Chiefs

Antonio Pierce says his Raiders will be channeling the "Bad Boy" Detroit Pistons when they play Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs.
www.espn.com www.espn.com
In that Christmas Day game, the Raiders sacked Mahomes four times and finished with 10 quarterback hits. They also scored two defensive touchdowns, including a pick-six of Mahomes by cornerback Jack Jones.
 
As reported by Adam Schefter, Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo is being suspended two games for violating the NFL’s Performance Enhancing Substances Policy. The policy violation is related to him using a prescribed medication without having a valid Therapeutic Use Exemption.

All players (especially a vet) and their treating physicians should know that all prescribed meds should be evaluated by an NFL official before the player takes it. If the med is restricted, but has a legitimate need, the player must apply for and obtain a valid Therapeutic Use Exemption.
 
Jerry should fire the GM. OH, wait........Jerry is the GM! :toropalm:

********************************************************


Simple restructuring of Dak Prescott’s contract doesn’t solve the Cowboys’ problem
By Mike Florio
Published February 22, 2024 11:25 AM

The Cowboys have a problem. Well, the Cowboys have plenty of problems. But they have one very specific and significant problem at quarterback.

Because they dragged their feet with Dak Prescott in the past, their present entails: (1) Dak entering the last year of his contract; (2) the Cowboys having no way to use the franchise tag to keep him in place for 2025; and (3) a massive 2024 cap number of $59.4 million.

It gives Dak all the cards in the negotiations for an extension. He has the kind of leverage that owner/G.M. Jerry Jones would fully exploit, if in the same situation. Basically, Dak can name his terms.

An item in the Dallas Morning News introduces a smart wrinkle I hadn’t previously considered. Because the contract already carries two voidable years, the Cowboys could (if the contract allows it or Dak agrees to it) implement a simple restructuring that would knock his $29 million salary for 2024 down to the league minimum of $1.21 million. The difference ($27.78 million) would be spread over 2024, 2025, and 2026. That would create $18.52 million in cap space for 2024, dropping his cap number to $40.88 million.

That’s great for 2024. It’s not great for 2025. If the Cowboys fail to extend Dak’s deal before next March, he’d count for nearly $55 million against the cap in 2025 — even if he signs elsewhere.

It still might be the only way out of this mess for the Cowboys. Kick the can and hope the cap goes up so much by 2025 that, if push comes to shove, they can take $55 million in dead money for a player who is no longer on the team.

Regardless, at some point in the next 12 months the Cowboys either need to pay Dak or watch him walk away. And if they don’t extend his contract, they’ll take a total cap charge of $95.915 million in his name over the next two league years.

It’s not easy to build a Super Bowl winner with that many cap dollars tied up in one person. For nearly 30 years, the Cowboys haven’t been able to build a Super Bowl winner without that many cap dollars tied up in one person.
 
CloakNNNdagger said:
Jerry should fire the GM. OH, wait........Jerry is the GM! :toropalm:

********************************************************


Simple restructuring of Dak Prescott’s contract doesn’t solve the Cowboys’ problem
By Mike Florio
Published February 22, 2024 11:25 AM

The Cowboys have a problem. Well, the Cowboys have plenty of problems. But they have one very specific and significant problem at quarterback.

Because they dragged their feet with Dak Prescott in the past, their present entails: (1) Dak entering the last year of his contract; (2) the Cowboys having no way to use the franchise tag to keep him in place for 2025; and (3) a massive 2024 cap number of $59.4 million.

It gives Dak all the cards in the negotiations for an extension. He has the kind of leverage that owner/G.M. Jerry Jones would fully exploit, if in the same situation. Basically, Dak can name his terms.

An item in the Dallas Morning News introduces a smart wrinkle I hadn’t previously considered. Because the contract already carries two voidable years, the Cowboys could (if the contract allows it or Dak agrees to it) implement a simple restructuring that would knock his $29 million salary for 2024 down to the league minimum of $1.21 million. The difference ($27.78 million) would be spread over 2024, 2025, and 2026. That would create $18.52 million in cap space for 2024, dropping his cap number to $40.88 million.

That’s great for 2024. It’s not great for 2025. If the Cowboys fail to extend Dak’s deal before next March, he’d count for nearly $55 million against the cap in 2025 — even if he signs elsewhere.

It still might be the only way out of this mess for the Cowboys. Kick the can and hope the cap goes up so much by 2025 that, if push comes to shove, they can take $55 million in dead money for a player who is no longer on the team.

Regardless, at some point in the next 12 months the Cowboys either need to pay Dak or watch him walk away. And if they don’t extend his contract, they’ll take a total cap charge of $95.915 million in his name over the next two league years.

It’s not easy to build a Super Bowl winner with that many cap dollars tied up in one person. For nearly 30 years, the Cowboys haven’t been able to build a Super Bowl winner without that many cap dollars tied up in one person.
Click to expand...
Maybe Jerrah is finally realizing that it's time to move on from Dak if his goal is to win a championship.
 
CloakNNNdagger said:
A terrible disease. 20% of people with ALS live five years, 10% survive 10 years and 5% live 20 years or longer. Having begun having urinary tract infections already signifies urinary spastic dysfunction. Specifically having MRSA (extremely resistant staph species) is not a good sign for future longevity. Prayers are needed for this brave HOFer.

*****************************************************

Steve McMichael improving, family hopes he can go home Tuesday
By Josh Alper

Published February 18, 2024 03:50 PM

Pro Football Hall of Famer Steve McMichael’s condition has improved enough that his family is hopeful that he’ll be able to leave a Chicago-area hospital early this week.

McMichael, who was diagnosed with ALS three years ago, was in the hospital for a urinary tract infection and then developed MRSA, an antibiotic-resistant staph infection. McMichael required a blood transfusion to treat the infection and his wife said Sunday, via the Associated Press, that her husband’s condition has gotten better over the last couple of days.

“He’s one tough guy,” Misty McMichael said. “He’s Mongo and his DNA is different! Keep those prayers coming! Thank you!”

The hope is for McMichael to go home on Tuesday.

McMichael was elected to the Hall of Fame this year. He spent 13 years as a defensive tackle for the Bears and was a key part of their Super Bowl XX championship team.
Click to expand...

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As I previously noted, his UTI (esp., MRSA [an extremely resistant staph] is not a good sign. It is unlikely that this is the last we hear of this type of infection in McMichael in the future.


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Hall of Famer Steve McMichael remains hospitalized
By Charean Williams
Published February 22, 2024 10:06 PM

There was hope Hall of Famer Steve McMichael would return home Thursday. He didn’t.

McMichael will remain hospitalized at least one more night, publicist Betsy Shepherd told the Associated Press.

The former Bears defensive lineman, who announced his ALS diagnosis three years ago, was admitted into intensive care at a Chicago-area hospital last Thursday. He was diagnosed with a urinary tract infection.

McMichael, 66, then developed MRSA, an antibiotic-resistant staph infection, and required a blood transfusion.

The initial hope was that doctors would discharge him Tuesday, but that was pushed back to Thursday. It will be at least Friday before McMichael returns home.

McMichael was elected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame earlier this year. He spent 13 years as a defensive tackle for the Bears and was a key part of their Super Bowl XX championship team.

He will be inducted with the Class of 2024 in Canton, Ohio, in August.
 
Fifth-year option salaries for 2021 first-rounders have been announced
By Josh Alper
Published February 23, 2024 01:59 PM

The NFL announced on Friday that the salary cap for the 2024 season will be $255.4 million per team and the fifth-year option salaries for 2021 first-round picks have been revealed as well.

Under the formula used by the NFL, players qualify for one of four salaries. Players named to multiple Pro Bowls on the original ballot will be eligible for a fifth-year base salary equal to the franchise tender at their position while one-time Pro Bowlers will have a base salary equal to the transition tender. Players who have reached playing time benchmarks receive the average of the 3rd-to-20th highest salaries at their position over the past five seasons. The lowest level salaries are equal to the 3rd-to-25th players.

The full list of 2021 first-round picks and their fifth-year option salaries appear below:

1. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars — $25.664 million (Playing time)
2. Quarterback Zach Wilson, Jets — $22.408 million (Basic)
3. Quarterback Trey Lance, Cowboys (via trade from 49ers) — $22.408 million (Basic)
4. Tight end Kyle Pitts, Falcons — $10.878 million (One Pro Bowl)
5. Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, Bengals — $21.816 million (Multiple Pro Bowls)
6. Wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins — $15.591 million (Playing time)
7. Offensive lineman Penei Sewell, Lions — $19.04 million (One Pro Bowl)
8. Cornerback Jaycee Horn, Panthers — $12.472 million (Basic)
9. Cornerback Pat Surtain II, Broncos — $19.802 million (Multiple Pro Bowls)
10. Wide receiver DeVonta Smith, Eagles — $15.591 million (Playing time)
11. Quarterback Justin Fields, Bears — $25.664 million (Playing time)
12. Linebacker Micah Parsons, Cowboys — $24.007 (Multiple Pro Bowls)
13. Offensive lineman Rashawn Slater, Chargers — $19.04 million (One Pro Bowl)
14. Offensive lineman Alijah Vera-Tucker, Jets — $15.313 million (Basic)
15. Quarterback Mac Jones, Patriots — $25.664 million (Playing time)
16. Linebacker Zaven Collins, Cardinals — $13.251 million (Basic)
17. Offensive lineman Alex Leatherwood, Raiders — No option after being released
18. Linebacker Jaelan Phillips, Dolphins — $13.251 million (Basic)
19. Linebacker Jamin Davis, Commanders — $14.483 million (Playing time)
20. Wide receiver Kadarius Toney, Chiefs (via trade from Giants) — $14.345 million (Basic)
21. Defensive end Kwity Paye, Colts — $13.387 million (Basic)
22. Cornerback Caleb Farley, Titans — $12.472 million (Basic)
23. Offensive lineman Christian Darrisaw, Vikings — $16.037 million (Playing time)
24. Running back Najee Harris, Steelers — $6.79 million (Playing time)
25. Running back Travis Etienne, Jaguars — $6.143 million (Basic)
26. Cornerback Greg Newsome II, Browns — $13.377 million (Playing time)
27. Wide receiver Rashod Bateman, Ravens — $14.345 million (Basic)
28. Defensive end Payton Turner, Saints — $13.387 million (Basic)
29. Cornerback Eric Stokes, Packers — $12.472 million (Basic)
30. Defensive end Gregory Rousseau, Bills — $13.387 million (Basic)
31. Linebacker Odafe Oweh, Ravens — $13.251 million (Basic)
32. Linebacker Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, Buccaneers — $13.251 million (Basic)
 
NFL’s performance-based pay program rises by $1 million per team in 2024
By Michael David Smith
Published February 23, 2024 02:58 PM

Star free agents are the players who have the most to celebrate with today’s news of a massive increase in the NFL salary cap to $255.4 million for the 2024 season. But the lower-paid players at the bottom of the salary structure have plenty to celebrate, too.

The NFL and NFL Players Association have negotiated an increase in the league’s performance-based pay program of $1 million per team, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network. That means each NFL team will pay out $14.147 million in performance-based pay this season.

The league’s performance-based pay program gives bonuses to players based on playing time and their regular pay, with lower-paid players who get a lot of playing time receiving the biggest bonuses. Performance-based pay has not yet been announced for the 2023 season, but for the 2022 season the player who received the biggest bonus was Marcus Epps, who earned a performance-based pay bonus of $880,384 on top of his base salary of $965,000.

The formula that determines performance-based pay considers two things:
The player’s salary for the previous season, and how many plays he played in the previous season. Every single player who plays even one snap gets a performance-based pay bonus, but for many players (those with high salaries who don’t play a lot of snaps), that bonus is minuscule. For some players, however, (those with low salaries who play a lot of snaps), the bonus is significant.

Those bonuses will now grow bigger, by a total of $32 million across the NFL.
 
CloakNNNdagger said:
NFL’s performance-based pay program rises by $1 million per team in 2024
By Michael David Smith
Published February 23, 2024 02:58 PM

Star free agents are the players who have the most to celebrate with today’s news of a massive increase in the NFL salary cap to $255.4 million for the 2024 season. But the lower-paid players at the bottom of the salary structure have plenty to celebrate, too.

The NFL and NFL Players Association have negotiated an increase in the league’s performance-based pay program of $1 million per team, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network. That means each NFL team will pay out $14.147 million in performance-based pay this season.

The league’s performance-based pay program gives bonuses to players based on playing time and their regular pay, with lower-paid players who get a lot of playing time receiving the biggest bonuses. Performance-based pay has not yet been announced for the 2023 season, but for the 2022 season the player who received the biggest bonus was Marcus Epps, who earned a performance-based pay bonus of $880,384 on top of his base salary of $965,000.

The formula that determines performance-based pay considers two things:
The player’s salary for the previous season, and how many plays he played in the previous season. Every single player who plays even one snap gets a performance-based pay bonus, but for many players (those with high salaries who don’t play a lot of snaps), that bonus is minuscule. For some players, however, (those with low salaries who play a lot of snaps), the bonus is significant.

Those bonuses will now grow bigger, by a total of $32 million across the NFL.
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$30 m increase to the 2024 salary cap overall will put a smile on many players face. I think Nick Caserio is really going to enjoy this off season!
 
TheRealJoker said:
Howard over Nelson?

nfltraderumors.co

Xavien Howard Interested In Joining Texans?

DJ Bien-Aime of ESPN has heard from people he trusts that veteran CB Xavien Howard, who is being released by the Dolphins, has interest in playing for the Texans. Bien-Aime notes that Howard is from
nfltraderumors.co nfltraderumors.co
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I am a long time fan of Howard and have done mock trades for him several times. However at 31 years of age come regular season, I am just not into him. 2023 was not a great season for him and he was never fast at about 4.50.
It is a no for me.
 
TheRealJoker said:
Howard over Nelson?

nfltraderumors.co

Xavien Howard Interested In Joining Texans?

DJ Bien-Aime of ESPN has heard from people he trusts that veteran CB Xavien Howard, who is being released by the Dolphins, has interest in playing for the Texans. Bien-Aime notes that Howard is from
nfltraderumors.co nfltraderumors.co
Click to expand...
Keep in mind that his production has dropped significantly in the past 2 years......in those years he has been newly nagged by groin (adductor) and foot issues.
 
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