Honestly, from what you've seen, who do you think will have a better career? Why?
I believe most any CFB QB could enjoy some degree of NFL success if they're drafted by the right team and at the right time. Roethlisberger comes to mind as a med-tier QB who arrived to the perfect situation in Pittsburgh. Tom Brady gets drafted by New England and the rest is history. Montana and Young wind up in San Francisco at the right time and the rest is history. How about Trent Dilfer, Doug Williams, Rich Gannon, etc and their unexpected success.....with the right teams at the right time?
As for:
Lawrence (Jags) got stuck with a pretty bad organization. He had a pretty sub-par season that didn't really hit any consistent high points. It's going to be hard to predict his NFL success. He was drafted as a generational QB who couldn't even out perform a RD3 QB playing on an equally horrible team. This season may determine if Mills is the better long term NFL QB.
Wilson (Jets) is injured but that woudn't have changed much. He's looked overwhelmed with the Jets. This could be a much different season if he's back on the field soon enough to enjoy the pieces that were drafted to help their offense. I think the Jets are back in the QB market come 2024.
Lance (49'ers) begins his 49'ers career this season as the starter. I don't think anyone knows what Trey brings to the field yet.
Fields (Bears) appears to be carrying the Ohio St QB jinx. Bears have to get better before Fields gets better....otherwise this could be a lost investment.
Jones (Patriots) had the most success. He was solid as a starter and the Patriots enjoyed a pretty successful season with a rookie QB at the helm. Great organization usually yields great results. I think it could be Jones and Mills at the top of the heap from this group of QB's.
Trask (Bucs) is getting developed properly. He's learning behind Brady and may get another couple of seasons to do so. Trask won't be rated until he's under center for the Bucs and that could be a completely different team after Brady's retirement.
Mond (Vikings) is a bust and should start preparing himself mentally on becoming a USFL or XFL QB.....or maybe a Canadian team might give him a chance. I wonder how many times the Vikings kick themselves in the arse for taking Mond instead of Mills?
As for Mills....we haven't seen him go under center with the 2022 starting unit yet. Maybe we'll get a little taste on Friday. If Mills continues to build off the last 5 games from last season and the new offense works as well as the new pieces.....Mills has a nice chance to take another big step.