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Week 11: Arizona @ Houston

First of three home games followed by Jax and the surging Broncos. Would be nice to take advantage of the home field.

The betting action is all over the Cardinals which has made the spread drop to -4 Texans. I suppose most feel the Texans are in a letdown spot after the hard-fought win over the Bengals and with Jax incoming.

It's up to the coaches to keep the team's heads screwed on straight and find motivation. This should be a layup for the Texans but I worry about their focus....
 
Arky said:
First of three home games followed by Jax and the surging Broncos. Would be nice to take advantage of the home field.

The betting action is all over the Cardinals which has made the spread drop to -4 Texans. I suppose most feel the Texans are in a letdown spot after the hard-fought win over the Bengals and with Jax incoming.

It's up to the coaches to keep the team's heads screwed on straight and find motivation. This should be a layup for the Texans but I worry about their focus....
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I heard CJ's conversation with Tom Brady yesterday. He isn't going to have a let down game.

Way too focused.

I would be shocked if there was any let down from this team moving forward.

People will point to Carolina or Atlanta and I will just say, we win those games if Bobby Slowik didn't treat CJ like Zach Wilson and run the ball way to conservatively. Have some faith because I doubt they go down that route again.
 
Arky said:
First of three home games followed by Jax and the surging Broncos. Would be nice to take advantage of the home field.

The betting action is all over the Cardinals which has made the spread drop to -4 Texans. I suppose most feel the Texans are in a letdown spot after the hard-fought win over the Bengals and with Jax incoming.

It's up to the coaches to keep the team's heads screwed on straight and find motivation. This should be a layup for the Texans but I worry about their focus....
Click to expand...
Trap game confirmed
 
Sweech said:
They've been playing well and close all year, I won't be surprised if this game is similar.
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There defense is not the best against the pass and they are giving up TD's this year.

I expect Stroud to have a big day.

Hopefully we can get Nico back, but doubtful due to soft tissue injury.
 
I will gain more confidence in this team from a win against AZ this Sunday because of what we have been used to seeing the past. In the past, the Texans would find a way to lose to an opponent that is inferior. If we win this game it shows we can handle success and stay focused on building on what works. I'm not expecting to go undefeated the rest of this season, but I do not want to lose this Sunday and stifle our momentum.
 
corry said:
There defense is not the best against the pass and they are giving up TD's this year.

I expect Stroud to have a big day.

Hopefully we can get Nico back, but doubtful due to soft tissue injury.
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Admitting that I haven't watched any of their games, but the Cards pass defense looks confusing on paper. Top 10 in fewest yards allowed, but bottom of the league in passing TD's allowed and passer ratings. Then you see that they are BAD against the run and are top 10 in fewest pass attempts, and it makes sense.

They've only played one good QB this season (assuming we think Dak is good) and he moved the ball up and down the field on them, but as a team the Pokes made mistakes and walked away with no points on 2-3 long drives.

IMHO, this isn't a game the offense is going to lose. It will be how well they game plan and execute on defense for the Scramblin' Toddler.
 
Arky said:
First of three home games followed by Jax and the surging Broncos. Would be nice to take advantage of the home field.

The betting action is all over the Cardinals which has made the spread drop to -4 Texans. I suppose most feel the Texans are in a letdown spot after the hard-fought win over the Bengals and with Jax incoming.

It's up to the coaches to keep the team's heads screwed on straight and find motivation. This should be a layup for the Texans but I worry about their focus....
Click to expand...
I was with you until you got to "layup"

Ain't no such thing for the Texans. We should always be expecting that other shoe to drop, like it always does.
 
thunderkyss said:
I was with you until you got to "layup"

Ain't no such thing for the Texans. We should always be expecting that other shoe to drop, like it always does.
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Team is built different. If they are coached properly, this is a 7-2 team right now.

Slowik F'd the Texans out of 2 losses by not trusting his QB.

CJ spoke through the media to let Slowik and Meco know what was up.

Be aggressive and trust me.

Texans have beaten two playoff teams in a row by putting up big numbers offensively.

Stay on that lane.

Atlanta and Carolina had zero shot had we seen this Texans offense.
 
corry said:
Team is built different. If they are coached properly, this is a 7-2 team right now.

Slowik F'd the Texans out of 2 losses by not trusting his QB.

CJ spoke through the media to let Slowik and Meco know what was up.

Be aggressive and trust me.

Texans have beaten two playoff teams in a row by putting up big numbers offensively.

Stay on that lane.

Atlanta and Carolina had zero shot had we seen this Texans offense.
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DeMeco has been doing an amazing job all year long managing injuries. Most years we'd be talking about it catching up to us if we don't hurry up & get healthy.
 
banned1976 said:
The Texans were favorites against the Colts (+1) and Panthers (+3.5) and lost both games. I'm not overly optimistic given those two games.
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Home teams usually get a 3-point advantage so in reality both games were seen as a pick-em.

Colts game was early in the season. They've gone 5-2 in both actual wins/losses and against the spread since then.

And I think the Carolina loss was the best thing to happen to the team. It was a wakeup call on the offensive side of the ball.

I expect this to be a win. Because the on-field matchup of strengths/weaknesses favors the Texans. IMHO the line is only 4 because Murray is back, but it will take some time for him to get back to where he was. He threw no TD's last week and relied on his legs way too much.
 
Very scary game, Murray can ball and the Cardinals play hard. I do not feel remotely confident in a win. Especially given what happened against the Falcons and Panthers.

When you’re in a tight AFC race like we are all games are huge. From looking at the ESPN playoff machine (just released the 2023 version today btw) it really seems to me that 10 wins will let you sneak into the playoffs with a wild card and 11 gets you the division.

We have 8 games left, winning this one means we probably only need to end the season 4-3 to get in, gives you a lot of wiggle room. Lose this one and suddenly you have to end the season real hot at 5-2 if you want in the dance.

On the bright side we’ve been a great home team since week 2. Win this game and you set up a monster game with the Jags the week after for control of the division!
 
thunderkyss said:
Think about all the times Joe Burrow got out of the pocket & how many times the Texans go a lick on him outside the pocket.
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Yeah, but Joe Burrow can take a hit and shake it off, Kyler Murray can't take too many. He has to be Speedy Gonzalez out there or else he winds up like Tom the cat with a flat face from a Will Anderson pancake slam.

sandman said:
Heard on the radio while at lunch that the Texans odds/percentages of making the playoffs increased with Watson going out for the season. That made a favorable schedule a bit more favorable.
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The Browns are also in the toughest division in the NFL, all 4 teams are still in the playoff race. They are probably a .500 team without Watson, I could see them getting 4-5 wins the rest of the way.

DocBar said:
That defense for the Browns is the real deal. They could trot out Bernie Kosar and have chances to win games.
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Yeah, just imagine what they would be if they hadn't made the Watson trade and instead used all those picks to move up and draft the Ohio State phenom CJ Stroud... Their defense is ready to contend, they just need a QB worth a damn to give them a halfway decent offense.
 
Khelar said:
Very scary game, Murray can ball and the Cardinals play hard. I do not feel remotely confident in a win. Especially given what happened against the Falcons and Panthers.

When you’re in a tight AFC race like we are all games are huge. From looking at the ESPN playoff machine (just released the 2023 version today btw) it really seems to me that 10 wins will let you sneak into the playoffs with a wild card and 11 gets you the division.

We have 8 games left, winning this one means we probably only need to end the season 4-3 to get in, gives you a lot of wiggle room. Lose this one and suddenly you have to end the season real hot at 5-2 if you want in the dance.

On the bright side we’ve been a great home team since week 2. Win this game and you set up a monster game with the Jags the week after for control of the division!
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They had a six game losing streak where the average margin of defeat was 18.5 points. And that was with some garbage time scoring. They may have played hard (whatever that means) but they were not competitive on the field for an entire game except against the Seahawks.

Texans have a top 10 scoring offense. Cards have a bottom 5 scoring defense. Having Murray on the field doesn't change that.

Atlanta didn't have a real QB and they still scored 23 points when they've averaged less than 20 for the season.

Trap game? Sure. Scary? No.
 
thunderkyss said:
I was with you until you got to "layup"

Ain't no such thing for the Texans. We should always be expecting that other shoe to drop, like it always does.
Click to expand...

Well, paradigms can change. We've seen that with the Astros a couple of times and the Rockets in the 90's.

I think it was Trent Green on the call last Sunday who said (paraphrasing), "No team pushes the ball quite as aggressive downfield as the Texans". My goodness, music to my ears and I might add "when they want to". The Texan passing offense is a joy right now. The defense - middle of the pack and somewhat inconsistent.

All will be answered on Sunday.
 
Arky said:
Well, paradigms can change. We've seen that with the Astros a couple of times and the Rockets in the 90's.

I think it was Trent Green on the call last Sunday who said (paraphrasing), "No team pushes the ball quite as aggressive downfield as the Texans". My goodness, music to my ears and I might add "when they want to". The Texan passing offense is a joy right now. The defense - middle of the pack and somewhat inconsistent.

All will be answered on Sunday.
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It will be really nice if this past Sunday's run game was a sign of things to come.
 
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