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Texans trade for WR Christian Kirk

contract details

 
I love it. It's very reminiscent of the Mixon trade, where Cinci was going to release Joe, and Nick offered a 7th and made the deal to guarantee we get him. It's even better that it's a 7th next year. That's like a lotto ticket at best, so like Mixon, I basically put this into the "Free Agent Signing" bin rather than the "trade" bin—technicalities aside.

And just like Mixon, I strongly suspect we'll hear about reworking/extending Kirk's contract to make it a bit more team-friendly while adding some guarantees for Kirk.

The downside risk is minimal. He's been a bit more injury-prone of late, but in his career, he is a durable guy. That's really the only risk I see. He's 28, so he's not over the hill. He's still in his prime for another 2-3 years imho.

I see him as the primary slot. Now, let's draft Egbuka or another outside receiver to complement Nico and maybe sign Hollywood Brown or another field stretcher type....and we're cooking with butane.
 
contract details

He also has a $235k over season game incentive; not much but ..
 
I love it. It's very reminiscent of the Mixon trade, where Cinci was going to release Joe, and Nick offered a 7th and made the deal to guarantee we get him. It's even better that it's a 7th next year. That's like a lotto ticket at best, so like Mixon, I basically put this into the "Free Agent Signing" bin rather than the "trade" bin—technicalities aside.

And just like Mixon, I strongly suspect we'll hear about reworking/extending Kirk's contract to make it a bit more team-friendly while adding some guarantees for Kirk.

The downside risk is minimal. He's been a bit more injury-prone of late, but in his career, he is a durable guy. That's really the only risk I see. He's 28, so he's not over the hill. He's still in his prime for another 2-3 years imho.

I see him as the primary slot. Now, let's draft Egbuka or another outside receiver to complement Nico and maybe sign Hollywood Brown or another field stretcher type....and we're cooking with butane.
Egbuka is primarily a slot. We need to go get another X if not two and probably a y that can play all the spots such as Bech.
 
Interesting to note that the Jags are eating 13.5 million in dead money on Kirk. The 16.5 million in cap the Texans are now responsible for is basically nonguaranteed. I see no reason to guarantee him anything unless it is a truly remarkable team favored extension. I look at it as a one-year show me you can stay healthy. Anytime after mid season would be the time to extend him. We do not need any cap space from his contract.. yet.
 
Egbuka is primarily a slot. We need to go get another X if not two and probably a y that can play all the spots such as Bech.

From what I've seen and read, Egbuka is relatively position agnostic but seems more like an outside receiver to me. You study these guys more than I do, so I'll cede to your take. Bech would be another good choice if they go elsewhere in the first round.
 
For 16 and 1/4 million dollars he better be really good this year
If healthy he will be a dynamic slot receiver.

He's got the speed to run out and ups from the slot. He's very shifty and has really good hands. If healthy with an accurate QB like CJ can be if well protected I expect Kirk to have a big yr. Posters wont want to hear this but if Kirk and Dell are both healthy Kirk is the better player IMHO. BTW, I would still sign Elijah Moore.
 
I love it. It's very reminiscent of the Mixon trade, where Cinci was going to release Joe, and Nick offered a 7th and made the deal to guarantee we get him. It's even better that it's a 7th next year. That's like a lotto ticket at best, so like Mixon, I basically put this into the "Free Agent Signing" bin rather than the "trade" bin—technicalities aside.

And just like Mixon, I strongly suspect we'll hear about reworking/extending Kirk's contract to make it a bit more team-friendly while adding some guarantees for Kirk.

The downside risk is minimal. He's been a bit more injury-prone of late, but in his career, he is a durable guy. That's really the only risk I see. He's 28, so he's not over the hill. He's still in his prime for another 2-3 years imho.

I see him as the primary slot. Now, let's draft Egbuka or another outside receiver to complement Nico and maybe sign Hollywood Brown or another field stretcher type....and we're cooking with butane.
Sign Hollywood Brown and draft Thorton or TesLaa in rd 5 to develop.
 
Interesting to note that the Jags are eating 13.5 million in dead money on Kirk. The 16.5 million in cap the Texans are now responsible for is basically nonguaranteed. I see no reason to guarantee him anything unless it is a truly remarkable team favored extension. I look at it as a one-year show me you can stay healthy. Anytime after mid season would be the time to extend him. We do not need any cap space from his contract.. yet.
I bet at some point Caserio extends Kirk like he did Mixon.
 
I love it. It's very reminiscent of the Mixon trade, where Cinci was going to release Joe, and Nick offered a 7th and made the deal to guarantee we get him. It's even better that it's a 7th next year. That's like a lotto ticket at best, so like Mixon, I basically put this into the "Free Agent Signing" bin rather than the "trade" bin—technicalities aside.

And just like Mixon, I strongly suspect we'll hear about reworking/extending Kirk's contract to make it a bit more team-friendly while adding some guarantees for Kirk.

The downside risk is minimal. He's been a bit more injury-prone of late, but in his career, he is a durable guy. That's really the only risk I see. He's 28, so he's not over the hill. He's still in his prime for another 2-3 years imho.

I see him as the primary slot. Now, let's draft Egbuka or another outside receiver to complement Nico and maybe sign Hollywood Brown or another field stretcher type....and we're cooking with butane.

I think he’s gonna be great as a slot b/c he’s very shifty. I think his injuries over the years have been largely due to him being put or tried in a bigger role as a #1 than he can probably handle. He’s a good solid #3 that can step into a #2 role in a pinch when needed.

I’d still like to see them draft a young guy to play as a #3 next year & learn then take over as #2 and drop Kirk where he belongs and is best utilized.
 
I’d go Thornton Jr (RD3) and TesLaa (RD7) in a heartbeat. Thornton Jr size and speed easily makes him WR2. TesLaa is an excellent piece to develop.

Kirk, Thornton Jr, and TesLaa would be great additions to Nico, Hutchinson, and Metchie.

That leaves RD1, RD2, RD4, and RD5 to find answers for SS, DL, and LG.
 
Texans pick up WR Kirk

Texans get: WR Christian Kirk
Jaguars get: 2026 seventh-round pick

Texans' grade: A-
Jaguars' grade: C+

Kirk was once the poster child for (what we thought was) NFL free agency overpay. Fast-forward a few years to Tutu Atwell landing a one-year, $10 million deal with the Rams, and suddenly Kirk's scheduled $16.5 million in cash -- which was apparently too rich for the Jaguars since they were preparing to release him -- looks like kind of a bargain?

Kirk's value is depressed because of injuries -- including a collarbone injury that cut his 2024 season short -- which have limited him to 19 games over the past two seasons. But his per-route numbers are solid. Over the past two seasons, he's averaging 2.1 yards per route run and 2.4 against man, which ranks 23rd and 19th, respectively, among wide receivers with at least 500 routes run in that span. Not bad! Over the past two years combined he has a 65 open score in our receiver tracking metrics (good), though poor catch and YAC scores (29 each).

Houston had a real need at wide receiver with Stefon Diggs becoming a free agent and Tank Dell recovering from a serious knee injury that just required another surgery. Kirk played mostly in the slot in Jacksonville, but that's just fine working alongside Nico Collins (Diggs played from the slot 43% of the time last season). Meanwhile, the Jaguars must hang on to Gabe Davis and his $11.5 million in guaranteed money this season, but he's a downgrade as a WR2 behind Brian Thomas Jr.

It might seem odd to give praise to Houston, as it dealt a pick for a player who was about to be cut. But given the number of teams that need or at least could use a wide receiver, and how much cap space NFL teams have, in a couple of weeks I think we might look back at Kirk's contract as bit of a bargain that the Texans were smart to scoop up. -- Walder

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6181925/2025/03/06/christian-kirk-trade-grade-texans-jaguars/

Texans trade grade: Sure, why not?

Kirk can make up to $16.5 million in the final year of his contract, which is a perfectly reasonable amount for a second receiver.

After the Rams rewarded Tutu Atwell earlier in the day with a one-year, $10 million contract, it can be reasonably expected Kirk would have drawn something comparable to his original terms on the open market. And really, he may have drawn a deal with guaranteed money into the second year.

Kirk’s injuries are a concern, but he’s still in his prime. If he’s healthy, this will wind up being a solid acquisition for Houston. The Texans should still be in the receiver market after this, though.

Jaguars trade grade: It’s something…

Sure, it’s nice to recoup a pick for a player who was going to be released. It’s essentially free money.

This one comes with more risk, though, as the Texans wrestled away the AFC South from the Jaguars over the past two seasons. It’s curious for the Jaguars to send a good player to the team they’re chasing when the late-round future draft compensation won’t pay dividends for at least a couple of seasons, if at all. (Or, the pick could give the Jags an extra trade chip to move up the board next month.)

Maybe Kirk would have wound up with the Texans after his release anyway. Maybe he would have even signed for less money than he’s owed on the balance of his current deal, meaning they could have saved the cap space by holding onto their pick. And maybe the Jaguars aren’t set up to make a run at the division title in 2025 either way.

But if Kirk becomes an AFC South nemesis or even burns the Jags a few times in 2025, this one could sting in Jacksonville.
 
If healthy he will be a dynamic slot receiver.

He's got the speed to run out and ups from the slot. He's very shifty and has really good hands. If healthy with an accurate QB like CJ can be if well protected I expect Kirk to have a big yr. Posters wont want to hear this but if Kirk and Dell are both healthy Kirk is the better player IMHO. BTW, I would still sign Elijah Moore.
Last night on the radio Kirk was getting great review.
 
We need to grab the best interior offensive lineman available in round 1..

That’s going to be LG- Donovan Jackson (Ohio State). Texans may not have to pick him RD1-025, but could trade back in RD1 and pickup a RD4 pick. It’s hard to say if Jackson wouldn’t get selected towards the end of RD1 b/c the teams back there could use a solid LG. Hail, I’d be fine selecting him at 25 b/c he’s going to be a solid Day 1 starter that would help give the left side some running room.
 
Similar to the Mixon deal getting a plus level starter before they can hit the market. Obviously gotta stay healthy but that goes for anyone else. Will fill that Diggs role as a quality starter opposite Nico that can get open quickly for CJ.

We’ll see on the contract (don’t think he’ll stay on a 1 year 16ish million deal) but a 7th is nothing to get a high end WR2.
 
Just saw we're paying Gladstone with the pick the Rams gave us!

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