Texans random thought of the day

[steelbtexan]

I don't get the lower projection for the defense: 19 Ints goes to 13.5, and 49 sacks goes to 42.8. One would think between the youth on the defense and another year in the system you'd expect those numbers to go up if anything.

Yep having 2nd string edges like Barnett and Taylor bode well for a rested pass rushing group later in games so the sack numbers should go up.

The int rate definitely shouldn't go down because adding CGJ who's a playmaker should only make the defense better IMHO.

 

[Porky]

It feels like they consider 2024 a fluke year. those projections would represent a return to the mean.

I don’t think 2024 was some kind of fluke. While those projections aren’t outlandish, id say they are on the lower end of reasonable.

 

[Lucky]

I don't get the lower projection for the defense: 19 Ints goes to 13.5, and 49 sacks goes to 42.8. One would think between the youth on the defense and another year in the system you'd expect those numbers to go up if anything.

The defensive numbers are down across the league in this projection. The most projected INTs were 14.2 by the Lions. The most sacks projected was 43.5 by the Vikings. Everything was squeezed towards the middle in these projections. I would not put a lot of faith in these numbers.

 

[Lucky]

Atleast to begin the yr I expect the OL to look like this, LT/Andrews/Howard. By the end of the yr it could look like this Ersery/Andrews/Patterson. Good news is either way the OL will be smarter when it comes to picking up stunts/games.

Of course injuries will play a big part on who's on the field. Let's look at the players most likely to make the roster on the O-line.

Trent Brown - Missed 39 games over past 5 seasons
Tytus Howard - Missed 23 games over 6 year career
Juice Scruggs - Missed 14 games over his 2 seasons
Jarrett Patterson - Missed 12 games over his 2 seasons
Jake Andrews - Missed entire 2024 season
Cam Robinson - Missed 7 games in 2023
Blake Fisher - Missed 2 games in rookie season
Laken Tomlinson - Missed 1 game over his 10 year career
Ed Ingram - Missed 3 games over 3 year career
Aireontae Ersery - Injured in final college game

I'm not predicting injuries. I'm just saying their will be injuries. The good news is that there should be enough depth to keep a reliable group on the field.

 

[CloakNNNdagger]

I'm hoping the OL will be better next season because I expect Fisher to be an upgrade and I expect Ersery to be playing some OG. I also like Andrews to be an upgrade at C because he knows the system. Atleast to begin the yr I expect the OL to look like this, LT/Andrews/Howard. By the end of the yr it could look like this Ersery/Andrews/Patterson. Good news is either way the OL will be smarter when it comes to picking up stunts/games.

My concern is related to Andrews. Last TC with the Pats, he tore his knee meniscus.. But it was not the typical type of meniscus tear...................it was multiple tears of his meniscus (classified as a complex tear). Part of the tear was in the "white zone," a area of the meniscus that has essentially no potential for healing, with or without repair.

 

[CloakNNNdagger]

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