Texans random thought of the day

[steelbtexan]

I don't get the lower projection for the defense: 19 Ints goes to 13.5, and 49 sacks goes to 42.8. One would think between the youth on the defense and another year in the system you'd expect those numbers to go up if anything.

Yep having 2nd string edges like Barnett and Taylor bode well for a rested pass rushing group later in games so the sack numbers should go up.

The int rate definitely shouldn't go down because adding CGJ who's a playmaker should only make the defense better IMHO.

 

[Porky]

It feels like they consider 2024 a fluke year. those projections would represent a return to the mean.

I don’t think 2024 was some kind of fluke. While those projections aren’t outlandish, id say they are on the lower end of reasonable.

 

[Lucky]

I don't get the lower projection for the defense: 19 Ints goes to 13.5, and 49 sacks goes to 42.8. One would think between the youth on the defense and another year in the system you'd expect those numbers to go up if anything.

The defensive numbers are down across the league in this projection. The most projected INTs were 14.2 by the Lions. The most sacks projected was 43.5 by the Vikings. Everything was squeezed towards the middle in these projections. I would not put a lot of faith in these numbers.