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Texans Playoff Picture
- Thread starter Marshall
- Start date
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
Right. I was just about to answer that.
You are extremely positive which is a good thing in my opinion.
Saying that, this team isn't winning out.
I picked them to go 10-6 at the beginning of the year. It all rides on the Cincy game.
Thorn
Dirty Old Man
Of course, I say that and then realize that I've just totally jinxed us.
At least we know who to blame now.
MistaRed
Rookie
Always have fun messing with this thing. The first simulation I did had the Texans as a number 2 seed.
I got the Colts losing to the Browns (hopefully they'll be better with Josh Gordon), Texans, & Cowboys, finishing 9-7.
We lose to the Titans, but finish 10-6.
Just ran a scenario without any cherrypicking where we finish 5-1, dropping week 15 at Indy.
Indy finishes first at 11-5. We finish 10-6 and grab a wild card with tiebreakers over Cleveland & Miami.
Actually seems encouraging given how bleak things were pre-6'7" savior.
Indy finishes first at 11-5. We finish 10-6 and grab a wild card with tiebreakers over Cleveland & Miami.
Actually seems encouraging given how bleak things were pre-6'7" savior.
I had us winning all the games left and had the Colts lose to us and the Browns, which would explain why the Texans would be hosting the Colts here at NRG.
So our record would be 11-5 and theirs would be 10-6.
HOU-TEX
Ah, Football!
Boy, the Kool-Aid's flowing around here after one game with the new QB. Does he look the part? Sure, but there have been many QBs start their 1st game, ball out then eventually **** the bed.
I was thinking 7-9 before the season started. I think we have a good chance to surpass that to 8-8, but playoffs? Nah
I'm not even certain I'm cautiously optimistic. Maybe cautiously cautious
I was thinking 7-9 before the season started. I think we have a good chance to surpass that to 8-8, but playoffs? Nah
I'm not even certain I'm cautiously optimistic. Maybe cautiously cautious
I'm optimistic about Mallett, but it's more of a long-term optimism.
I'm still keeping in mind where this team came from, so anything 7-9 or better is an improvement with new coaching staff.
Not that I won't be stoked if they start stringing some wins together! If they beat the Bengals, I think there is a chance they could be 8-5 when they face Indy, especially considering how the Jags and Titans have looked this season.
When the season started, I was actually thinking 9-7 with a shot at the play offs. It's a weak schedule.
What I had hoped for was whatever it takes to get in. whether that's 10-6 or 11-5. I like how OB made the QB change because we were starting to fall too far behind the Colts.
HOU-TEX
Ah, Football!
Colts remaining schedule is fairly weak. Even if we win the next 3, all is moot if we don't beat the Colts. When was the last time we beat the Colts in Indy again?
Colts remaining schedule:
Jags
Redskins
Browns
Texans
Cowboys
titans
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
Prior to the season starting, I was expecting 6-10 this season.
Now? We're 5-5 with 3 games coming up against the Titans and Jags. The Titans and Jags are going to play us hard and they're going to be difficult to beat but I expect us to beat them.
I'm already psyched about how well the team has played and I expect us to end up at least 8-8, which is 2 games better than I expected.
But.
I'm also really psyched about Mallett. I won't deny that. I think he gives us that final piece we needed. Besides winning those games against the Titans and Jags, I expect us to win at least 2 of the other three games on our schedule.
So I'm kinda expecting 10-6 at this point and I think 11-5 is possible Am I drinking the kool-aid? Yeah, but so what. That's why I'm a fan. It's mid/late-November and we're in the hunt for a playoff spot. Having hope and getting excited is what it's all about.
Now? We're 5-5 with 3 games coming up against the Titans and Jags. The Titans and Jags are going to play us hard and they're going to be difficult to beat but I expect us to beat them.
I'm already psyched about how well the team has played and I expect us to end up at least 8-8, which is 2 games better than I expected.
But.
I'm also really psyched about Mallett. I won't deny that. I think he gives us that final piece we needed. Besides winning those games against the Titans and Jags, I expect us to win at least 2 of the other three games on our schedule.
So I'm kinda expecting 10-6 at this point and I think 11-5 is possible Am I drinking the kool-aid? Yeah, but so what. That's why I'm a fan. It's mid/late-November and we're in the hunt for a playoff spot. Having hope and getting excited is what it's all about.
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
We're due.
HOU-TEX
Ah, Football!
Kinda like the Bengals are due, huh?
No! The Bengals aren't due! They have a soulless ginger Romulan as QB. Their franchise has at least been to Super Bowls in their history...granted, 30 years go, and they lost...but still....
Honestly, if this team finished 8-8 but beat the Colts at Indy, I'd consider it a solid season, all things considered.
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
Kinda like the Bengals are due, huh?
Not even close.
I will become the biggest Cowboys fan on earth if we need that game.
barrett
All Pro
This little tool is too much fun. I look forward to it every year!
Hard to say I'd be rooting for Dallas.
Assuming that game becomes hugely pivotal I'll be rooting for both teams to projectile **** their respective beds, with Indy managing to get that extra necessary drizzle or so on the floor that ultimately helps our cause.
I could care less about the last time. I'm talking about the next time (even if it is the first time
)Agreed. Not looking pretty for us. But hopefully that good Browns team that was supposed to play us show up. Then the Cowboys. & maybe they take the Titans lightly... who knows?
My hope coming into the season was that we'd be playing the Jags & they'd be playing the Titans for the division lead.
Giant Tiger
Veteran
This is what I'm thinking, too. We won't win the division & KC probably gets one wild card, so there's only 1 spot left. The problem is Cincinnati's tie game may as well be a win. If we lose the tie-breaker against Pittsburgh, we need them to win the division. So we really have to win out to get in... and this is only against the North; haven't even looked at San Diego & Miami yet.
That division is going to beat each other up.
I would be more worried about Miami.
If the Texans go 10-6 they will get in.
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
I went through the playoff machine a few different times, picking teams different ways, and there are still several scenarios that allow us to get in even if we lose more than a game or two. I saw one scenario where we got in at 9-7 in the 6th seed.
Miami is going to lose at least 2 more conference games, perhaps 4
yeah, but Peyton usually bounces back from a loss like that to dominate the next game
Giant Tiger
Veteran
You're right about that division. The problem is we're 1 1/2 games behind Cincinnati; may as well be 2 games. Plus we need Pittsburgh to win the division. I haven't even looked at Miami yet. We'll need help & lots of luck in other games to get in
You're right about that division. The problem is we're 1 1/2 games behind Cincinnati; may as well be 2 games. Plus we need Pittsburgh to win the division. I haven't even looked at Miami yet. We'll need help & lots of luck in other games to get in
I don't tend to look at the now situation.
The Texans can only control themselves.
If they win 5 more games, they will get in.
Cincy has an absolute killer schedule. They aren't getting in if they lose to the Texans.
TEXANRED
Texan-American
Texans control their own destiny. If the Texans win out and we end up with the same win loss total the Texans win the division. We have a 4-2 in conference record and the Colts are 5-3.
Common opponents comes before conference record, and we'll lose that one unless Indy really turns to ****
paycheck71
Hall of Fame
That playoff machine is pretty cool. I like the Texans chances if they can go 10-6.
The first time I went through, I had them win out and go 11-5 (on purpose), with the other games having "reasonable" results in my opinion. That had the Texans as the #2 seed.
Then I had them lose to the Colts and go 10-6. There was a 3 way 10-6 tie with the Texans somehow winning he tie break. Messing with the results, there were other 10-6 3 way tie scenarios that the Texans would win. The key is the BAL game in these situations.
9-7 is going to be tough to get in, but still possible if they get lucky with other results.
The first time I went through, I had them win out and go 11-5 (on purpose), with the other games having "reasonable" results in my opinion. That had the Texans as the #2 seed.
Then I had them lose to the Colts and go 10-6. There was a 3 way 10-6 tie with the Texans somehow winning he tie break. Messing with the results, there were other 10-6 3 way tie scenarios that the Texans would win. The key is the BAL game in these situations.
9-7 is going to be tough to get in, but still possible if they get lucky with other results.
What's wrong with crazy? This team has found a spark. Another win against a winning team this Sunday can build momentum. And football is a game of momentum.
Texan_Bill
Hall of Fame
I don't mean to be this guy:
The Texans have no chance this year at anything, other than maybe, "MAYBE being 8-8, 9-7 (at best)".
That said, they're not that far off.
The Texans have no chance this year at anything, other than maybe, "MAYBE being 8-8, 9-7 (at best)".
That said, they're not that far off.
I don't mean to be this guy:
The Texans have no chance this year at anything, other than maybe, "MAYBE being 8-8, 9-7 (at best)".
That said, they're not that far off.
On the right track again?
Hopefully going in the correct direction this time
You've got it. The Texans have to win the 2 Jags games and the Titans. Then 2of 3 of the Bengals, Colts, and Ravens games. Not out of the question.
TexansLucky13
53d Signal Batt
Thank you Raiders!
Marshall
Not pretty, but ALIVE!
Yes, unfortunately...
Marshall
Not pretty, but ALIVE!
The difference is WITHIN THE DIVISION
Tie beaker for wildcard is slightly different and may be the source for your confusion.