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Ah, I see. This makes sense and is probably exactly what the team is betting on.
Best case scenario: Dunta agrees to a contract extension before the free agency period begins.
Worst case scenario: Dunta tests the market and gets a big offer from another team
Middle scenario: The Texans engender some good will on Dunta's part by not tagging him and letting him test the market only for him to recognize that the team made him a very good offer, one that he should probably accept.
He's probably asking to not be franchised becasue he knows how much spending money The Texans have. I say tag him, especially if this deal ends up meaning you can't shore up some depth areas for the team or even get a starter because his deal is so big.
I really think Bob is just a more hands off owner. He may dictate what kind players he wants in the organization, but that seems like the rest of it is handled by his GM.
Just my thoughts really.
My gut instinct tells me it's partly about the money but mostly about the acknowledgment of the kind of player he is and his desire to be wooed. He'll get paid regardless, but franchising him could sour him on the organization. The front office has its finger on the pulse so I trust they know what they're doing wrt Dunta's mindset. I can't imagine they'd take the risk of letting him walk without anything in return unless they had a good idea that either 1) their offer is the best; and/or 2) Dunta wants to play for this organization but wants to be wined and dined first.
Just pay the man!
My main reasoning, on this subject, is that Bob desired to keep David Carr for $8 million for one more year JUST to see of Kubiak could indeed turn him around. There's no question that Dunta, at worst, still brings a fairly solid set of skills to the defense each game. How much more would McNair be inclined to keep Dunta a Texans?
Although Dunta is not an ooverall #1 pick, at the QB position, he is still a very valuable piece of this team (and not just as a CB, but also as a mainstay on a defense that he and DeMeco have been holding together).
I can see that Rick Smith is probably getting more slack than he had when he first came here. but I somehow doubt that Dunta Robinson's future as a Texans player rests in the hands of just Kubiak and Smith.
I actually think that it's THIS sort of deal that causes Bob to jump into the fray and get involved from his ownership standpoint with player personnel.
I can see him having a pretty important hand in what's going down with Dunta Robinson. Now, if it's any of the other 50+ players on the roster that's considering walking...I see him poking his nose into it ever-so-slightly but not with the vigor that you would with a David Carr/Matt Schaub, or AJ, or Mario.
What sucks is that some desparate team out there can throw insane dough at Dunta, and it puts our backs against the wall. Which is why tagging Dunta makes the most sense: You gotta' get something for him, no matter what.
What's funny is that I only see a desparate team signing Dunta as long as there are no high-value compensation obstacles in place. But if we slap the ultimate tag on him? Nobody will (A) Pay him a lot of money, and (B) Give up the compensatory picks that's part of the deal.
While he might be at a cross-roads in his own career, as well as his value to us as a player on the Texans, I think we ought to tag him.
Apologies, I don't want to read the whole thread. Any updates on the tag and Dunta?
I can easily see him putting his hand in on David Carr (First player ever drafted, franchise QB, bringing in QB coach etc etc), but I don't know about Dunta. It's an obvious possibility that he is saying "Don't you franchise Dunta if he doesn't sign a deal you let him go", but boy howdy I would hope that he listens to a lot of what Rick Smith has to say before he puts out a bottom line like that.
At least we'll know by the end of the week what the scoop is.
I would think Rick Smith would be the one being the most stingy with the money.
What is the drop dead date the 27th ? Would you trade him straight up for Oakland's Micheal Bush ? Draft a CB early ? Do a sign and trade.
What is the drop dead date the 27th ? Would you trade him straight up for Oakland's Micheal Bush ? Draft a CB early ? Do a sign and trade.
What is the drop dead date the 27th ? Would you trade him straight up for Oakland's Micheal Bush ? Draft a CB early ? Do a sign and trade.
If we tag him it costs us 10m next year against the cap. I believe we give him what he wants (22m bonus), but load it up front, essentially using what the 2009 tag cost will be for a sizeable piece of the guaranteed money (bonus). For example, make it Chris Gamble-esque - 6 year contract at 50m = and average 8.33m per year:
Year 1 (2009) - 2m contract + 9m bonus = 11m
Year 2 (2010) - 2m contract + 9m bonus = 11m
Year 3 (2011) - 3m contract + 5m bonus (bonus is eaten)= 8m
Year 4 (2012) - 6.67m contract
Year 5 (2013) - 6.67m contract
Year 6 (2014) - 6.67m contract
We would need to eat up that bonus, in my opinion, in the first three years of the contract due to the following - 2011 is when Mario and Slaton are FAs, Schaub & D. Brown become FAs in 2012, Winston in 2013. This would give us some flexibilty and be able to cut bait and run should Dunta have lingering issues. The math makes sense, it will be whether Mr. McNair wants to pony up the dollars to a fellow USC alum and team leader in my opinion.
Of course who knows what the new CBA will hold, should it even be extended, amended or blown up.
See jack? Tomorrow at 3. Stop worrying. They are in the thick of the negotiations. Start worrying tomorrow at 2pm. That's a good time to worry. For now, just let the guys do their job. Tomorrow we can judge. Today we can speculate. How lame. Tomorrow, tomorrow, it's only a day a way....
Dun-ta will come out, tomorrow.
Bet McNairs last dollar, tomorrow.
He'll be signed.....
Just thinking about, tomorrow....
(to the theme from annie)
If we tag him it costs us 10m next year against the cap. I believe we give him what he wants (22m bonus), but load it up front, essentially using what the 2009 tag cost will be for a sizeable piece of the guaranteed money (bonus). For example, make it Chris Gamble-esque - 6 year contract at 50m = and average 8.33m per year:
Year 1 (2009) - 2m contract + 9m bonus = 11m
Year 2 (2010) - 2m contract + 9m bonus = 11m
Year 3 (2011) - 3m contract + 5m bonus (bonus is eaten)= 8m
Year 4 (2012) - 6.67m contract
Year 5 (2013) - 6.67m contract
Year 6 (2014) - 6.67m contract
We would need to eat up that bonus, in my opinion, in the first three years of the contract due to the following - 2011 is when Mario and Slaton are FAs, Schaub & D. Brown become FAs in 2012, Winston in 2013. This would give us some flexibilty and be able to cut bait and run should Dunta have lingering issues. The math makes sense, it will be whether Mr. McNair wants to pony up the dollars to a fellow USC alum and team leader in my opinion.
Of course who knows what the new CBA will hold, should it even be extended, amended or blown up.
I like the idea but there is a problem with it. Front-loading a contract makes it very likely that a player will become dissatisfied with his contract and demand a new deal later. Particularly if the player has been in the league and paid well, holdouts can become a tool- or the threat of retirement. I know that looking at the contract as a whole, it would seem obnoxious. But, let's say that in 4 years contracts for top level talent are something like $15 million per year. If Dunta is playing at an elite level but getting only 40% of what other top players are getting, it would be a problem.
I like the idea but there is a problem with it. Front-loading a contract makes it very likely that a player will become dissatisfied with his contract and demand a new deal later. Particularly if the player has been in the league and paid well, holdouts can become a tool- or the threat of retirement. I know that looking at the contract as a whole, it would seem obnoxious. But, let's say that in 4 years contracts for top level talent are something like $15 million per year. If Dunta is playing at an elite level but getting only 40% of what other top players are getting, it would be a problem.
So can we actually sign Robinson right now or do we have to first decide on the franchise tag?
The fire boiling the frog just got turned up. 43 million. Y'all better love Robinson to death. I don't wanna see no bitchin' next fall if it don't work out and the sell the farm for him. I wonder how much John McClain is going to pitch in to help McNair out with the contract ?
Here we are on franchise tag eve, and not a creature was stirring - except for the crickets chirping in the Texans contract negotiation center.
I'm sure they're all very busy with contracts and combine and draft prep and stuff, but there's not exactly a lot of information coming out of Reliant Park these days.
But not all is quiet around the league.
The latest domino to fall was Colts cornerback Kelvin Hayden, who according to Adam Schefter, just received a new five-year, $43 million contract that includes $22.5 million in guaranteed money. Cha ching.
Just a few days ago, the Colts were talking about franchising Hayden.
Hayden's signing is certainly another (timely) benchmark for the Dunta Robinson negotiating team.
In November, the Panthers signed Chris Gamble to a six-year, $53 million contract that includes $23 million worth of guarantees.
I'm sure Dunta thinks he's worth every bit as much as Gamble and Hayden, even though he wasn't back to his pre-injury form by the end of the 2008 season.
Only time will tell if the Texans think the same. But time is getting very short.
Tomorrow at 3 p.m. CST is the deadline for teams to assign franchise tags to players that will otherwise become unrestricted free agents on February 27.
If the Texans don't tag Robinson tomorrow, then one of two things will happen:
1. The Texans will sign him to a new contract by the February 26th, or
2. He's gone.
I don't think Dunta will be back with the Texans once he gets out there and starts entertaining offers from other teams.
Looks like Kelvin Hayden set the bar pretty dang high
http://blogs.nfl.com/2009/02/18/cb-hayden-colts-strike-five-year-43-million-deal/
5 years 43 million 22.5 million guaranteed.
I know they are now required to pay him just under $10M for next year. If they reach a long-term agreement, does that void the $10M amount for 2009 and would the new contract take over?
I know they are now required to pay him just under $10M for next year. If they reach a long-term agreement, does that void the $10M amount for 2009 and would the new contract take over?
I don't understand this, "he was playing at a pro-bowl level before the injury" stuff. I think he was playing at an NFL starter level, but not pro-bowl level. I don't think he's ever been a pro-bowl corner. His coverage skills are very poor. He's our best tackler....... he use to hit like a Mack Truck, and he shut down the outside edge for any running back in the game......
That spells strong safety to me.
But, IMHO, if the Texans are close to giving him $20 million gauranteed, if that's what they think he is worth, I can't see them not closing the deal on $23 million.
If they are still at a stale mate, the Texans have got to be closer to $17 million.
we need corner backs and he is our best one, people dont throw to him and when they do he makes picks and tackles....
we need corner backs and he is our best one, people dont throw to him and when they do he makes picks and tackles....