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Mario movement rumors (MERGED) Signs with Buffalo $100 million

There is nothing idiotic about getting paid a year early. It increases the likelihood of a second, large contract. It reduces risk and offers certainty.

How is it idiotic for Barwin to agree to receive an extra $5-$10 million in 2012 than to receive that money years later?

scenario one... play out contract and then sign a 5 year deal

2012- $600,000
2013- 5 yrs and $35 million ($10 million signing bonus)

Barwin makes $35,600,000 between now and 2018. His cap hit between 2013 and 2017 averages $7 million per year.

scenario two... take a new deal this year
2012- 6 years and $33 million ($10 million signing bonus)

Barwin makes $33 million between now and 2018. However, in 2012, he receives a check for $10 million, which quadruples his net worth. The Texans get a slight discount because they are paying him millions of dollars a year early. There is a further advantage to the cap in 2013-2017 because about $ 3million of the cap charge has been eaten up in the 2012 contract, taking that amount off the books for 2013 and beyond.
His cap hit averages less than $6 million per year in 2013-2017.

So let me get this straight,lol. Barwin get another double digit sack season and he gets a 10m signing bonus? The franchise tag for his position is 10m. I must admit,you're funny. Tamba hali played opposite of allen and never cracked 8sacks. They moved to 3-4 and he get 14.5 sacks and he signs for 6yr 60m with 35m guaranteed. Lamarr woodley who had double digit sacks every yr he's been in the league got the franchis tag of 10m,then the steelers signed him to 6yr 60m with 22m guaranteed. In that,woodley get 27m in the 1st 2 yrs. So now you're going to assume barwin is going to take less than a 3rd in guaranteed money that hali got and less than half of what woodley got. In fact, in your deal, barwin would get less in his entire deal that hali got in signing bonus,lmao! No agent in this game would tell his client to take way below market value. In fact, the nflpa would strongly argue against. The other agents would point ad laugh at you until you had no clients.
 
So let me get this straight,lol. Barwin get another double digit sack season and he gets a 10m signing bonus? The franchise tag for his position is 10m. I must admit,you're funny. Tamba hali played opposite of allen and never cracked 8sacks. They moved to 3-4 and he get 14.5 sacks and he signs for 6yr 60m with 35m guaranteed. Lamarr woodley who had double digit sacks every yr he's been in the league got the franchis tag of 10m,then the steelers signed him to 6yr 60m with 22m guaranteed. In that,woodley get 27m in the 1st 2 yrs. So now you're going to assume barwin is going to take less than a 3rd in guaranteed money that hali got and less than half of what woodley got. In fact, in your deal, barwin would get less in his entire deal that hali got in signing bonus,lmao! No agent in this game would tell his client to take way below market value. In fact, the nflpa would strongly argue against. The other agents would point ad laugh at you until you had no clients.

The numbers are irrelevant. Whatever you think he would sign for, the point is that tearing up his current contract for 2012 allows the team to save money on the future cap. I'm a big supporter of Barwin, but I have not heard anyone put him in the same category as Woodley or Hali. Particularly in the current market, I don't think his name would be mentioned anywhere around theirs. Still, that's not my point.
 
The numbers are irrelevant. Whatever you think he would sign for, the point is that tearing up his current contract for 2012 allows the team to save money on the future cap. I'm a big supporter of Barwin, but I have not heard anyone put him in the same category as Woodley or Hali. Particularly in the current market, I don't think his name would be mentioned anywhere around theirs. Still, that's not my point.

Correct, if we sign Barwin to a more friendly deal now that means we don't pay him top 3 money if he puts up another great season....the goal would be signing him at a more reasonable contract with a little more guarantee to make it worth it to him signing early.....
 
The numbers are irrelevant. Whatever you think he would sign for, the point is that tearing up his current contract for 2012 allows the team to save money on the future cap. I'm a big supporter of Barwin, but I have not heard anyone put him in the same category as Woodley or Hali. Particularly in the current market, I don't think his name would be mentioned anywhere around theirs. Still, that's not my point.


Dude, you're not making any sense. You're willing to part ways with a guy who is in woodley & hali's class & has proven it. Then you say you'd go ahead & pay a guy that you agree is no where near any of those guys' class.

When people talk about the 90's cowboys teams they're not making mention of guys like Tommie Agee or Jason Garrett....they focus on The Trippletts. Likewise for the steelers teams of late & even the Patriots to an extent with Tom Brady. Star players are the difference between championship teams & teams that fold in the playoffs every year.

So as much as i agree with you about focusing on building the team as a whole and all that, At the end of the day, this game, like all the other 3 comes down to star players. & like leetibigz is saying, whether you pay Mario now or Barwin later, you are going to have to pay someone. My question to you is why in the hell would you opt to pay a guy boatloads of money that has only 1 year of decent production under his belt vs. paying a proven, productive star of mario's caliber?

If all you've got is the fact that we could possibly get Barwin cheaper if we sign him a year earlier, that doesn't remotely make any sense....b/c as leebigtx pointed out, that's not a guarantee & can just as easily backfire on you in a number of ways..see guys like Robaire Smith, Ahman Green & Chris Brown the rb. You also can't really use the reasoning that we were a productive defense without Mario b/c we were just as productive (if not more from an avg. game perspective) with him. Furthermore teams don't voluntarily want to replace star level players with lesser talented guys....they do it out of necessity & if that is the way this plays out, so be it. But i'd much rather see the Texans try to keep this guy by offering him something fair for both sides.
 
Dude, you're not making any sense. You're willing to part ways with a guy who is in woodley & hali's class & has proven it. Then you say you'd go ahead & pay a guy that you agree is no where near any of those guys' class.

Mario proved himself in 2007 and 2008. He has not proven to be a consistent difference-maker since then.

I'm not sure what doesn't make sense. I would rather pay Barwin his market value (or close to it), rather than pay Mario his market value... Why? because I think the market undervalues Barwin right now and overvalues Mario.

You may disagree with the conclusions, but it is sound logic.
 
Dude, you're not making any sense. You're willing to part ways with a guy who is in woodley & hali's class & has proven it. Then you say you'd go ahead & pay a guy that you agree is no where near any of those guys' class.

When people talk about the 90's cowboys teams they're not making mention of guys like Tommie Agee or Jason Garrett....they focus on The Trippletts. Likewise for the steelers teams of late & even the Patriots to an extent with Tom Brady. Star players are the difference between championship teams & teams that fold in the playoffs every year.

How has that "star" mentality worked out for the Cowboys since the salary cap came into existence? NOT WELL!

The Steelers and Patriots regularly let high priced free agents walk in order to manage the team and the cap. They might make one or two exceptions (usually the Quarterback and never an injury-prone and non-essential component of the defense).

Other than QB, show me who the Steelers or Patriots have signed to huge deals (elite, multiyear dollars) the past decade.

Would you like a list of players considered very good and in/near their prime that they dumped to the surprise of the fan base and media? Here's a quick hitter of a few:

New England:
Lawyor Milloy (research that shocker in 2003!)
Richard Seymour
Deion Branch (the first time around, shortly after being Superbowl MVP)
Adalius Thomas

Pittsburgh:
Greg Lloyd
Kevin Greene
Plaxico Burress
Alan Faneca
Santanio Holmes
 
How has that "star" mentality worked out for the Cowboys since the salary cap came into existence? NOT WELL!

The Steelers and Patriots regularly let high priced free agents walk in order to manage the team and the cap. They might make one or two exceptions (usually the Quarterback and never an injury-prone and non-essential component of the defense).

Other than QB, show me who the Steelers or Patriots have signed to huge deals (elite, multiyear dollars) the past decade.

Would you like a list of players considered very good and in/near their prime that they dumped to the surprise of the fan base and media? Here's a quick hitter of a few:

New England:
Lawyor Milloy (research that shocker in 2003!)
Richard Seymour
Deion Branch (the first time around, shortly after being Superbowl MVP)
Adalius Thomas

Pittsburgh:
Greg Lloyd
Kevin Greene
Plaxico Burress
Alan Faneca
Santanio Holmes

:heart:
 
Mario proved himself in 2007 and 2008. He has not proven to be a consistent difference-maker since then.

I'm not sure what doesn't make sense. I would rather pay Barwin his market value (or close to it), rather than pay Mario his market value... Why? because I think the market undervalues Barwin right now and overvalues Mario.

You may disagree with the conclusions, but it is sound logic.

Barwin is probably undervalued on the market, but it makes more sense for both parties to continue to let him play on his rookie contract. The team gets more proof that he can be "that guy" seeing that he's only been able to produce 1 season & 2, they continue to get his services for cheap. The player on the other hand gets the opportunity to drive up his price; whether that's his current team or another.

So in essence what you're saying is you'd be willing to jump the gun & overpay a guy who hasn't really proven anything vs. overpaying the proven commodity who is still in his prime?....:ok:...i guess that's sound logic.

Of course, if his injury history is anything like Mario's, oh wait...it is.
 
Barwin is probably undervalued on the market, but it makes more sense for both parties to continue to let him play on his rookie contract. The team gets more proof that he can be "that guy" seeing that he's only been able to produce 1 season & 2, they continue to get his services for cheap. The player on the other hand gets the opportunity to drive up his price; whether that's his current team or another.

So in essence what you're saying is you'd be willing to jump the gun & overpay a guy who hasn't really proven anything vs. overpaying the proven commodity who is still in his prime?....:ok:...i guess that's sound logic.

Of course, if his injury history is anything like Mario's, oh wait...it is.

So a freak ankle injury is similar to a guy who has had plantar fascilitis, recurring hip injuries, torn pec and a shoulder injury?
 
Barwin is probably undervalued on the market,

So in essence what you're saying is you'd be willing to jump the gun & overpay a guy who hasn't really proven anything vs. overpaying the proven commodity who is still in his prime?....:ok:...i guess that's sound logic.

Of course, if his injury history is anything like Mario's, oh wait...it is.

You aren't overpaying if you are getting good real value. The Texans have an advantage over the rest of the NFL regarding their assessment of Barwin and Mario.

Mario- they've had six years to watch him in practice, get to know him, etc... and will be less mesmorized by his physique and potential, knowing the reality of what he does for the team.

Barwin- they've had three years to get to know him and will have more insight into the likelihood of his continuing improvement and 2011 performance.

As I stated earlier, great franchises have the ability to assess its roster talent with great aptitude. That's why the great organizations surprise the NFL, fans, and media by releasing "star" players and also when they re-sign/extend players that are off the radar of most of the NFL. I'm hopeful the Texans will become one of these franchises. Letting Mario walk away will be evidence, IMO, that they have. The first sign was their willingness to let Dunta walk two years ago and their signing of Antonio Smith. This past season, targeting Joseph instead of Aso was yet another sign, as was the letting go of Bernard Pollard.
 
How has that "star" mentality worked out for the Cowboys since the salary cap came into existence? NOT WELL!

The Steelers and Patriots regularly let high priced free agents walk in order to manage the team and the cap. They might make one or two exceptions (usually the Quarterback and never an injury-prone and non-essential component of the defense).

Other than QB, show me who the Steelers or Patriots have signed to huge deals (elite, multiyear dollars) the past decade.

Would you like a list of players considered very good and in/near their prime that they dumped to the surprise of the fan base and media? Here's a quick hitter of a few:

New England:
Lawyor Milloy (research that shocker in 2003!)
Richard Seymour
Deion Branch (the first time around, shortly after being Superbowl MVP)
Adalius Thomas

Pittsburgh:
Greg Lloyd
Kevin Greene
Plaxico Burress
Alan Faneca
Santanio Holmes

Why are Qb's off limits in this convo? they're players too. In any case,

Woodley
Polamalu
J. Harrison
Mank
& The signing of Rodney Harrison for elite money & the release of Lawyer Milloy go hand in hand with each other. They are clearly apples & oranges with respect to Mario & Barwin. In any case, how has that worked out for the patriots defense since they've let all those defensive studs left?

Regardless, the patriots are able to get away with that b/c they have a star at the most important position in the game.

Nice try though.


& Lol, I'd say it has worked out pretty well for the cowboys considering they've gotten 2 SB wins in the salary cap era & multiple playoff appearances...negoatiating Emmitt Smith's holdout immediately in 1994. Aside from that, jerry jones is a meddling asshat & that more than anything is the reason they've falling short for years since he became the owner....totally different topic in any event.
 
So a freak ankle injury is similar to a guy who has had plantar fascilitis, recurring hip injuries, torn pec and a shoulder injury?

You see the influence of the NBA when dealing with fans in the NFL that are obsessed with star players. The NBA has done a lot to ruin our culture's understanding and appreciation of team sports. Fortunately, regardless of what X-Box playing, Lebron James loving, ESPN-watching fans think, the NFL is still the ultimate team sport.
 
& Lol, I'd say it has worked out pretty well for the cowboys considering they've gotten 2 SB wins in the salary cap era & multiple playoff appearances...negoatiating Emmitt Smith's holdout immediately in 1994.

Once the salary cap really took hold, the Cowboys were done. Despite Jerry's continual efforts to attract star power, they've never been successful in this salary cap environment. The first couple years of the cap, it was easy to push money forward and delay the inevitable.
 
So a freak ankle injury is similar to a guy who has had plantar fascilitis, recurring hip injuries, torn pec and a shoulder injury?

Dont play dumb...you know schaub's had shoulder injuries & other injuries in years past that have affected his play on the field. Hell there are those around here that were calling him injury prone too just 2 years ago....& we know about AJ's injuries the last couple of years. That's what a few of us in here have been saying all along...You guys choose to look at a particular players' injuries history when you want to, when it's convient for your argument.

All this hub-bub about mario being injury prone & how we shouldn't resign him....well, what about Owen Daniels? He's been probably the most oft injured guy on the team....missing games to boot. Yet, noone is in here talking about cutting him or restructuring his contract to get other more viable guys back into the fold. & this is a guy who's back up has really been producing for us & we all know how Gary loves to draft TE's. If anyone's expendable its him.
 
Dont play dumb...you know schaub's had shoulder injuries & other injuries in years past that have affected his play on the field. Hell there are those around here that were calling him injury prone too just 2 years ago....& we know about AJ's injuries the last couple of years. That's what a few of us in here have been saying all along...You guys choose to look at a particular players' injuries history when you want to, when it's convient for your argument.

All this hub-bub about mario being injury prone & how we shouldn't resign him....well, what about Owen Daniels? He's been probably the most oft injured guy on the team....missing games to boot. Yet, noone is in here talking about cutting him or restructuring his contract to get other more viable guys back into the fold. & this is a guy who's back up has really been producing for us & we all know how Gary loves to draft TE's. If anyone's expendable its him.

We have a thread that discusses OD and other guys here:
http://www.texanstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?t=89935

Also, this guy Alan Burge suggested it along with other players that may have to be restructured in order for the Texans re-sign their key free agents:
http://www.examiner.com/houston-texans-in-houston/texans-must-clear-cap-space-coming-weeks?CID=examiner_alerts_article#ixzz1n1Vn8wbN

Restructuring some contracts and cutting Jacoby will likely need to happen in order to re-sign just Foster and Myers alone. More will have to be done to get room for Mario, or he will have to have a really low cap number this year (like 3-7 million). There are ways to do it, but it's playing with fire to assume that we can keep putting off paying these guys money. Supposedly the Texans already restructured Ryans, Smith and AJ's deals last year to make room for JJo and Manning. We can kick the can down the road again this year, but there may be cap hell to pay in 2013 if the cap doesn't increase beyond 140 million.
 
Why are Qb's off limits in this convo? they're players too. In any case,

Woodley
Polamalu
J. Harrison
Mank
The signing of Rodney Harrison for elite money
Nice try though.
.

Here are those deals you are referring to:

Woodley 6yrs and $61 million
Polamalu 4yrs and $36 million
J. Harison6yrs and $51 million

Rodney Harrison 6 yrs and $14.5 million


Let's look at Woodley's deal.. .that's the big one. How about we compare Woodley's production to Mario's over the past 4 seasons.

Woodley has 11 more sacks and 4 more interceptions. He drops into coverage much more often, is better pursuing downfield and on the back side. Mario is better against the run at the point of attack, usually.

So the Steelers are paying a guy who's the same age and has been more consistent, more flexible, healthier, and better $10 million a year.

Yet, most of us realize Mario will be looking at something closer to $15 million a year. The Steelers were able to franchise Woodley at the OLB level (roughly $8 million). That gave them negotiating power to get the deal they did. The Texans have no negotiating power for a player that the NFL overvalues.

The other contracts are very reasonable. I would be happy for the Texans to sign Mario to a deal similar to the one James Harrison or Polamalu received. However, he'll be looking at a figure close to twice those totals.
 
Dont play dumb...you know schaub's had shoulder injuries & other injuries in years past that have affected his play on the field. Hell there are those around here that were calling him injury prone too just 2 years ago....& we know about AJ's injuries the last couple of years. That's what a few of us in here have been saying all along...You guys choose to look at a particular players' injuries history when you want to, when it's convient for your argument.

All this hub-bub about mario being injury prone & how we shouldn't resign him....well, what about Owen Daniels? He's been probably the most oft injured guy on the team....missing games to boot. Yet, noone is in here talking about cutting him or restructuring his contract to get other more viable guys back into the fold. & this is a guy who's back up has really been producing for us & we all know how Gary loves to draft TE's. If anyone's expendable its him.

Again Matt's injuries were flukes, because of late hits which most were fined for. And again, we're not talking about cutting Mario, were simply suggesting not to re-sign him, BIG DIFFERENCE.

Ask yourself this, if Mario was a Packers DE/OLB would you shell out the money to lure him here away from GB? Detach yourself from him for one minute and realize you wouldn't....
 
Dont play dumb...you know schaub's had shoulder injuries & other injuries in years past that have affected his play on the field. Hell there are those around here that were calling him injury prone too just 2 years ago....& we know about AJ's injuries the last couple of years. That's what a few of us in here have been saying all along...You guys choose to look at a particular players' injuries history when you want to, when it's convient for your argument.

All this hub-bub about mario being injury prone & how we shouldn't resign him....well, what about Owen Daniels? He's been probably the most oft injured guy on the team....missing games to boot. Yet, noone is in here talking about cutting him or restructuring his contract to get other more viable guys back into the fold. & this is a guy who's back up has really been producing for us & we all know how Gary loves to draft TE's. If anyone's expendable its him.

AJ, Schaub, and OD are all under existing contracts, which has nothing to do with Mario's situation. Cutting any of those guys would destroy our 2012 cap and eliminate any possibility of the Texans signing Myers or Mario.

By the way, OD's contract was about 5yrs and $20 million. That's a pretty low risk. I'm not a big OD guy, actually, and was initially worried when I heard they signed him to the deal. Only after I saw how moderate the deal was did I embrace it. And, we aren't talking about cutting Mario. He is a free agent. As Amazing 80 said, there is a big difference.

Beyond contract talk, when the offense is missing either Schaub or AJ, it is not as productive. That's a huge difference. When the defense missed Mario last year, it was great! As a Texan fan, that seems like a fairly important point that you gloss over.
 
So a freak ankle injury is similar to a guy who has had plantar fascilitis, recurring hip injuries, torn pec and a shoulder injury?

The biggest difference between Mario & Barwin is that Barwin got his double digit sack year in the same year that 6 other Texans had 5 or more sacks.

Mario has only has never had that kind of help.... or scheme.. or whatever you want to call it. Effort (from the rest of the team) I guess.
 
As I stated earlier, great franchises have the ability to assess its roster talent with great aptitude. That's why the great organizations surprise the NFL, fans, and media by releasing "star" players and also when they re-sign/extend players that are off the radar of most of the NFL. I'm hopeful the Texans will become one of these franchises. Letting Mario walk away will be evidence, IMO, that they have.

But, if they sign Mario to a long term deal, there will be no doubt in your mind that the Texans "assessed" the situation incorrectly.

Despite the unique position they have.... over the fans, right?

Anywho, rest assured the Texans will do every thing they can to make sure Mario Williams is a Texans for a long time to come.
 
Here are those deals you are referring to:

Woodley 6yrs and $61 million
Polamalu 4yrs and $36 million
J. Harison6yrs and $51 million

Rodney Harrison 6 yrs and $14.5 million


Let's look at Woodley's deal.. .that's the big one. How about we compare Woodley's production to Mario's over the past 4 seasons.

Woodley has 11 more sacks and 4 more interceptions. He drops into coverage much more often, is better pursuing downfield and on the back side. Mario is better against the run at the point of attack, usually.

So the Steelers are paying a guy who's the same age and has been more consistent, more flexible, healthier, and better $10 million a year.

Yet, most of us realize Mario will be looking at something closer to $15 million a year. The Steelers were able to franchise Woodley at the OLB level (roughly $8 million). That gave them negotiating power to get the deal they did. The Texans have no negotiating power for a player that the NFL overvalues.

The other contracts are very reasonable. I would be happy for the Texans to sign Mario to a deal similar to the one James Harrison or Polamalu received. However, he'll be looking at a figure close to twice those totals.

FYI, I'm on the "Sign Mario to a long term deal" bandwagon. However, I also said we should not over pay him. I set parameters, Pepper's contract is the high end & anything over that is over paying.

I also said we should not be against signing Mario to a deal $10M - $14M If Rick Smith can point to Woodley & say this is why we think this is a fair deal..... & Mario walks, I'm ok with that. & any reasonable person should be.

What I have not said, & will not say, is that $10M/yr should be the most we offer.... I don't believe that.
 
Personally, I think he's one big cap casualty. This team can get by without him easier than it can without Briesel, let alone Myers, Foster, etc.

Yep, one big cap casualty made up of yearly, nagging injuries and excuses for not performing up to his presumed ability.

Mario could dominate games, but doesn't. Albert Haynesworth is like that...
 
Again Matt's injuries were flukes, because of late hits which most were fined for. And again, we're not talking about cutting Mario, were simply suggesting not to re-sign him, BIG DIFFERENCE.

Ask yourself this, if Mario was a Packers DE/OLB would you shell out the money to lure him here away from GB? Detach yourself from him for one minute and realize you wouldn't....

I'd be 100% against bringing Mario in as a FA..... but that's a little different. If we were the Packers, two years out from a Super Bowl, I'd be willing to go into FA negotiations with a player of Mario's caliber; expected to be the #1 FA of the season.

Same, if I were the Giants, the Patriots, the Ravens, or the Saints. They will get a discount, because they can offer an honest-to-God opportunity to win a Super Bowl.

& by "discount" I mean the ability to sign such a player for fair-market-value.

If I thought we could get Asomugha for fair-market-value I would be all for it... If I thought we could get Peyton Manning for fair-market-value, I'd be all for it.

But to come to Houston.... We're going to have to over pay. We've seen it. We've seen players go to other teams for less money. We've seen players use us to fuel a bidding war.

But, we've got Mario here. We have an opportunity to negotiate a fair-market-deal with the kind of player we'd only be able to get through trade (& we don't trade), & that's what we should do. Negotiate a fair market deal.

I wouldn't suggest we over-pay Mario if he were a FA. I do not suggest we over-pay Mario to prevent him from becoming a FA.

& even though we may be the "most balanced" team in the league, there is no guarantee that we can get close to the Super Bowl in 2012. We've still got a lot to prove, before we start letting our best players walk.
 
I am not satisfied being the #2 defense in the nfl. I want to be the #1 defense. I want to be one of the all time greats. I want to be the '85 Bears. No, I want to be better than the '85 Bears. And Mario can take us from really good to great. We will be fine without him if he moves on, but I don't think we will have the chance to be something truly special. And any fan that watched the games last year knows we are right on the edge of that.
 
I am not satisfied being the #2 defense in the nfl. I want to be the #1 defense. I want to be one of the all time greats. I want to be the '85 Bears. No, I want to be better than the '85 Bears. And Mario can take us from really good to great. We will be fine without him if he moves on, but I don't think we will have the chance to be something truly special. And any fan that watched the games last year knows we are right on the edge of that.

2011 Yards per game with Mario = 325
2011 Yards per game w/o Mario = 255

Do you really think that $15 million per year couldn't be better allocated on this defense? For that price, the Texans could sign a pretty good edge rusher and then still go get an elite cornerback to play opposite of Joseph.

instead of Mario, the Texans could do something like the following:

Tyvon Branch (SS, FS)... roughly $6 million per year
Richard Marshall (CB).... roughly $4 million per year
Ahmad Brooks (OLB)--- roughly $5 million per year.
 
I don't think it is as simple as the numbers indicate. If Mario was free, which defense would you rather have?

Would I rather have Mario than nothing? In that scenario, Mario wins. Those numbers do indicate that Mario was not the difference-maker some people want to believe he is.
 
2011 Yards per game with Mario = 325
2011 Yards per game w/o Mario = 255


That is such crap and you know it. You mean to tell me the Texans only got better when Mario was out and didn't happen to get more familiar with their scheme and get better as the season progressed?
 
That is such crap and you know it. You mean to tell me the Texans only got better when Mario was out and didn't happen to get more familiar with their scheme and get better as the season progressed?

The defense did, in fact, get better when Mario was out. I'm not arguing that his absence is the sole (or even the primary) reason for the defensive improvement. I have no doubt that there were many factors involved in that improvement. However, Mario's presence on the field was clearly not one of the factors. He was on the bench. Those are damning numbers for people saying that Mario is an essential piece of this defense's success.
 
Fox Sports
Owner Bob McNair, general manager Rick Smith and coach Gary Kubiak have said that signing Williams to a long-term contract is their top priority.

Top 10 Defensive Free Agents
1) Mario Williams, Houston: He can be an elite 4-3 end and surprised with how well he transitioned to OLB in Wade Phillips’s 3-4 scheme.

Deacon Jones
Texans would be “stupid” to let Mario Williams go

 

Top 10 Defensive Free Agents​





* Hopefully, McNair/Smith/Kubes are doing public relations and helping Mario by keeping his value high.

* Another acknowledgement that his best position is in a 4-3 defense... which means a 4-3 team can get more value from him

* Deacon Jones? really? who cares what he thinks. Great player but he is WAAYYY too far removed from the game for his opinion regarding talent evaluation to hold any weight
 
The defense did, in fact, get better when Mario was out. I'm not arguing that his absence is the sole (or even the primary) reason for the defensive improvement. I have no doubt that there were many factors involved in that improvement. However, Mario's presence on the field was clearly not one of the factors. He was on the bench. Those are damning numbers for people saying that Mario is an essential piece of this defense's success.

the defense getting better had zero to do with mario. the schedule dropped off after week 6 as everyone knew would happen and the team had time to grow into wade's system. the biggest concern going into next season is the games we played without mario were as weak a schedule as we could get. mario's sample is also destroyed by playing against the saints (the only elite offense we faced this season) - which is not calculated into your "got better without" numbers.

i like a lot of your arguments dale, and love that you stick by what you see, but this is terrible. as someone who goes by the tape and what's on the field, i'm a bit disappointed that you'd skew stats in such a way to support an opinion. knock him for crashing the line in the saints game or going too wide against the dolphins with an example of how another OLB did better, but that post is fubar.

there are 4 must have positions in football. quarterback, left tackle, rush end/OLB, and cornerback. a top 5 at the position, elite by most standards player at one of those primary positions is on the team ... you keep him. heck if carolina had peppers last season they'd have been truely threatening. wade says he'll likely break the sack record, every pundit has mario head and shoulders above the rest as the top free agent, and our front office has labeled him the biggest priority. you really think we're better without him because "the numbers say so"?
 
I am not satisfied being the #2 defense in the nfl. I want to be the #1 defense. I want to be one of the all time greats. I want to be the '85 Bears. No, I want to be better than the '85 Bears. And Mario can take us from really good to great. We will be fine without him if he moves on, but I don't think we will have the chance to be something truly special. And any fan that watched the games last year knows we are right on the edge of that.

I agree. With Mario and being able to rotate in fresh Reed for both he and Barwin, we could go down as the best ever. All three can be beasts at that position and set this team up for historical production on defense. I hope we get to see it happen.
 
Maybe being around the likes of AJ and Schaub could make a difference with him. I know very little about him other than damned good stats. He can really stretch the field and has good hands. I haven't heard anything very negative about him at all, but I've not done a ton of looking at him, either.

Being around AJ could help him develop that truly professional work ethic, and win at all costs mentallity. Schaub on the other hand may teach him its ok to play without emotion, and frustrate him because if he stretches the field ... he will never see the ball. Now Peyton (if healthy) on the other hand ... :good:
 
Dale, you're a funny man. You compared woodley to mario,yet you fail to mention harrison had 100 tckls and 16 sacks and troy p was also a def player of the year. The most sacks a guy oppsosite mario had was 5. The steeler have averaged like 50 sacks per yr vs the texans who were in the 30s. We're not even going to talk about the bakend coverage that allows pass rushers to get to the qb or lbs squeezing windows. You know why mario imo deserves more than woodley or harrison? He deserves more because of his flexibility. If ziggy hood or cam hayward goes down,neither woodley or harrison can play the 5 technique. If smith or watt goes down or if the texans lost a couple of lbs, mario can play the 5 technique or allow wade to morph into a 4-3. How many players in the league can do that? Its convenient how you left off tamba hali and his 35m guarnteed or woodley 27m in first 2 yrs. You also left off barwin playing out his rookie deal,getting franchised for 10m in one year and probably costing at least what hali got. I know you have you reasons and I disagree big time. No team let's a 27 yr old pass rusher walk out the door. No one. Not the steeler,pats,eagles, no team. It doesn't happen. It doesn't happen for a reason. If he gets on the open market watch the offer he gets. That will tell you a lot about his value accross the league.
 
Dale, you're a funny man. You compared woodley to mario,yet you fail to mention harrison had 100 tckls and 16 sacks and troy p was also a def player of the year. The most sacks a guy oppsosite mario had was 5. The steeler have averaged like 50 sacks per yr vs the texans who were in the 30s. We're not even going to talk about the bakend coverage that allows pass rushers to get to the qb or lbs squeezing windows. You know why mario imo deserves more than woodley or harrison? He deserves more because of his flexibility. If ziggy hood or cam hayward goes down,neither woodley or harrison can play the 5 technique. If smith or watt goes down or if the texans lost a couple of lbs, mario can play the 5 technique or allow wade to morph into a 4-3. How many players in the league can do that? Its convenient how you left off tamba hali and his 35m guarnteed or woodley 27m in first 2 yrs. You also left off barwin playing out his rookie deal,getting franchised for 10m in one year and probably costing at least what hali got. I know you have you reasons and I disagree big time. No team let's a 27 yr old pass rusher walk out the door. No one. Not the steeler,pats,eagles, no team. It doesn't happen. It doesn't happen for a reason. If he gets on the open market watch the offer he gets. That will tell you a lot about his value accross the league.

So, your proof that Mario isn't overvalued and overpriced is that he's going to make a ton of money? Umm, okay.

Another funny argument: the $15 million man needs more talent around him to produce at the level of guys making half of that... Talking about chasing your tail. If you pay Mario his "market value", it will be very difficult to keep talent around him.

By the way, who were the monsters of the midway that Barwin played with last season to get his 11.5 sacks? He did most of his damage after Mario was gone. Coincidence? No. Once Barwin moved into Mario's position (a spot designed to accumulate sacks), he excelled. Did the players around him have something to do with that? Absolutely! That's been my point all along. This is a very good defense without Mario. Let's not foolishly spend over 10% of the entire cap on one non-essential player and create problems for ourselves heading into 2013.

By the way, how many sacks did Mario have this year while surrounded by all that talent? Oh, yeah: 5. That's one sack for every $3.5 million. I know he was injured. That's my point!

Again, I don't want Barwin to play out his rookie deal. I want him signed now.
Barwin, by the way, could play end in a 4-3 defense. Woodley could as well. Mario can do less from OLB than Barwin or Woodley. They are much better dropping in coverage.

I have no idea what your point regarding Hali was. I argued that the great organizations avoid shelling out huge dollars to non-essential players like Mario. Are you saying that K.C. is a great organization?

"Deserves" is a funny word. I don't care what Mario "deserves". All I'm concerned with, and all the Texans should concern themselves with, is what will allow the Texans' organization to excel for as long as possible. Someone else can reward Mario for his physique and potential. The Texans have given him over $50 million. I'm not too hung up on making sure we compensate him beyond that.


Scooter: really? Do you actually believe what you've said? Compare how the Texans defense did in each game vs. the average of the opponent it faced.

for instance:

Mario's games:
Indy
Miami
N.O.
Pittsburgh.

Out of those 4 games, the Texans gave up more than the league average to New Orleans and Miami and about the league average to Indy. That trend does not continue once the team gets into October. Almost every week, the Texans defense gives up many fewer yards and points than the league average against that opponent.
 
AJ, Schaub, and OD are all under existing contracts, which has nothing to do with Mario's situation. Cutting any of those guys would destroy our 2012 cap and eliminate any possibility of the Texans signing Myers or Mario.

By the way, OD's contract was about 5yrs and $20 million. That's a pretty low risk. I'm not a big OD guy, actually, and was initially worried when I heard they signed him to the deal. Only after I saw how moderate the deal was did I embrace it. And, we aren't talking about cutting Mario. He is a free agent. As Amazing 80 said, there is a big difference.

Beyond contract talk, when the offense is missing either Schaub or AJ, it is not as productive. That's a huge difference. When the defense missed Mario last year, it was great! As a Texan fan, that seems like a fairly important point that you gloss over.

It's not an important point i'm glossing over; i'm just acknowledging all, the more pertinent factors that led to why our defense came on strong later in the season whereas you're purposely trying to present Mario's presence & absence as cause & effect.

The reality of it is no team lets a 27 yr. old pro bowl pass rusher in his prime walk unless they don't have a choice in the matter (he takes more money elsewhere) or he's a head case.
 
I literally cannot wait for March so this thread can die.

No kidding right? I mean how long can Dale and others continue this circular argument? I think we understand how everyone feels on the subject. But they keep trying to beat eachothers brains in with stats and dollar amounts.

Its time to just sit back and wait on Mario news.
 
The defense did, in fact, get better when Mario was out. I'm not arguing that his absence is the sole (or even the primary) reason for the defensive improvement. I have no doubt that there were many factors involved in that improvement. However, Mario's presence on the field was clearly not one of the factors. He was on the bench. Those are damning numbers for people saying that Mario is an essential piece of this defense's success.

3 games we missed Mario (don't forget Mario got hurt vs. NO)...

40, 25 and 29.

mayweatherpeace.png


The defense was close to being a shut down defense regardless. You can't deny that a player of Williams' caliber helps the D. Hurry up, March.
 
3 games we missed Mario (don't forget Mario got hurt vs. NO)...

40, 25 and 29.

mayweatherpeace.png


The defense was close to being a shut down defense regardless. You can't deny that a player of Williams' caliber helps the D. Hurry up, March.

Mario got hurt vs Oakland.
 
So, your proof that Mario isn't overvalued and overpriced is that he's going to make a ton of money? Umm, okay.

Another funny argument: the $15 million man needs more talent around him to produce at the level of guys making half of that... Talking about chasing your tail. If you pay Mario his "market value", it will be very difficult to keep talent around him.


The point you seem to actively be trying to ignore is that Mario HAS done it without all the talent around him; he's done it for years. Hell you acknowledged it a few posts ago with your "mario proved his worth in 2007 & 2009" comment.


By the way, who were the monsters of the midway that Barwin played with last season to get his 11.5 sacks? He did most of his damage after Mario was gone. Coincidence? No. Once Barwin moved into Mario's position (a spot designed to accumulate sacks), he excelled. Did the players around him have something to do with that? Absolutely! That's been my point all along. This is a very good defense without Mario. Let's not foolishly spend over 10% of the entire cap on one non-essential player and create problems for ourselves heading into 2013.

Newsflash homie, the 2 years you yourself acknowledge that mario "produced" were better than anything Barwin has done to date. In fact, Barwin barely eclipsed mario's 2010 production despite him sitting out the last 2 remaining games of 2010.

By the way, how many sacks did Mario have this year while surrounded by all that talent? Oh, yeah: 5. That's one sack for every $3.5 million. I know he was injured. That's my point!

You have no point other than you clearly have it out for the guy.

Again, I don't want Barwin to play out his rookie deal. I want him signed now.
Barwin, by the way, could play end in a 4-3 defense. Woodley could as well. Mario can do less from OLB than Barwin or Woodley. They are much better dropping in coverage.

I have no idea what your point regarding Hali was. I argued that the great organizations avoid shelling out huge dollars to non-essential players like Mario. Are you saying that K.C. is a great organization?

The reason he keeps bringing up Hali is b/c Barwin has 0 reason to want to renegotiate a deal at this point, much less the undervalued deal for his position you keep trying to throw out there for him. Why would he take your deal when he can look at deals that Tamba Hali got for the same position with roughly the same amount of production in the 2 years that each player "broke out"? The only way he renegotiates is if the Texans promist to blow his socks off with a deal; at which point we'd basically be back at this same juncture we are now with mario.....just with a far less capable & proven guy.


"Deserves" is a funny word. I don't care what Mario "deserves". All I'm concerned with, and all the Texans should concern themselves with, is what will allow the Texans' organization to excel for as long as possible. Someone else can reward Mario for his physique and potential. The Texans have given him over $50 million. I'm not too hung up on making sure we compensate him beyond that.


Scooter: really? Do you actually believe what you've said? Compare how the Texans defense did in each game vs. the average of the opponent it faced.

for instance:

Mario's games:
Indy
Miami
N.O.
Pittsburgh.

Out of those 4 games, the Texans gave up more than the league average to New Orleans and Miami and about the league average to Indy. That trend does not continue once the team gets into October. Almost every week, the Texans defense gives up many fewer yards and points than the league average against that opponent.

Yeah...its also not a coincidence that our schedule hit a soft spot in Oct - Nov playing teams that were among the worst in football with TB, CLE, JAC & TEN all on the schedule in 5 consecutive weeks. The games in that same stretch were that wasn't the case? our defense got 29 & 25 pts dropped on them in losing efforts.

& as good as our defense was without him we still:

couldn't stop Dan Orlovsky from driving a pathetic Colts offense down the field 80+ yards with less than 2 minutes for a game winning TD score - loss

couldn't stop an interception prone rookie qb in Cam Newton from running & passing all over us - loss

& if it weren't for a heroic effort by TJ Yates we probably would've been beaten by another rookie qb & wr we couldn't stop in the 1st half.

You're just completely over-playing your hand & the fallacy in your argument is that you're assuming too much...assuming that everthing falls into place....assuming that Barwin will renegotiate a below market deal for his position......assuming that we'll have enough left over to hit FA & snag FA's that want to be here & make a more of a difference than simply just resigning a difference maker you already have history & ties with.
 
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If smith or watt goes down or if the texans lost a couple of lbs, mario can play the 5 technique or allow wade to morph into a 4-3.

& you know that's exactly what we'll do instead of increasing the playing times of players like Bullman & Jamison. Those are good rotation guys, but not the main event.

Without Mario, you're one front 7 injury away from a bottom of the league defense.

True, with Mario, he's probably going to be that one injury. Without him, it will be someone else.
 
Another funny argument: the $15 million man needs more talent around him to produce at the level of guys making half of that... Talking about chasing your tail. If you pay Mario his "market value", it will be very difficult to keep talent around him.

First, get away from $15M, no one is saying to pay Mario $15M. If I'm wrong, please speak up.

Anyone who wants to pay Mario $15M/yr please speak up.

Second, you're not following. Woodley wouldn't be an 11 sack guy (or whatever he was) without Harrison or Kiesel or Hampton. Look at the numbers, Mario has never had the kind of help Harrison has had.

He's been our pass rush, more than 50% of our sacks, hits, hurries, pressures have been Mario. Because he is all that.
 
I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Dale has his mind made up. Its very funny that besides mario signing with a 25m guarantee, he expect barwin to take a crackhead 8m bonus now. I don't know what world he lives in, but he would be the worse agent in the world. He would be like master p as an agent.
 
I guess we'll just have to wait and see. Dale has his mind made up. Its very funny that besides mario signing with a 25m guarantee, he expect barwin to take a crackhead 8m bonus now. I don't know what world he lives in, but he would be the worse agent in the world. He would be like master p as an agent.

I don't think he literally meant $8M. It was just a number he pulled out of his butt to illustrate a point.

Whether it's $10M or $90M, we save money by doing it now, instead of letting Connor test FA.

He's got a point, but.... shouldn't have anything to do with Mario. Like you said, Mario is Batman...... Connor is Robin.
 
2011 Yards per game with Mario = 325
2011 Yards per game w/o Mario = 255

You keep spewing crap about how the defense got better when Mario got injured, yet disregard the fact that the defense as a whole was still in learning mode. No off-season practice with a new DC and scheme might make for a slow start, no? There were defensive players making statements in season about how they were still learning.

We ALL know your stance on Mario, but making BS statements with stats isn't helping you with your obsession.

I do want Mario to stay, but will understand if we can't offer the jack he might want and he signs elsewhere.
 
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