However, I can't escape the fact that this young team continues to improve and play hard under him. I really believe its on the cusp and think blowing it up right now would be a mistake. Barring catastrophic injuries next season, I can't imagine still being supportive of Kubiak if the Texans don't win at least 10-11 games.
I'm just throwing this out there as a possible explanation of why you feel how you feel, particularly the statement of yours that I bolded.
Maybe, as it has been theorized, Gary Kubiak does the following very well:
1. He has a fairly good knack for seeing what a team's needs are. This means he makes a pretty good "scout" and identifies talent. We know he has done a better job at that than the Capers-Casserly era. Would everyone agree with that? A good 90% of us would, IMO.
2. He has definitely pinpointed that Schaub could do better than Carr, and he has built a nice offense that is vastly better than what we had with Capers-Casserly. Scouting of Schaub + Better offense scheme + AJ = Improvement.
3. He seems to deflect praise when we win, and absorb responsibility when we lose. That's admirable.
On the flip side:
1. Goofy roster decisions, which includes questionable handling of running backs and what I consider to be a favor towards certain wide receivers, as well as the issue with our kicker. Hindsight claims are just weak, to me. If you and I see it...shouldn't the coach see it, too? Simple stuff. Supposedly.
2. Coming out VERY flat when there's no reason for it. I still don't know how this is an issue with the players. I really think the guy is a Practice kind of coach, and he runs games like he's in practice drills. It's good to be chill, but is he frozen out there?
3. The in-game situations that he ought to be in control of more. It was quoted at the end of 2008 by a few people with the Texans, including Kubiak, that he was going to be a HEAD COACH on gameday in 2009, instead of micro-managing the playcalling. Hmmm.....well....uh.....NOT. Chalk it up to Kyle maybe not doing his job as well as he could have, maybe? Maybe.
4. His squeamish reactions to big, game-deciding plays. OK, so maybe this is a personal preference thing. I don;t think this is what MAKES him a bad coach, but I do think it's one of the symptoms of the problem he has with being a better head coach.
5. So are we not really prepared on game day? Someone here caught the statement by Kubiak that they had used some of the bye week this year to not just prepare for the MNF game vs. Titans...but that he also tried to get them ready for the Colts a little bit, too. Seirously? Just concede the Colts game already! I am 100% serious. The MNF game should have been THE only ting you focus on. No Manning, No Colts, no ANYTHING but the Titans. Destroy the Titans, in our house, and we are in the playoffs the way it went the rest of the season.
6. But he can't win against divisional rivals. No sugar-coating this one.
RESULT OF ANALYSIS:
Gary Kubiak is good at finding talent, taking crap and making it better. He is good at building a competent and viable offense in today's NFL. But in terms of the other half of being a head coach? He isn;t there. It's not even close.
So maybe the tiger can change those stripes. Maybe he can't.
To me, Kubiak making the turn and biringing it all home to us Texans fans is like trying to hit a bulls-eye, from 1,000 yards, with a BB gun. You have the rifle, the ammo, and maybe even a scope. But you don't have the full, logistical requirements to hit the mark that's there in the NFL world.
Not now, at least. And who is to say he will or won't in 2010? Or beyond? None of us do. But I think we have a good betting line to start with.