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2022 Strength of Schedule.......Uh Oh!

CloakNNNdagger

Hall of Fame
The Texans have the 5th most difficult schedule in the NFL. Our 1st game is against the team with THE most difficult schedule.........the Chief. (Although the official schedule has not been released yet, I am hearing that it will be a home game.)

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2022 NFL Strength Of Schedule, Regular Season
BY SHARP FOOTBALL STAFF|MAY 11, 2022

2022 NFL Strength of Schedule, Ranked by Team
Ranked easiest (#1) to hardest (#32) schedule for the 2022 season, plus projected win totals and current betting odds for every NFL team:

RANKTEAMPROJECTED WIN TOTALCURRENT LINE
1New York Giants7.07 -110
2Philadelphia Eagles8.48.5 +100
3Indianapolis Colts9.59.5 -110
4Chicago Bears6.87 +110
5Detroit Lions6.16 -115
6Washington Commanders7.47.5 +100
7Tampa Bay Buccaneers11.511.5 -110
8Cleveland Browns10.010 -110
9New Orleans Saints7.87.5 -140
10Dallas Cowboys10.510.5 -105
11Baltimore Ravens9.79.5 -125
12Jacksonville Jaguars6.46.5 100
13San Francisco 49ers10.110 -115
14Carolina Panthers6.06 -110
15Green Bay Packers11.211 -125
16Minnesota Vikings9.09 -110
17Denver Broncos10.210 -125
18Buffalo Bills11.811.5 -135
19Miami Dolphins9.09 -110
20Los Angeles Chargers10.110 -120
21Tennessee Titans9.59.5 -110
22Seattle Seahawks6.46.5 -105
23Atlanta Falcons5.05 -110
24Arizona Cardinals9.09 -110
25New England Patriots8.78.5 -125
26Cincinnati Bengals9.810 +110
27New York Jets5.55.5 -105
28Houston Texans4.54.5 -105
29Pittsburgh Steelers7.67.5 -120
30Las Vegas Raiders8.58.5 -110
31Los Angeles Rams10.610.5 -115
32Kansas City Chiefs10.711 +125

2022 NFL Strength of Schedule, Visualization
While there aren’t perfect strength of schedule metrics, using 2022 Vegas win totals is much better than so many widely used metrics that use the previous season’s record.

Here is a visual breakdown of 2022 NFL strength of schedule rankings for each team, based on Vegas win totals.

2022 NFL Strength of Schedule by Team


How Accurate is Warren Sharp’s Model for determining Strength of Schedule?

Last season (2021), the Top 8 teams with the most difficult schedule were: Raiders, Texans, Chiefs, Lions, Steelers, Cardinals, Giants & Commanders.

  • Warren Sharp’s 2021 NFL Strength of Schedule methodology correctly forecasted all of them would have Top 8 toughest schedules except the Chiefs (#20).
Last season (2021), the Top 7 teams with the easiest schedule were: Bills, Buccaneers, Bengals, Broncos, Eagles, Dolphins & Cowboys.

  • Warren Sharp’s 2021 NFL Strength of Schedule methodology correctly forecasted that 6 of these Top 7 teams would rank inside the Top 10 easiest schedules (only the Bengals did not).
Are Strength of Schedule projections released this early even accurate?

Short answer: YES

  • Of the 10 NFL teams that actually had the hardest 2021 schedules, only 3 went over their projected win total: Cardinals, Steelers, Raiders
  • Of the 10 NFL teams that actually had the easiest 2021 schedules, only 3 went under their projected win total: Bills, Broncos, Browns
Trying to exceed and overachieve against a brutal schedule rarely happens (3 out of 10 in 2021) and likewise, winning against an easy schedule and overachieving compared to expectation was quite regular (only 3 out of 10 did not).


2022 NFL Strength of Schedule vs. 2021 Actuals
Looking at actual strength of schedule team ranks from last season (2021) versus projected 2022 strength of schedule, we can see which team schedules have improved or worsened year over year.

TEAM2022 SOS2021 ACTUAL SOSIMPROVEMENT
New York Giants1311
Philadelphia Eagles2512
Indianapolis Colts3116
Chicago Bears4244
Detroit Lions5283
Washington Commanders6322
Tampa Bay Buccaneers7220
Cleveland Browns8913
New Orleans Saints91013
Dallas Cowboys10719
Baltimore Ravens111511
Jacksonville Jaguars12235
San Francisco 49ers13216
Carolina Panthers141910
Green Bay Packers151416
Minnesota Vikings16228
Denver Broncos17427
Buffalo Bills18130
Miami Dolphins19627
Los Angeles Chargers201817
Tennessee Titans211620
Seattle Seahawks221225
Atlanta Falcons231325
Arizona Cardinals24308
New England Patriots25830
Cincinnati Bengals26332
New York Jets272024
Houston Texans282617
Pittsburgh Steelers292915
Las Vegas Raiders302520
Los Angeles Rams311729
Kansas City Chiefs322720
 

Texansballer74

The Marine
i just hope they only win like 3-4 games so they can get Bryce Young and get the rebuild going in2 2024
I highly doubt Cal wants to have another losing season like that. Not only that but Caserio and Lovie wants to put a winning product on the field.
If Mills balls out and shows he’s the man. You don’t have to draft a quarterback, you can continue to build around Mills.
 

MeatBear77

Waterboy
I highly doubt Cal wants to have another losing season like that. Not only that but Caserio and Lovie wants to put a winning product on the field.
If Mills balls out and shows he’s the man. You don’t have to draft a quarterback, you can continue to build around Mills.
u gotta b outta ur mind if u think Mills is better then Bryce Young
 

steelbtexan

King of the W. B. Club
Contributor's Club
I highly doubt Cal wants to have another losing season like that. Not only that but Caserio and Lovie wants to put a winning product on the field.
If Mills balls out and shows he’s the man. You don’t have to draft a quarterback, you can continue to build around Mills.
Agreed

But do you expect them to beat any of the AFC West or Dallas/Philly? I think they will be a much better team but probably win 4-6 games.
 

thunderkyss

Just win baby!!!
Staff member
Contributor's Club
Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys Results
The following is a list of all regular season and postseason games played between the Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys. The two teams have met each other 5 times, with the Houston Texans winning 2 games and the Dallas Cowboys winning 3 games.



Dallas Cowboys lead series 3-2-0
I know we won the 1st one in Dallas. So at best we're 2-1...
 


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