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It has been so obvious for so many years, you wonder why it's never investigated. I'm talking about somebody's ability to bribe officials in favor of the Colts. That's basically why I'm picking them to win.
Winning the close ones is either a matter of wisely utilizing what talent you have, or luck, or getting some outside help.Don't forget that last year the Colts gave up more points than they scored. That success is not repeatable with numbers like that. You can say the QB had a lot to do with that, but I say more than anything it was just Luck.
See what I did there?
The strength of the league division by division changes so quickly - it just seems like yesterday that everybody would joke about how weak the NFC West was and now it might be the best division in the NFL, certainly one of the best.
The Texans have had their way with the AFC South for 2 or 3 years now, but that will change and probably change more rapidly than we realize. I expect us to win the division again this year but I'm taking nothing for granted. I think we will lose a couple of division games and finish with about 10 wins, not 12 or 13 as some dreamers believe.
The strength of the league division by division changes so quickly - it just seems like yesterday that everybody would joke about how weak the NFC West was and now it might be the best division in the NFL, certainly one of the best.
The Texans have had their way with the AFC South for 2 or 3 years now, but that will change and probably change more rapidly than we realize. I expect us to win the division again this year but I'm taking nothing for granted. I think we will lose a couple of division games and finish with about 10 wins, not 12 or 13 as some dreamers believe.
Huh. This board is fairly drug-free. I just looked at the results and the team at the bottom has 2 votes. At the current tally that translates to only about 4% that post on this board have a drug problem.
It has been so obvious for so many years, you wonder why it's never investigated. I'm talking about somebody's ability to bribe officials in favor of the Colts. That's basically why I'm picking them to win.
Statistics would completely refute your theory. Of the few handful of teams that have had a negative point differential and a winning record, every one of them has averaged 2 more losses the following year. Throw in the offensive coordinator jumping ship and losing Freeney, and you have an eventual submarine on your hands. Colts go 9-7 and miss the playoffs.
Texans are building a dynasty. If Hopkins is real deal and we can resolve question marks at RT/ ILB/SS and NT and we should, this could be a remarkable season. Our depth is going to be very good.
So you are totally ignoring the last two seasons?A dynasty? There's nothing like the preseason.
So you are totally ignoring the last two seasons?
Surely you are more up to date than your statement? There has been very good drafts, several pro bowlers, Foster/AJ & Watts extremely good seasons and other things such as the increase in depth that indicates a dynasty type team is being formed.
So you are totally ignoring the last two seasons?
I hadn't heard of this stat until recently. Do you know how often this has happened, or when it has happened most recently except for last year's Colts?
Statistics would completely refute your theory. Of the few handful of teams that have had a negative point differential and a winning record, every one of them has averaged 2 more losses the following year. Throw in the offensive coordinator jumping ship and losing Freeney, and you have an eventual submarine on your hands. Colts go 9-7 and miss the playoffs.
I agree with BullBlitz. Most people wait until their second SuperBowl in a decade to start talking "Dynasty"
We haven't seen the inside of an AFC Championship game...... I think dynasty talk is a bit premature right now.
This is my point and maybe I should have been clearer. When I look at our roster I see a good balance of run vs pass with a star WR and several good other WRs including Hopkins. Tate if healthy should be great relief for Foster and I am a huge fan of Cierre Wood. DB is unbelievable and Myers is solid with a pretty good backup in Jones. I also think Brooks resolves RG issue & Newton has solid year.Implications of a dynasty being built isn't saying "we have a dynasty". He said we are building one. Obviously it's not a dynasty yet, but it is positively BUILDING in the right direction.
In that regards, I can definitely agree. I like the way we are building. The results of this season will be the answer to it being built though.
I went through the records and here's what I came up with...
In the past 10 years, there's been no team that went 11-5 with a negative point differential. The best record you can find with a winning record and a negative point differential is 9-7.
2004 Jags -- 9-7 to 12-4
2004 Seahawks -- 9-7 to 13-3
2005 Vikings -- 9-7 to 6-10
2006 Seahawks -- 9-7 to 10-6
2008 Cowboys -- 9-7 to 11-5
2011 Giants -- 9-7 to 9-7
As you can see, there is one case where the record got worse and one case where the record remained the same but 4 cases where the record improved.
BUT. That's starting from 9-7.
BUT! Why did the Colts have such a bad point differential? Because they got CRUSHED by the Patriots, Jets and Bears... mostly the Patriots.
I'll have to dig up the article, but I believe it was since the start of the superbowl era until now.
Voted Texans. It's the obvious choice. So since that was so boring, I'll make the case for the Texans to lose it, just for kicks.
Interesting... everything that can go wrong does.
I think we won 12 games last season because Kubiak wouldn't let the mistakes get away & snowball. But when the guys needed to play loose, when they needed to play fast... they couldn't & we got our butts handed to us vs GB & New England.
I think he lets it all hang out in 2013, & we break all kinds of total offense ratings, Andre, Arian, Matt are all at the top of their respective charts..... but we can't score.
We can't score & we can't stop the other team from scoring. We're back to 2010. We'll win 4 games outright. another 3 on a last minute "what the Hey, heay, hail Mary"
We lose another 7 games by one stinking play, or on a last minute interception, or we fail to convert a 4th down as time runs out, or we give up a last minute goal line stand..... the Texans mental toughness is once again in question & everyone is looking at the guy on the sideline with the hair.
Dec 29th, noon. The Texans square off on the road with the Tennessee Titans. They win this game, they win the division at 9-7, they go into the play-offs as the 4th seed. They lose, they go home.
Then it clicks. Schaub turns into the next Kurt Warner, Andre is Andre, Arian becomes a megastar, Jj Watt reminds everyone he is the best defensive player in the league, Jjo Kj, Reed, Manning, Swearinger, & McCain declare a no fly zone wherever they happen to be.... Kj & Swearinger are literally chopping heads, punishing anyone foolish enough to run anything deeper than 5 yard route.
We tear through the play offs. A juggernaut, blowing teams out 40 to 12 and the like. We win the Super Bowl. & we tear through the NFL the following 2 seasons.
[IMGwidthsize=400]http://www.fangraphs.com/not/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Dynasty.jpg[/IMG]
Oh waiter...
...and make mine a double.
You have to remember that Schaub's hands were tied. Otherwise he'd have been much more effective.Looks like I am one of the three that picked the COlts.
Although it was very tough and I went back and forth on it, and today I sort of think the Texans win it. It was that close for me honestly.
I picked the COlts though because of Luck. I had that much confidence in him coming into the league and he exceeded expectations. I feel like he is one of those QB's that can make his team over achieve and "believe" where they can sneak out a few extra wins on confidence as long as they aren't getting blown out.
The Texans are better all around on paper. However, the Colts are much better at the main position which is the QB position. I like Schaub and defended him a lot last season when a lot of people went way overboard in criticizing him where they acted like he was pure trash. But by the end of the season, Schaub's late season plunge simply could not be ignored. I still think that Schaub could have a pretty good season, but he simply won't ever be that QB that makes huge plays in big games consistently going forward in my eyes while Luck will. And that goes a long way.
Even a super great QB couldn't save the team if he wasn't allowed to adjust to the defense.And then you have the Kubiak factor where he plays not to lose so much and Gary has shown far to many times that his philosophy will cost this team games, and Gary won't learn from it. He is who he is, and I've accepted that. But it will take a super great QB to over come Gary's inefficiencies, and Schaub simply is not that guy. I could be wrong, and I certainly hope so, but it will take our defense being 2001 Baltimore Ravens like to get a ring with Schaub and Kubes in my opinion based off of what I've seen. I do believe in WATT though!!! Maybe Watt can bring it home.
Head coach is undoubtedly the most important position on the team. Ever noticed how the Jaguars collapsed after they got rid of Jack del Rio?Right now I'll switch back to the Texans for the division, but I might change it again tomorrow or in a few weeks. It's simply that close of a call.
I picked the COlts though because of Luck. I had that much confidence in him coming into the league and he exceeded expectations.
The Texans are better all around on paper. However, the Colts are much better at the main position which is the QB position.
It's interesting that Luck exceeded expectations, Schaub played below expectation, yet at the end of the day they turned in similar numbers.