Which QB did Arians ever correctly identify in the draft? When did the Vikings identify a franchise QB in the draft? Or did they have
to trade for one?
The Bears, traded up from #3 to #2 to take Mitchell Trubisky before Mahomes and Watson.
The Texans passed on trading up to 6 to settle for Watson.
Every team in the league passed on trading up for/drafting Patrick Mahomes, the best player in the league? Why?
I wouldn't assume anything regarding
first round QB, much less a
third round QB. Covering for second QB contracts (5 years),
zero first round QB from 2009-2016 are with their original team in 2021. If you hit on one, it was a fluke because it's all still a crapshoot. If you hit on one in the third round, immediately go and buy a bunch of lottery tickets.
And perhaps that's the ticket... put a bunch of bullets in your gun, draft QBs until you hit on one. Good example: 2012 Redskins. While many wrongly thought RG3 would become a franchise QB, it took Mike heeding his son Kyle Shanahan's concerns and deciding to draft
two QBs in 2012. The
second one was the better QB.
You bring up some good points; however, none has anything to do with my arguments.
What I've been saying is that I want a QB that is a playmaker and a gamer that doesn't flinch in pressure situations.
Mahomes, Watson, Wilson... Those guys had demonstrated those traits in college.
Even Ian Book and Case Keenum had demonstrated that (but since they are smaller guys that don't quite have the ability to escape like Wilson, or to maneuver around the pocket quite as great as Brees, they're not as good prospects - and Keenum had missed a whole year due to injury.)
None of that has anything to do with the Buccs or the Vikings.
I brought them up as example of scheme fit.
Besides, Arians never had to draft a QB. I don't know if he and his GM were on the same page or not, but the Cards traded for Carson Palmer when Arians first got there.
With the Buccs, he was simply stuck with James Winston's last year of his contract.
Then he went out and got Brady.
Those moves sound like a safe plan.
But regarding Mills, I asked the question why didn't Bruce take Mills who boasts the strong arm that would fit with he wants in a QB (taking shot down field).
As for the Vikings, it was also about scheme fit.
Zimmer had decent success with Bradford and Bridgewater (until they got seriously injured) (only Bridgewater was drafted).
But they changed to a WCO .
Now, with Kubiak's son running it, Mills seems like an ideal fit, much more so then Mond, who played in a one back shotgun system at A&M.
Why?
IMO, Mills looks like a better prospect than Mond, especially in that offensive system.
But maybe those guys saw something else in Mind that they like.
What it boils down to (seems to me) was that Mond (and Trask) had had extensive experience against the better defenses.
(Trubisky did not, same with Mills).
And why I thought the Bears reached in that draft.
I also said that Mills is a very good prospect for a third rounder; it's just that I'm tired of the game-manager style of play.
I can barely tolerate Tannehill in his good years; I don't have the patience to wait for Mills to develop.
A guy like Ian Book costs even less in draft resource.
If he gets injured, you draft another guy.