PLAYOFFS?! Optimism?

Discussion in 'Texans Talk' started by Air Canada, Dec 13, 2009.

  1. Air Canada

    Air Canada Veteran

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    Hey it can still happen, but we need some things to play out for us....

    The Eagles needed similar things to happen to make the playoffs when they were struggling last year. They went 9-6-1 to get in.

    There situation was

    ■The Eagles were mathematically eliminated from winning the division, so they had to take one of the two wild card spots to get in.
    ■They had to win the last 3 games to get in.
    ■The final 3 spots came down to the Eagles, Cowboys, Bucs, Panthers and Falcons. They had to look at the 7-6 Redskins, Saints and Bears to see if it is possible for them to make it a 9-6-1 and needed them all to lose.

    The got lucky, got in and had a deep run in the postseason. Can't we?
     
    Last edited: Dec 13, 2009
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  2. jaayteetx

    jaayteetx Hall of Fame

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    In a word.....nope.
     
  3. theanswer000

    theanswer000 Rookie

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    It is still a possibility but Idk. Can you see us beating Miami and New England?
     
  4. Khari

    Khari Administrator Staff Member

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    if we make it will somebody buy me a texans santa hat?
     
  5. FirstTexansFan

    FirstTexansFan The Unknown Fan

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    :goodpost:
     
  6. treduke

    treduke All Pro

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    eagles got lucky plain and simple but stranger things have happened.
    but let's not start making plans for the playoffs just yet!
     
  7. Kimmy

    Kimmy RealGirls LvFB!

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    That's the difference between the NFC and AFC ... AFC has stronger teams to get past
     
  8. PapaL

    PapaL Loose Screw

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    Not a snow ball's chance in Iraq.
     


  9. brakos82

    brakos82 Hall of Fame

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    It's snowed there before.
     
  10. Wolf

    Wolf 100% Texan

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    i had to do it
    [​IMG]

    :joker:
     
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  11. TEXANRED

    TEXANRED Texan-American

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  12. Wolf

    Wolf 100% Texan

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  13. Thorn

    Thorn Dirty Old Man

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    The Texans won't be in the playoffs this year. Get over it. But they do have three games left to play, which is better that say......February through August.
     
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  14. Norg

    Norg -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

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    Jets and esp the ravens won nothing has changed
     
  15. Vinny

    Vinny shiny happy fan Staff Member

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    my playoff hopes died when they couldn't beat one playoff caliber or semi-playoff caliber team in the last month.
     
  16. Hooston Texan

    Hooston Texan All Pro

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    To have any semi-realistic hope, we must win out to finish 9-7. Here's who we're competing against:

    Your current wildcards
    Denver 8-5
    Jacksonville 7-6
    Denver still has Oakland and KC at home (and Philly on the road). In all likelihood, they are finishing at least 10-6. So they're one wildcard (or division champ if San Diego does a complete nose-dive).
    Because we were swept by the Jags, they own the tiebreak. So we'll need them to lose twice. But they've got a tough closing schedule: Indy, at NE, at Cleveland. I think we'll get the losses we need from them.

    Here's the other teams also in the hunt
    N.Y.Jets 7-6
    They own the tiebreaker over us because of week 1, so we need two losses. They close Atlanta, at Indy, Cincy. Another tough closing kick; hopefully the Colts and Bengals still have something to play for (though, for Indy, it may just be for an unbeaten season)

    Miami 7-6
    They're closing schedule is irrelevant to us aside from, of course, our game. If we win that one (and the other two), then Miami won't be the team to keep us out--we'll both be 9-7 and we'll have the tiebreaker. They could still get into the playoffs if we are in a three-way tiebreaker with, say, the Jets, but we'll need the Jets to finish 8-8 or worse under any scenario that would get us in.

    Baltimore 7-6
    This is the team that probably keeps a 9-7 Texan team out of the playoffs. If Baltimore finishes 2-1 for a 9-7 record, they'll own the tiebreaker over us because of a better conference record. So we need them to lose twice, but here's their closing: Chicago, at Pittsburgh, at Oakland.

    Pittsburgh 6-7
    I'm not sure how a tiebreaker would shake out between us and the Steelers because we'd both have the same conference record (6-6) if we finish 9-7. But with the way they are playing and their closing schedule, a 3-0 finish is unlikely: Green Bay, Baltimore, at Miami. And we'll need them to beat the Ravens if we are to have any realistic hope.

    Tennessee 6-7
    If we both get to 9-7, we'll own the tiebreaker because of a better conference record (6-6 versus 5-7). Like Miami, what they do from here on our is irrelevant to our playoff hopes.

    One other team that may be worth watching:
    New England 8-5
    They currently lead the East, but only by a game over Miami and, more importantly for us, the Jets. If the Jets pass them (and we beat them), then we'll own the tiebreaker. But for the Jets to pull the trick off, they must lose once; but for us to then catch them, they'll need to lose twice. They close: at Buffalo, Jacksonville, at Houston. Of course, if they lose to the Jags, then that would knock us out Cleveland beats them in week 17.

    If you want to know the most likely scenario, here it is:
    Week 15
    1. We beat St. Louis (if we can't beat the Rams, playoff are the least of our worries)
    2. Indy beats the Jags (pretty much mandatory)
    3. Atlanta beats the Jets (not mandatory, but most helpful)
    4. Chicago beats Baltimore
    5. Green Bay beats Pittsburgh (though this may not matter at all)

    Week 16
    1. We beat Miami
    2. Pittsburgh beats Baltimore (pretty close to mandatory)
    3. NE beats the Jags
    4. Indy beats the Jets

    Week 17
    1. We beat New England
    2. If the Jets have lost to either Atlanta or Indy (but not both), then Cincy beats the Jets.
    3. If Baltimore has only lost one more game, then Oakland over Baltimore.

    Piece of cake, right???
     
  17. awtysst

    awtysst Draft Guru

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    Done.
     
  18. tedr

    tedr Veteran

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    Tennessee 6-7
    If we both get to 9-7, we'll own the tiebreaker because of a better conference record (6-6 versus 5-7). Like Miami, what they do from here on our is irrelevant to our playoff hopes.


    I wish the above was true, but, unfortunately, since we're in the same division, after head-to-head, division record is the next tiebreaker, even if it's for a wildcard, and not the division.

    That said, I don't think the Titans will run the table. If they do, they probably deserve to get the last spot.
     
  19. awtysst

    awtysst Draft Guru

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    So coming into today, the Texans needed to sweep their games and get some luck. They had a 0.56% chance of making the playoffs.

    Now, lets see where they are now. Again, I am saying there is a 50:50 chance per game. So, they have a .125 of winning all three games.

    Tennessee: won by 40. So we still need at least 1 loss. This would be .875

    Steelers: still .875

    Dolphins: won. need 2 losses of 3=0.50

    Jets: won. also need 2 losses=0.5

    Ravens won: also 0.5

    Jags: 0.5

    Texans:=0.68%
     
  20. thunderkyss

    thunderkyss Salem Poor

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    The point is we're still mathematically alive.

    We need to root for our team to win, because even though it is unlikely that we'll get in, these games aren't meaningless.
     

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