I think these have been out for a little while, so I don't think the Cushing suspension is taken into account.
On one hand, I think the Bengals are way over-ranked (although as a division-winner, you almost have to put them there), and I could see a slide by the Patriots in 2010. Being right on either or both of those things gets us into the playoffs (if everything else was perfect).
On the other hand, I see Miami and Tennessee, along with us, as better than the Bengals, so we may be battling it out with them and the Pats for wild-card a spot.
Finally, I wasn't even close to as sold as many people seemed to be on the Jets last year (yeah, they went to the AFC Championship game, but the Bears went to the Super Bowl after the 2006 season, and that didn't have much in the way of predictive value). They obviously did a whole bunch in the off-season, but between chemistry, and just the fact that I believe the guys they brought in are bad-guys (and in the case of both Cromartie and Holmes, overrated guys), I see their moves in kind of a boom-or-bust mold. Maybe they win the AFC East outright, maybe they regress and end up 7-9.
Man, it's a long offseason.