Texans Horror
All Pro
From SI:
For discussion, as we near the first pre-season game.
Matt Schaub will start his first game as a Texan on Saturday against the defending NFC champion Bears. With his much anticipated career in Houston off and running, here's the important question: Will Schaub turn out to be the next Rob Johnson?
Not that I'm wishing him any ill will or predicting failure. It's just that folks seem to be assuming he'll be the answer at quarterback in Houston, despite having precious little track record to go on.
The last time I remember so much faith and hope being invested in a quarterback who had played so little and proved even less, Buffalo was signing Johnson to a five-year, $25 million contract in early 1998, after trading a first and fourth-round pick to Jacksonville. At the time, Johnson had started exactly one game and thrown 35 passes in his first three NFL seasons, leading the Jags to a comeback 28-27 win over a mediocre Baltimore team on opening day 1997.
Subbing for the injured Mark Brunell, Johnson went 20-for-24 for 294 yards and two touchdown passes, and ran for a score despite playing on a sprained ankle that twice forced him from the game. The Bills and the rest of the NFL were smitten with Johnson's potential from that point on, and Buffalo awarded him an $8 million contract as part of its trade for him.
Johnson, of course, never measured up to the anticipation his arrival in Buffalo produced, and his four years with the team were mostly a disappointment. He started just 26 games in those seasons, feuded with, and was unseated by fellow quarterback Doug Flutie (later in 1998), and eventually alienated the Bills fans with his laid-back California surfer-dude persona. After Buffalo, Johnson became a journeyman QB, at best.
Here's where Schaub's situation is eerily similar: He too is getting his first shot as a starter in his fourth NFL season. Schaub started two games for the Falcons in his three years in Atlanta, but he made his name as a starter-in-waiting, largely based on his performance in one game, just as Johnson did. In October 2005, Schaub started at home in place of Michael Vick against the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots, whose defense was fairly well decimated against the run at the time, with the likes of Monty Beisel and Chad Brown in the starting lineup.
Schaub was boffo in a 31-28 loss, throwing for 298 yards and three touchdowns, for a eye-popping 112.1 QB rating. But he owns just one other start in the NFL (also a loss), and his six career touchdown passes and six interceptions have helped result in a ho-hum 69.2 passer rating, with a 52.2 completion percentage.
Those are pretty modest numbers considering Houston flopped first-round picks with Atlanta this spring, and then shipped the Falcons second-rounders in both '07 and '08 to acquire Schaub's services. As part of the trade, Schaub was given a six-year, $48 million contract that included $7 million in guarantees, and is worth $20 million in the deal's first three years.
As the Schaub era in Houston begins, keep the Rob Johnson era in Buffalo in mind. It's a comparison that may not stand the test of time, but it's sounding pretty topical about now.
For discussion, as we near the first pre-season game.