the big 3 will be long gone (Blackmon, Floyd & Jeffery) Wright is in the ballpark but think he too will be off the board already, leaving Dwight Jones (who I have mocked for this very same reason) & Mohamed Sanu (who I had mocked even earlier) but given the underclassman coming out adding a wealth of talent, in my mind it pushes these players back into the second round. So using a first round pick on second round graded player because of need is not such a no brainer. If I could add another stud pass rusher (can never have too many) then a comparable WR later in the 2nd that would seem to me like your at least keeping up with rest of the pack, in terms of talent. Texans are not the only team trying to improve every year, this past season it was a combination of talent, coaching & smart, aggressive free agency acquisition. Expect more of the same. They will target at least one top flight WR in free agency too! I don't see for instance, the Saints ability to keep both Colston & Meachem. Brees, Franklin, Nicks & Tracy Porter are all free agents.
First of all, I think Robert Meachem is the perfect fit for this team and I hope they make a hard run at him.
Second, this is the year where I think it is likely the Texans attempt a significant trade up. Looking over the roster (accounting for the returning I.R. players and assuming some of the FAs like Dreessen and Myers return) there will be precious few roster spots up for grabs (2-4). The Texans will have very limited needs and will likely address one or two of them in FA. Furthermore, high 1st round picks are much better value under the new collective bargaining. Don't be surprised to see us jump up to 13 or 14 to grab a guy we have targeted.
Here's a rough look at our (likely) returning roster:
Qb: Schaub, Leinart, Yates
Rb: Foster, Tate, Vickers
Wr: AJ, JJ, KW, Ljean?
TE: OD, Casey, Dreessen?, Graham
OL: Myers?, DBrown, Winston, Brisiel?, WSmith, Caldwell, SSmith, Butler, Newton,
DL: Watt, ASmith, Jamison, Cody, Mitchell
LB: Sharpton, DRyans, Dobbins?, Cushing, Barwin, Reed, Braman
CB: Jackson, Joseph, McCain, McManis, Harris, Carmichael
S: Manning, Quin, Nolan, Demps?, Barber?
LS: Weeks
P: Hart
K: ??
Assuming a Free agent kicker, that's 49 roster spots, assuming we let guys like Mario, DWard, B.Johnson, Bulman, etc... all go. The days are over where 4th and 5th round picks are likely to make the active roster, or even the team, apart from the practice squad.