Nighthawk said:
As I've said elsewhere, the ONLY reason N.O. is getting play now is that the Texans have played the #1 pick hand very poorly.
We've got to back off Bush and be ready to take Leinart with the #1 pick. We also should be actively courting offers for the #1 pick (I do not know that we aren't doing this) and we should be doing it VERY publicly--the #1 Pick is For Sale. Make Offer. People need to know we want out. Charley and the other Deadheads think they're cagey, I guess.
Any trade with N.O. with the idea that the trading up team will get a specific player can be trumped by a trade with Houston for the #1.
But if we don't take Leinart we lose all leverage. We should announce now that we are taking Leinart and begin contract talks. Bush will fall to 2,3,4,5. If you want the top QB in the draft you have to talk to us.
If we get "stuck" with Leinart (not likely one way or another), we keep him behind Carr for a couple years and then keep the best one and trade the other for good value.
I admit this is potentially weak point. If Carr continues Dumpster diving he's not going to bring good value two years from now, not in a league where Culpepper went for a 2nd. Imagine what Carr's real worth is today! A mid-third? Less? No wonder they don't want to trade him.
Anyway, unless the Texans start playing hardball we're going to have our a55es handed to us in the draft.
They have to say it and they have to mean it. Leinart.
Are you serious, any GM with half a brain KNOWS WE AREN'T TAKING LIENART. Saying that we are isn't going to help our trade down efforts. How do you expect Casserly to do this, do you expect him to say, " Um, guys were going to take Lienart, even though we extended our very expensive QB 3 years, so we must be deadset on Lienart, since were going to take on that outragous cap hit at the QB position, but if you guys want him you can have him", does that make any sense. You are asking Charlie to play roulette with the draft, either some GM is dumb enough to bite, which isn't likely or the gun goes off and Charlie is stuck with a player he nor Kubiak ever wanted, yeah I would like him to sell that to Bob Mcnair.
That would make us more of a laughing stock than we already are. Any GM including Millen would see straight through that bluff.
If fact whens the last time you've ever seen a GM do that. Casserly is doing what other GMs do in his spot and that is give the company line "We are evaluating all options, including trade down offers, we are just excited we have the opportunity to draft a great player", and then tries not to show his hand to much.
Plus the only teams that are in extremely in dire need of a QB are slated to have one of the top 3 fall to them, which only weakens our trade down options.
NO has all the trade power, GMs know they aren't taking a QB and they KNOW Tenn. is.
We don't have hardly any trade down power anymore, because teams KNOW we aren't taking a QB and the KNOW NO isn't taking a QB either and that isn't even half of it.
If a team knows they don't have to go to the top spot to get their QB (or any other player) and can grab him at #2 then thats what they are going to do, first off the trading price is less and they don't have to worry about the kind of signing bonus a QB drafted #1 ovrl. is going to command.