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Do some mock drafts before the real thing, it will help you figure out where players are being drafted. You can do them on Yahoo or ESPN, here is a link to another site that I like.
http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/
I think the biggest mistake I see rookies make is not drafting for value. For example, I have a friend that is playing for his first time this year and he told me he wanted to get Peyton Manning in the first round. Even if you are certain that Manning is going to break every QB record this season you still shouldn't take him in the first because he's not being drafted until at least the 5th or 6th round in most leagues.
Obviously there is the risk that someone jumps up ahead of you and takes that guy you love so you have to manage risk.
Another example, in 2010 I (as did many Texans fans) really thought Arian Foster was going to break out. At the time we had our draft he wasn't going until around the 8th round in most drafts but I really liked the guy and was worried one of the other Texans fans in my draft would take him before me. So I took him in the 5th round, 3 full rounds ahead of where he was going in most drafts. By the groans around the draft table I could tell it was good that I didn't wait any later.
Hope that helps and good luck.
Thanks man, will remember that too.Don't spend an early round pick on a rookie QB or receiver.
Don't listen to the preseason hype either. Instead, make picks on proven results.
Kickers score a lot of points, so get one early.
Keep the answers and suggestions/tips coming for London Tex. I'm a newbie to FF (as in never participated) and am following along. The thirty hours a week kinda threw me. Not sure I have an extra thirty lying around anywhere.
That's just not true. Remember, you're in it for fun and to win. If this were your real job then yeah spend 40 hours a week doing it.
My best advise...watch lots of football games.
Make notes.
Know who is hurt and who is injured; big difference.
Be aware who is on the waiver wire.
Know your league settings and scoring system.
Can you pick up a player during a game and stash him for next week? (think Arian week 1...I dropped some bum by the end of halftime and had Arian loaded into a spot for next week)
Have your mobile device of choice ready and near by.
And please please please don't offer up ridiculous trades. They will get vetoed and you will lose credibility.
Have fun, pick a good team name, and talk trash. Hahaha!
What kind of league were you in in 2010 when Foster didn't get drafted? He was going 5th or 6th round in most leagues.
What kind of league were you in in 2010 when Foster didn't get drafted? He was going 5th or 6th round in most leagues.
Depends entirely on when your draft was held that year. Early in the preseason he was undrafted, by the time the regular season was coming on he was a later round flyer pick.
any advice for rookies on where to play? nfl.com has hosted leagues that seem relatively simple, are there better options?
Haha thanks guys ! I'll certainly take the advice to pick those who score regularly. I'm better off keeping it simple as I'm still quite green when it comes to the NFL.... Not sure my wife would let me spend 30 hours or so lol ..will have to see how much time I can spend ... Can't wait to get into my first season!
I haven't played much fantasy football for the last 6 years (played in one league 2 years ago) but I used to win my league routinely. If you want to really have a good draft you need a system. I've got a spreadsheet that I built (somewhere) that I'll look for that will calculate points by every player from last year based on your scoring system. The next thing that it did was calculate the opportunity cost of picking every player (based on how many you start at each position) vs picking other players. It only worked for the previous year's stats but it gave you a great idea of how valuable each position actually is in your league. Everyone will tell you that "must have a top flight QB" or that "RBs are over valued" or that "Receivers are the most important" but in reality it varies based on several things. If you are in a league that puts a premium on different types of yards (rushing vs passing) or rewards special teams performances (some leagues don't) then the most valuable commodities change. The nice thing about the calculator was that it would update as people were drafted to give you the most valuable player (and the most valuable player based on who you had). For example(situation not realistic just for illustration purposes) if you have Foster/Johnson/AD and in a 1QB 2RB 2WR system and had to choose between MJD and Brees it would tell you to go with brees but if you had Foster/johnson/manning and choose between mjd and brees it would tell you to take brees.
Of course it wasn't perfect but it was really helpful I drafted using it exclusively one year and won the league with only one trade (traded for a new rb when edge went down).
Hopefully even if I can't find it the process it went through will help you build a draft strategy. If you were able to go in and modify for predictions (older players regress, younger most likely progress, for example [I had a program to calculate standard deviations for that too]) then you could develop a killer tool. I've thought about turning it into an Android app before.
Mike
any advice for rookies on where to play? nfl.com has hosted leagues that seem relatively simple, are there better options?
The biggest thing that I can tell you is to learn how to use the waiver wire and the free agent wire to improve your team all of the time. That is where FF is won in many cases. It's very seldom that a player has such a great draft that he can win a FF league or have the best team with a draft alone. Well not in any league where a bunch of vets are playing that know the ins and outs and if there are 14 members playing, than talent will be spread thin. 10 team leagues suck, because any dumbass can read a mock draft list and pick stars and get lucky. A 14 man league requires a lot more knowledge and research though.
1. DOn't pick your favorite players because you like them. Pick guys on great offenses that get a lot of touches.
2. Play your match ups from week to week depending on what defenses your guys are going up against.
3. Drafting a high end QB in many cases can carry your team to the post season. Brady, Rodgers, and Manning have done that many times for poor teams.
4. Handcuff your RB's.