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Mock Draft Simulators

OptimisticTexan

2024 / Rebuilding Block 4 After Playoffs / Texans
These are somewhat entertaining as a method to test theories. I had a moment and tested the Fanspeak- First Pick Simulator. I used the Composite Big Board and Fan Speak Team Needs settings:

The following would be a pretty amazing draft if I should say so:

RD3-P04-068: TE- Mark Andrews (Oklahoma) **Easy to justify if he was still on the board. This wouldn't be too early for a Day1 starting TE.**

RD3-P16-080: OT- Joseph Noteboom (TCU)

RD3-P34-078: RB- Rashaad Penny (SDSU) **Josh Adams was taken 2 picks earlier.**

RD4-P03-103: CB- Nick Nelson (Wisconsin)

RD6-P03-177: LB- Justin Lawler (SMU) **EDGE / ST**

RD6-P37-211: CB- Rashaan Gaulden (Tennessee)

RD6-P40-214: OG- Colby Gossett (Appalachian St)

RD7-P04-222: WR- Ray-Ray McCloud (Clemson)

I actually think the team could get production out of McCloud taken in RD7, which would make this a solid and deep draft.
 
I think Penny will be better than Adams, anyway. Might have taken one more DB, but the players look realistic to the spot taken.

I'm also hoping for CB's Butler (NE) and Carrie (LVR) or Joseph as really strong FA signings. This would allow KJax to be cut, re-signed at a lower salary and moved to FS. Nelson and Gaulden could thrive in this type of situation. Just trying to put the building blocks in place so it's a sound but productive 2018. 2019 would give the team a chance to put the final blocks in position for a very nice season. 2020 would really be the season to watch if everything falls into place.
 
I'm also hoping for CB's Butler (NE) and Carrie (LVR) or Joseph as really strong FA signings.
I would really prefer to sign EJ Gain

This would allow KJax to be cut, re-signed at a lower salary and moved to FS.

You keep saying this, and you may be right, but it ain't gonna happen. Why would KJax agree to something like that? If you want to move him then move him. If you want to cut him, he won't be out of a job for long
 
Using your settings, this is what I came up with:


68: R3P4 TE MIKE GESICKI PENN STATE
80: R3P16 OT BRIAN O'NEILL PITTSBURGH
98: R3P34 RB RASHAAD PENNY SAN DIEGO STATE
103: R4P3 CB HOLTON HILL TEXAS
177: R6P3 EDGE JUSTIN LAWLER SMU
211: R6P37 G COLBY GOSSETT APPALACHIAN STATE
214: R6P40 QB J.T. BARRETT OHIO STATE
222: R7P4 S TRAVIN HOWARD TCU
 
I would really prefer to sign EJ Gain

You keep saying this, and you may be right, but it ain't gonna happen. Why would KJax agree to something like that? If you want to move him then move him. If you want to cut him, he won't be out of a job for long

That's why I backed up this plan with the pursuit of Butler and Carrie. I mentioned in another post that this gamble with KJax could see him get snatched up the moment he's released but in all reality, if I'm gaining his cap dollars while obtaining Butler and Carrie in the process....then this is not only a solid move for the Texans but an upgrade as well.

As for the draft, maybe I swap out CB- Nelson for a Safety. I like Gaulden and his possible position in the draft
 
Ok, First Pick Simulator has been updated and it at least allowed for the couple of trade down(s) that I think could be possible since they're in very good rounds and in prime spots. It was interesting to see who fell to where but were available nonetheless. So here's what I wound up with:

RD3-04: Traded to Cincinnati for RD3-13 and RD3-39

RD3-13: FS- Marcus Allen / Penn State

RD3-16: RB- Rashaad Penny / SDSU

RD3-34: SS- Trayvon Henderson / Hawaii

RD3-39: Traded to Seattle for RD4-20, RD5-04 and RD5-09

RD4-03: TE- Mike Gesicki / Penn State **If he wasn't here in reality Smythe (ND) would be.**

RD4-20: TE- Troy Fumagalli / Wisconsin **Smythe went right between them.**

RD5-04: LB- Justin Lawler / SMU **EDGE**

RD5-09: OT- Joseph Noteboom / TCU


RD6-03: OG- Colby Gossett / Appalachian St

RD6-37: CB- Brandon Facyson / Virginia Tech

RD6-40: WR- Ray Ray McCloud / Clemson

RD7-04: OT- Brett Toth / Army **Investment for 2020 and with the extra picks...this became a no-brainer with him still on the board.**

Now this could be a pretty special draft, but being in a position to parlay a couple of early picks into 4 more players isn't too shabby.
 
Your score is: 19323 (GRADE: B)

Your Picks:
Round 3 Pick 4: Dawson, Duke, CB, Florida (A-)
Round 3 Pick 16: Chark, DJ, WR, LSU (A+)
Round 3 Pick 34: Christian, Geron, OT, Louisville (A+)
Round 4 Pick 3: Brown, Orlando, OT, Oklahoma (A)
Round 6 Pick 3: Facyson, Brandon, CB, Virginia Tech (B+)
Round 6 Pick 37: Nickerson, Parry, CB, Tulane (A+)
Round 6 Pick 40: Adams, Tony, OG, North Carolina State (A+)
Round 7 Pick 4: Atkins, John, DT, Georgia (A+)

https://first-pick.com/NFL/DraftGame.aspx

Getting WR, DJ Chark in RD3 would be an absolute steal. DJ has the size, speed and hands to be an absolute force in taking the top off defenses. I would move Fuller to Slot and try to draw up plays that wold give massive advantages over the wrong guys trying to cover him.
 
Your score is: 21447 (GRADE: B+)

Your Picks:
Round 3 Pick 4: Gesicki, Mike, TE, Penn State (A+)
Round 3 Pick 16: Penny, Rashaad, RB, San Diego State (A+)
Round 3 Pick 34: Brown, Orlando, OT, Oklahoma (A)
Round 4 Pick 3: Noteboom, Joseph, OT, Texas Christian (A)
Round 6 Pick 3: Blanding, Quin, FS, Virginia (A+)
Round 6 Pick 37: Phillips, Darius, CB, Western Michigan (A+)
Round 6 Pick 40: Wilson, Cedrick, WR, Boise State (A+)
Round 7 Pick 4: Harrison, Desmond, OT, West Georgia (A)

https://first-pick.com/NFL/DraftGame.aspx
 
Your score is: 21447 (GRADE: B+)

Your Picks:
Round 3 Pick 4: Gesicki, Mike, TE, Penn State (A+)
Round 3 Pick 16: Penny, Rashaad, RB, San Diego State (A+)
Round 3 Pick 34: Brown, Orlando, OT, Oklahoma (A)
Round 4 Pick 3: Noteboom, Joseph, OT, Texas Christian (A)
Round 6 Pick 3: Blanding, Quin, FS, Virginia (A+)
Round 6 Pick 37: Phillips, Darius, CB, Western Michigan (A+)
Round 6 Pick 40: Wilson, Cedrick, WR, Boise State (A+)
Round 7 Pick 4: Harrison, Desmond, OT, West Georgia (A)

https://first-pick.com/NFL/DraftGame.aspx
So you get straight A's on every pick, and your final grade is B+? The grading is rigged!
 
Your score is: 21447 (GRADE: B+)

Your Picks:
Round 3 Pick 4: Gesicki, Mike, TE, Penn State (A+)
Round 3 Pick 16: Penny, Rashaad, RB, San Diego State (A+)
Round 3 Pick 34: Brown, Orlando, OT, Oklahoma (A)
Round 4 Pick 3: Noteboom, Joseph, OT, Texas Christian (A)
Round 6 Pick 3: Blanding, Quin, FS, Virginia (A+)
Round 6 Pick 37: Phillips, Darius, CB, Western Michigan (A+)
Round 6 Pick 40: Wilson, Cedrick, WR, Boise State (A+)
Round 7 Pick 4: Harrison, Desmond, OT, West Georgia (A)

https://first-pick.com/NFL/DraftGame.aspx

That would represent a massive draft. Noteboom I think will realistically be a RD3 selection...his grade is going up and he'll impress again at TCU's Pro Day. Better yet, I hope he stays in RD3. I'd have no problems using that RD4 pick to take TE, Fumagalli (WISC). This would give the Texans a couple of solid young TE's since they probably won't address the TE issue in FA.

I think in all honesty, I'd probably cut Anderson with the hope that TE's, Zach Conque and Jevoni Robinson make the team this year. They've both been exposed to the offense for a full season, so let's see if they can marry their knowledge to their physical gifts.

Zach Conque is 6-6 @ 240 lbs and could realistically serve as the teams emergency QB since he threw for 6,867 yards and 46 touchdowns while running for 1, 602 yards and 34 touchdowns as QB for Stephen F. Austin. Those numbers would be representative of a guy who might be able to run the Texans offense, in a pinch, while being a bigger version of Watson. I know he's a TE and I want him to succeed there, first and foremost, but my guess......Lechler would welcome the change on who's the emergency QB. As a fan, I'd like the idea of Zach serving as the emergency QB option over Lechler.

Jevoni Robinson is a 6-8 @ 241 lbs former basketball player turned professional football TE. The intangibles he presents is his 4.5-40 and 40"+ vertical jump. I would make him a ST's specialist for 2018. Line him up in the middle on XP's and FG's and teach him to locate the crease and when and where to jump. If I were a coach, I could get really excited about using him in the Red Zone as a mismatch when the opportunity presents itself....which could be fairly often with Watson at the helm. Man, could you imagine a 6-8 target in the RZ that possesses a 40+ inch vertical....you find him some receiver gloves made by stick'em so all Watson has to do is aim for a hand.
 
Your Picks:
Round 3 Pick 6 (S.F.): Miller, Kolton, OT, UCLA (A)
Round 3 Pick 16: Toliver II, Kevin, CB, LSU (A-)
Round 3 Pick 34: Brown, Orlando, OT, Oklahoma (A-)
Round 4 Pick 3: Averett, Anthony, CB, Alabama (A+)
Round 4 Pick 9 (WASH): Hamilton, DaeSean, WR, Penn State (A+)
Round 6 Pick 3: Thomas, Jordan, TE, Mississippi State (A+)
Round 6 Pick 37: Mataafa, Hercules, OLB, Washington State (A+)
Round 6 Pick 40: Facyson, Brandon, CB, Virginia Tech (A)
Round 7 Pick 4: Ferguson, Riley, QB, Memphis (A)
 
That would represent a massive draft. Noteboom I think will realistically be a RD3 selection...his grade is going up and he'll impress again at TCU's Pro Day. Better yet, I hope he stays in RD3. I'd have no problems using that RD4 pick to take TE, Fumagalli (WISC). This would give the Texans a couple of solid young TE's since they probably won't address the TE issue in FA.

I think in all honesty, I'd probably cut Anderson with the hope that TE's, Zach Conque and Jevoni Robinson make the team this year. They've both been exposed to the offense for a full season, so let's see if they can marry their knowledge to their physical gifts.

Zach Conque is 6-6 @ 240 lbs and could realistically serve as the teams emergency QB since he threw for 6,867 yards and 46 touchdowns while running for 1, 602 yards and 34 touchdowns as QB for Stephen F. Austin. Those numbers would be representative of a guy who might be able to run the Texans offense, in a pinch, while being a bigger version of Watson. I know he's a TE and I want him to succeed there, first and foremost, but my guess......Lechler would welcome the change on who's the emergency QB. As a fan, I'd like the idea of Zach serving as the emergency QB option over Lechler.

Jevoni Robinson is a 6-8 @ 241 lbs former basketball player turned professional football TE. The intangibles he presents is his 4.5-40 and 40"+ vertical jump. I would make him a ST's specialist for 2018. Line him up in the middle on XP's and FG's and teach him to locate the crease and when and where to jump. If I were a coach, I could get really excited about using him in the Red Zone as a mismatch when the opportunity presents itself....which could be fairly often with Watson at the helm. Man, could you imagine a 6-8 target in the RZ that possesses a 40+ inch vertical....you find him some receiver gloves made by stick'em so all Watson has to do is aim for a hand.

Great info on Conque and Robinson. I remember Conque last training camp. The team could be higher on their progress than us fans which explains why they haven’t signed a FA after Fiedo’s retirement.
 
Following the rules of DRAFTTEK Trade Value Chart, I did a new Mock.

1. Traded Texans R3-16 (190) to the Bills for R3-32 (116), R4-21 (52) and R5-29 (24.6) = (192.6) +2.6

2. Traded Texans (Bills) R4-21 (52) to the Redskins for R5-05 (34.5) and R5-26 (25.8) = (60.3) +8.3


Your score is: 20788 (GRADE: B+)


Your Picks:
Round 3 Pick 4: Allen, Marcus, FS, Penn State (A-)
Round 3 Pick 32 (BUF): Jones, Jamarco, OT, Ohio State (A)
Round 3 Pick 34: Brown, Orlando, OT, Oklahoma (A)
Round 4 Pick 3: Meeks, Quenton, CB, Stanford (A)
Round 5 Pick 5 (WASH): Gossett, Colby, OG, Appalachian State (A-)
Round 5 Pick 26 (WASH): Adams, Josh, RB, Notre Dame (A+)
Round 5 Pick 29 (BUF): Facyson, Brandon, CB, Virginia Tech (B-)
Round 6 Pick 3: Ateman, Marcell, WR, Oklahoma State (A+)
Round 6 Pick 37: Lawler, Justin, DE, Southern Methodist (A)
Round 6 Pick 40: Dissly, Will, TE, Washington (A+)
Round 7 Pick 4: Henderson, Trayvon, SS, Hawaii (A+)

Fairly strong results that came as close as possible to following the trade chart valuation. Using the scale negated almost every trade. I did not make any trades if the trade option with teams that the computer had already made trades for. Trades had to be their original picks.

Man, that would be a blow to Orlando Brown if he suffered a free-fall like this but I would still take him and let him work on the right side. I think Jamarco Jones could step in on Day1 at LT but let the competition begin. Also, LT, Bentley Spain- North Carolina was not drafted....would be an easy UDFA target.
 
68: R3P4

G BRADEN SMITH
AUBURN
80: R3P16

LB SHAQUEM GRIFFIN
CENTRAL FLORIDA
98: R3P34

OT ALEX CAPPA
HUMBOLDT STATE
103: R4P3

S JESSIE BATES III
WAKE FOREST
177: R6P3

TE TYLER CONKLIN
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
211: R6P37

DL P. J. HALL
SAM HOUSTON STATE
214: R6P40

WR RICHIE JAMES
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
222: R7P4

CB BRANDON FACYSON
VIRGINIA TECH
 
I went back to First-Pick Simulator and completed a draft....."with no trades". I like to check back periodically since it gives First-Pick time to make their adjustments. Without moving back for additional picks I got a draft that I would be extremely satisfied with.

RD3-03-068: RT- Orlando Brown, Oklahoma (A-) / 6-8 @ 355 lbs / Tackle with poor athlete traits, but rare size and length whose massive frame can work for him in pass protection and against him in the run game. Brown is a waist-bender with shoddy footwork and a tendency to play too straight-legged. These physical limitations create a much smaller likelihood for recovery once he's beaten. With that all said, he typically gets guys blocked and he clearly understands how to use his size and length to his advantage. Brown's physical traits and nasty demeanor give him a chance to become a decent starting right tackle if he can be coached to lessen his physical deficiencies and can keep his weight in check.
**Move him to the right side and when he develops his NFL strength...RT would no longer be an issue.**

RD3-16-080: LT- Jamarco Jones, Ohio State (B+) / 6-5 @ 310 lbs / Jones isn't overly impressive and doesn't have many "wow" features, but he gets his job done. He lacks desired NFL height, but makes up for it with longer arms and good upper body strength. While his body control needs improvement, he has proven to have enough slide quickness and lateral agility to handle duties on the blind-side. However, his poor showing at the Combine raises concerns over whether or not his athletic traits are starting level.
**I'm not sure how his lack of height plays here. He's considered short for an OT and Brown at 6-8 is considered too tall. I don't think these analyst know what they want in an OT. All I want is production and both delivered on this front in the college careers. I could flip-flop Brown and Jones based on gut instinct as to which could go first. if Brown is really falling, it might be better to take Jones first and then hope Brown lands at 16.**

RD3-34-098: QB- Kyle Lauletta, Richmond (A+) / 6-3 @ 215 lbs / One of the top FCS quarterbacks in the country carries a strong football genetics background. His father, Joe, was a quarterback at Navy in the 1980's, and his older brother, Trey, played center at Bucknell. Lauletta's grandfather played football at Delaware, and his uncle played for Navy. He was a two-time All-Southeastern pick in high school but did not end up at a major program. Lauletta played in four games as a reserve for the Spiders in 2013 and then redshirted the following year. The next two seasons he was a second-team All-Colonial Athletic Association selection in 2015 (61.6 completion pct., 3,598 yards, 19 TD, 15 INT; seven rushing TD) and 2016 (63.0 completion pct., 3,022 yards, 24 TD, eight INT), starting all 25 games in those seasons. Richmond had a marginal 6-5 campaign in 2017, but Lauletta showed accuracy and mobility that intrigued scouts (64.9 completion pct., 3,737 yards, 28 TD, 12 INT).
**O'Brien worked with Lauletta in the Senior Bowl and he had a heck of a game, then went to the Combine and did well enough to be compared to Jimmy Garoppolo...anything else we as fans could desire in a QB3 for 2018?**

RD4-03-103: TE- Dalton Schultz, Stanford (A) / 6-6 @ 242 lbs / Schultz is a Y-tight end with the ability as a run blocker to help bolster a team's rushing attack very quickly. While his frame could still use more mass, he plays with good technique and play strength at the point of attack and shows an ability to impose his will upon edge defenders if they half-step into the rep. Schultz is a capable and reliable target underneath, but his living will depend on how he impacts the running game. Schultz's limited catch production could drop him a round, but he should be a solid, early starter.
**If this guy adds 10-15 lbs of NFL muscle, he could be a beast but most important, he could be a Day1 starter at TE.**

RD6-03-177: OG- Colby Gossett, Appalachian State (A+) / 6-5 @ 315 lbs / Versatile and strong, Gossett is one of the top prospects from App State on NFL scouts' radar. The first-team All-Sun Belt pick in 2017 led the Mountaineers to a strong 9-4 season, starting all 13 games at right guard. As a junior, he was also a first-team All-Conference pick after standing up well against Tennessee and Miami, as well as conference foes, starting 11 games at right guard and two at right tackle. Gossett was a reliable member of the line as a sophomore, starting the first seven games at right guard and the final six at right tackle. He was scheduled to start in 2014, but a preseason injury forced him to sit out the first four games of the year; he played in eight games, starting seven, at right guard that season. As a two-star recruit from Cumming, Georgia, Gossett redshirted in 2013.
**I've like Gossett from the get-go. He's a smart RG who doesn't make stupid mental mistakes and penalties are almost non-existent.**

RD6-37-211: EDGE- Justin Lawler, SMU (A) / 6-4 @ 262 lbs / While only ranked as a two-star prospect from Texas, Lawler's first-team all-state selection (124 tackles, 28 tackles for loss, 13 sacks; 44 catches, 719 yards, 11 touchdowns receiving) portended a good career at SMU. The former high school powerlifter was ready to play right away, earning time in all 12 games as a true freshman (23 tackles) and getting some time on offense (three-yard touchdown, two-point conversion). Lawler earned the starting job as a sophomore, lining up for every game and leading the Mustangs with 64 tackles, nine for loss while compiling five sacks. His break-out season came in 2016, garnering first-team All-American Athletic Conference accolades, racking up 65 stops and leading the team with 15 tackles for loss and six sacks. Lawler received first-team all-conference recognition as a senior, as well, racking up 74 tackles, 15.5 for loss, 9.5 sacks, two forced fumbles, and three blocked kicks for the Mustangs.
**Another guy I have like from the get-go. He already possesses NFL strength..maybe more...but I envision as an over achiever...at the NFL level. He's got a motor that reminds me of Watt. I like a block like that who would be willing to set the edge for this defense. Contrary to analyst, he's a stud who could help immediately on ST's while working himself into the rotation.**

RD6-40-214: FS- Natrell Jamerson, Wisconsin (A+) / 6-0 @ 198 lbs lbs / He played in 12 games as a reserve wideout (no catches) in 2014 before moving to defensive back (14 tackles) and taking over primary kick return duties as a sophomore (20 returns, 448 yards, one touchdown). Coaches gave him an opportunity to show his stuff in 2016, playing him in eight games with two starts at nickel (19 stops, four pass breakups), though he missed six mid-season games with a left leg injury. Jamerson moved to safety for his senior season, earning honorable mention All-Big Ten honors by posting 51 tackles, 3.5 for loss, 1.5 sacks, two interceptions (one returned for a score), and 10 pass breakups. Jamerson is still learning the position, but he has an interesting blend of instincts and speed. He's a willing tackler, but his lack of size shows up when he has to take on bigger running backs heads-up. His experience as a jammer, covering kickoffs and returning kicks could give him the edge for a backup safety spot on the roster at some point.
**ST's contributor from Day1 as he builds the requisite strength to bigger contributor at FS. Not to say he couldn't push for some playing time but if he delivers in the return game, that could be a huge asset.**

RD7-04-222: RB- Roc Thomas, Jacksonville State (A+) / 5-11 @ 193 lbs / Thomas is a change of pace back with plus athletic ability and agility, who can be too eager to turn every run into a big play. He will need to run with better patience and discipline to keep running back coaches from staying in his face. Thomas is able to create yardage through burst, elusiveness and yards after contact, but he lacks consistency from run to run. Thomas needs work, but he has the talent to potentially attract attention late on Day 3.
**I like this guy as a sidekick to both Foreman, Blue and Miller. His biggest contributions in 2018 could be on ST's while he gains a little more weight and strength.**

So, rate this draft and let me know how this draft would rate for you.
 
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