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Mike Mayock 2015 Mock

Playoffs

Playoffs

Hall of Fame
Mock draft 1.0: Titans don't trade No. 2 pick
By Mike Mayock

1
TB
JAMEIS WINSTON QBFLORIDA ST.

Winston is the prototypical drop-back passer. He throws too many interceptions, but you can take that if he's willing to make the next step at the NFL level. With last-year's first-round pick Mike Evans and second-round pick Austin Seferian-Jenkins, plus Vincent Jackson, the Buccaneers want to push the football down the field and this kid will help them do that.

2
TEN
MARCUS MARIOTA QBOREGON

Critics say the "Oregon spread" doesn't have progressions, doesn't have reads. That's a misconception. Zach Mettenberger was a sixth-round pick last year but he has first-round talent. However, he also has off-field issues. If a team is drafting somebody at No. 2 overall, that team is expecting him to be ready to go Day 1.

3
JAC
DANTE FOWLER, JR. OLBFLORIDA

The Jaguars can team Fowler and newcomer Jared Odrick to form a formidable defensive front. He reminds me of Khalil Mack from last year's draft.

4
OAK
AMARI COOPER WRALABAMA

This kid is most pro-ready receiver in the draft. What a great upgrade for second-year quarterback Derek Carr.

5
WAS
LEONARD WILLIAMS DEUSC

This is the top player on my board, and this club is ecstatic he's available at No. 5.

6
NYJ
KEVIN WHITE WRWEST VIRGINIA

White would be a great addition to the Jets. Is he a one-year wonder? That's the question, but his upside is tremendous. He gives Geno Smith another weapon.

7
CHI
TRAE WAYNES CBMICHIGAN ST.

Waynes comes from a great program at Michigan State, and he'll be a Day 1 starter alongside Kyle Fuller.

8
ATL
BUD DUPREE OLBKENTUCKY

Dupree is a fast riser. The tape is not as consistent as coaches would like, but he's so genetically gifted. You can see the ability; he just needs more consistency.

9
NYG
BRANDON SCHERFF OGIOWA

Perfect fit for the Giants. Scherff benefited from the play of the Dallas Cowboys' Zack Martin, a left tackle in college who moved inside in the NFL. Scherff will give the Giants more options up front and is one of the safer picks in this draft.

10
STL
ERECK FLOWERS OGMIAMI

I think St. Louis would like to trade down. However, Flowers is a body mover; a developmental top-level player.

11
MIN
DEVANTE PARKER WRLOUISVILLE

Parker was Bridgewater's teammate from Louisville. Parker can high-point the football, and was highly productive when on the field.

12
CLE
DANNY SHELTON NTWASHINGTON

The Browns were No. 32 against the running game last season. That will change with the addition of Shelton.

13
NO
VIC BEASLEY OLBCLEMSON

Beasley is probably the most natural pass rusher in the entire draft class. Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan can be creative with how he uses Beasley.

14
MIA
KEVIN JOHNSON CBWAKE FOREST

Johnson is the cleanest corner in the draft. By clean I mean he can play inside, outside, press, or off coverage. Coaches know what they're getting with Johnson.

15
SF
ARIK ARMSTEAD DTOREGON

The sky is the limit for Armstead. He's a perfect scheme fit for the 49ers as a five-technique defensive lineman.

16
HOU
BRESHAD PERRIMAN WRCENTRAL FLORIDA

Let's make whoever plays quarterback for the Texans happy. The knock on Perriman was his hands, but he showed natural hands at his pro day.

17
SD
TODD GURLEY RBGEORGIA

The Chargers were No. 30 in the league in rushing last season. They have to give Philip Rivers some help, and Gurley is a game-changer.

18
KC
CAMERON ERVING CFLORIDA ST.

Andy Reid loves the big fellas, and Erving fits a need. He is the best center in the draft and upgrades the whole line.

19
CLE
MELVIN GORDON RBWISCONSIN

Cleveland can follow the Seattle model for winning. Run the football, play good defense and special teams, and then win it in the fourth quarter. Gordon has the best patience and balance of any running back in the draft. I think there's still plenty of time with the depth at wide receiver for Cleveland to circle back and get a receiver. Gordon changes a team's offense.

20
PHI
DAMARIOUS RANDALL FSARIZONA STATE

Randall is probably the fastest-rising prospect in this draft class. He has coverage skills and great range on the back end. This kid is today's NFL safety; he has great range but you give up some physicality.

21
CIN
MALCOM BROWN DTTEXAS

With the top edge-rushing prospects off the board, the Bengals go with Brown. Bengals defensive coordinator Paul Guenther will be happy to have him.

22
PIT
BYRON JONES CBCONNECTICUT

Jones blew up the combine, jumping farther in the standing broad jump than any human being ever did. Jones can play press corner or even free safety.

23
DET
ANDRUS PEAT OTSTANFORD

This guy can be a right or left tackle. He's a gifted player.

24
ARI
D.J. HUMPHRIES OTFLORIDA

Humphries is the best left tackle in this draft class. Cardinals general manager Steve Keim has done a great job upgrading that offensive line. They have to protect their 35-year-old quarterback, Carson Palmer.

25
CAR
T.J. CLEMMINGS OTPITTSBURGH

Clemmings was a high school basketball player and has just two years of experience on the offensive side of the football. He will help the Panthers' offensive line immediately.

26
BAL
MARCUS PETERS CBWASHINGTON

From a talent perspective, Peters is probably a top-15 pick. There are off-the-field concerns with Peters. Again, the Ravens are patient and get a talented kid.

27
DAL
LANDON COLLINS SSALABAMA

This is not sexy, but Collins is a solid pick. He can help on special teams, and play linebacker in the dime package. This is not a boom-or-bust situation.

28
DEN
JAKE FISHER OTOREGON

This is the left tackle who fits coach Gary Kubiak's scheme the best. Fisher can last in a high-tempo offense.

29
IND
CEDRIC OGBUEHI OTTEXAS A&M

Ogbuehi is one of the most skilled offensive tackles in the draft. He tore his ACL in January and is still recovering, but he can be a 10-year starter once healthy.

30
GB
DENZEL PERRYMAN ILBMIAMI

Ray Lewis. Jonathan Vilma. Jon Beason. Perryman is another one of those tough, hard-hosed linebackers from "The U". Perryman also allows the Packers to move Clay Matthews back outside.

31
NO
DORIAL GREEN-BECKHAM WRMISSOURI

Green-Beckham is a boom-or-bust prospect, but is gifted beyond all know how.

32
NE
RANDY GREGORY OLBNEBRASKA

Gregory is another boom-or-bust prospect. He has top-10 talent and is really intriguing. Will Bill Belichick consider selecting Gregory? Teams are always looking for edge rushers, and the Patriots have a great locker room environment to develop that talent. Amazing thing is, Gregory's very smart. If he can get his head wrapped around straight, he can be a Pro Bowler.
Click to expand...
http://www.nfl.com/draft/2015/mock-drafts/mike-mayock/270801
 
Lucky said:
I'm starting to believe that Perriman's the pick.
Click to expand...

I think you may very well be right, and don't know if that's a good thing or not.

Love to add that speed dimension tho
 
JB said:
I think you may very well be right, and don't know if that's a good thing or not.

Love to add that speed dimension tho
Click to expand...

Even better if he showed that speed element in more than workouts. Or while catching the ball with his hands. Or while just not dropping the ball.

I'm not sold on Perriman.
 
IDEXAN said:
Because Mayock said it ?
Click to expand...

No just that, as there has been others linking Perriman to the Texans for awhile. I can't see any of the top 3 WRs dropping, the recent problems of Ray and Gregory will keep them off the Texans 1st round board, and guys like Waynes and Dupree have almost zero chance to drop. O'Brien has talked about increasing the team's speed, and Perriman is probably the fastest player in the draft. Just seems like how it is lining up.
 
bah007 said:
If the big three are gone and we're dead set on a WR I'm just hoping it's Agholor.
Click to expand...

Me, too. I hadn't done any background on Perriman, but his interview raises some questions for me. Agholor, on the other hand, is super sharp.
 
Not related to the Texans but I like how both Gruden and Mayock have come out and talked about the misconceptions of the Oregon offense.

It's such a talking point on Mariota but he went through way more reads and progressions than he gets credit for. Meanwhile, Winston gets way too much credit for going through reads and progressions in his "pro-style offense". He threw 18 INT's last year and a big reason why is because he wasn't reading and he wasn't progressing.
 
WolverineFan said:
Not related to the Texans but I like how both Gruden and Mayock have come out and talked about the misconceptions of the Oregon offense.

It's such a talking point on Mariota but he went through way more reads and progressions than he gets credit for. Meanwhile, Winston gets way too much credit for going through reads and progressions in his "pro-style offense". He threw 18 INT's last year and a big reason why is because he wasn't reading and he wasn't progressing.
Click to expand...

Blasphemy! Winston takes snaps from under center! Mariota could never learn how to do that..:kitten:
 
Lucky said:
No just that, as there has been others linking Perriman to the Texans for awhile. I can't see any of the top 3 WRs dropping, the recent problems of Ray and Gregory will keep them off the Texans 1st round board, and guys like Waynes and Dupree have almost zero chance to drop. O'Brien has talked about increasing the team's speed, and Perriman is probably the fastest player in the draft. Just seems like how it is lining up.
Click to expand...
Chris Conley at 4.35 6'2" 213 lbs is another option second day.
 
WolverineFan said:
Meanwhile, Winston gets way too much credit for going through reads and progressions in his "pro-style offense". He threw 18 INT's last year and a big reason why is because he wasn't reading and he wasn't progressing.
Click to expand...

I heard Phil Simms giving Winston props for trying to throw through "tight windows" and explaining away his picks. Then he asks, "Why did Mariota throw 4 interceptions? He only threw to wide open receivers and bubble screens." Basically, Winston 18 picks=good. Mariota 4 picks=bad.

As an aside, Simms said he could teach anyone to throw on the run in 30 minutes in his backyard. When I think of great passers on the run, I think of Montana, Staubach, Young, and...not Phil Simms.
 
Lucky said:
No just that, as there has been others linking Perriman to the Texans for awhile. I can't see any of the top 3 WRs dropping, the recent problems of Ray and Gregory will keep them off the Texans 1st round board, and guys like Waynes and Dupree have almost zero chance to drop. O'Brien has talked about increasing the team's speed, and Perriman is probably the fastest player in the draft. Just seems like how it is lining up.
Click to expand...

I haven't seen much of a consensus on Dupree. On his potential sure, but not in a way that screams top 15 no question. I think he could absolutely drop.
 
bah007 said:
If the big three are gone and we're dead set on a WR I'm just hoping it's Agholor.
Click to expand...

I'll 3rd this notion. Would rather make a slight reach on Agholor in the 1st than take Perriman. I'd also rather have Cam Erving, Malcolm Brown, or Marcus Peters in the 1st over Perriman.
 
Lucky said:
O'Brien has talked about increasing the team's speed, and Perriman is probably the fastest player in the draft. Just seems like how it is lining up.
Click to expand...

You may be taking that a little too literal. Team speed could mean a speedier inside or outside linebacker. Another DB who can keep up with the WRs in our division.

Also it doesn't mean that speed is the highest determining factor in choosing our #1 selection. WE can improve overall team speed later in the draft.
 
Blake said:
You may be taking that a little too literal.
Click to expand...
Maybe. The Texans haven't surprised me often. This could be the time they have me fooled.

I don't even know if Perriman will be there at #16. With Ray, Gregory, and now La'el Collins falling out of the top half of the draft, the top talent is thin. The Saints or Dolphins may be looking at Perriman, now.
 
Lucky said:
Maybe. The Texans haven't surprised me often. This could be the time they have me fooled.

I don't even know if Perriman will be there at #16. With Ray, Gregory, and now La'el Collins falling out of the top half of the draft, the top talent is thin. The Saints or Dolphins may be looking at Perriman, now.
Click to expand...

Maybe. In that case it may be wise to go another direction and see if you can get a good WR somewhere in the 2nd.
 
Blake said:
Maybe. In that case it may be wise to go another direction and see if you can get a good WR somewhere in the 2nd.
Click to expand...
I think we assume that there will be a WR @51, based upon mocks we've seen, including ours. But, there could be a run on WR (bottom 1st-top 2nd) that takes the 2nd tier WRs off the board. Then the Texans miss out, or have to burn a pick to move up. I'm OK to use a pick to trade up for a Cooper or White. Not so much a Dorsett or Coates. These speed WRs could dry up faster than these mocks are showing. Some of the picks behind the Texans (18,19,20,26) could easily go WR.
 
No WR @16 (but maybe after a trade down)? Says Walterfootball.com

In the final days leading up to the draft, many have been projecting the Houston Texans to take Nelson Agholor or Breshad Perriman with the 16th-overall pick. The reasoning is understandable, as Houston moved on from franchise great Andre Johnson this offseason, and they need a No. 1 receiver. However, sources say they don't see the Texans taking Agholor or Perriman at pick 16. Those two players would be options if the team moved down, but if Houston remains at 16, Perriman or Agholor won't be in the running for the pick.
Click to expand...
 
Wolf6151 said:
I'll 3rd this notion. Would rather make a slight reach on Agholor in the 1st than take Perriman. I'd also rather have Cam Erving, Malcolm Brown, or Marcus Peters in the 1st over Perriman.
Click to expand...

^^^^
This

BOB takes O'Leary's guy this yr.

Hope I'm wrong or Perriman. Conley is the same kinda guy.
 
I simply don't have a feel for OB's preferences regarding draft picks, to guess what he will do. Smith likes our first pick to start and to be an impact player.

If Dupree is available at #16, I think we take him. But I don't think he will be there. I think Cameron Erving would be a fine addition to the team. But it's questionable whether he would start and also whether he would qualify for being an "impact" player as a rookie. Same goes for selecting a safety or CB.

I still think it comes down to a WR at #16, who would instantly start as our #2 receiver and who would have the potential to be an impact player as a rookie.

I'm with Lucky in believing if we wait, there's a real possibility of missing out on a receiver we want.

Like I said, I don't how important these qualifications are to OB.
 
I think OB has his favorite, his name is DeVante Parker & Rick will have the green light to move up, project Vikings, to land Andre Johnsons successor. Texan worthy :logo:
So in this scenero, Mike nailed it.
 
badboy said:
Chris Conley at 4.35 6'2" 213 lbs is another option second day.
Click to expand...

Luckys points are all right on about Perriman and he may very well be the pick, but there's also several other WRSs like Conley who can be had in later rounds. It's a very deep class for WRs and the Texans may want to leverage that depth with other WRs like Conley, Dorseet at the U, and Devin Smith at OSU
all of whom have speed equivalent to Perrimans.
 
I may have botched pick for Eagles by passing on Perriman but addressing primary need can resolve more issues rather than higher graded prospect sometimes. In the end how does he impact bottom line, wins & losses, nobody will care where he was graded out in draft if he takes care of business.
 
infantrycak said:
You say this like it is different from the other 31 gms.
Click to expand...
If a head coach prefers not to start rookies at certain positions, I find it reasonable that a GM would defer and would draft with the understanding that the player would likely not be starting right off the bat. I commented that I wasn't certain of OB's position and stated a position that I've heard Smith publically make. I do find that OB's position seems to be not to start rookies. How much this applies to a first round pick, I don't know.
 
Number19 said:
If a head coach prefers not to start rookies at certain positions, I find it reasonable that a GM would defer and would draft with the understanding that the player would likely not be starting right off the bat. I commented that I wasn't certain of OB's position and stated a position that I've heard Smith publically make. I do find that OB's position seems to be not to start rookies. How much this applies to a first round pick, I don't know.
Click to expand...

Clowney started


First game anyway :mariopalm:
 
He must be tied in (no La'el Collins) 1st. rd. I just heard about this late morning, makes you wonder how much inside info we never hear about?
 
Blake said:
Maybe. In that case it may be wise to go another direction and see if you can get a good WR somewhere in the 2nd.
Click to expand...

Lucky said:
I think we assume that there will be a WR @51, based upon mocks we've seen, including ours. But, there could be a run on WR (bottom 1st-top 2nd) that takes the 2nd tier WRs off the board.
Click to expand...
Blalke was right. There was a good WR available (actually in the 3rd). And I was right in that there would be a run on WR between 16-50 (6 selected). What neither of us knew was that Strong would be available in the 3rd round.

If rumors (or John McClain & Jason Braddock on twitter) are to be believed, the Texans wanted Dorsett in the 1st, and Tyler Lockett in the 3rd. Yet after it all, they ended up with Strong. This reminds me of the story that the Vikes had Manziel over Bridgewater last year. But couldn't or wouldn't move up to get Johnny Football. Sometimes, you need a little luck in the draft, even if you don't see it as such at the time. While I like what Dorsett and Lockett bring to the table, Strong will be the better everydown WR.

Lucky said:
No WR @16 (but maybe after a trade down)? Says Walterfootball.com
Click to expand...
Walter was right. And according to McClain, that would have still been the case had Parker dropped to #16.

BTW, Mayock got 26 of 32 of the 1st round draftees. He's pretty clued in.
 
Lucky said:
Blalke was right. There was a good WR available (actually in the 3rd). And I was right in that there would be a run on WR between 16-50 (6 selected). What neither of us knew was that Strong would be available in the 3rd round.

If rumors (or John McClain & Jason Braddock on twitter) are to be believed, the Texans wanted Dorsett in the 1st, and Tyler Lockett in the 3rd. Yet after it all, they ended up with Strong. This reminds me of the story that the Vikes had Manziel over Bridgewater last year. But couldn't or wouldn't move up to get Johnny Football. Sometimes, you need a little luck in the draft, even if you don't see it as such at the time. While I like what Dorsett and Lockett bring to the table, Strong will be the better everydown WR.


Walter was right. And according to McClain, that would have still been the case had Parker dropped to #16.

BTW, Mayock got 26 of 32 of the 1st round draftees. He's pretty clued in.
Click to expand...

Hopefully you're right.

I have my doubts, wonder if BOB is pretty pissed at Rick today?
 
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