It's actually not that difficult to judge on paper. Baseball statisticians use the Pythagorean Theorem to determine expected wins and losses via runs scored. The same can be done for football.
View attachment 9743
The Texans scored 280 points and allowed 452 points.
Expected record = 280²/(280² + 452²) x 17 = (78400/(78400+ 204304)) x 17
Texans Expected Record in 2021 = 4.7 wins - 12.3 losses.
Pretty close to their actual record of 4-13
The other teams that finished in the bottom 5 of record expected records:
Jags - 4.0 Wins - 13.0 Losses (3-14 actual)
Lions - 5.5 Wins - 11.5 Losses (3-13-1 actual)
Jets - 4.7 Wins - 12.3 Losses (4-13 actual)
Giants - 4.7 Wins - 12.3 Losses (4-13 actual)
So the Texans were about 4 TDs away from being the worst team in the NFL. So thank you Mark Ingram, Phillip Lindsay, and Anthony Miller. Your TDs kept the Texans from being the bottom of the barrel.