DenverBorn
Waterboy
OK well Washington lost last night, ending the season at 5-11
If we win today, I think our lowest possible draft position is 7th. To get 7th, Minnesota has to beat St Louis at home (very possible) and San Francisco has to beat Denver on the road (very unlikely). To summarize, if we win:
Minn win, SF win - 7th
Minn win, SF loss - 8th
Minn loss, SF loss - 9th
If we lose today, aside from having a total organizational meltdown, we'll be affected by (a) Tampa Bay's outcome at home vs Seattle , (b) Arizona's outcome at San Diego, and (c) our relative SOS with Washington. So let's summarize the possibilities, if the Texans lose today:
TB loss, AZ loss: 5th or 6th (depending on relative SOS with Washington)
TB win, AZ loss: 4th or 5th
TB win, AZ win : 3rd or 4th
Notwithstanding what I posted elsewhere, it does appear mathematically possible for us to draft 6th. I stand corrected. That being said, I'll be an optimist today and predict that we'll beat the Browns. My gut tells me that SF will lose to a Denver team that is trying to reach the playoffs, and Minnesota will win at home against the Rams. That puts us in the 8th draft position.
7:30 PM edit - of course the one scenario I forgot to mention up top was Minn loss/SF win. Which is what happened . So much for all of this thinking -
If we win today, I think our lowest possible draft position is 7th. To get 7th, Minnesota has to beat St Louis at home (very possible) and San Francisco has to beat Denver on the road (very unlikely). To summarize, if we win:
Minn win, SF win - 7th
Minn win, SF loss - 8th
Minn loss, SF loss - 9th
If we lose today, aside from having a total organizational meltdown, we'll be affected by (a) Tampa Bay's outcome at home vs Seattle , (b) Arizona's outcome at San Diego, and (c) our relative SOS with Washington. So let's summarize the possibilities, if the Texans lose today:
TB loss, AZ loss: 5th or 6th (depending on relative SOS with Washington)
TB win, AZ loss: 4th or 5th
TB win, AZ win : 3rd or 4th
Notwithstanding what I posted elsewhere, it does appear mathematically possible for us to draft 6th. I stand corrected. That being said, I'll be an optimist today and predict that we'll beat the Browns. My gut tells me that SF will lose to a Denver team that is trying to reach the playoffs, and Minnesota will win at home against the Rams. That puts us in the 8th draft position.
7:30 PM edit - of course the one scenario I forgot to mention up top was Minn loss/SF win. Which is what happened . So much for all of this thinking -