infantrycak said:
Not singling you out, but I have heard similar sentiments expressed several times and don't quite understand it--maybe you can explain. Mario Williams is widely reported as grading out as well as or better than Julius Peppers. A great many folks would now say Peppers was the best person in the 2002 draft and should have been our #1 pick. So why is Williams not worth the #1 pick? Why not pull a Cowboys?--use the perception that Williams is not a #1 pick and pre-negotiate a lower salary and take him there anyway if that is what helps the team.
When I think of actually spending the #1 overall pick instead of trading it , I am looking for simply The Best player in the draft reguardless of position , a Special player , a player that impacts his team without question immediately.
This year I think there are four players who fit the above description . Those would be (in No Specific Order) Vince Young , Reggie Bush , Matt Leinart and Vernon Davis. Of those ..... Three of them would likely be #1 overall If they came out in seperate seasons based on what they have done in college . (accept Davis , teams just dont use the #1 on a TE.)
The first three play positions that are easy to spend the #1 overall pick on , QB and RB ..... But none play a need position for this team . Add to that the longterm commitments to David Carr and Dominic Davis .... Picking one of those players would be quite difficult .The fourth is a TE .... Teams just dont take TE's #1 overall .... The highest a TE has ever been taken was 2nd overall .... back in the 1930's I believe (may be off on the time line)
As for Williams , I think he's a solid talent but not quite the game changer the others have the potential to be. Thats why I wouldnt take him #1 overall . And I'm not sold that he's the best player in the draft at his position . To explain this further ..... He didnt even have the best work-outs at the combine for his position .... His teammate from N.C. ST. Manny Lawson was far superior and his value skyrocketed into the first round as a result. Although I think Williams is a better fit for the scheme the Texans will operate from next season.
As for your idea of pulling a Cowboy and pre-negotiating a contract with him with the pre-conception that he's not worthy of the #1 is in itself a waste of the pick ..... They have to get value for the pick .... Either pick the best player or trade the pick and at least get some value for it. As it stands now trading the pick is going to be difficult .
If Casserly cant orchestrate a trade down ..... Im begining to think the best option for the Texans to do is take Leinart number one and hold him for ransom to the Aints , Jets and Titans .... One of those three teams would bite on a trade .... Like the Chargers did with Eli Manning in 04 .... The Texans could get their target player and value for the pick .