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Beerlover Final Texan 2013 Mock

Do not over look Hunter's 40.5 vert pro day increasing it by an inch over combine. Very intriguing prospect that despite dropping balls after injury still had 1,000 yds. May need to shake off mental issues of the ACL but tons of ceiling. Weighed in just under 200 at combine. Many mocks have him in second but IMO not much of a reach at #27.

Yep. He is an intriguing prospect. If he was a bit heavier with good hands, to go with his speed and size, he would be going in the top 10, possibly top 5. A guy like that simply does not fall unless there are some character questions. Weight, can be added and hands can be improved. Height and speed generally cannot be improved.

I had been mocking him to 27 for a while and then in the last non-trade down mock, had Allen falling to the Texans. To be honest there are a lot of interesting WR prospects in this draft. If the Texans went WR I would be happy with Allen, Patterson, Hunter, Woods, or Hopkins. I think there are fine gradations between them and all of them would have an opportunity to succeed as the #2 to AJ.
 
usually down to a couple days before the draft there is more crystallization as to who teams favor or likely to go with not as much this year. those of us who do this on a season long, continual basis are probably guilty of over analyzing process as well. Trying to break down a particular position of need like WR has been daunting to say the least. To me there are two principles in play, one the notion the difference between the top 6 or 7 receivers is not so great that you can still acquire similar talent even if you trade down & choose one later in the 2nd. The other is you take the BPA for position of greatest need which is another weapon for Schaub who can separate.

after thoroughly reviewing tape, potential, workouts, character on & off the field issues & best fit for system, Justin Hunter, to my surprise, easily emerged as the clear winner. In fact the gap between him & the next WR is greater & therefore warrants selecting him #27 instead of trading down because if you do trade down you pass on the best shot Texans have to upgrade position opposite Andre Johnson. Listening to Barry Warner when driving home from work tonight & he started talking about Terrance Williams, Quinton Patton as products of their system & not being ready, at least as rookies to impact immediately. Wheaten is just a more polished Keshawn Martin who at least has his rookie season under his belt so you can cross him off your list as well. Austin may be the first WR off the board in a battle with Patterson so don't expect those two to be hanging around mid to late 20's.

BIG THREE

Keenan Allen- does not have the speed Texans covet but uses all his supreme athletic talent to add yards after the catch. His recent injury & rehab aside it's difficult for me to sign off on him with Posey most likely starting season on PUP. Would be worth the wait if available.

DeAndre Hopkins- another big soft hands catcher like Keenan with good core strength. healthy no injury hampering him so has ability to impact early on in the NFL, plays bigger that size but of the three may be the biggest diva. Character concerns to Texans, maybe & also maybe the 3rd WR taken off the board in the first round before Texans select.

Justin Hunter- Best combination of size & speed in this whole class. Should be fully 100% after his acl two years ago expect his speed & confidence to climb. Will have adjustment period, but can develop into a red zone go to guy for Schaub & earn his reps, especially effective with his size & leaping ability on fade routes. He is a home run all around for Texans #27 both in terms of bpa, value & need.

DARK HORSE

Robert Woods- Consummate teammate who is accustomed to being a true #2 & probably always will be in the NFL so don't get hopes up as a #1 WR for the future. What you do get is immediate production has played in a pro style offense so is polished & can run entire pro route tree, has speed, decent size, some durability concerns with his shoulder but a willing blocker. Would come in & upgrade #2 WR over departed Kevin Walter.

All are worthy of the 27th selection, but clearly the best shot, most realistic too is Justin Hunter -
justin-hunter.jpg


http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-netwo...0000154393/2013-Combine-workout-Justin-Hunter
 
usually down to a couple days before the draft there is more crystallization as to who teams favor or likely to go with not as much this year. those of us who do this on a season long, continual basis are probably guilty of over analyzing process as well. Trying to break down a particular position of need like WR has been daunting to say the least. To me there are two principles in play, one the notion the difference between the top 6 or 7 receivers is not so great that you can still acquire similar talent even if you trade down & choose one later in the 2nd. The other is you take the BPA for position of greatest need which is another weapon for Schaub who can separate.

after thoroughly reviewing tape, potential, workouts, character on & off the field issues & best fit for system, Justin Hunter, to my surprise, easily emerged as the clear winner. In fact the gap between him & the next WR is greater & therefore warrants selecting him #27 instead of trading down because if you do trade down you pass on the best shot Texans have to upgrade position opposite Andre Johnson. Listening to Barry Warner when driving home from work tonight & he started talking about Terrance Williams, Quinton Patton as products of their system & not being ready, at least as rookies to impact immediately. Wheaten is just a more polished Keshawn Martin who at least has his rookie season under his belt so you can cross him off your list as well. Austin may be the first WR off the board in a battle with Patterson so don't expect those two to be hanging around mid to late 20's.

BIG THREE

Keenan Allen- does not have the speed Texans covet but uses all his supreme athletic talent to add yards after the catch. His recent injury & rehab aside it's difficult for me to sign off on him with Posey most likely starting season on PUP. Would be worth the wait if available.

DeAndre Hopkins- another big soft hands catcher like Keenan with good core strength. healthy no injury hampering him so has ability to impact early on in the NFL, plays bigger that size but of the three may be the biggest diva. Character concerns to Texans, maybe & also maybe the 3rd WR taken off the board in the first round before Texans select.

Justin Hunter- Best combination of size & speed in this whole class. Should be fully 100% after his acl two years ago expect his speed & confidence to climb. Will have adjustment period, but can develop into a red zone go to guy for Schaub & earn his reps, especially effective with his size & leaping ability on fade routes. He is a home run all around for Texans #27 both in terms of bpa, value & need.

DARK HORSE

Robert Woods- Consummate teammate who is accustomed to being a true #2 & probably always will be in the NFL so don't get hopes up as a #1 WR for the future. What you do get is immediate production has played in a pro style offense so is polished & can run entire pro route tree, has speed, decent size, some durability concerns with his shoulder but a willing blocker. Would come in & upgrade #2 WR over departed Kevin Walter.

All are worthy of the 27th selection, but clearly the best shot, most realistic too is Justin Hunter -
justin-hunter.jpg


http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-netwo...0000154393/2013-Combine-workout-Justin-Hunter
I'm calling it right here: your "DarkHorse" comes off of the Board before any of those other "Big Three" WRs do ?
And far as Hunter goes, most upside but least ready to contribute in '13 of any of those receivers IMO.
 
After watching this, I see Hunter can catch all of Schaub's favorite throws; low, behind him, and slow down for the under throw.

right, you noticed & deduced similar conclusion? ability to adjust to the ball is very underrated & his hands look OK to me. he seems to have a huge catching radius it will be very hard for Matt to overthrow him but defenses would still have to respect.
 
Hunter is a beast...

I love the fact that even though he's a tall fast guy, he can still make people miss in a close quarters...
 
quickly just a cross check using somebody else's (Lance Zierlein) pre-draft grades after the fact. I believe Hunter has moved up boards since he posted while Jesse Williams falls. Trevardo is spot on, physical despite size with ability to stack & shed blockers. Phillip is probably off the board, possible trade up if Texans like him but not over Tre. Vance McDonald homer pick/grade, everybody should know by now 4th is sweet spot for Texans war room addressing TE position. Jordan probably gone. Fuller could still be there while I like Webster more because could flip as SS prospect as well. Given lack of special teams depth & LB's I would not sleep on need although probably add value/depth with UDFA LB position.

1). Justin Hunter, WR - 1st/2nd
2). Jesse Williams, NT - 1st/2nd
3). Trevardo Williams, OLB - 3rd/4th
3). Phillip Thomas, S - 2nd/3rd
4). Vance McDonald, TE - 3rd
5). Jordan Mills, OT - 4th
6). Corey Fuller, WR - 5th
6). Kayvon Webster, CB - 7th
7). Keith Pough, LB - UDFA
 
2 out of 9 & late round picks as that once again frustrates my efforts. starting with first pick, DeAndre Hopkins. Right position wrong player 50/50. Should have factored higher blocking & fit with Schaub which is what seems to drive Texan board, not necessarily bpa. here is Jason Boris mock draft consistently rated the #1 prognosticator so I'm in good company -
http://www.tnonline.com/2013/apr/25/nfl-draft
27. HOUSTON TEXANS - Justin Hunter (WR, Tennessee)

Andre Johnson isn't getting any younger and the Texans have needed a #2 wide receiver for years. Hunter provides the size and speed to stretch the field, just like Johnson when he first came into the league. Hunter will be able to take pressure off Johnson and Arian Foster, while also replacing Kevin Walter, who moved on to Tennessee.

pissed Texans stayed pat in 2nd with Authur Brown sitting right there & Ravens traded up right in front to grab him after winning Super Bowl with former Texan Jacoby Jones who should have been mvp.
 
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