Keep Texans Talk Google Ad Free!
Venmo Tip Jar | Paypal Tip Jar
Thanks for your support! 🍺😎👍

Accuracy of Big Boards

BullRushTX

BullRushTX

To'oTo'o A'go-go
Last year I kept a running list of draft prospects the Texans spoke with and where three draft sites predicted they'd fall. I went back and calculated the correlation between where the prospects were listed on the big boards and where they were actually drafted to see which site had the best predictions. The information is from the top 83 prospects the Texans interviewed. I am aware that this information may only be interesting to me:

CBS Sports = 0.72
NFL Draft Buzz = 0.76
PFF = 0.64
 
BullRushTX said:
Last year I kept a running list of draft prospects the Texans spoke with and where three draft sites predicted they'd fall. I went back and calculated the correlation between where the prospects were listed on the big boards and where they were actually drafted to see which site had the best predictions. The information is from the top 83 prospects the Texans interviewed. I am aware that this information may only be interesting to me:

CBS Sports = 0.72
NFL Draft Buzz = 0.76
PFF = 0.64
Click to expand...

I'd be curious in terms of the timing of the mock draft release as well. I feel like they get more accurate as the draft gets closer (leaks start to come out), until it gets to the stage where teams start releasing misinformation to manipulate the predictions. I'd guess about 2 weeks before the draft is the most accurate, but that's just a random guess.

PS. Hehe, don't worry BullRushTX this board is full of draft-nerds/obsessers. You're not alone!
 
BullRushTX said:
Last year I kept a running list of draft prospects the Texans spoke with and where three draft sites predicted they'd fall. I went back and calculated the correlation between where the prospects were listed on the big boards and where they were actually drafted to see which site had the best predictions. The information is from the top 83 prospects the Texans interviewed. I am aware that this information may only be interesting to me:

CBS Sports = 0.72
NFL Draft Buzz = 0.76
PFF = 0.64
Click to expand...
As the song goes, you have too much time on your hands! Actually thanks for posting.
 
Lucky said:
Not sure about mock boards, but this site ranks mock draft accuracy over the past 5 years.
Click to expand...
Interesting as in 2024 on texanstalk.com I was told that Walter Football was the most accurate and a link was provided by the poster. According to this, Walter Football was not even in the Last 5 Years.
I didn't notice that for the majority their accuracy was up and down significantly from year to year.
 
cland said:
I'd be curious in terms of the timing of the mock draft release as well. I feel like they get more accurate as the draft gets closer (leaks start to come out), until it gets to the stage where teams start releasing misinformation to manipulate the predictions. I'd guess about 2 weeks before the draft is the most accurate, but that's just a random guess.

PS. Hehe, don't worry BullRushTX this board is full of draft-nerds/obsessers. You're not alone!
Click to expand...
Beat me to it and exactly on your PS!
 
cland said:
I'd be curious in terms of the timing of the mock draft release as well. I feel like they get more accurate as the draft gets closer (leaks start to come out), until it gets to the stage where teams start releasing misinformation to manipulate the predictions. I'd guess about 2 weeks before the draft is the most accurate, but that's just a random guess.

PS. Hehe, don't worry BullRushTX this board is full of draft-nerds/obsessers. You're not alone!
Click to expand...
As a recall, I refreshed all the numbers about a week before the draft. I wanted the most accurate numbers when I was putting my final mock together.
 
badboy said:
Interesting as in 2024 on texanstalk.com I was told that Walter Football was the most accurate and a link was provided by the poster. According to this, Walter Football was not even in the Last 5 Years.
I didn't notice that for the majority their accuracy was up and down significantly from year to year.
Click to expand...
Good point. I don't see Walterfootball even listed. Or anyone from ESPN. Makes me dubious that this list is complete.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top