538 2016 Predictions

[jradMIT]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/

Pretty interesting statistical season predictions. Predicts the probability for every game in the season for each team.

Texans
13th in ELO Rating
11th in Probability to make the playoffs 49%
8.3 wins predicted
Division favorite 43% to win, Colts 36%, Jags 12%, Tenn 8%

 

[jradMIT]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/

 

[Mollywhopper]

If you press the keys harder when you post it a third time people might respond...

 

[EVOLVIST]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/

Texans
13th in ELO Rating

How does Denver still get to sit in the #1 spot with cupcakes at QB...and how the hell does Electric Light Orchestra get to rate American football team?

 

[jradMIT]

Think of the ELO numbers as a baseline purely, record, stat, schedule, and historically based. Its a baseline to start with when you evaluate game and teams. Meaning that 43% a team in the Texans situation wins the division.