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2014 National Championship: Florida State vs. Auburn

TexansSeminole

Hall of Fame
BCS championship in Pasadena, Calif.

No. 1 Florida State (13-0) vs. No. 2 Auburn (12-1)

Time/TV: 8:30 p.m. ET/ESPN. Surface: Grass.

Glantz-Culver line: Florida State by 8½. Sagarin difference: Florida State by 14.63.

Bowl records: Florida State 24-14-2, Auburn 22-13-2. Series: Auburn leads 13-4-1 (won last meeting 20-17 in 1990).

It probably goes without saying that Auburn wants a high-scoring game. If the Tigers can generate some easy early scores and force FSU to keep up with its high-octane, high-energy attack, then not only will AU be defining the game, but it will force the Seminoles to do something they haven't had to do all year: win a close game.

Quite a few people seem to be leaning toward Auburn because the Noles haven't been tested. (Insert Lou Holtz's "steel is forged through fire" line here.) But that only matters if Auburn can actually test them. While the Seminoles' schedule hasn't been difficult, the stats still favor them by double digits for a reason: they've been dominant. They haven't been tested in part because they've aced potential tests by halftime.

The longer this game stays close, the more it favors Auburn, but Auburn still faces burden of proof. If Missouri scored on seven of its first 11 drives against Auburn in the SEC title game, an in-rhythm FSU offense could score on nine. Auburn's defense is good but hasn't proven it can stop an offense of this caliber, and while we are defining this game as the battle of FSU's defense and Auburn's offense, for that to matter, Auburn has to come up with answers on defense, too.

We can hope for a great game here, and we might get it, but the odds of that are about as good as the odds of FSU winning handily. Malzahn's magic could take hold, but this has felt like FSU's year for a long time now.

Link

This should be a fun title game to watch.

Prospects to watch for Florida State:

QB Jameis Winston
WRs Kelvin Benjamin, Rashad Greene, and Kenny Shaw
TE Nick O'Leary
RBs Devonte Freeman, James Wilder, and Karlos Williams
OT Cameron Erving
C Bryan Stork
DE/ILB Christian Jones
DT Timmy Jernigan
DEs Mario Edwards and Eddie Goldman (more like 3-4 defensive ends or 4-3 DTs, both true sophomores)
ILB Telvin Smith
S/CB Lemarcus Joyner
S Jalen Ramsey (outstanding true freshman)
CB P.J. Williams (true sophomore)

Prospects to watch for Auburn:

QB/ATH Nick Marshall
RB Tre Mason
FB Jay Prosch
WR Sammie Coates
OT Greg Robinson
OLB/DE Dee Ford
LB Cassanova McKinzy
DE Carl Lawson (freshman)
CB Chris Davis

The big matchup will be Auburn's run game against Florida State's defense. Florida State defensive tackle Timmy Jernigan will be key for FSU in stopping Auburn's run game. If Jernigan, Mario Edwards and Eddie Goldman can control the middle, the speed of Florida State's linebackers and secondary should be able to keep Auburn's run game in check. If not, this game will likely be very much back in forth all game.

Who are you putting your money on?
 
I'm taking FSU. Their D-Line is awesome and they have speed to burn at LB and DB. They will be able to matuchup on the back end with superior players and the front seven can focus on stopping the run.

On offense, they have the O-Line to control Auburn's defensive front and the QB and the weapons to dissect them. They need to focus more on the running game than they have in the past, but if they keep Winston clean they should move the ball just fine.

On the surface, I think FSU is 14-17 points better than Auburn, but I think it will be a closer game than that. I think they control the game for the most part, but Auburn remains a threat throughout. I'll say.....

FSU 34, Auburn 24
 
NFL draft prep: National Championship prospects
*Denotes juniors
**Denotes redshirt sophomores
*Cameron Erving – OT, Florida State, No. 75

It wasn’t too long ago when the 6-foot-5, 320-pound Erving lined up on the defensive side of the ball as a promising, run-stuffing tackle for the Seminoles. But, in need of offensive line depth, the coaching staff felt Erving had the length and athleticism to make the transition to left tackle, and now he’s developed into one of the best linemen in the draft.

Blessed with natural gifts, tremendous size, athleticism and footwork, Erving -- who won the ACC Jacobs Blocking Trophy, awarded annually to the most outstanding blocker in the ACC -- has just scratched the surface of his true potential. Protecting the blindside of the Heisman Trophy winner Jameis Winston, who won’t be eligible for the draft until 2015, has boosted his stock at a rapid rate.

Prospect reflection: Eugene Monroe (Virginia), 2009: First round (eighth overall) by Jacksonville Jaguars

*Timmy Jernigan - DT, Florida State, No. 8

A forceful interior defender, the 6-foot-2, 292-pound Jernigan possesses a quick first step, violent hands and gains leverage against the opposition with his outstanding balance and strength. Entering the contest against Auburn, Jernigan has been a disruptive force and generated 54 tackles, 10.5 for a loss, and 4.5 sacks in 13 games. With a strong performance in the National Championship and a standout performance during the draft process, it’s possible that Jernigan will climb into the top-20.

Prospect reflection: Mike Patterson (Southern Cal), 2005: First round (31st overall) by Philadelphia Eagles

Lamarcus Joyner - CB, Florida State, No. 20

Joyner is a tremendously athletic corner who, despite only being listed at 5-foot-8, 190 pounds, has the ability to line up on the perimeter or in the slot and shut down the opposition. He can be used in a variety of packages and excel, and he did just that this season by amassing 64 tackles, 6.5 for a loss, five sacks and two interceptions. However physical traits are always scrutinized during the draft process, and Joyner will likely feel the effects and fall further than he should on draft day.

Prospect reflection: Alphonso Smith (Wake Forest), 2009: Second round (37th overall) by Denver Broncos

**Kelvin Benjamin - WR, Florida State, No. 1

A monstrous receiver with unlimited potential, Benjamin, who stands at an imposing 6-foot-5 and 234 pounds, uses his unique size, speed and undeniable physical tools to dominate the competition. The big-play target of Winston, Benjamin, whose skill set is still developing, had a breakout season and hauled in 50 receptions for 957 yards and 14 touchdowns. Like most redshirt sophomores, Benjamin has a big decision to make about his football future after the National Championship, but unlike most young players with two years of eligibility remaining, Benjamin turns 23 years old next month and will likely want to pursue the NFL.

Prospect reflection: Brandon Marshall (Central Florida), 2006: Fourth round (119th overall) by Denver Broncos

Christian Jones - ILB, Florida State, No. 7

An athletic, explosive and versatile defender, the 6-foot-4, 235-pound Jones is a good pass rusher and solid against the run, but he’s a bit undersized and has to work on his cover skills. One of the leaders on the Seminoles defense, Jones recorded 49 tackles, 7.5 for a loss, two sacks and an interception in 11 starts. He’s the type of athlete who will emerge during the draft process, show he can be an impact player, and rise on teams’ draft boards.

Prospect reflection: Daryl Washington (TCU), 2010: Second round (47th overall) by Arizona Cardinals

Terrence Brooks - FS, Florida State, No. 31

A heady, rangy, physical defensive back, the 5-foot-11, 200-pound Brooks -- who posted 50 tackles, seven for a loss, a sack and two interceptions in 12 starts -- has developed into a dependable defender and solid special teams performer. Brooks’ versatility and aggressive style will attract interest from many teams on draft day, and he should come off the board at some point in the third round.

Prospect reflection: Josh Bullocks (Nebraska), 2005: Second round (40th overall) by New Orleans Saints

*Tre Mason - RB, Auburn, No. 21

The numbers that Mason produced this season are eye-popping, carrying the ball 283 times for 1,621 yards and 22 touchdowns. But NFL decision makers will have to determine if he is a product of the system or if he’s a true game-changing runner. Regardless, Mason, who is not the biggest runner but has a solid frame at 5-foot-10, 205 pounds, possesses the vision, instincts and quickness needed to be an effective runner at the next level.

Prospect reflection: DeAngelo Williams (Memphis), 2006: First round (27th overall) by Carolina Panthers

**Greg Robinson - OT, Auburn, No. 73

The 6-foot-5, 320-pound Robinson has been skyrocketing up my board with his rare skill set and genetic gifts. If I were to release a new top 100 today, Robinson would be ranked in the 30 – 40 range. There’s a lot of buzz about Robinson amongst the scouting community, and some believe he could ultimately be a top-15 pick if he declares. But with two years of eligibility remaining, Robinson has a huge decision to make: be a first-round pick in the 15 – 32 range or have a chance to be a top three selection in 2015. We’ll find out soon enough.

Prospect reflection: Michael Oher (Mississippi), 2009: First round (23rd overall) by Baltimore Ravens

Others to watch
Florida State: RB *Devonta Freeman (5-8, 203), RB *Karlos Williams (6-1, 223), RB *James Wilder Jr. (6-1, 229), WR Kenny Shaw (5-11, 170), WR *Rashad Greene (6-0, 180), TE *Nick O’Leary (6-3, 248), OG *Tre Jackson (6-4, 330), OG *Josue Matias (6-5, 322), OG *Bobby Hart (6-4, 315), C Bryan Stork (6-4, 300), OLB Telvin Smith (6-2, 218), OLB **Terrance Smith (6-3, 215), SS **Keelin Smith (6-2, 185).

Auburn: FB Jay Prosch (6-0, 258), WR **Sammie Coates (6-1, 201), C *Reese Dismukes (6-2, 298), K Cody Parkey (6-0, 190), OLB Dee Ford (6-2, 240), CB Chris Davis (5-10, 200), FS Ryan Smith (6-1, 194), FS *Jermaine Whitehead (5-11. 201), SS *Robenson Therezie (5-9, 204), P Steven Clark (6-4, 230).
 
I know how I'll be watching the big game... :doot:

ESPNews will air "BCS Film Room" during the game tonight. Will be an all-22 look at the game.

"BCS Film Room," on ESPNEWS, will provide play-by-play breakdowns - who went where, why a play worked or didn't - from a trio of scheduled guest coaches: Temple's Steve Addazio, Texas A&M's Kevin Sumlin and Charlie Strong. To replicate the film-room aspect of the broadcast, ESPN will give the coaches use of Pittsburgh-based DV Sport Software's Quad Replay system, the newest piece in replay hardware.

The replay system will allow coaches use of four camera angles in breaking down each play: the program feed, the view seen on the ESPN broadcast; the SkyCam, which runs from two points atop the stadium, perpendicular to game play; the high end-zone camera, which shows action along the line of scrimmage; and an all-22 camera, which shows all 22 players on the field for a single play - 11 on offense, 11 on defense - in a single frame.

Coaches will then be given use of a remote to control what fans seen on the screen - rewinding, playing, pausing, fast-forwarding through a play to break down what occurred.
 
The sooner we can get Jameis Winston here and into OB's hands the better I'll feel about our QB position. :truck:
 
Winston's ball placement is pretty spotty. The passes are on target, but right where defenders can swat them away. Needs to lead these guys.

They also need to get Freeman going. He's effective in every game I watch and yet they slowly work him out of the game plan as they try and convince themselves that Wilder is a better back.
 
I'm surprised by FSU. They came out with the same swagger that they normally do, but it disappeared after 2 drives. The defense is still in it, but the offense looks completely lost.

Edit: Not to mention they still haven't figured out to cover the slot WR. 3 times now that guy has been open by 20 yards.
 
Looks like they have found the blue print for stopping Winston. Well that means he'll suck in the NFL. :kitten:
 
This is the difference between a cerebral QB like Teddy B, and a guy who can't see what's coming at him fast enough.

Let's keep in mind the kid is a redshirt freshman, but with that said I agree. He is way too slow making decisions. Teams attack Teddy and he finds the weak spot. Auburn is attacking Winston and he is absolutely lost.
 
Let's keep in mind the kid is a redshirt freshman, but with that said I agree. He is way too slow making decisions. Teams attack Teddy and he finds the weak spot. Auburn is attacking Winston and he is absolutely lost.

Yeah he is young and undeveloped. Which is why it shocks me to see people wanting to wait 2-3 years for the chance to draft him to be our QB...
 
I'm putting together a Shlake Shortles for NFL Hall of Fame video. Details to follow...

Al_Bundy_holding_a_Football.jpg
 
I know what Winston is getting for his b-day.....an L if he doesnt pull his head out of his ass...
 
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