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Why is everyone so high on Adrian Peterson?

Huge said:
Sure...if you believe Peterson is on the same level of Tomlinson. I do not.


McGahee - 23rd player taken in that draft
Johnson - 27th player taken in that draft
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i think peterson's a better prospect than tomlinson was. a lot will have to happen for him to be better, of course. but out of college....peterson is a better prospect.

mcgahee was slated to go #2 to the Lions before he blew his knee out.
 
Huge said:
Want in one hand and crap in the other and see which fills faster. That's what pop always said anyways. Just because teams want a game changer like Tomlinson doesn't mean they're going to get one...no matter where they're drafting.
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I agree with you but, that still doesn't change the fact that teams will continue to try and get one high in the draft regardless of the amount of crap in their hand at the end of the day.
 
i don't believe in positional trends with drafting. not at all. there are plenty of hall of famers at the RB position that went top 10, plenty of others that weren't even drafted on the first day. same with every position. the best punter ever was a first rounder. go figure.
 
kastofsna said:
i think peterson's a better prospect than tomlinson was. a lot will have to happen for him to be better, of course. but out of college....peterson is a better prospect.
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Fair enough...(big) difference of opinion.

kastofsna said:
mcgahee was slated to go #2 to the Lions before he blew his knee out.
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Speculation, your honor.

Take a look at the top 20 rushing RBs from last season:

Ladainian Tomlinson - 5th overall
Larry Johnson - 27th overall
Frank Gore - 3rd Round
Tiki Barber (retired) - 2nd Round
Steven Jackson - 24th overall
Willie Parker - Undrafted
Rudi Johnson - 4th Round
Brian Westbrook - 3rd Round
Chester Taylor - 6th Round
Travis Henry - 2nd Round
Thomas Jones - 7th overall
Edgerrin James - 4th overall
Ladell Betts - 2nd Round
Fred Taylor - 9th overall
Warrick Dunn - 12th overall
Jamal Lewis - 5th overall
Julius Jones - 2nd Round
Joseph Addai - 30th overall
Ahman Green - 3rd Round
Duece McCallister - 23rd overall

If you break that down:

Top 5 picks - 3 (Tomlinson, James, Lewis)
Top 10 picks - 2 (Jones, F. Taylor)
Top 15 picks - 1 (Dunn)
Top 20 picks - 0
Top 25 picks - 1 (Jackson)
Top 30 picks - 3 (L. Johnson, Jackson, Addai)
2nd Round picks - 4 (Barber, Henry, Betts, Jones)
3rd Round picks - 3 (Gore, Westbrook, Green)
4th Round picks - 1 (R. Johnson)
5th Round picks - 0
6th Round picks - 1 (C. Taylor)
7th Round picks - 0
Undrafted - 1 (Parker)

Of the top 10 rushing leaders, 7 of them were drafted in the 2nd round or later.
 
Peterson is the best back in the draft Texans would be crazy to pass on him if he is there. Green isn't a long term solution.
 
Huge said:
Fair enough...(big) difference of opinion.


Speculation, your honor.

Take a look at the top 20 rushing RBs from last season:

Ladainian Tomlinson - 5th overall
Larry Johnson - 27th overall
Frank Gore - 3rd Round
Tiki Barber (retired) - 2nd Round
Steven Jackson - 24th overall
Willie Parker - Undrafted
Rudi Johnson - 4th Round
Brian Westbrook - 3rd Round
Chester Taylor - 6th Round
Travis Henry - 2nd Round
Thomas Jones - 7th overall
Edgerrin James - 4th overall
Ladell Betts - 2nd Round
Fred Taylor - 9th overall
Warrick Dunn - 12th overall
Jamal Lewis - 5th overall
Julius Jones - 2nd Round
Joseph Addai - 30th overall
Ahman Green - 3rd Round
Duece McCallister - 23rd overall

If you break that down:

Top 5 picks - 3 (Tomlinson, James, Lewis)
Top 10 picks - 2 (Jones, F. Taylor)
Top 15 picks - 1 (Dunn)
Top 20 picks - 0
Top 25 picks - 1 (Jackson)
Top 30 picks - 3 (L. Johnson, Jackson, Addai)
2nd Round picks - 4 (Barber, Henry, Betts, Jones)
3rd Round picks - 3 (Gore, Westbrook, Green)
4th Round picks - 1 (R. Johnson)
5th Round picks - 0
6th Round picks - 1 (C. Taylor)
7th Round picks - 0
Undrafted - 1 (Parker)

Of the top 10 rushing leaders, 7 of them were drafted in the 2nd round or later.
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the numbers seem to benefit drafting backs in the first round. because there's a lot more guys drafted after the first 32 picks in the NFL than first rounders, and yet 50% of the top 20 guys are from the first round. seems significant to me. i'd like to see the same numbers with other positions, too.
 
PowerfulDragon said:
i dunno... on a lot of his long runs i've seen in his highlight videos, the db's eventually caught up to him.
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well, DB's are pretty much as fast or faster, for one, and secondly, by the time they reach peterson, they've run about 20-30 yards while peterson has run 40 yards. they're not going toe-to-toe in a footrace.
 
no matter what position you draft top 5, he's going to be one of the highest paid at his position, if not the highest.

a quarter of those guys were drafted in the top 10. not bad at all.
 
kastofsna said:
no matter what position you draft top 5, he's going to be one of the highest paid at his position, if not the highest.
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One of the highest is one thing--top picks will get paid akin to the best at LT, QB (somewhat under at this point), CB and DE. A RB on the other hand will get paid 50%+ more than the top paid RB's.
 
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