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Dane Brugler's 7 round Texans mock

AcresHomesTexan

AcresHomesTexan

No Longer Arlington: Escaped From Jerry's World
Staff member

Houston Texans​

1 (25). DT Walter Nolen, Ole Miss
2 (58). WR Jalen Royals, Utah State
3 (79). G/C Marcus Mbow, Purdue
3 (89). OT Charles Grant, William & Mary
5 (166). RB LeQuint Allen, Syracuse
7 (236). CB Jason Marshall, Florida
7 (241). C Eli Cox, Kentucky


Pretty sure this has a pay wall versus The Athletic random free articles.

Note: All the OLmen the Texans have linked were still on the board with 1.25
 
This could work.
Risky, taking DL first, but I could see it happening especially if DR is really high on Nolen.
An interesting scenario though. Think about it. - they have a new OC and must surely be very keen to make his job easier getting CJ a better chance back there and they do already have a very good Defense, so it will definitely be interesting to see the first pick.
DR must be torn! He is the HC and must have first dibbs - or does he give his new OC a nice welcome on board gift with his pick?
 
Good scenario for Texans. Get the high ceiling DT with all pro upside round 1. Offensive reinforcements beyond where their talent gap isn’t quite so far off the options in round 1 but more developmental lower floor projection.

Not sure they will take that big of a swing, too much projection with the offensive pieces selected. But like the scenario and insight from Brugler.
 
I wouldnt have an issue with this draft although I would pick one of the OL then picked Royals and then trade 3-79 and a 2026 2nd to move back into the 2nd for Alfred Collins or Tyliek Williams. This would be the start of a great draft.
 
steelbtexan said:
I wouldnt have an issue with this draft although I would pick one of the OL then picked Royals and then trade 3-79 and a 2026 2nd to move back into the 2nd for Alfred Collins or Tyliek Williams. This would be the start of a great draft.
Click to expand...
Collins has a good shot at being there pick 79. Williams is a 2nd imo and would require a trade up.
 
I like the draft from rounds 2 and on, but I struggle with DT in the first. I look at last years team, and don't see a stud DT having much of an impact with how the team performed. The team needs are OL and WR, and the first round should be flush with qualifying Gs (this sounds like needs drafting, but I think the rankings are similar). If we changed the #1 pick to Donovan Jackson and got a DT where Mbow was taken I would be extremely happy with the haul.

I'd also draft a (primarily) run-blocking TE instead of a RB in round 5, I just saw some research that says that while RBs drafted in rounds 1-2 have an advantage, that picks in the 3rd to UDFA are mathematically the same in terms of success rate. I also think that Pierce may finally have a spot, if the shift to gap/power blocking is correct. Caley also appears to be set on getting run-blocking from our TEs, and that's another hole on the roster unless Stover makes a lot of progress.
 
cland said:
I like the draft from rounds 2 and on, but I struggle with DT in the first. I look at last years team, and don't see a stud DT having much of an impact with how the team performed. The team needs are OL and WR, and the first round should be flush with qualifying Gs (this sounds like needs drafting, but I think the rankings are similar). If we changed the #1 pick to Donovan Jackson and got a DT where Mbow was taken I would be extremely happy with the haul.

I'd also draft a (primarily) run-blocking TE instead of a RB in round 5, I just saw some research that says that while RBs drafted in rounds 1-2 have an advantage, that picks in the 3rd to UDFA are mathematically the same in terms of success rate. I also think that Pierce may finally have a spot, if the shift to gap/power blocking is correct. Caley also appears to be set on getting run-blocking from our TEs, and that's another hole on the roster unless Stover makes a lot of progress.
Click to expand...
Caserio just got done saying they are not going to draft for need. I think it very likely that a defensive guy is the best available when they pick. Also think it very likely that Nick was lying
 
JB said:
Caserio just got done saying they are not going to draft for need. I think it very likely that a defensive guy is the best available when they pick. Also think it very likely that Nick was lying
Click to expand...

Hehe, I'd call it a half-truth. He said they rank players on the big board based on how they would fit into a role on the current team. So I imagine them coming a across say a cornerback, and they would rank him lower because his role on the team wouldn't improve the defense as Lassiter and Stingley are already in those roles.
 
Shocked how out of touch Brugler is with Casero tendencies. #1 Nolan is not swarm enough for Meco. 2nd Major flaw is Caserio doesn’t draft small school prospects. 3rd horrific oversight is passing on all OL prospects available. Terrible work from creator of draft bible, the BEAST.

:toropalm:
1744938358247.png
 
Here are where some of the most talked about players on the forum landed in Brugler's mock.

12. Dallas Cowboys: Matthew Golden, WR, Texas - That seems high to me
13. Miami Dolphins: Nick Emmanwori, S, South Carolina
14. Indianapolis Colts: Colston Loveland, TE, Michigan
18. Seattle Seahawks: Grey Zabel, G/C, North Dakota State - Becoming a popular pick in mocks
26. Los Angeles Rams: Josh Conerly Jr., OT/G, Oregon
27. Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Banks Jr., OT/G, Texas - I would be so peed off
29. Washington Commanders: Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State
31. Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State - An organization that is not afraid to gamble
37 Las Vegas Raiders: Tyler Booker, G, Alabama
48. Miami Dolphins: Donovan Jackson, OT/G, Ohio State - A Texans target if trading down at 1.25 or trading up from 2.58
66. Kansas City Chiefs: Alfred Collins, DT, Texas
73. NY Jets: Kyle Williams, WR, Washington State
74. Carolina Panthers: Jack Bech, WR, TCU
95: Kansas City Chiefs: Cam Skattebo, RB, Arizona State - No!!!!
125. San Diego Chargers: Bhayshul Tuten, RB, Virginia Tech
177. Buffalo Bills: Brashard Smith, RB, SMU
203. Baltimore Ravens: Dont'e Thornton, WR, Tennessee
227. San Francisco 49ers: Jackson Hawes, TE, Georgia Tech
 
Lucky said:
Here are where some of the most talked about players on the forum landed in Brugler's mock.

12. Dallas Cowboys: Matthew Golden, WR, Texas - That seems high to me
13. Miami Dolphins: Nick Emmanwori, S, South Carolina
14. Indianapolis Colts: Colston Loveland, TE, Michigan
18. Seattle Seahawks: Grey Zabel, G/C, North Dakota State - Becoming a popular pick in mocks
26. Los Angeles Rams: Josh Conerly Jr., OT/G, Oregon
27. Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Banks Jr., OT/G, Texas - I would be so peed off
29. Washington Commanders: Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State
31. Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State - An organization that is not afraid to gamble
37 Las Vegas Raiders: Tyler Booker, G, Alabama
48. Miami Dolphins: Donovan Jackson, OT/G, Ohio State - A Texans target if trading down at 1.25 or trading up from 2.58
66. Kansas City Chiefs: Alfred Collins, DT, Texas
73. NY Jets: Kyle Williams, WR, Washington State
74. Carolina Panthers: Jack Bech, WR, TCU
95: Kansas City Chiefs: Cam Skattebo, RB, Arizona State - No!!!!
125. San Diego Chargers: Bhayshul Tuten, RB, Virginia Tech
177. Buffalo Bills: Brashard Smith, RB, SMU
203. Baltimore Ravens: Dont'e Thornton, WR, Tennessee
227. San Francisco 49ers: Jackson Hawes, TE, Georgia Tech
Click to expand...
Between whom we drafted and who was still avaiable I see this as almost worse case scenario
 
Lucky said:
What seemed odd to me is that Brugler has Simmons, Banks, Conerly, and even Booker ahead of Nolan in his top 100. Basically, he has the Texans reaching for a DT over the O-linemen.
Click to expand...
Brugler sees who wears the pants in Houston (DeMeco) but not Nolan over Harmon only, in first over Booker.
 
Lucky said:
I don't think Ryans likes to see his QB on the ground. I can't see him moving off Tunsil and saying, "We're good, now."
Click to expand...
We all hate to see that. So now, it’s very possible Texans reach for need (something he specifically said couple days ago in press conference he wouldn’t do).

Donovan Jackson is not BPA, Tytus Howard was not BPA yet, somehow need outweighs reason. Heck I’d rather draft TreVeon Henderson, not only a game breaker but best RB in pass protection.

Caley/Popovich will be as instrumental with OL overhaul, positional need is Caserio responsibility. Don’t reach for another Guard in first round, yes I have PSDA, but also know and can evaluate with my own eyes, talent to retool this room.
 
cland said:
I like the draft from rounds 2 and on, but I struggle with DT in the first. I look at last years team, and don't see a stud DT having much of an impact with how the team performed. The team needs are OL and WR, and the first round should be flush with qualifying Gs (this sounds like needs drafting, but I think the rankings are similar). If we changed the #1 pick to Donovan Jackson and got a DT where Mbow was taken I would be extremely happy with the haul.

I'd also draft a (primarily) run-blocking TE instead of a RB in round 5, I just saw some research that says that while RBs drafted in rounds 1-2 have an advantage, that picks in the 3rd to UDFA are mathematically the same in terms of success rate. I also think that Pierce may finally have a spot, if the shift to gap/power blocking is correct. Caley also appears to be set on getting run-blocking from our TEs, and that's another hole on the roster unless Stover makes a lot of progress.
Click to expand...
I agree.
They traded away their best player on the Oline so they need to pick the best OL available to help make up the shortfall.
To me it's as simple as that.
 
beerlover said:
So now, it’s very possible Texans reach for need (something he specifically said couple days ago in press conference he wouldn’t do).
Click to expand...
Why would Banks, Simmons, or Conerly (the OTs still on the board in this mock) be a reach? I don't see reaches in this draft if guys like Hunter, Carter, and Jeanty are off the board. Is it a fact that Membou will be better than Banks? That Mason Graham will be better than Kenneth Grant? It's a matter of taste. Because the talent difference from the mid-1st to mid-2nd is essentially flat.
 
Lucky said:
Donovan Jackson could easily have one of the best careers out of this draft. He has one of the highest floors and some feel he was better at LT than LG. The comparison to Tytus Howard is ludicrous.
Click to expand...
Guess I wasn’t being clear enough. The comparison to Howard, was not a direct comparison of the prospect evaluation, rather a comparison of taking offensive linemen with a 2nd round grade in first round because of need.
 
beerlover said:
Guess I wasn’t being clear enough. The comparison to Howard, was not a direct comparison of the prospect evaluation, rather a comparison of taking offensive linemen with a 2nd round grade in first round because of need.
Click to expand...
1/2 of the first round will be players taken with a second round grade
 
Lucky said:
Why would Banks, Simmons, or Conerly (the OTs still on the board in this mock) be a reach? I don't see reaches in this draft if guys like Hunter, Carter, and Jeanty are off the board. Is it a fact that Membou will be better than Banks? That Mason Graham will be better than Kenneth Grant? It's a matter of taste. Because the talent difference from the mid-1st to mid-2nd is essentially flat.
Click to expand...
It also depends heavily on schemes - don't make sense trying to fit a square peg in a round hole
 
beerlover said:
Guess I wasn’t being clear enough. The comparison to Howard, was not a direct comparison of the prospect evaluation, rather a comparison of taking offensive linemen with a 2nd round grade in first round because of need.
Click to expand...
So sorry, but the draft is not, and should not, be driven by public opinion. Your idea of BPA will never match the board assembled by the Texans' war room. But of course, you are entitled to your opinion.
 
Texansphan said:
Happens every year where there are several second round guys sneak into the first and first rounders fall into the second
Click to expand...
Sneaking in is one thing, jumping is quite another. PFF draft grades suck, that is my opinion. Bruglers, “The Beast” is quite another, and defer to his data base & extensive research.

Donovan Jackson is #48 on Dane Bruglers big board. He would be a reach going #25. IMO
:toropalm:
 
beerlover said:
Sneaking in is one thing, jumping is quite another. PFF draft grades suck, that is my opinion. Bruglers, “The Beast” is quite another, and defer to his data base & extensive research.

Donovan Jackson is #48 on Dane Bruglers big board. He would be a reach going #25. IMO
:toropalm:
Click to expand...
To be fair, Brugler’s Texans mock draft was a bit of a reach to those of us who follow the team ;)
 
beerlover said:
Sneaking in is one thing, jumping is quite another. PFF draft grades suck, that is my opinion. Bruglers, “The Beast” is quite another, and defer to his data base & extensive research.

Donovan Jackson is #48 on Dane Bruglers big board. He would be a reach going #25. IMO
:toropalm:
Click to expand...
I agree.
I could however, see Texans trade up in the second to get him.
Cost? This year and next year's second and #79 this year
 
Texansphan said:
This could work.
Risky, taking DL first, but I could see it happening especially if DR is really high on Nolen.
An interesting scenario though. Think about it. - they have a new OC and must surely be very keen to make his job easier getting CJ a better chance back there and they do already have a very good Defense, so it will definitely be interesting to see the first pick.
DR must be torn! He is the HC and must have first dibbs - or does he give his new OC a nice welcome on board gift with his pick?
Click to expand...
2 drafts ago our new head coach got second choice over the new OC and got some guy named Anderson. May the 2025 draft bring us two exciting players as we got in 2023!
 
Lucky said:
What seemed odd to me is that Brugler has Simmons, Banks, Conerly, and even Booker ahead of Nolan in his top 100. Basically, he has the Texans reaching for a DT over the O-linemen.
Click to expand...
Is he thinking Demico is going to pull rank to get his defense a stud?
 
Texansphan said:
I agree.
They traded away their best player on the Oline so they need to pick the best OL available to help make up the shortfall.
To me it's as simple as that.
Click to expand...
Perhaps they do not think the best left tackle available will beat out Robinson this season?
 
Texansphan said:
This could work.
Risky, taking DL first, but I could see it happening especially if DR is really high on Nolen.
An interesting scenario though. Think about it. - they have a new OC and must surely be very keen to make his job easier getting CJ a better chance back there and they do already have a very good Defense, so it will definitely be interesting to see the first pick.
DR must be torn! He is the HC and must have first dibbs - or does he give his new OC a nice welcome on board gift with his pick?
Click to expand...
If the pre-draft talk about Nolen is true, I don't see how Ryans would be high on him. Reports from Ole Miss are not very SWARM-y
 
Lucky said:
Lance Zierlein at NFL.com has Jackson as the #25 prospect. So Jackson would not be a reach at 1.25 in his, or my, opinion.
Click to expand...
Tape doesn’t lie. Donavan gets out over his skis way too much to play LT next level. Best in a phone booth.

 
LG- Donovan Jackson (Ohio State) IMHO should be the Texans first pick whether it’s at 25 or a little later due to a trade back.

With Howard expected to be LG, I just can’t imagine the team is sitting back and thinking they’re right on this call. The only reason Howard is still here….he had zero trade value and Tunsil did. I believe Caserio is hoping Howard might perform well enough to get a return on him anytime before the trade deadline.

While I’m on this, as much disdain as I’ve had for Tunsil, Caserio should’ve kept him this season. Howard is the one who should’ve been sent packing b/c he’s been a liability for far too long.

This draft could have been approached differently if Tunsil was the starting LT. The only OL answer the team would be looking for is LG. This would allow them to look at a LT as a developmental player this season or gauge the FA market next season and/or the draft.
 
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