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2025 Mock Drafts

As it frequently seems to do, as quarterbacks start to be taken, other teams will feel pressure to get a guy if not their guy.

It always amazes me (though given our history it shouldn't) how many QB needy teams are in every draft. With 6 rookies taken taken in the top 12 in 2024 you'd think there wouldn't be so many, but when you start to look at how many busts come along with those picks it starts to make sense. I'd actually like to see an official tally, but it's got to be less than a %25 percent success rate.

I also think the "down year" that is 2025 is likely due to talent available, as opposed to satisfied teams.
 
I believe Caserio and Ryans got their defensive answers this off-season in extensions, free agent signings, and trade. This defense is better on paper than last season….if they stay healthy, much-much better.

The Texans question marks coming into the draft is still on offense. Caserio didn’t really sign any bonafide starter for the offense. Texans have to get potential answers for this season on offense. Players that could potentially start from Day 1 or inside the first 9 games. Most everyone signed on offense should be viewed as nothing more than bridge signings.

I’m focusing this draft on offense with a last second pick for ST’s and defensive backfield:

1743612718427.png

Another potential hidden gem:

I’ve mentioned TE- Maliq Carr (Houston) before, but I wanted to add that he posted a 4.63-40 which would’ve tied him for the best TE 40 at the Combine. He proved his hands to be just fine, and it’s his blocking that’s his calling card. I wouldn’t be surprised if his Pro Day didn’t elevate him from UDFA status to late pick investment. If he were to remain undrafted….really hope Caserio makes him a high priority signing.
 
It always amazes me (though given our history it shouldn't) how many QB needy teams are in every draft. With 6 rookies taken taken in the top 12 in 2024 you'd think there wouldn't be so many, but when you start to look at how many busts come along with those picks it starts to make sense. I'd actually like to see an official tally, but it's got to be less than a %25 percent success rate.

I also think the "down year" that is 2025 is likely due to talent available, as opposed to satisfied teams.
I agree and if I remember correctly, somewhere in the distant past someone has researched that and brought it to the forum. May take you a bit to find it though.
 
I decided to try using AI to fill out a mock draft. So here's my Grok Mock using NFL Draft Buzz's mock simulator. Basically, I listed every player the Texans have interviewed who were still available within the pick range and asked who would be the best value. For picks 236 and 241, they didn't have a lot of players available in the simulator I was looking for, so those picks would be (236) CB Cam Stone and (241) LB Jacob Mangum-Farrar - good potential special teams contributors who might grow to become quality depth.

Screenshot (257).png
 
Harmon very well could be BPA at 25 and would be the cherry on top for this defense’s ascension to the top unit in the league.

Grant seems like a round early here but ideal measurables developmental talent maybe worth a swing here in a class lacking OT prospects with ideal measurables for the position.

Thoughts?



Round 1: No. 25 overall: Derrick Harmon, DT, Oregon

Round 2: No. 58 overall: Charles Grant, OL, William & Mary



Head coach DeMeco Ryans will likely appreciate how much pressure Harmon puts on interior offensive linemen with his size, length and quickness off the snap. Cam Robinson is presumably in line to take over for the traded Laremy Tunsil, but Robinson was brought in on a one-year deal, and the veteran has had issues staying healthy. Grant's an ascending talent with 34 3/4-inch arms and a fiery attitude who could play outside or inside in the NFL.
 
Harmon very well could be BPA at 25 and would be the cherry on top for this defense’s ascension to the top unit in the league.

Grant seems like a round early here but ideal measurables developmental talent maybe worth a swing here in a class lacking OT prospects with ideal measurables for the position.

Thoughts?



Round 1: No. 25 overall: Derrick Harmon, DT, Oregon

Round 2: No. 58 overall: Charles Grant, OL, William & Mary



Head coach DeMeco Ryans will likely appreciate how much pressure Harmon puts on interior offensive linemen with his size, length and quickness off the snap. Cam Robinson is presumably in line to take over for the traded Laremy Tunsil, but Robinson was brought in on a one-year deal, and the veteran has had issues staying healthy. Grant's an ascending talent with 34 3/4-inch arms and a fiery attitude who could play outside or inside in the NFL.
I like Grant as a developmental LT. He's a little risky, in that he seems to be an LT-only type of player. (Not thick/strong enough to play on the inside or even RT.) Ideally I'd hope he be there in the third, but I don't think he'll drop that far.
 
like Grant as a developmental LT. He's a little risky, in that he seems to be an LT-only type of player. (Not thick/strong enough to play on the inside or even RT.)
Like you said, developmental. He's behind the Power 4 guys, as Zabel is. And no offense to the program at William & Mary, but I doubt they have the training facilities found in places like Austin, Columbus, or Baton Rouge. Let a guy like Grant eat, sleep, and work for a year in a NFL training room and his strength may no longer be a question.

C'mon Nick. Give a small school guy a chance.
 
Harmon very well could be BPA at 25 and would be the cherry on top for this defense’s ascension to the top unit in the league.

Grant seems like a round early here but ideal measurables developmental talent maybe worth a swing here in a class lacking OT prospects with ideal measurables for the position.

Thoughts?



Round 1: No. 25 overall: Derrick Harmon, DT, Oregon

Round 2: No. 58 overall: Charles Grant, OL, William & Mary



Head coach DeMeco Ryans will likely appreciate how much pressure Harmon puts on interior offensive linemen with his size, length and quickness off the snap. Cam Robinson is presumably in line to take over for the traded Laremy Tunsil, but Robinson was brought in on a one-year deal, and the veteran has had issues staying healthy. Grant's an ascending talent with 34 3/4-inch arms and a fiery attitude who could play outside or inside in the NFL.

Nick doesn’t draft small school guys much at all, and never that high. I don’t have Grant that high, but in fairness…I’m cross checking with the internet scouts not my own film study.
 
I was thinking 4th to 5th on Grant. Am I way too low?

According MDD he averages at pick #94 (end of third), but I feel like that will creep due to lack of prototypical LTs in this draft. I wouldn't hate a trade up to get him in the middle of the third. One draft has the eagles taking him in the first, but that seems to be an outlier.
 
Harmon very well could be BPA at 25 and would be the cherry on top for this defense’s ascension to the top unit in the league.

Grant seems like a round early here but ideal measurables developmental talent maybe worth a swing here in a class lacking OT prospects with ideal measurables for the position.

Thoughts?



Round 1: No. 25 overall: Derrick Harmon, DT, Oregon

Round 2: No. 58 overall: Charles Grant, OL, William & Mary



Head coach DeMeco Ryans will likely appreciate how much pressure Harmon puts on interior offensive linemen with his size, length and quickness off the snap. Cam Robinson is presumably in line to take over for the traded Laremy Tunsil, but Robinson was brought in on a one-year deal, and the veteran has had issues staying healthy. Grant's an ascending talent with 34 3/4-inch arms and a fiery attitude who could play outside or inside in the NFL.
What happens if Robinson stays healthy and has a very good season? Does he remain stop gap on another one year deal and we risk losing him in free agency?
 
Like you said, developmental. He's behind the Power 4 guys, as Zabel is. And no offense to the program at William & Mary, but I doubt they have the training facilities found in places like Austin, Columbus, or Baton Rouge. Let a guy like Grant eat, sleep, and work for a year in a NFL training room and his strength may no longer be a question.

C'mon Nick. Give a small school guy a chance.
I think Grant has the laterals and feet quickness to adjust to the speed of left guard and start sometime this season. I'm also beginning to think that is Nick's plan whether it's with Grant or someone else and trade Howard post June 1st. To be fair, I may be thinking that because I want it to happen.
 
What happens if Robinson stays healthy and has a very good season? Does he remain stop gap on another one year deal and we risk losing him in free agency?
Even better, someone from a small school like Grant is going to likely going to take two seasons to get ready to go. Everyone loves Duane Brown, but he was still struggling in year 2.

In terms of Robinson, I don't think there's a big bag of cash waiting for him, even if if he does really well. You'd re-up him with a little more cash for the following year.
 
According MDD he averages at pick #94 (end of third), but I feel like that will creep due to lack of prototypical LTs in this draft. I wouldn't hate a trade up to get him in the middle of the third. One draft has the eagles taking him in the first, but that seems to be an outlier.
The Washington pick 3.79 that we got in the Tunsil trade is in the middle of the round.
 
I'd be all over it, but my guess is he creeps into the bottom of the 2nd.
Yes and if you like a player go and get that player. Here's a question, if you can get Grant and he can start at left guard reasonably soon this season, do you play him there or allow him to Mentor behind Robinson? If that is the case, do you still go after Zabel or Donovan Jackson at 25?
Something that keeps bouncing around in my brain is Donovan Jackson at Ohio State in 2024 playing completely out of his position did extremely well and had over a 72% PFF while NFLdraftbuzz.com rated 74 pass blocking and 76 run blocking at LT.
 
1.25 plus swap 3.89 for 3.94 to Cleveland for 2.33 plus 3.67.

2.33 Donovan Jackson
2.58 WR Tre Harris
3.67 Charles Grant
3.79 RB Skattebo
3.94 TE Harold Fannin
5 best player
6. Best corner
7. DT/nose Des Watson
Not all third downs are passing plays.
 
Nick doesn’t draft small school guys much at all, and never that high. I don’t have Grant that high, but in fairness…I’m cross checking with the internet scouts not my own film study.
Kyle Dugger was his last high small school pick with the Pats. He hasn’t here to kick start a culture change, focusing on prospects from big schools who were team captains. This strategy has worked out quite nicely and the team is built in DeMeco’s image (aside from the OL which is still a work in progress).

But i’d say sooner or later he’ll grab a small school guy if they’re the right fit. Nick doesn’t strike me as a close-minded guy that takes guys off his board for superstitious reasons like, “Goes to small school, son of Nigerian doctors, etc.”
 
Yes and if you like a player go and get that player. Here's a question, if you can get Grant and he can start at left guard reasonably soon this season, do you play him there or allow him to Mentor behind Robinson? If that is the case, do you still go after Zabel or Donovan Jackson at 25?
Something that keeps bouncing around in my brain is Donovan Jackson at Ohio State in 2024 playing completely out of his position did extremely well and had over a 72% PFF while NFLdraftbuzz.com rated 74 pass blocking and 76 run blocking at LT.
Already answered the first question in my original post, and that I'd trade up to the middle of the third. I think Grant is LT-only project (doesn't have the strength or mass to play inside.) So yes if the draft went. 1. Donovan 2. WR 3. ? 3. Grant I'd be fine with that.
 
Playing with different scenarios depending how board falls. This scenario I focused on high floor weapons for CJ with first two picks, then took a shot on some small school trench help that have the traits teams are looking for and think they’d be higher picks if they played at bigger schools.

1.25) Egbuka. The “safest” pick at WR in this draft. He is kind of like Robert Woods (Rams edition). Can play any role the team needs him to do. Selfless player, high end WR2. Basically a lock to be a guy who will play in the league 10+ years. But at best i’d say he’s a fringe 1000 yard WR due to a lack of special traits. Really good traits across the board though. Ladd McConkey level prospect coming out. Good pick here and this team needs good players.

2.58) Taylor. Another high floor pick and reliable weapon. Taylor is getting traction and may end up as one of those players teams make a deal Thursday night after day 1 to get in position to pick first couple of picks of day 2. I could see Texans being one of those teams trading up to secure his services. Like Egbuka, easy to see him playing in the league 10+ years. Also like Egbuka, anticipating “plus starter” at his peak and not potential all pro. But that outlook is good enough for me here.


3.79) Grant. In a class lacking LT prospects that check off the physical threshold boxes there is a guy who has those traits… but has not had the opportunities against big time competition. Texans take a gamble on the traits here and park him in the weight room year 1 while he learns behind Cam Robinson. I don’t anticipate all of Robinson, Brown and Howard staying healthy for 17 games so decent shot Grant gets playing time year one like Fisher did.

3.89) Alexander. Okam gets his guy. Small school player who has the traits and tape to excel. Gets the opportunity to enter DeMeco’s DL pipeline rotation meaning high likelihood his second contract will be a big one. Texans get a quality player at the DT position playing on a rookie contract. Win/win for both parties!

5.166) Smith. Game breaking speed and matchup nightmare for defenses. I think he goes round 3 but if he’s here i’ll take him!

7.236) Marshall. Anytime you can get a former top 50 HS recruit that was a multiyear starter in the SEC at the end of a draft you take it. Talent is there, if he’s gonna make it in the NFL it’ll be in Houston.

7.241) Huber. One of my favorite day 3 OL. Versatile solid OL that can come in and compete for an interior roster spot. Does not have ideal measurables but the tape looks good. Bet on the tape at this point in the draft and add him to the competition. See if he can hit! Maybe he develops into a starter like i’m sure the team was hoping Broeker would when they snagged that former 7th rounder off waivers two years ago.



1743855504334.png
 
Playing with different scenarios depending how board falls. This scenario I focused on high floor weapons for CJ with first two picks, then took a shot on some small school trench help that have the traits teams are looking for and think they’d be higher picks if they played at bigger schools.

1.25) Egbuka. The “safest” pick at WR in this draft. He is kind of like Robert Woods (Rams edition). Can play any role the team needs him to do. Selfless player, high end WR2. Basically a lock to be a guy who will play in the league 10+ years. But at best i’d say he’s a fringe 1000 yard WR due to a lack of special traits. Really good traits across the board though. Ladd McConkey level prospect coming out. Good pick here and this team needs good players.

2.58) Taylor. Another high floor pick and reliable weapon. Taylor is getting traction and may end up as one of those players teams make a deal Thursday night after day 1 to get in position to pick first couple of picks of day 2. I could see Texans being one of those teams trading up to secure his services. Like Egbuka, easy to see him playing in the league 10+ years. Also like Egbuka, anticipating “plus starter” at his peak and not potential all pro. But that outlook is good enough for me here.


3.79) Grant. In a class lacking LT prospects that check off the physical threshold boxes there is a guy who has those traits… but has not had the opportunities against big time competition. Texans take a gamble on the traits here and park him in the weight room year 1 while he learns behind Cam Robinson. I don’t anticipate all of Robinson, Brown and Howard staying healthy for 17 games so decent shot Grant gets playing time year one like Fisher did.

3.89) Alexander. Okam gets his guy. Small school player who has the traits and tape to excel. Gets the opportunity to enter DeMeco’s DL pipeline rotation meaning high likelihood his second contract will be a big one. Texans get a quality player at the DT position playing on a rookie contract. Win/win for both parties!

5.166) Smith. Game breaking speed and matchup nightmare for defenses. I think he goes round 3 but if he’s here i’ll take him!

7.236) Marshall. Anytime you can get a former top 50 HS recruit that was a multiyear starter in the SEC at the end of a draft you take it. Talent is there, if he’s gonna make it in the NFL it’ll be in Houston.

7.241) Huber. One of my favorite day 3 OL. Versatile solid OL that can come in and compete for an interior roster spot. Does not have ideal measurables but the tape looks good. Bet on the tape at this point in the draft and add him to the competition. See if he can hit! Maybe he develops into a starter like i’m sure the team was hoping Broeker would when they snagged that former 7th rounder off waivers two years ago.



View attachment 15385
I would love this draft.

Dont think Taylor makes it to 2-58, Alexander makes it to 3-89 or Smith makes it to 5-166. But if they did this draft would make the Texans instant SB contenders.

I'll throw a mock out there for you that's possible to happen, I'm a Jackson guy at 1-25 for the same reasons you like Egbuka and Taylor. But I'm going to use your mock and go in a different direction.

1-25 Taylor, enough said

2-58 Kyle Williams- See above

3- 79 Grant, Love your reasoning

3- 89 Jordan Phillips DT Most athletic DT in the draft other than Alexander.

This is going to be the top half of my last mock and I'll talk about some of these guys later.
 
Took slightly different path, once WR (Golden) fell to #25 enabled my comfort level to support defensive side, taking BPA that elevates both sides. Going back to back defensive long term prospects to maintain/elevate Texans defense even further. Then addressing offensive line, with solid, better athleticism higher floor tackle/guards and another speedy WR. Tough not to target RB or TE but could live with trade off. Absolutely love this mock!
1743898206716.png

Daniel Jeremiah, Top 50 rankings just released, Golden #16, Amos #42. Zabel #24, Simmons #31 and Donovan Jackson #41.​

 
Last edited:
1.25 plus swap 3.89 for 3.94 to Cleveland for 2.33 plus 3.67.

2.33 Donovan Jackson
2.58 WR Tre Harris
3.67 Charles Grant
3.79 RB Skattebo
3.94 TE Harold Fannin
5 best player
6. Best corner
7. DT/nose Des Watson
Not all third downs are passing plays.
Donovan Jackosn in the second sounds great, but I think there's a decent change he's gone by 1.25
 
1.25 plus swap 3.89 for 3.94 to Cleveland for 2.33 plus 3.67.

2.33 Donovan Jackson
2.58 WR Tre Harris
3.67 Charles Grant
3.79 RB Skattebo
3.94 TE Harold Fannin
5 best player
6. Best corner
7. DT/nose Des Watson
Not all third downs are passing plays.
I wouldn't mind them taking a flyer on Watson in the 7th. Good luck to other teams trying to move him on short yardage situations.
 
Took 1 trade offer from the Lions. I countered by keeping 79 and gave up 2026 RD2 instead.

1743910374560.png

I believe this draft could deliver 5 starters pretty quickly in Jackson, Higgins, Collins, Arroyo, and Thornton Jr. Travis should get the time to become a rotational player as a Swing Tackle. Edwards would get the opportunity to compete for RB2 and ST’s. The same would go for Wright….he’d cut his teeth on ST’s as he develops at SS.

I really shouldn’t miss on these pick slots b/c every pick is ahead of their projected location.
 
Two trades in this mock. First trade sent pick 25 for 32 and 92. Then I sent pick 58 and 92 for pick 44.

I think if this scenario plays out it’s more likely that Higgins goes 32 and Jackson 44 due to value of positions and Higgins’ upside as a WR1 in a class lacking prospects with that upside. I think both end up going in the back end of 1st/first 5 picks 2nd range.

Then with the 3rds get my pick of the DTs left in Turner and the LT developmental prospect in Grant. Grant was a former HS wrestler and started playing football his junior year of HS. I love OL that used to wrestle. These OL always have great body control and strength.

If I were Nick, i’d be recruiting at the D1 Wrestling National Championships :)




1743939873933.png
 
I'm going to stick close to this mock. I think we should pick a different DT and maybe BPA over CB at the end. But, other then that it crossed all the boxes and got us some good players. I used some random computer simulation draft for it. So, just cutting and pasting.

25) Houston Texans
Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State

58) Houston Texans
Alfred Collins, DT, Texas

79) Houston Texans
Dont'e Thornton Jr. WR Tennessee (kid is explosive! And runs a 4.40...just needs route work)

89) Houston Texans
Gunnar Helm, TE, Texas

166) Houston Texans
DJ Giddens, RB, Kansas State

236) Houston Texans
Justin Walley, CB, Minnesota
 
I'm going to stick close to this mock. I think we should pick a different DT and maybe BPA over CB at the end. But, other then that it crossed all the boxes and got us some good players. I used some random computer simulation draft for it. So, just cutting and pasting.

25) Houston Texans
Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State

58) Houston Texans
Alfred Collins, DT, Texas

79) Houston Texans
Dont'e Thornton Jr. WR Tennessee (kid is explosive! And runs a 4.40...just needs route work)

89) Houston Texans
Gunnar Helm, TE, Texas

166) Houston Texans
DJ Giddens, RB, Kansas State

236) Houston Texans
Justin Walley, CB, Minnesota

WR- Dont’e Thornton Jr (Tennessee) popped a legit 4.30-40 at the Combine. This would legitimize his 2024 25.4 YPC average. Give him a season to work on his route tree and now you have a WR2 as a real weapon. Then I’d move Higgins inside to Slot WR where he could create massive mismatches after a full season of NFL football. I always thought DHop was a lopsided Slot WR whenever the team used him this way.
 
WR- Dont’e Thornton Jr (Tennessee) popped a legit 4.30-40 at the Combine. This would legitimize his 2024 25.4 YPC average. Give him a season to work on his route tree and now you have a WR2 as a real weapon. Then I’d move Higgins inside to Slot WR where he could create massive mismatches after a full season of NFL football. I always thought DHop was a lopsided Slot WR whenever the team used him this way.
I wished Thornton had more than 26 catches his last year to evaluate him. He could be Nico Collins in a couple years. I wish we could go heavy on wide receivers and bring in three or four in the draft.
 
I wished Thornton had more than 26 catches his last year to evaluate him. He could be Nico Collins in a couple years. I wish we could go heavy on wide receivers and bring in three or four in the draft.

Just watching him, he seems smooth and has good hands. He beats DBs off the line most of the time and can out run almost every single one. His combine numbers are pretty good for 40, vertical and broad jump. His route running is not amazing but for a WR 2 with crazy speed...I would jump on him.

 
Just watching him, he seems smooth and has good hands. He beats DBs off the line most of the time and can out run almost every single one. His combine numbers are pretty good for 40, vertical and broad jump. His route running is not amazing but for a WR 2 with crazy speed...I would jump on him.

What rd would you draft him in?
 
I believe Caserio and Ryans got their defensive answers this off-season in extensions, free agent signings, and trade. This defense is better on paper than last season….if they stay healthy, much-much better.

The Texans question marks coming into the draft is still on offense. Caserio didn’t really sign any bonafide starter for the offense. Texans have to get potential answers for this season on offense. Players that could potentially start from Day 1 or inside the first 9 games. Most everyone signed on offense should be viewed as nothing more than bridge signings.

I’m focusing this draft on offense with a last second pick for ST’s and defensive backfield:

View attachment 15376

Another potential hidden gem:

I’ve mentioned TE- Maliq Carr (Houston) before, but I wanted to add that he posted a 4.63-40 which would’ve tied him for the best TE 40 at the Combine. He proved his hands to be just fine, and it’s his blocking that’s his calling card. I wouldn’t be surprised if his Pro Day didn’t elevate him from UDFA status to late pick investment. If he were to remain undrafted….really hope Caserio makes him a high priority signing.

While I agree he could be good down the road. I think if TE is a thought in the draft, it would be around the 4th or 5th round with a guy like Terrance Ferguson TE Oregon. 6'5 250, can block, catch, decent route tree and not insane speed but can stretch the seam. Reminds me of a young Kelce with maybe more upside if he works hard. Ran a 4.63 and this kid is explosive. Check his numbers, all vert/10yrd, broad jump....top end of the class.

 
What rd would you draft him in?

I think we can get him late 3rd or 4th. He has about that type rank. All depends on IF we keep Schultz. If we do, a gut like Helm, Ferguson and others will be gone because I'm going to guess TE would be 6th or 7th round. If we plan to move him in June or trade him during the draft...3rd or 4th. If we hang on to him till after the season, and he plays well fine. If not 2026...TE will be a need if Stover or Jordan play well middle round if not top 3 rounds.
 
WR- Dont’e Thornton Jr (Tennessee) popped a legit 4.30-40 at the Combine. This would legitimize his 2024 25.4 YPC average. Give him a season to work on his route tree and now you have a WR2 as a real weapon. Then I’d move Higgins inside to Slot WR where he could create massive mismatches after a full season of NFL football. I always thought DHop was a lopsided Slot WR whenever the team used him this way.

They need someone THIS year as a legit #2. They are trying to go to a SB, not run a nursery with a bunch of babies.
 
While I agree he could be good down the road. I think if TE is a thought in the draft, it would be around the 4th or 5th round with a guy like Terrance Ferguson TE Oregon. 6'5 250, can block, catch, decent route tree and not insane speed but can stretch the seam. Reminds me of a young Kelce with maybe more upside if he works hard. Ran a 4.63 and this kid is explosive. Check his numbers, all vert/10yrd, broad jump....top end of the class.

I like Ferguson alot. Reminds me of Jake Ferguson.

Probably will have to trade into the 4th to get him. That means no Thornton for his fans.
 
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