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Christmas 2025 Mock Draft

beerlover

beerlover

Hall of Fame
1st rd. Derrick Harmon DT/DE, Oregon 6-5 310
Versatile, explosive first step, unreal core strength & frame to dominate aka JJ Watt.

2nd rd. Xavier Watts, Safety, Notre Dame 6-0 205
Ballhawk & run defender, swarms to the ball. Pair him with Calen Bullock Texans boast best young safety duo in the NFL.

3rd rd. Nicholas Singleton, RB, Penn State 6-0 227
Mentor Joe Mixon will show him the ropes & how to be a great Pro RB and person. Great size & speed, vision to manipulate holes, soft hands, plus receiving skills.

4th rd. Fernando Carmona Jr. OT/LG, Arkansas 6-5 324
Premium length & mass who could develop into a devastating pulling guard. In pass pro, he’s tough to dodge around, blocky with long wingspan.

5th rd. Charles Grant, OT/RG, William & Bradley 6-3 291
Quick feet, intelligent moves well in space, very good in pass pro, versatile could play swing tackle as well.

7th rd. Harold Fanning Jr. TE/WR, Bowling Green 6-4 230
Insane production 92 receptions 1295 yards 9 TD’s in the air, 51 yards 1 TD rushing. Non-Power 4 conference Bowling Green, but performed well against Penn State & Texas A&M.

ps- made possible by resigning Diggs and Tank rehabbing off injury returning next offseason, otherwise WR early. Texans have 22 free agents after this season. This mock upgrades DL, improve Safety, creating cap room.
- Derek Barnett, DE
- Foley Fatukasi, DT
- Jerry Hughes, DE
- Mario Edwards, DE
- MJ Stewart, DB
- Eric Murray, DB
- Kendrick Green, OG
- Kenyon Green, OG (void 5th year option/trade)
- Tytus Howard, OT/OG (trade)
- Damion Pierce, RB


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beerlover said:
1st rd. Derrick Harmon DT/DE, Oregon 6-5 310
Versatile, explosive first step, unreal core strength & frame to dominate aka JJ Watt.

2nd rd. Xavier Watts, Safety, Notre Dame 6-0 205
Ballhawk & run defender, swarms to the ball. Pair him with Calen Bullock Texans boast best young safety duo in the NFL.

3rd rd. Nicholas Singleton, RB, Penn State 6-0 227
Mentor Joe Mixon will show him the ropes & how to be a great Pro RB and person. Great size & speed, vision to manipulate holes, soft hands, plus receiving skills.

4th rd. Fernando Carmona Jr. OT/LG, Arkansas 6-5 324
Premium length & mass who could develop into a devastating pulling guard. In pass pro, he’s tough to dodge around, blocky with long wingspan.

5th rd. Charles Grant, OT/RG, William & Bradley 6-3 291
Quick feet, intelligent moves well in space, very good in pass pro, versatile could play swing tackle as well.

7th rd. Harold Fanning Jr. TE/WR, Bowling Green 6-4 230
Insane production 92 receptions 1295 yards 9 TD’s in the air, 51 yards 1 TD rushing. Non-Power 4 conference Bowling Green, but performed well against Penn State & Texas A&M.

ps- made possible by resigning Diggs and Tank rehabbing off injury returning next offseason, otherwise WR early. Texans have 22 free agents after this season. This mock upgrades DL, improve Safety, creating cap room.
- Derek Barnett, DE
- Foley Fatukasi, DT
- Jerry Hughes, DE
- Mario Edwards, DE
- MJ Stewart, DB
- Eric Murray, DB
- Kendrick Green, OG
- Kenyon Green, OG (void 5th year option/trade)
- Tytus Howard, OT/OG (trade)
- Damion Pierce, RB


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1.Even though it isn't a huge need, I love Harmon and Nolen. If either one of those guys are there they should be the pick. Do you like Harmon more than Burch?

2. I dont have S as high of a ranked need as you do, although I do like Watts. Give me Mason Taylor TE LSU here if Harmon goes in the 1st.

3. I like Singleton a lot, but need a talented OG here. Give me Dylan Fairchild OG Georgia.

4. I dont know much about your OG prospects in the 4th/5th rds. Give me a Longhorn S Mukuba

5. This is where they should go RB hunting. Either Rocket Sanders or Jordan James would be my pick

Doubtful Fannin falls to the 7th. I've got him in the 3rd/4th rd range. I really like him a lot.
 
I’m more comfortable, especially on first & second day, selecting what you know & trust, can’t miss on defensive linemen or secondary. Is what is. DeMeco is here, Slowick maybe, maybe not?

Burch is completely different player, predominantly edge & space disrupter. Certainly has high ceiling but injuries concern me, thus slipping into 3rd rd.

Love what Bullock’s done, even his run stopping is solid. They bring in a better complimentary interchangeable safety in Watts, playmaker in his own right closes gaps & helps corners as well. They might resign Petrie and Ward (often injured) one more season. Depth has been as serious as WR lack of depth and I just don’t see WR in this draft class nearly as good compared to defensive side.

Mentioned last year RB sweet spot was in the 4th rd. This year it’s the third rd. If they have similar chance to grab best RB prospect off the board before the run starts, like they did last year with OT’s (Fisher) you get your man.

I’m all about addressing OL (two early 3rd day) interior additions. Impressed with Arkansas OL program producing a lot of nasty, smart hard nosed lineman (Frank Ragnow & Dan Skipper Detroit Lions). Carmona brings swagger, leadership two things Texans don’t have on the OL. He comes from a run dominant offense but still rates 80.5 pass protection grade, 81.5 overall. Has NFL size & length to transition to LG from LT.

Charles Grant, is different cat, smaller, quicker and finisher. Could play tackle or guard. I’m sure his draft stock will rise, so consider him in 4th if Carmona Jr. off the board. Really good zone blocking scheme fit, night & day from Shaq Mason. Potential to be great pulling guard for Mixon or Singleton. All state champion wrestler.

7th rd. Could go 100 different directions. Fanning is similar to Brevin Jordan skill set, that has really hurt Texan offense, not having his services. However, believe your right, and goes a lot higher, used PFF simulator for ranking, obviously early, and smaller school prospects should rise.
 
I'm staying with Ol for our 1st

21. Houston Texans: Jonah Savaiinaea, OL, Arizona​

Houston's offensive line has been one of the worst in the league this season. Entering Week 16, the team ranked 26th in pass block win rate (PBWR) and 30th in run block win rate (RBWR). Savaiinaea has the size to hold up at either tackle or guard and experience at both positions for Arizona. He can slot into multiple spots on the line and be an instant upgrade in front of franchise quarterback C.J. Stroud.
 
steelbtexan said:
1.Even though it isn't a huge need, I love Harmon and Nolen. If either one of those guys are there they should be the pick. Do you like Harmon more than Burch?

2. I dont have S as high of a ranked need as you do, although I do like Watts. Give me Mason Taylor TE LSU here if Harmon goes in the 1st.

3. I like Singleton a lot, but need a talented OG here. Give me Dylan Fairchild OG Georgia.

4. I dont know much about your OG prospects in the 4th/5th rds. Give me a Longhorn S Mukuba

5. This is where they should go RB hunting. Either Rocket Sanders or Jordan James would be my pick

Doubtful Fannin falls to the 7th. I've got him in the 3rd/4th rd range. I really like him a lot.
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I like the #3 Fairchild from Georgia
 
ghostlight said:
I'm staying with Ol for our 1st

21. Houston Texans: Jonah Savaiinaea, OL, Arizona​

Houston's offensive line has been one of the worst in the league this season. Entering Week 16, the team ranked 26th in pass block win rate (PBWR) and 30th in run block win rate (RBWR). Savaiinaea has the size to hold up at either tackle or guard and experience at both positions for Arizona. He can slot into multiple spots on the line and be an instant upgrade in front of franchise quarterback C.J. Stroud.
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If Caserio could move Tunsil for a 1st & clear overall cap space (fitting new contract for Stingley & free agent upgrades) count me in. They could also restructure Howard or trade him too, but need to see more from Savaiinaea? Would prefer Wyatt Milum, 6-6 317 West Virginia. Nasty finisher, looks like plug & play LT w/balanced skill set, equally strong both run or pass pro. All depends how Texans want to build for their future. Upgrading talent into more cap friendly group a really interesting proposal.

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It’s been a few weeks since I posted mock draft before Christmas. In general no real shakers or movers yet, they maybe impacted by tomorrow nights National Championship game between Ohio State and Notre Dame plus Senior bowl in two weeks.

Right now here is cluster of players around Texans draft slot who may fall or move up?

UPDATED 2025 NFL DRAFT RANKINGS 21-30​

21. Kelvin Banks Jr., OT, Texas

22. Tyler Warren, TE, Penn State

23. Landon Jackson, EDGE, Arkansas

24. Tyler Booker, OG, Alabama

25. Mike Green, EDGE, Marshall

26. Derrick Harmon, DL, Oregon

27. Nic Scourton, EDGE, Texas A&M

28. Armand Membou, OL, Missouri

29. Quinshon Judkins, RB, Ohio State

30. Matthew Golden, WR, Texas

Credit the 33rd team for compiled list
 
Ourlads just posted fresh mock today 1/19

#25. Houston Texans select - Savion Williams, WR TCU
HT: 6050 WT: 225 40: TBD

Stefon Diggs is heading toward free agency and Tank Dell suffered a late-season injury that will likely prevent him from playing at least the front half of the 2025 season. The fall back down to earth for 2023 Rookie of the Year CJ Stroud was alarming and their primary objective needs to be more support around him. The offensive line is an option, but the interior help should be found day two. Williams is a ball of clay with the potential to be one of the most versatile weapons in the NFL and he brings even more size which could help their red zone struggles.
 
beerlover said:
Ourlads just posted fresh mock today 1/19

#25. Houston Texans select - Savion Williams, WR TCU
HT: 6050 WT: 225 40: TBD

Stefon Diggs is heading toward free agency and Tank Dell suffered a late-season injury that will likely prevent him from playing at least the front half of the 2025 season. The fall back down to earth for 2023 Rookie of the Year CJ Stroud was alarming and their primary objective needs to be more support around him. The offensive line is an option, but the interior help should be found day two. Williams is a ball of clay with the potential to be one of the most versatile weapons in the NFL and he brings even more size which could help their red zone struggles.
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A good athlete but a bit too raw for my taste in rd 1, receiving skills need more polishing.
 
I’d agree with you. Surprised to see him this high. This is what happens when you put need over BPA. They have Benjamin Morrison CB Notre Dame available here, take him myself and have nickle flexibility.
 
I’m liking:

WR- Jayden Higgins (Iowa State / 6-4 @ 218 lbs) / I’ll attach highlight video soon enough. This guy is a bigger version of DHop with the same incredible catch radius and vice-grip hands. Solid rout runner as well. He’d be an excellent WR2 to Nico.

WR- Dont’e Thornton Jr (Tennessee / 6-5 @ 219 lbs) / Again, I’ll attach video highlights b/c I see DT as a Nico clone that seems to be a bit faster football speed. He’ll be more than capable of taking the top off defenses.

I’m hoping both of these guys are there in RD2 and RD4 or RD5.
 
leebigeztx said:
I don't think Savion can really run from what I've seen
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We will see at the combine. If he runs in the high 4.3's or low 4.4's that's fast enough for me at his size. Thorton who was mentioned up thread intrigues me. I don't know much about him. What I don't want is another possession wr.
 
leebigeztx said:
Imagine him playing 3rd downs that can run and catch vs Dare who isn't a threat. He's a Achane/ Gibbs type. He's better than. Both as a wr
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Sign me up for this in the 4th/5th rd.

Hopefully he falls like Keaton Mitchell did.

Checkout Damien Martinez from Miami and let me know what you think.
 
First time seeing Gentry fall to 25, ran it up to podium.
Higgins is best WR option who could slide to 57. Ran that one up as well. Then focused on trading down, focusing on key depth positions as well as stealing a starting RG in Lampkin round four. Oladejo & Nohl Williams much needed depth @ high position values. Kiser would replace Harris & compete with To’o To’o for minutes, eventually replacing Azeez Al Shaair.
 
beerlover said:
First time seeing Gentry fall to 25, ran it up to podium.
Higgins is best WR option who could slide to 57. Ran that one up as well. Then focused on trading down, focusing on key depth positions as well as stealing a starting RG in Lampkin round four. Oladejo & Nohl Williams much needed depth @ high position values. Kiser would replace Harris & compete with To’o To’o for minutes, eventually replacing Azeez Al Shaair.
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If Gentry falls to us I would be standing at the podium waiting for them to call our name. He reminds me of McCaffrey but without the injury curse. I don’t think he will drop to #25
 
ghostlight said:
If Gentry falls to us I would be standing at the podium waiting for them to call our name. He reminds me of McCaffrey but without the injury curse. I don’t think he will drop to #25.
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Reminds me more of Barry Sanders, but that was long time ago, in case you were too young -
 
badboy said:
Love your first 2 but not so much the trades. Who would you take without trading? Jack Kiser is pretty good.
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Here’s difficulty in simulated mock as opposed to pulling your own picks out of a hat, the players I liked, drafted. But if I had drafted them earlier would have been given failing grade. This one is also first were they had no better pick suggestions. To get these players had to trade down to leverage position where fit/need/value all aligned.

If had do over, would have selected CJ West, DT over Kiser (good as he is) because of rotational need.
 
OptimisticTexan said:
I’m liking:

WR- Jayden Higgins (Iowa State / 6-4 @ 218 lbs) / I’ll attach highlight video soon enough. This guy is a bigger version of DHop with the same incredible catch radius and vice-grip hands. Solid rout runner as well. He’d be an excellent WR2 to Nico.

WR- Dont’e Thornton Jr (Tennessee / 6-5 @ 219 lbs) / Again, I’ll attach video highlights b/c I see DT as a Nico clone that seems to be a bit faster football speed. He’ll be more than capable of taking the top off defenses.

I’m hoping both of these guys are there in RD2 and RD4 or RD5.
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This is especially worth re-visiting.
 
beerlover said:
First time seeing Gentry fall to 25, ran it up to podium.
Higgins is best WR option who could slide to 57. Ran that one up as well. Then focused on trading down, focusing on key depth positions as well as stealing a starting RG in Lampkin round four. Oladejo & Nohl Williams much needed depth @ high position values. Kiser would replace Harris & compete with To’o To’o for minutes, eventually replacing Azeez Al Shaair.
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Jentry isn't the best RB in this draft. I would take Hampton over him in a blink.
www.nfldraftbuzz.com

Omarion Hampton Running Back North Carolina | NFL Draft Profile & Scouting Report

Rating: 87.3 Rank: #2 Forty: 4.46 Hampton profiles as an immediate impact player who could step into a featured role in a downhill rushing attack. His combination of size, power, and burst ...
www.nfldraftbuzz.com www.nfldraftbuzz.com
 
Probably doesn’t apply to Texans anyway now they’ve blow up their OL. Either would’nt be maximized here, at least for interm. However, for a team who’s invested wisely on OL Jentry would be truly special. I’m not going to argue Hampton couldn’t be great either, in right situation, both clearly #1 & #2.

Texans will need to use 1st or pair of 2nds on the OL, then there is WR. So we’re both going to be disappointed not to get a blue chip RB 1 for the future. Which is why I’m targeting a day 3 pick on position being selected. Tuten out of Virgina Tech is a much more attainable alternative option now. By way Hampton Pro day is March 24th and Jentry March 26th. Expect buzz to pick up.




 
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We have 4 picks in top 100. If 1.25 brings another two and a third, we have 5. If Nick can't get a OG, WR, RB and TE plus ? I'll be surprised.
 
badboy said:
We have 4 picks in top 100. If 1.25 brings another two and a third, we have 5. If Nick can't get a OG, WR, RB and TE plus ? I'll be surprised.
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If Nick is targeting a tackle in the first, I'd rather spend the cost to trade up (doubly so if the cost is a 26 pick).

I'm not sold that there are that many needs the must be addressed with top100 draft picks. Would I like a high pick at TE to replace Schultz, yes; but that is probably a luxury rather than a need. OL, CB3, DT and WR is where I would spend my picks
 
justmy2cents said:
I've been AWOL .... who's on first ..... no .... wait .... who's at LOT ?
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Multi-annual nonprobowler Tytus Howard with fan fave Laken Thomlinson starting next to him. You remember him don't you? Are you sure? That's okay. No one else does either. There is absolutely nothing to worry about as not long ago quarterback CJ Stroud says he can run better now. I suggested to him that he changed to CJ cuz he might need a miracle or two hopefully no rising from the dead.
 
Errant Hothy said:
If Nick is targeting a tackle in the first, I'd rather spend the cost to trade up (doubly so if the cost is a 26 pick).

I'm not sold that there are that many needs the must be addressed with top100 draft picks. Would I like a high pick at TE to replace Schultz, yes; but that is probably a luxury rather than a need. OL, CB3, DT and WR is where I would spend my picks
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There is nothing to indicate that Nick is targeting a tackle in round 1 or round two for that matter.
 
badboy said:
There is nothing to indicate that Nick is targeting a tackle in round 1 or round two for that matter.
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Disagree, I take the lack of a signing at tackle to be indication that it's at least a possibility. Rolling into next year with Howard and Fisher as the starting tackles would be a disservice to CJ and the team.

I put no credence into the reports that they are comfortable with Howard at LT and Fisher at RT for next year. With the moves made so far in FA, I'd argue that IOL is less of a priority than OT, seeing the free agents they have signed (or traded for) have been interior guys.
 
Errant Hothy said:
Disagree, I take the lack of a signing at tackle to be indication that it's at least a possibility. Rolling into next year with Howard and Fisher as the starting tackles would be a disservice to CJ and the team.

I put no credence into the reports that they are comfortable with Howard at LT and Fisher at RT for next year. With the moves made so far in FA, I'd argue that IOL is less of a priority than OT, seeing the free agents they have signed (or traded for) have been interior guys.
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Really. I think our two offensive tackles are way above our offensive guards . that's not a lot of bragging on my part.
 
badboy said:
Really. I think our two offensive tackles are way above our offensive guards . that's not a lot of bragging on my part.
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Yeah, the tackles on the roster currently are better than the guards, but the tackles are below league average; and it is the much more important position.

I've seen the theory that Howard can be helped at LT by a dominate LG. One, I don't buy this at all; and two, there are no Z. Martin Q. Nelson types in this draft.
 
Errant Hothy said:
Yeah, the tackles on the roster currently are better than the guards, but the tackles are below league average; and it is the much more important position.

I've seen the theory that Howard can be helped at LT by a dominate LG. One, I don't buy this at all; and two, there are no Z. Martin Q. Nelson types in this draft.
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I am assuming that you mean there are no guards that compared to Zack Martin or Nelson when they were coming out of the draft? I think Tyler Booker from Alabama and Donovan Jackson from Ohio State could be those types of players. I would also throw in Charles Grant but he is a more Zone heavy than Gap although I really like him in our system. Thinking on it, I believe that a healthy Simmons or Josh Conerly could be very good left guards.
 
badboy said:
I am assuming that you mean there are no guards that compared to Zack Martin or Nelson when they were coming out of the draft? I think Tyler Booker from Alabama and Donovan Jackson from Ohio State could be those types of players. I would also throw in Charles Grant but he is a more Zone heavy than Gap although I really like him in our system. Thinking on it, I believe that a healthy Simmons or Josh Conerly could be very good left guards.
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So you think Booker and Jackosn will be drafted between 6th and 16th? And the Texans should/will have to trade up to get them?

Both Martin and Nelson were talked about as generational talent at OG, potential HoF'ers (both lived up the hype). I've not heard anyone talk about Jackosn or Booker in that manner.
 
badboy said:
Really. I think our two offensive tackles are way above our offensive guards . that's not a lot of bragging on my part.
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This draft is a little on the weak side, especially in our "must have" positions of need. There seem to be so many "sparklies" in this draft. But .... I worry that if we fail to put a really solid line in front of CJ, after coming off a 52 sack season, we're asking for trouble .... and if he avoids injury, he still may just shut down like a broken motor. Shades of David Carr come back to me. I was so pissed, every snap he took, I was hollering "lay down" ! The 3 wr's, the te, the big back from NC .... even one of the stud DLmen .... damn there are a lot of "sparklies" in this draft ... and that's not even mentioning Ashton Jeanty .... Damn ! A bunch of temptation !!! But Don't Kill Braveheart !
 
steelbtexan said:
If you want a 10 yr starter draft Banks or Jackson. If you have to trade up to get one of these guys then Caserio should do it.
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After signing a FB (6' 3" 255lbs) yesterday. I have to think we go OL in the 2nd, WR in the 1st and probably RB in the 3rd. Much as I would love to have a stud 315+ DT to make running up the middle impossible and to take 2 blockers so Anderson and Hunter are single blocked and can tee off (nobody can block both).
 
Wanted to do mock where Texans trade back into 2nd round like they did last year (#42 for Lassiter) and just see what prospects fall into place? Obviously, Kamari was like a first rounder last year, in a more top heavy class.

1742362047874.png
 
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Kinda changes with Texans giving Cam Robinson big one year 14.5 million contract. Thsts three JAG OL, when they could have addressed & upgraded OL simply by waiting until draft (see above, two steller OG’s & OT) on cheaper rookie contracts.

Was hoping to play more smash mouth, pound the rock football, taking physical RB Scattebo on point. Using Mixon more out of the backfield as pass-catch theat in space.

DeMeco would love the two DL picks. Can only imagine them really developing for the future. In fact, Robinson a teamate of Will Anderson JR. just oozes edge pass rush talent (who knows if Texans extend Hunter)? Deone Walker could be extremly valueable nose tackle down the road.
 
beerlover said:
Kinda changes with Texans giving Cam Robinson big one year 14.5 million contract. Thsts three JAG OL, when they could have addressed & upgraded OL simply by waiting until draft (see above, two steller OG’s & OT) on cheaper rookie contracts.

Was hoping to play more smash mouth, pound the rock football, taking physical RB Scattebo on point. Using Mixon more out of the backfield as pass-catch theat in space.

DeMeco would love the two DL picks. Can only imagine them really developing for the future. In fact, Robinson a teamate of Will Anderson JR. just oozes edge pass rush talent (who knows if Texans extend Hunter)? Deone Walker could be extremly valueable nose tackle down the road.
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This would defintely fix the ol.
 
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