Texas Jake
Rookie
Despite the quibbling, my hope (as I think Texans coaching and many fans is) that our defense turn around last seasons stats giving up 30 passing TDs..bringing in Colvin and Mathieu hopefully will do that. Johnson and Jackson need to have better seasons; Jackson had reasonable stats but didn't play that well. We know what hope there is for defensive side of ball. Stats using Jackson for example doesn't tell all the story (all of us know that) but some are revealing and that is where my optimism comes in. Also although nothing guarantees, most think a healthy Watson, healthy Will Fuller, healthy Foreman(mentioning him only as more time needed to see if he will play) and a better if not "really good" O'line individually and as a group improves that side of ball. O'Brien is now armed with knowledge of what #4 can do and there will be no Savage to compete for snaps. It will be 100 percent 4.
Watson avg 8.3 per completion & he is a passing QB. 7 games 1700 yards and if above happens (health) 3400 yards is reasonable and maintaining approx 8 yards per pass is moving the ball. 19 TDs in less than seven games could be 40+ with healthy Fuller. Stats do not tell everything but some are significant. Yes, we can drone on an on about injuries and yes they can happen again. Yes the new guys are not superstars but they may not have to be..just better and there is solid evidence that LT, LG and right tackle will be much better. To me RG is an unknown and where I will focus.
More concerning to me to me is the running game. Lamar Miller's avg per carry has dropped significantly each of his 4 season in NFL and that isn't all on coaching. First two seasons on Dolphins he only had 8 TDs each year but only had 8 TDs for Houston 2016 and 2017 combined. It is a fair question "has O'Brien figured how to use Miller?" We thought Foreman and perhaps Blue would allow fewer snaps for Miller keeping him fresher as game progressed. His rushing attempts dropped from 268 to 230 (15 avg per game) but his rushing avg dropped as did his TDs 5 to 3; so theory of less being more didn't happen. Note* his receiving was where he "shined" going from 31 receptions to 36 his yardage went from 188 to 327 (6.1 to 9.1) and 1 TD to 3. So how will Texans use this important spot and player 2018? I want Miller to keep his avg per catch but getting more targets this is a must IMO as I don't see his rushing improving. His cap of $6.75 m is just way too high for what he brings. A healthy Foreman moves Miller down in pecking order if not off team. Swanson is intriguing & while second level Toledo doesn't bring confidence in stats a RB is often the position most easily transferred. If he gets fair chance in TC he could not only earn a roster spot but move up the ladder.
I think a lot of our problem rushing the ball is because the o-line has been losing the battle in the trenches. If the o-line improves this year, so does the run game. Miller is the kind of back that has to have space to operate. Give him that and he can hurt the other team. He is not the kind of back that can make his own space.