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BL Post Saint Patricks Day Texan Mock Draft

beerlover

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The way I see this playing out, now that Texans have identified & secured their franchise QB, is to add foundation pieces around him as well play into strength of this draft class. Offensive tackle prospects are always out there but cream of the crop will go early as is always the case (Tunsil, Stanley, Decker, Conklin & Spriggs) anyone of those if available #22 would be a viable option. Now on to the DL class that is loaded & filling up a majority of first round slots. If Baylor DT/NT Billings is there @ #22 he should also get a hard look in Texans war room. Unfortunately I have a mid first round grade on him, he blew it out of the water running a sub 5 sec forty as well looked quick & fluid in drills, just don't see him there when Texans select. Which leads me to the third critical position that needs upgraded & that's WR. As of right now Corey Coleman grade is right where Texans pick, low 20's, fills need of vertical threat & complements DeAndre Hopkins. In my view he is exactly who Rick Smith & Bill O'Brian can realistically target & walk away happy with on draft day one.

Round One: Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor 5-11 194 4.37 forty pro day
corey-coleman-tds2.jpg


The second round might be a good time to grab value from DL class? By taking Coleman in first, a day one starter, Texans can draft a cornerstone on defense to keep building for the future. Many others here feel O'Brian will go back to Penn State & select Nose Tackle/3/4 DE Austin Johnson. However, just because talent pool in 2016 DL Draft Class is deep doesn't mean Austin is still on the board pick # 52. So as much as it will pain some, lol, exit stage left enter stage right the ascending disrupter Deion Jones, the new breed of versatile defensive burner so coveted in NFL. Gives Crennel flexiabiltiy to move around on the defense, nullifying other teams primary target like Gronk or Olsen to frustrate & disrupt with speed & athletic ability. He is that cover LB Texans don't have, a major defensive hole, something a lot of us recognize & seek lets hope his pro days numbers catch Texans attention 4.38 & 4.42 forty, lightening quick 20 4.26, 35 1/2 vertical & 18 reps of 225lbs.

Round Two: Deon Jones, OLB/SS, LSU 6-1 221 4.38 Forty Pro-Day
cowboys-roster-strategies-players-for-outside-linebacker-5.jpg


Third round, is where it gets really interesting but lets assume Texans strike gold with both these prospects in rounds one & two. Is there a OT worthy who could compete for starting position, maybe a Center or Guard? That question remains to be answered. While I like to upgrade outside this is not a deep class of ready to start prospects, better off targeting OG or Center but they have done this already via free agency to adequate level that targeting BPA @ position of need with ability to make immediate impact, best route to go in my humble opinion. So I'm identifying the return position, specifically return duties on punt returns & hoping for returns, pun intended on the level Seattle experienced last year with Tyler Lockett also taken in the 3rd rd. This player is also a duel threat to fit immediately into the defensive backfield rotation as well as return duties. A converted WR who took four punt returns to the house his senior season he is well coached, ascending in coverage skills as well and you can never have too many corners in the NFL.

Round Three: Cyrus Jones, DB/Returner, Alabama 5-10 197 4.49 forty @ Combine
cyrus-jones-juke-against-michigan-state-cotton-bowl.gif


Rounds four through six should all be best fits for team @ positions of need, that is BPA. It's a difficult barrier to overcome (understanding Texans are selecting late in every round) but you just need to stay disciplined & stick to a well constructed draft board. I sincerely hope Texans do not repeat last draft and unnecessarily move up to select a player they need prematurely (not a dig on McKinney or Strong) just that they need some sand in the pants, sit tight & let draft come to them. Now back to regularly scheduled mock drafting of developmental section day three.

Round Four: Issac Seumalo, OG/C, Oregon State, 6-4 303
Has starting Center potential, having started as a true freshman @ OSU & earning Honorable mention then 2nd team all Pac 12 his second even while playing through injury. He redshirted his 3rd season then returned for his fourth then opted to go pro having earned his degree. I thought he had one of the best combines of any OL man. His tape shows natural strength @ point of attack, strong quick lower trunk typical of Polynesian players. He is an upgrade over Ben Jones whom I liked and was happy the Texans drafted, but now its time to replace him since he's moved on.
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Round Five: Fahn Cooper, OT, Ole Miss, 6-4 303
Back to back OL picks, why so late? Depends who is available in 1st & not crazy about depth of 2016 class so what we're left with are purely developmental swing tackles, long term projects but necessary to begin teaching & coaching in O'Brian system. Cooper is already like a journeyman tackle having started all 13 games as a freshman LT @ Bowling Green then transferring to College of DuPage before being a highly recruited JUCO transfer to Ole Miss where incidentally he filled in for Tunstil while he served his suspension in 2015 @ LT then kicking over to RT which is where I see his best fit is at least initially for the Texans. His pro-day is coming up March 28th hopefully he doesn't kill it, his combine numbers are just solid, 5.17 forty, 25" vertical & 19 reps.
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Round Five: DJ Reader, NT, Clemson, 6-3 327
Sand in his pants & rocks in his head this could be a great fit, not just because he's ideal prototype in Crennel system, but because he has Vince Wilfork to teach this young man how to excel & become a true pro. He has type of off field issues that don't include assault, DUI or abusing women, he lacks focus & leadership in his life (personal issues) that need addressed so he can move on to become player he is capable of becoming and whole person free from distractions. He was dominant against Alabama vaunted OL in Championship game & flashed @ Senior Bowl bull rushing pocket even double teamed. Did not attend his Pro-day @ Clemson or the Combine. Boom or bust prospect but has tools Texans seek & Texans may have the answers he needs?
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Round Six: Derek Watt, Slot TE, Wisconsin, 6-2 232 4.69 forty pro-day
Listed as a FB, lol, not invited to the Combine? One person who is not missing the boat is Bill O'Brian who attended Wisconsin Pro-Day March 9th bypassing Alabama Pro-Day that speaks volumes. Watt ran the 40 in 4.79 and 4.77 seconds. He had a 33 1/2-inch vertical and 9-foot-8 broad jump. He did the 20-yard short shuttle in 4.32 seconds and also performed 19 reps of 225 pounds on the bench press. He would give Texans instant production from TE position being used more like a WR in the slot. You know he will exceed expectations & is my TE of choice.
http://www.chron.com/sports/texans/article/J-J-Watt-takes-in-younger-brother-s-Pro-Day-6881796.php


 
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Thanks for the mock. Really intrigued by your Deon Jones and Derek Watt picks. Adds much needed athleticism at the positions.

Do you have Coleman rated above Doctson at WR?

What are your thoughts on last year's 6th round pick Reshard Cliett filling that coverage LB role you have pegged for Jones?
 
Thanks for the mock. Really intrigued by your Deon Jones and Derek Watt picks. Adds much needed athleticism at the positions.

Do you have Coleman rated above Doctson at WR?

What are your thoughts on last year's 6th round pick Reshard Cliett filling that coverage LB role you have pegged for Jones?

Dockson mirrors traits of Hopkins. Coleman enhances Hopkins traits & stretches defense. But what I really like is how personalities mesh, think their chemistry would be electric.

Jones is on another planet. Different skill set/position has first round ability.

Thanks
 
Dockson mirrors traits of Hopkins. Coleman enhances Hopkins traits & stretches defense. But what I really like is how personalities mesh, think their chemistry would be electric.

Jones is on another planet. Different skill set/position has first round ability.

Thanks

Having another Hopkins-like talent would be a bad thing? Briles coached WR's haven't exactly lit up the NFL
 
Of course not but speed is what kills & makes Hopkins more effective.

I agree but am leaning more towards Shepard in the 2nd. Not as fast but fast enough and additional value as returner
 
I thought this out. I like Cyrus Jones more as returner & Coleman more as a WR. NFL has become a game of specialists. Coleman can also return if needed but why expose higher pick if not required & Jones is a natural born returner? Listen I like Sheppard too, but this upgrades positions with much higher NFL upside. I also think Cyrus is way underrated as DB. Thanks, excellent feedback always.
 
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Nothing I like more than a post St Patrick's Day mock.

Good work, I'd love it.
 
I'd personally prefer Doctson over Coleman because I feel he's the better WR. May not have the pure speed that Coleman has but his superior route running and jump ball abilities would allow for some big plays in 1 on 1 matchups.

Do you think he'll be on the board at 22?
 
I wouldn't be upset with injecting Coleman's 4.3 speed in this offense though! That would give the offense a new dimension from last season alongside the home run hitter RB Miller.
 
I'd personally prefer Doctson over Coleman because I feel he's the better WR. May not have the pure speed that Coleman has but his superior route running and jump ball abilities would allow for some big plays in 1 on 1 matchups.

Do you think he'll be on the board at 22?

Doctson has a 50/50 chance to be on the board @ 22. Coleman about the same. Really comes down to what skill set & character NFL team wants to add on their roster.

I feel Coleman is Texan worthy, has star like charisma & would compliment DeAndre skill set like a glove creating a truly dynamic tandem for Brock Osweiler to spread the rock!
 
In a sheer analysis of who I think is going to do more things more often that will help my football team move downfield, I take Doctson first every time.

Also I'm not convinced in how quickly Coleman will see the field with any frequency under OB's confidence.

That all said, wouldn't be bummed with Coleman though if Doctson (and a couple others) were gone. That speed/quickness/burst is a Siren.
 
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There will be a Docston camp & a Coleman camp. If someone configures a poll on this board I'm sure you would be in the majority :)

There will also be a OT camp & DT camp but one thing for sure, QB camp has been satisfied, at least until next year when we see exactly what Brock can do in O'Brians offense.
 
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I like Doctson more, however after BOB worked out Coleman if he liked Coleman more that means BOB thinks he can teach Coleman how to run routes.

People who say Baylor WR's aren't productive are judging this by Kendall Wright. I choose to judge by Josh Gordon's production.
 
Like Coleman. Do not like #2 or #3. Another lb is not what this team needs urgently. Are you taking Cushing or McKinney off the field to play him?

A db in the 3rd and its not a safety? We can find legit returnmen later in the draft or at positions of need like rb/wr.

I see drafting defensive players with 2 out of our top 3 picks as a poor use of our resources. If you told me it was safety, De, or Nt i might come around. Lb and cb?. No thanks. I don't know enough about the rest of your picks later in the draft to make a fair assessment, but i'd be pissed if our second and third rounders went this way.
 
Coleman: 5-11 194
Wright: 5-10 196
Gordon: 6-3 224

Any comparison between the three probably has more to do with that than anything else.

Coleman and Gordon have nothing in common besides playing at Baylor.

That doesn't mean that Coleman can't play though.
 
Coleman: 5-11 194
Wright: 5-10 196
Gordon: 6-3 224

Any comparison between the three probably has more to do with that than anything else.

Coleman and Gordon have nothing in common besides playing at Baylor.

That doesn't mean that Coleman can't play though.

True, I didn't like Wright that much coming out of college. Coleman is different in that he's faster and more elusive, with a better change of direction. He's a threat to score every time he touches the ball, unlike Wright.

With that said I like Doctson more, but if BOB/Staff pick Coleman I'm alright with the pick because it means they think they can teach Coleman how to run routes. If Coleman is the pick atleast you're getting a dynamic guy that the Texans have been lacking on Offense. Miller/Coleman/Nuk = weaponry for OSs to succeed.
 
Like Coleman. Do not like #2 or #3. Another lb is not what this team needs urgently. Are you taking Cushing or McKinney off the field to play him?

A db in the 3rd and its not a safety? We can find legit returnmen later in the draft or at positions of need like rb/wr.

I see drafting defensive players with 2 out of our top 3 picks as a poor use of our resources. If you told me it was safety, De, or Nt i might come around. Lb and cb?. No thanks. I don't know enough about the rest of your picks later in the draft to make a fair assessment, but i'd be pissed if our second and third rounders went this way.

Funny both could play safety roles, FS & SS, lol. Makes defense more scheme diverse & adds speed that can cover whole field. Now I agree that Jones selections are something nobody would see coming but that in itself is a beautiful thing.

Thanks for your objective & honest feedback :clap:

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...en-works-with-corey-coleman-at-baylor-pro-day

http://www.nfl.com/combine/profiles/corey-coleman?id=2555333
 
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One thing to be careful with Jones is that, despite his crazy athleticism, he's not that good in coverage. He's going to bet pegged as a coverage LB right out of the gate because of his measureables but he struggled with coverage at LSU.
 
One thing to be careful with Jones is that, despite his crazy athleticism, he's not that good in coverage. He's going to bet pegged as a coverage LB right out of the gate because of his measureables but he struggled with coverage at LSU.

If he can stay healthy (Big if) I like Cliett over jones as a coverage LB/S hybrid. Jones reminds me of Mingo without the draft hype. Good player but not what draftniks think he is.
 
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I really like this draft, but have a couple issues with it. First I like Coleman, but would prefer Doctson in the 1st if we go WR. That's no big deal just a differing of opinions. I don't like waiting til the 4th and 5th rounds to get O-line help, I've felt that the O-line has been a team weakness for several years and OT is thin right now. Also Watt in the 6th is a wasted pick, he's to short and light for NFL level TE. If you haven't noticed O'Brien has been getting the team away from the Kubiak size players and going with bigger guys. Overall, good job.
 
I really like this draft, but have a couple issues with it. First I like Coleman, but would prefer Doctson in the 1st if we go WR. That's no big deal just a differing of opinions. I don't like waiting til the 4th and 5th rounds to get O-line help, I've felt that the O-line has been a team weakness for several years and OT is thin right now. Also Watt in the 6th is a wasted pick, he's to short and light for NFL level TE. If you haven't noticed O'Brien has been getting the team away from the Kubiak size players and going with bigger guys. Overall, good job.

Coleman speed will outweigh Doctson length (despite issue offseason Strong will fill that role). One thing Texans haven't had @ WR position is a burner, time Texans take cover off defenses & Brock has arm to get it there, also a first.

What your telling me is to bypass BPA early (rounds 2-3) in favor of needs. Much as I want to address OL, love to add Ryan Kelly, Jason Spriggs or Jack Conklin but after meat of class is off the board late 1st-early 2nd talent pool drops off, no immediate plug & play starter all second tier. Isaac Seumalo is squarely in that 2nd tier Center prospect ranking & will come into OTA's ready to work, in camp he will compete, maybe even win Center solidifying position moving forward. That's how you address need, with hard work & tough choices.

Offensive Tackle position has been a difficult position for Texans to maintain high quality play/depth. Every draft there should be one drafted, just couple years ago Texans drafted two. Cooper is underrated, thought he played pretty well for Tunsil against SEC competition. He also adds depth @ OG & O'Brian preaches versatility across OL. Value pick!

Not a very good TE class, sorry. Watt will be a special teams guy first, have to develop & get stronger but you know he will it's in his DNA. He is a willing blocker, adds speed for position & very versatile, saves roster space.

Thanks man :barman:
 
Coleman speed will outweigh Doctson length (despite issue offseason Strong will fill that role). One thing Texans haven't had @ WR position is a burner, time Texans take cover off defenses & Brock has arm to get it there, also a first.

What your telling me is to bypass BPA early (rounds 2-3) in favor of needs. Much as I want to address OL, love to add Ryan Kelly, Jason Spriggs or Jack Conklin but after meat of class is off the board late 1st-early 2nd talent pool drops off, no immediate plug & play starter all second tier. Isaac Seumalo is squarely in that 2nd tier Center prospect ranking & will come into OTA's ready to work, in camp he will compete, maybe even win Center solidifying position moving forward. That's how you address need, with hard work & tough choices.

Offensive Tackle position has been a difficult position for Texans to maintain high quality play/depth. Every draft there should be one drafted, just couple years ago Texans drafted two. Cooper is underrated, thought he played pretty well for Tunsil against SEC competition. He also adds depth @ OG & O'Brian preaches versatility across OL. Value pick!

Not a very good TE class, sorry. Watt will be a special teams guy first, have to develop & get stronger but you know he will it's in his DNA. He is a willing blocker, adds speed for position & very versatile, saves roster space.

Thanks man :barman:

Agreed,

I've got Cooper rated in the 3rd-4th rd range. Cooper can play LT eventually in the NFL. He's got that level of ability. Higbee is the only TE that interests me in this draft. The Watt pick is a wasted pick. IMHO I do believe Cajuste can be converted and become a valuable piece at TE.
 
I'm still stuggling to understand why Corey Coleman is a 1st rounder & Will Fuller isn't. They are just about identical & if I think i can get Fuller in the 2nd I'd take my chances trying to get him there & go elsewhere in the 1st instead of Coleman. If I had my pick of either one, I'm taking Fuller..reminds me of desean Jackson. I should also mention too I'm weary of Baylor offensive players or anyone coming out of Baylor and Art Briles' offensive system. RG3, Watkins, Wright, Williams....these guys are either flat out busts or have done very little. About the most productive guy they've had is Josh Gordon & we all know his issues.
 
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I'm still stuggling to understand why Corey Coleman is a 1st rounder & Will Fuller isn't. They are just about identical & if I think i can get Fuller in the 2nd I'd take my chances trying to get him there & go elsewhere in the 1st instead of Coleman. If I had my pick of either one, I'm taking Fuller..reminds me of desean Jackson. I should also mention too I'm weary of Baylor offensive players or anyone coming out of Baylor and Art Briles' offensive system. RG3, Watkins, Wright, Williams....these guys are either flat out busts or have done very little. About the most productive guy they've had is Josh Gordon & we all know his issues.

I'd be careful with generalizations (in this case labeling all Baylor prospects in a negative light). Fuller is a good WR prospect who could kick out but to me Coleman has more upside & not pigeonholed as a slot WR. If Cyrus is gone by third he can also own return duties.

Having said that I would be very happy with Fuller in 2nd if Texans got a LT in first like Spriggs or Conklin. :barman:
 
Funny, just having breakfast & listening to "mad radio" 610 with Mike & Seth. They discussed this very subject, Coleman to Texans & Meltzer made generaliztion of Receivers in Baylor system being hard to judge because they're always so open. Lol

Seth was more pro the pick from beginning of discussion. However Mike to did talk himself into reality that adding a legitimate #2 WR is one of two biggest holes on roster (other being TE).

Just saying, this is a topic of widespread debate & conjecture. I can't wait, draft can't come soon enough :headhurts:
 
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Funny, just having breakfast & listening to "mad radio" 610 with Mike & Seth. They discussed this very subject, Coleman to Texans & Meltzer made generaliztion of Receivers in Baylor system being hard to judge because they're always so open. Lol

Seth was more pro the pick from beginning of discussion. However Mike to did talk himself into reality that adding a legitimate #2 WR is one of two biggest holes on roster (other being TE).

Just saying, this is a topic of widespread debate & conjecture. I can't wait, draft can't come soon enough :headhurts:

I like Coleman I think the Texans do as well. I keep thinking back to how we tried to trade back into the first last year to draft Dorsett, I think Coleman is better than Dorsett is.

I actually like this mock a lot. Feels some holes and provides good depth
 
What if Floyd is there at 22?

Assume you mean Leonard Floyd, OLB Georgia. This is a strong group of LB's it sure would be nice to steal one. Lot of people have short memories (beginning of last season- Cushing recovery, McKinney development) but one thing is for sure, Texans still lack speed which is why I targeted Deion Jones is 2nd. Floyd would be a clear upgrade & up to speed a lot faster but in the end very similar players. Good suggestion :barman:

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...jeremiahs-top-50-prospects-for-2016-nfl-draft
 
Hot of Battle Red Blog, nice work Tim, taken from Football Outsiders Nathan Forster- http://www.battleredblog.com/2016/3...corey-coleman-similar-to-deandre-hopkins-as-a

Thanks to the Texans' aggressive and successful (at least in terms of signing players; time will tell if they were wise moves or not) strategy in free agency, many draftniks have begun speculating that Houston may target a wide receiver with their first round pick in the 2016 NFL Draft. Often, that has resulted in mock drafters honing in on a potential match between the Texans and Baylor's Corey Coleman.

Using FO's "Playmaker Score," Forster says that not only is Corey Coleman the best wide receiving prospect in this year's draft, but that Coleman's also comparable as a prospect to none other than DeAndre Hopkins.
Playmaker Score is based on a statistical analysis of all of the FBS wide receivers drafted from 1996 to 2013, and measures the following:

• The wide receiver's projected draft position. These projections use the rankings from ESPN's Scouts Inc.

• The wide receiver prospect's peak season for receiving yards per team attempt (i.e., a wide receiver with 1,000 receiving yards whose team passed 400 times would score a 2.5)

• The wide receiver prospect's peak season for receiving touchdowns per team attempt

• The difference between the prospect's peak season for receiving touchdowns per team attempt and the prospect's most recent season for receiving touchdowns per team attempt (this factor is simply zero for a player whose peak season was his most recent season)

• The wide receiver's vertical jump from pre-draft workouts

• A variable that rewards players who enter the draft as underclassmen and punishes those who exhaust their college eligibility

• The wide receiver's college career yards per reception

• The wide receiver's rushing attempts per game during his peak season for receiving yards per team attempt.

1. Corey Coleman, Baylor: 709 yards/season

Scouts Inc.: No. 43 overall
Similar historical prospects: DeAndre Hopkins, Steve Smith

Coleman has a monster projection. As a junior, Coleman gained 1,363 receiving yards and caught an eye-popping 20 receiving touchdowns. Because Baylor passed the ball only 389 times in 2016, Coleman scored a touchdown on 5.1 percent of Baylor's passes. That's an incredible ratio, which has been topped by only four elite players: Randy Moss, Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, and Larry Fitzgerald. Coleman also tested out well physically, posting a position-best 40.5-inch vertical jump at the NFL combine.

Some good comments following down page on link, I would say there is only one ball to go around & Hopkins will garner majority of targets, however drafting a legitimate outside threat will spread defenses. Translations, improved red zone efficiency, scoring & total offense, hence, perfect pairing of big playmakers because there is a new rifle in town.
 
Realize Colemon is willing to return kicks but don't think risk/reward is justified due to injury concern, especially as a rookie. Maybe as Texans make playoff push or in "the big game(s) risk/reward is justified, but that is specifically why I added an elite return specialist (Cyrus Jones) in 3rd rd. Just wanted to throw that out there in case it was a concern to others or deceiding factor choosing him instead of Doctson in 1st, or Shepard 2nd, who would be expected to do both.

As per comment(s) hard to judge him in Baylor system, just this small video sample size shows that he wins contested battles using his speed, ability to track the ball then going after it aggressively. http://www.nfl.com/draft/2016/profiles/corey-coleman?id=2555333
 
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If he can stay healthy (Big if) I like Cliett over jones as a coverage LB/S hybrid. Jones reminds me of Mingo without the draft hype. Good player but not what draftniks think he is.
I like Cliett also. Even if one is looking past his season ending ACL surgery September of last year, I would still have to be concerned about a small (220 pounds) heavy hitter like Cliett who underwent a recent (mid October 2015) left shoulder labrum repair...........after having had his right shoulder labrum repaired in the 2014 offseason...........both as a results of previous shoulder dislocations.

He should indeed be ready for OTAs, but the question is what happens when he goes back to full contact and his hard hitting style. Keep in mind that despite his right shoulder repair, he later redislocated that shoulder, but chose to rehab conservatively, leaving himself at significant risk for another redislocation and need for another surgery.

From my May 2015 post:

Our first 3 picks have basically free of significant injury history. Unfortunately, I cannot say the same for Clett. During the 2013 season, he repeatedly dislocated his shoulder playing through it. December 2013, he underwent shoulder surgery. On October 2014, despite the surgical repair, he suffered a redislocation of his shoulder. Again, he continued to play through it and continued rehab thereafter in order to avoid further surgery.

My concern is that surgical failure (redislocation) for such shoulder surgery is 1-5 %, which he has already experienced may not be the end of the story. As with any shoulder dislocations, redislocations become more likely. Non operative treatment (conservative rehab alone) of a dislocated shoulder carries a high redislocation rate (especially in a young LB which would repeatedly exposed to shoulder trauma), some studies as high as 50% within 2 years. His next redislocation will likely meet the criteria for shoulder revision surgery.
 
If he can stay healthy (Big if) I like Cliett over jones as a coverage LB/S hybrid. Jones reminds me of Mingo without the draft hype. Good player but not what draftniks think he is.
I like Cliett also. Even if one is looking past his season ending ACL surgery September of last year, I would still have to be concerned about a small (220 pounds) heavy hitter like Cliett who underwent a recent (mid October 2015) left shoulder labrum repair...........after having had his right shoulder labrum repaired in the 2014 offseason...........both as a results of previous shoulder dislocations.

He should indeed be ready for OTAs, but the question is what happens when he goes back to full contact and his hard hitting style. Keep in mind that despite his right shoulder repair, he later redislocated that shoulder, but chose to rehab conservatively, leaving himself at significant risk for another redislocation and need for another surgery.

From my May 2015 post:

Our first 3 picks have basically free of significant injury history. Unfortunately, I cannot say the same for Clett. During the 2013 season, he repeatedly dislocated his shoulder playing through it. December 2013, he underwent shoulder surgery. On October 2014, despite the surgical repair, he suffered a redislocation of his shoulder. Again, he continued to play through it and continued rehab thereafter in order to avoid further surgery.

My concern is that surgical failure (redislocation) for such shoulder surgery is 1-5 %, which he has already experienced may not be the end of the story. As with any shoulder dislocations, redislocations become more likely. Non operative treatment (conservative rehab alone) of a dislocated shoulder carries a high redislocation rate (especially in a young LB which would repeatedly exposed to shoulder trauma), some studies as high as 50% within 2 years. His next redislocation will likely meet the criteria for shoulder revision surgery.
 
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