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Texans Playoff Picture
- Thread starter Marshall
- Start date
Marshall
Not pretty, but ALIVE!
There is a first time for everything and this year it's beating Indy IN Indy.
Agreed. Though the fact that Clowney & Cush are practicing this week points towards the positive. If those two can contribute on defense, if our defense starts to dominate games... 5 wins is not out of the question.
& if they can help JJ look like the monster we know he is.... I can see that MVP award coming his way.
The question is, will a 10-6 record be enough to make the playoffs? In most years it is good enough, but this year, with a bunch of teams hovering around the same record, I don't know if it will be enough to get a Wildcard. A lot would have to happen for the Texans to get in with a Wildcard. Not saying it couldn't, but the odds are against them right now. The only sure way to get in is to win out and take the division.
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
A lot of those teams are playing each other and could knock each other back. They're also playing divisional games and those can be unpredictable (like the Raiders beating the Chiefs.)
Without even futzing around with things much, I ended up getting scenarios where we made the play-offs at 9-7. If we get to 10-6, there's a good chance we get in but there are a lot of scenarios where we don't.
Yeah... I wasn't responding to that question.
While the Raiders beating the Chiefs helps us in the Wildcard hunt the odds of all those "scenarios" happening and the Texans getting a Wildcard berth are low. Are they worse odds than the Texans winning out? Probably not, but I'm still hoping for winning out anyway. I hate those nail biting, last weekend of the season, playoff deciding games only to find out your team didn't get in because some other team already in the playoffs "rolled over" for another team by playing all their scrubs!
Will not include the Chargers as they have no shot with the remaining schedule.
Bengals(6-3-1)-Texans,Steelers 2x, Browns, Broncos, Bucs
Miami(6-4)-Broncos, Jets 2x, Ravens, Patriots, Vikings
Ravens(6-4)-Saints, Chargers, Dolphins, Jaguars, Texans, Browns
Pittsburgh(7-4)-Bengals 2x, Saints, Falcons, Chiefs
Chiefs(7-4)-Broncos, Chargers, Cardinals, Raiders, Steelers, Chargers
Texans(6-5) Cincy, Jag, Titans, Colts, Ravens, jags
Colts(6-4) Titans, Jags, Texans, Browns, Cowboys, Redskins
Pick 4 teams.
I hate those nail biting, last weekend of the season, playoff deciding games only to find out your team didn't get in because some other team already in the playoffs "rolled over" for another team by playing all their scrubs!
The league's been trying to make the schedules where things aren't decided as early as they have been in the past. This looks good. There will be several seats open come the final week. & if the Redskins had been as mediocre as everyone thought they would be, it would be even better.
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
Just a note but... We're just at 5-5 until we beat the Bengals.
Hey man, assumptions are in play.
My assumption is that the Texans are winning on Sunday!
Speedy
Former Yeller Dweller
I don't mean to be this guy:
The Texans have no chance this year at anything, other than maybe, "MAYBE being 8-8, 9-7 (at best)".
That's simply not true. Likely maybe, but they do have a chance, and a good chance at that. Of course, they have to win football games.
3 of their last 6 games are Jacksonvile twice and Tennessee. If you don't go 3-0 there then you don't deserve anything any way.
You've got the Colts in Indy where they've never won. I don't expect it this year either but they've played them close in Indy before even with forehead there, so you never know.
Baltimore at home is the game you have to steal, especially if you don't beat Indy.
Of course, Cincy is up first and that is a game that can be won and has to be won or their chances drop to almost none. Then you may have an arguement. They'd have to win out if they lose Sunday. But to say they have no chance at anything is horse puckey. It is very possible to go 5-1 against the schedule they have left and finish 10-6.
CloakNNNdagger
Hall of Fame
As far as the Division race, Luck and the Colts are going to have to work much harder for any wins they're looking for..............Bradshaw is OUT for the season officially now on IR (not to return) with his neither of his backups with a >3.4 ypc......and their 2nd most productive player TE Dwane Allen for at least a week or 2........and their RT Cherilus who will likely be out at least a couple of games with a shoulder injury........ and CB Toler who can't progress in his concussion protocal as he is still seeing stars and hearing bells after his hit last week.
[Interesting to note is that the Colts' decent record worked against them as they tried to claim Ben Tate off of waivers, but was shtupped by the Vikings with a poorer record.]
[Interesting to note is that the Colts' decent record worked against them as they tried to claim Ben Tate off of waivers, but was shtupped by the Vikings with a poorer record.
]
As far as the Division race, Luck and the Colts are going to have to work much harder for any wins they're looking for..............Bradshaw is OUT for the season officially now on IR (not to return) with his neither of his backups with a >3.4 ypc......and their 2nd most productive player TE Dwane Allen for at least a week or 2........and their RT Cherilus who will likely be out at least a couple of games with a shoulder injury........ and CB Toler who can't progress in his concussion protocal as he is still seeing stars and hearing bells after his hit last week.
[Interesting to note is that the Colts' decent record worked against them as they tried to claim Ben Tate off of waivers, but was shtupped by the Vikings with a poorer record.
For our team, things like that have a big effect. For whatever reason, the Colts can win the division without an Ahmad Bradshaw, or Dwayne Allen, or Gosder Cherilus. We suffer losses like that & the Jaguars will sweep us.
They're going to find a way to win the next three games regardless & we'll go into Lucas Oil Stadium completely healthy, having dropped 2 of 3 & still lose @Indy.
I just don't understand it.
Negative Nancy
Playoffs
Hall of Fame
Losing Gosder and Toler might be addition by subtraction.
Bradshaw hurts, and I've made no bones about my lust for Dwayne but he does get injured alot. If Fleener can stay healthy, they can replace Allen in the aggregate.
I don't mean to be this guy:
The Texans have no chance this year at anything, other than maybe, "MAYBE being 8-8, 9-7 (at best)".
That said, they're not that far off.
[/end thread]
Even Captain Obvious knows this team is not going to the playoffs.
[/end thread]
Even Captain Obvious knows this team is not going to the playoffs.
That's not Captain America
I know..... it's a joke
Bulls on Parade
2017 Astros: Earn It!
I like our chances to win four of our last five games. That would mean 9-7 which is likely going to "just miss out on the playoffs." We'll have to beat the Colts at Indianapolis on December 14 to finish 10-6. That's a tall order considering we're 0-12 all time playing the Colts on the road. What will make the 13th try the one where we finally break through and win at Indy? I guess we shall see. If we can win out and finish 10-6 I think that may be enough for the Texans to clinch the final wild-card spot in the AFC.
Especially if it comes down to a tiebreaker with the Ravens who I have us beating. Also we are in great shape if it's a tie with the Browns. We're toast if it's a tiebreaker with the Steelers. We can't tie the Bengals anyways because they have a tie and I hope they win the AFC North which they seem to be in control of. We'll need to finish a full game better than the Steelers. But this is only if we finish 10-6. I expect us to come up just short and finish 9-7 with a loss at Indy still to come unfortunately. Hopefully I'm wrong. All I want for Christmas is a Texans win at Indianapolis. I've been saying that since 2002.
Especially if it comes down to a tiebreaker with the Ravens who I have us beating. Also we are in great shape if it's a tie with the Browns. We're toast if it's a tiebreaker with the Steelers. We can't tie the Bengals anyways because they have a tie and I hope they win the AFC North which they seem to be in control of. We'll need to finish a full game better than the Steelers. But this is only if we finish 10-6. I expect us to come up just short and finish 9-7 with a loss at Indy still to come unfortunately. Hopefully I'm wrong. All I want for Christmas is a Texans win at Indianapolis. I've been saying that since 2002.
I don't see anyway we beat the colts in Indy, and I don't see us beating the Ravens at home.
Who is going to cover the Smith's? Who is going to cover OD? Without Mallett, do you really think our OL can hold up long enough for Fitz to do his walk in the park, look around and not enjoy the view before he either jogs for 3 yds or is pile driven thru the tray? I'm not sure we can beat the tinnbreds and the tarps in their house.
Damn, I'm depressing myself
I think the AFC will end up having at least one 10-6 team that misses the playoffs this year. 9-7 is good for a 'winning season', but not a chance at a wildcard slot.
Too bad we are not in the NFC South. They look like a 7-9 team could grab the division title this year.
Too bad we are not in the NFC South. They look like a 7-9 team could grab the division title this year.
Bulls on Parade
2017 Astros: Earn It!
JB, you are focused on the two tough games we have left. Like I mentioned on another thread our main focus should be on these next two weeks and two winnable games we have against the Titans and Jaguars. If we're sitting at 7-6 going into the road game at Indianapolis on December 14 we'll still have a shot at making the playoffs. That's the attitude we need to have right now. This team is good enough to beat the Titans and Jaguars. I can assure you that. It's just a matter of how hard they're going to play to get the job done.
I was responding to your winning 4 of 5 comment. I do think we're good enough to beat the Titans and Jaguars at home... that's as far as I'll go for now. One game at a time tho.
If Arian plays we're good enough to beat the Titans/Jags with Fitzpatrick.
No Arian... no chance.
TexansLucky13
53d Signal Batt
markn
All Pro
Exactly.
Don't see us beating Indy or Baltimore with Fitzy at the helm even if Arian is firing on all cylinders. 8-8 is my call now.
Bulls on Parade
2017 Astros: Earn It!
The Jaguars sacked Andrew Luck five times and were only down 6-3 at halftime at Indianapolis. We need to follow that blueprint and just go after him in that game. If our pass rush comes alive we'll have a chance to win every game. Take some pressure off our struggling secondary. I'll say this much: We can't beat anybody giving wide receivers a seven-yard cushion with zero pass rush.
Because our normal game plan is to sit back & dare them to run the ball?
The Pencil Neck
Hall of Fame
Our normal game plan is to not cover T.Y. Hilton.
Bulls on Parade
2017 Astros: Earn It!
We need to jam him hard inside five yards. Play him physical and beat him up near the line of scrimmage. Pretty much the opposite of when the Colts hung up 24 points on us during the first quarter at NRG Stadium earlier this season. Pretty much the opposite of what we witnessed from our injury depleted secondary against the Bengals in that last game. Giving up at least five yards or separation is allowing the other quarterback to play an easy "pitch and catch" game in the park. We need to hit those guys hard and trust our pass rush to make sure they don't get beat deep by knocking the hell out of Andrew Luck. Anyways, that's still a few games away when we play at Indianapolis. Let's beat the less talented Titans and Jaguars first.
Heath Shuler
SPEED KILLS
no. not correct
HJam72
Hall of Fame
If you look at the AFC standings, there are way too many teams ahead of us. Our record is only better than like 4 teams in the whole AFC. Most of the teams not leading their division are still ahead of us in win/loss. We'd have a better chance in the NFC, but that doesn't matter. We will have to win out....and we won't. In the very unlikely scenario that we beat the Colts in Indy, we'll just lose to the Ravens and blow it.
NitroGSXR
Super Sic #58
Can you explain? I'm a little confused. I was looking at the outlook and it looks like that. By way of the AFC being an absolute mess this year.
Heath Shuler
SPEED KILLS
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcwinmagicnumbers.html
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html
we dont control our own destiny
