Thorn
Dirty Old Man
Is 3.5 sacks/season really going to have a big impact on the defense?![]()
that's more than Weaver had
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Is 3.5 sacks/season really going to have a big impact on the defense?![]()
3.5 sacks plus Mario and hopefully an improved Okoye maybe even an upgrade at the other DT position, that should improve his sack total to around 7-8, and more people running in his direction thus more tackles.....
net gain of 7-8 sacks plus more tackles....
I like it...
Yep. I'm not saying Smith is gonna take us to the super bowl or anything silly like that, I'm just saying we improved our pass rush. And that is always a good thing. I still think drafting a defensive lineman (any position) is still a good idea on the first day of the draft.
He is 3.5x better than Weaver
He would be 3.5x better than Weaver if Weaver had gotten 1 sack. If Weaver had gotten 0.5 sacks, then he'd be 7x better than Weaver. But Weaver got 0 sacks and you can't divide by 0. So it's undefined how much better than Weaver he is. It approaches infinity, however.
Mario has huge plays without ever touching the QB. Stats are nice, but a lineman's value can't be measured by numbers. He performed in the playoffs, something Weaver never did.Is 3.5 sacks/season really going to have a big impact on the defense?![]()
Mario has huge plays without ever touching the QB. Stats are nice, but a lineman's value can't be measured by numbers. He performed in the playoffs, something Weaver never did.
Significant in my opinion.There is no doubt in my mind this is an upgrade over Weaver, how much remains to be seen.
THAT'S humor!!!!!!Choreographed by Richard Smith, of course.
DE to have opposite Mario was arguably our biggest need on the entire team and of the offseason. We signed a guy that apparently our front office had their sights on from the start and it was for a reasonable amount.
I have no idea why some people are b*tchin' about it. Would Julius Peppers, commanding 3x the guaranteed amount be that much better? What other DEs out there would be an overwhelming upgrade over Smith and how much more would they cost?
One area that I think the Texans are not prioritizing enough is running back. One play and we are history. Slaton I think will not last long taking prolonged pounding. I know he was spectacular last year, but I think we were lucky. We need another quality prospect and a proven veteran on the cheap. I am not saying break the bank on the veteran one by any means.
OK, overall I like the signing - I am glad to have him here. But, I think what people are griping about is that he's getting paid a lot (i.e. not a "reasonable" amount) for merely OK production.
Based on the numbers earlier (and someone else posted this earlier), if we assume the guaranteed money was a signing bonus, his contract comes to:
12.5 Signing Bonus (cap hit of 2.5 Million per year)
3.0 Year 1 Salary - total cap hit of $5.5 Million
3.9 Year 2 Salary - total cap hit of $6.4 Million
4.6 Year 3 Salary - total cap hit of $7.1 Million
11.5 Years 4 and 5 (for fun, lets call it 5.3 and 6.2, giving total cap hits of $7.8 Million and $8.7 Million)
Those aren't cheap numbers - the last one is approaching the current frachise tag cost for DEs (I expect it'll be higher by that point, though). And, as others have pointed out, he is now our 2nd highest paid defensive player after Dunta - more than Mario (though his salary blows up next year), more than Demeco, way more than first round DL picks Okoye and TJ. For that price, he'll be expected to produce at a high level - to be one of the standouts on our defense. And yet his history seems to indicate that he's merely a solid, not spectacular player. I think a lot of people would have rather gone with a cheaper (but less reliable) DE option (including drafting one), and spent the money on players like Demeco and Dunta instead.
Of course, Weaver's numbers weren't cheap either (last year he had a cap hit of $6.2 Million, and this year just his dead money hits us for $5.4 Million!!!). If we're going to be paying those prices, which it looks like we have to do for a good DE, I'd much rather do it for Smith than for Weaver.
On another note, I wonder whether the size of his contract actually makes DE a low priority - given the amount of money invested in Smith and Mario, it wouldn't make much sense to hand another large contract to a DE. So, rather than turning DE from a "need" to a "want", this signing might have turned it all the way to a "don't want".
Is 3.5 sacks/season really going to have a big impact on the defense?![]()
Yesterday, I went back and watched a few Cardinal games from last season, focusing on Smith:
1. They moved him all over the line. IN one game, I saw him play all 4 DL positions in the first half.
2. He held his ground on double teams very well.
3. He has an excellent intial burst off the line.
4. I didn't see any elite moves from the edge- more of a power rusher... He does have that right hand club move to the inside that Reggie White made famous- he just isn't as much of a threat to hit the edge fast, IMO.
5. Consistently in the backfield and aware of where the ball is.
6. Played only about 60% of the snaps- they had lots of oddball packages and he shared some time with C. Campbell- However, he was clearly the better player of the two.
7. Design of the defense sometimes would send him on stunts and twists where it was clearly his job to occupy multiple blockers- he did those things with willingness and effort.
Yesterday, I went back and watched a few Cardinal games from last season, focusing on Smith:
1. They moved him all over the line. IN one game, I saw him play all 4 DL positions in the first half.
2. He held his ground on double teams very well.
3. He has an excellent intial burst off the line.
4. I didn't see any elite moves from the edge- more of a power rusher... He does have that right hand club move to the inside that Reggie White made famous- he just isn't as much of a threat to hit the edge fast, IMO.
5. Consistently in the backfield and aware of where the ball is.
6. Played only about 60% of the snaps- they had lots of oddball packages and he shared some time with C. Campbell- However, he was clearly the better player of the two.
7. Design of the defense sometimes would send him on stunts and twists where it was clearly his job to occupy multiple blockers- he did those things with willingness and effort.
Here's my question ? Why do we even need Smith when we've already got a guy on our roster who's the best strong-side defensive-end to come out of college since 2002 when Julius Peppers went into the Draft ?
No offense but did you sleep through the last season? All the opposition had to do last year was make sure someone picked up Mario. They never even had to give more than an second thought to the rest of the line. That is the main reason Mario was always just out of reach of the QB. Now, if Smith can even get a little pressure to make the other teams at least acknowledge his presence then that gives Mario a little more time adn I think that is all he will need to add another 50% to his sack totals. Overpaid/underpaid I don't care. It is an upgrade and I think it will pay off for another pro bowl for Mario and our first winning season!!Here's my question ? Why do we even need Smith when we've already got a guy on our roster who's the best strong-side defensive-end to come out of college since 2002 when Julius Peppers went into the Draft ?
I know it sounds like Koolaid but I am willing to put money down that our line will be improved because of this pick up and because our line improves, our secondary will see a little improvement from it.
Mario, Smith, TJ, Okam, Bulman, Robinson, Cochran. That's 7 guys on a 4-man line. I suspect we'll grab a DL somewhere in the draft...but it'd have to be "THE GUY" who is available, the guy whom Smithiakush deem to be worth it in rounds 1-3. And those probabilities are like overpaying for suited connectors when the flop comes K-K-A.
You might need to go ahead and research how much tar, firewood, and cauldrons are selling for these days. You're probably not going to be happy.
Fair question, just as "how does this money compare to other unproven veterans who made three nice plays in the playoffs" is.
With Chris Canty's signing today, we can compare apples to apples. The two are the same age and essentially at the same point in their careers. Both are quasi- DE/DTs.
Statistics over past 2 seasons:
Antonio Smith 9 sacks (exluding playoffs) 69 tackles 3 FF
Chris Canty 6.5 sacks 55 tackles 0 FF
Canty is 3 inches taller and 25 lbs heavier but both play a very similar game- strong against the run and good first steps and usually end up in the backfield on their feet with their head up. Both also, essentially, played a combination of DT and DE, moving around quite a bit and sometimes stunting and occupying blockers for others to get free.
Terms of new deals:
Antonio Smith 5 years $35 million $12.5 mil signing bonus
Chris Canty 6 years $42 million $17.5 mil signing bonus
Now, I realize that it's not a perfect comparison but in terms of the marketplace it's a very good measuring stick. I think, based on these numbers, that it's fair to say that we didn't overpay. Now, over the next couple years we'll find out if we scouted well and picked the right guy.
I think Canty also got more playing time too. At least he started all 32 games over that two-year period as opposed to 23 starts for Smith.
You're right but one could also argue that Antonio Smith was fresher and was able to play at a higher intensity level when he was in. But, you're right. Smith made more plays in significantly fewer snaps.
With Chris Canty's signing today, we can compare apples to apples. The two are the same age and essentially at the same point in their careers. Both are quasi- DE/DTs.
Statistics over past 2 seasons:
Antonio Smith 9 sacks (exluding playoffs) 69 tackles 3 FF
Chris Canty 6.5 sacks 55 tackles 0 FF
Canty is 3 inches taller and 25 lbs heavier but both play a very similar game- strong against the run and good first steps and usually end up in the backfield on their feet with their head up. Both also, essentially, played a combination of DT and DE, moving around quite a bit and sometimes stunting and occupying blockers for others to get free.
Terms of new deals:
Antonio Smith 5 years $35 million $12.5 mil signing bonus
Chris Canty 6 years $42 million $17.5 mil signing bonus
Now, I realize that it's not a perfect comparison but in terms of the marketplace it's a very good measuring stick. I think, based on these numbers, that it's fair to say that we didn't overpay. Now, over the next couple years we'll find out if we scouted well and picked the right guy.
With Chris Canty's signing today, we can compare apples to apples. The two are the same age and essentially at the same point in their careers. Both are quasi- DE/DTs.
Statistics over past 2 seasons:
Antonio Smith 9 sacks (exluding playoffs) 69 tackles 3 FF
Chris Canty 6.5 sacks 55 tackles 0 FF
Canty is 3 inches taller and 25 lbs heavier but both play a very similar game- strong against the run and good first steps and usually end up in the backfield on their feet with their head up. Both also, essentially, played a combination of DT and DE, moving around quite a bit and sometimes stunting and occupying blockers for others to get free.
Terms of new deals:
Antonio Smith 5 years $35 million $12.5 mil signing bonus
Chris Canty 6 years $42 million $17.5 mil signing bonus
Now, I realize that it's not a perfect comparison but in terms of the marketplace it's a very good measuring stick. I think, based on these numbers, that it's fair to say that we didn't overpay. Now, over the next couple years we'll find out if we scouted well and picked the right guy.
To paraphrase Inigo Montoya, "I am not so sure you know what that means."
Moreover, just because another team overpays, is not a measuring stick to say we did not overpay.
4. I think the best deal of the weekend was Antonio Smith, the versatile defensive lineman for the Cardinals -- and the best defensive lineman they had, one of their former coaches told me at the Super Bowl -- going to the Texans for $7 million per. "I think it's going to be an electrifying year for our defensive line. We [Mario Williams and Smith] are going to be a great pair. We're going to cause a lot of havoc for offensive linemen,'' Smith said.
This is not a good signing by the Texans for the money. It's a great signing.
Mike Florio of profootballtalk.com reported that Smith will earn $15.5 million in his first year, $19.4 million (cumulative) in the first two years, and $24 million (cumulative) over the first three.
Winston's guaranteed money is being paid out over the first two years of his contract and he is scheduled to make a $4.5 million base salary in 2010.
In other words, Smith will make as much in his first year ($15.5 million) as Winston will make in his first three years ($14.5 million).
Smith's haul is primarily a function of his leverage as an 'in-demand' unrestricted free agent, and it being early in the free agency process.
Some of the numbers may cause frustration in Dunta and DeMeco's camp (there goes 'my' money), but that's the way this business is conducted. Get what you can, when you can, within the framework of the rules and the leverage you carry.
From what I've seen over the years, the Texans negotiate fairly and certainly don't have a reputation for low-balling it's players - especially their star players. But the ongoing negotiations with Dunta and DeMeco bears watching. You don't want unhappy campers in your locker room - especially when they're supposed to be your leaders.
But what it comes down to in many cases, is the timing of it all. And in this case, the timing couldn't have been any better for Smith.
He was just on 1560 and said "I will get after the quarterback!! Mark my words"
Just about every team "overpays" this early in free agency. Yes we overpaid a little for the guy, but that's the price you pay for being a early player in FA.
He was just on 1560 and said "I will get after the quarterback!! Mark my words"