With his scrambling that went over 500 yards and 9 TD's he ran throughout the season. He can make the throws mixed in with the scrambles to move the chains and keep their offense on the field. Josh Allen improved a lot this season.
Yes, I'm much more concerned with Allen extending drives with his feet. I really like Allen's future as a downfield passer, in the Big Ben mold. He's not there, yet.
2019 Texans were only the 4th team this decade to win 10 games and have a NEGATIVE DVOA. ThAt tells you everything you need to know.
Actually, without seeing what the statistician is trying to accomplish, it tells me nothing. How many variables are included? What is the confidence level? How well have the equation predicted future events? You could run 250 million regressions for a football season, and the 250,000,001st could be completely off the regression line.
Baseball is a sport that is very statistical friendly. You can have some level of confidence of how a batter may fare with 1 out, runners on the corners, facing a LHP throwing a sinker and slider. Because there are enough data points.
In football, there are only about 60 plays from scrimmage in a game, per side. And even in similar situations, there's not enough similarity to make a real comparison. 3rd & 7 between the 40's. In the 2nd quarter, the offense was in 11 personnel with trips to the weakside. The defense was in a soft cover 2 shell with a spy on the back. 4th quarter, same down and distance, same position on the field. Offense is in an empty backfield set, and the defense is in press coverage with a weakside safety blitz. Oh, did I mention the wind has picked up and it's just begun to rain? Two completely different events. With 22 players on the field, each in their own micro event. Just trying to wrap your head around the variables in a singular football play is a statistical nightmare. And throw all of that away in the next game, because everything has changed.
So instead, someone will put generic statistical outcomes in a formula to get a generic result. It is good enough to tell you what happened. But poor in telling you what will happen. How can you correlate the performance of the team that defeated the Chiefs in Arrowhead with the team that stunk up NRG two weeks prior? Even a team that is consistently dominant, like the Ravens, are not easily predictable come the playoffs. What happens if the Ravens are down 2 scores in the 2nd half? That didn't happen enough in the regular season to make a statistically relevant estimate. Too small a sample size. But it is more likely to happen in a playoff game, because they will face better competition.
I can understand why you, me, and everyone else are frustrated with this team. They're brutally inconsistent in every facet, except when we don't want them to be (1st down? Run up the middle, silly). But a train wreck? 2-14 was a train wreck. 10-6 with a home game in the 1st round is better than a swift kick in the rear. And when you look back to the offseason, firing the GM after the draft, bungling negotiations with your Pro Bowl edge, losing your starting RB in preseason, trading for a LT after training camp is over...the results aren't that shabby. 20 NFL teams wish they were in the Texans cleats right now.