With the announcement of Winslow's incredible deal, it got me thinking again about Owen Daniels, and reminded me of something I wanted to post a while back. Back when we gave OD the high RFA offer, there was some debate as to whether he, or any Tight End, would be worth the cost (a 1st and a 3rd). To get a sense of what a 1st and 3rd would be, I looked at the "standard" draft value chart (not perfect, but gives a ballpark). Obviously, the value of a 1st and 3rd varies by the team who would pay it. For the super bowl winner (pick #32), the 1st and 3rd would be the equivalent value of about the 26th pick in the draft. A team could move from 20 to 15, or from the middle (picks 16-17), to pick 12 or 13 overall. A team as high as 8 or 9 could trade their #1 and #3 just to move up to 6th overall. So, the "value" of a 1st and 3rd could range a lot - the question is whether OD, or any tight end is worth that. Looking over the past several years of drafts, we have had a couple of TEs being drafted as high as #6 overall (Davis in 2006, Winslow in 2004). Others have been drafted in the "middle" part of the first round (Clark at #24 in 2003, Shockey at #14, and Graham at #21 in 2002, Franks at #14 in 2000). Most others have been drafted either at the very end of the first, or in later rounds. So, to say that no TE is worth a 1st and 3rd would mean that no tight end should be drafted before pick #26, and obviously many teams disagree. As for Owen Daniels, he is now a known quantity - a pro-bowl Tight End. All draft picks are more shaky, due to the potential "bust" factor. If you could effectively draft someone that you already knew was a pro-bowl caliber player, that is almost always better than taking a chance on someone who you can only hope will reach that level. I know there are a lot of other factors - how much a player is a product of a system, the salary demands, age, how much a team values/uses TEs to begin with, etc. But, the net result of all of this is that I think Daniels is worth the first and third round pick. It would not be unreasonable for another team to give us the equivalent of a mid-range 1st round pick for him, and likewise, it would probably take a pick in that range for us to draft someone we could reasonably expect to match the production of OD (factoring in the potential bust factor, if such a player is even available to draft that year).