HOU-TEX
Ah, Football!
Calling W's and L's before so much as the draft is bananas.
I love what a juggernaut the NFL is at this point to keep the hype going almost year round.
Can you define Mollywhopper? Sounds humorous to me
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Calling W's and L's before so much as the draft is bananas.
I love what a juggernaut the NFL is at this point to keep the hype going almost year round.
What do you mean "almost year round."
Funny that I actually started to second guess using "almost" before posting that.
Can you define Mollywhopper? Sounds humorous to me
@CLE is not going to be a gimme game that game will prob be our toughest of the year
I see 6 wins at the most barring any miracle play out of the QB position. This sucks.
You seriously look at that schedule and only see six wins?
Is your nick-name BongHit?
Just imagine they get Khalil Mack & Bridgewater with their two first rounders.
I don't think them knowing when and where they are going to play the teams they already knew they were going to play is going to greatly shift their draft philosophy.
Every year some bad teams turn into good ones and good ones fall on their asses. Who's to say this will turn out to be an easy or difficult schedule?
To expand on what I said 4 weeks ago.
A little more than just strength of schedule. This looks at the win totals of all our 2014 opponents (division rivals counted twice) over the last five years. On average, our opponents have won 8 games. On average, we've won about 8 games.
The main point, is that good teams usually win, bad teams usually lose, & mediocre teams are usually mediocre. Over the last 5 years, we've been more mediocre than bad & we'll be playing 8 games against teams that have been worse than we've been over that same time period.
Every now & then you'll have a team that wins more than they normally do. There is a step change in that organization. Sometimes it is sustained, sometimes it isn't. But there are some teams on our schedule that are primed to make that step change... Buffalo, Cleveland, Jacksonville... However, I think we're just as likely to make another step change, for the same reason those teams are. New coaches, plenty of defensive talent, questions at QB, questionable depth, we all share the same issues. More or less.
Every now & then you'll have a team that loses a lot more than they normally do & we have teams on our schedule that are primed to do just that. Cincinnati, NYGiants, Philly... Houston.
But the main point is that our schedule is soooooo weak, not because we're playing a bunch of teams that didn't win a lot last season, but because we're playing a bunch of teams that have been pretty bad over the last 5 years.
If I were to stretch this out over ten years, several of those teams would have very similar averages. They've been that bad for that long. Oakland, Cleveland, Buffalo, Jacksonville... some of those teams their averages will go up, meaning they've been progressively getting worse... Dallas, Pittsburgh, NYGiants, Tennessee. Some of them their averages will get worse, meaning they're doing better now than they have been, historically; Cincinnati, Houston.
For a comparison, looking at Kansas City. Over the last five years, they averaged 6.8 wins. We've been better than them over the last five years. Not by much, but better.
This in no way guarantees that we're going to be win 10 games. That's not what I'm saying. I'm not saying that our "rebuild" won't take two or three years. What I am saying is that we don't have to be very good to have a winning season based on our history & the history of the teams on our schedule.
Expecting 4-6 wins against the likes of Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cleveland, Tennessee, & Oakland is setting our expectations way, way too low.